Akron at UAB - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (8:30 PM EDT)
UAB -12.5 (58.5) (-440) Open: 0.0
UAB 31 - Akron: 28

Zips (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

AKR 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Akron -2 (SP+ AKR -2)
Projected Score: AKR: 31 - UAB: 29 (59)
UAB Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
AKR Travel: 597 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blazers (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Alex Mortensen (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (28 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
UAB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Akron vs Wyoming	+8.5	49.5	L 0 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/6	Akron at Nebraska	+34.0	47.5	L 0 - 68	O	N
Sat 9/13	Akron at UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Akron vs Duquesne	-10.5	51.0	W 51 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Akron at Toledo	+21.5	50.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/4	Akron vs Central Michigan	+7.0	47.5	W 28 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Akron vs Miami (OH)	+11.5	47.5	L 7 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/18	Akron at Ball State	-2.5	44.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/25	Akron at Buffalo	+10.0	48.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4	Akron vs Massachusetts	-12.5	51.5	W 44 - 10	O	Y
Tue 11/11	Akron vs Kent State	-7.5	49.5	L 35 - 42	O	N
Tue 11/18	Akron at Bowling Green	+2.5	47.5	W 19 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

UAB's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	UAB vs Alabama State	-21.0	53.5	W 52 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	UAB at Navy	+20.5	59.0	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/13	UAB vs Akron	-12.5	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/20	UAB at Tennessee	+39.5	69.5	L 24 - 56	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UAB vs Army	+6.5	55.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	UAB at Florida Atlantic	+4.5	66.5	L 33 - 53	O	N
Sat 10/18	UAB vs Memphis	+23.5	59.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UAB at UConn	+10.0	61.5	L 19 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/8	UAB at Rice	-1.5	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/15	UAB vs North Texas	+17.5	69.5	L 24 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/22	UAB vs South Florida	+21.5	68.5	L 18 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/29	UAB at Tulsa	+9.0	56.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#118 (.07)	38% (112)	22.3	40% (98)	2.8 (100)	136	37% (114)	219	3.25 (112)	#46 (.11)	39% (39)	27.4	41% (59)	38% (36)	3.68 (70)	45.8	1.4	1.7
UAB	#55 (.19)	42% (64)	26.4	44% (63)	3.12 (36)	139	42% (62)	266	3.63 (77)	#135 (.34)	49% (132)	38.3	50% (131)	48% (126)	4.71 (135)	61.2	1.8	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
UAB	#85 (.16)	45% (42)		47% (32)	3.19 (42)	131	44% (48)	262	3.43 (109)	#101 (.23)	45% (104)		52% (132)	35% (12)	4.24 (110)	73.8	2.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	22.3	17	38.4%	3.25	1.4	20	355	136	219	3.8	45%	52%	40%	37%	18%	.07
UAB Defense	12	38.3	37.7	48.9%	4.71	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	61%	38%	50%	48%	12%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	27.4	36.3	39.2%	3.68	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	38%	17%	.11
UAB Offense	12	26.4	28.2	42.4%	3.63	1.8	22	404	139	266	4.2	45%	53%	44%	42%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	29:52	20.1	31%	48%	5.8	45.8	1.4	1.7	5.8	2.1	1	29.4
UAB	12	31:18	22	46%	47%	7.4	61.2	1.8	0.8	4.1	1.4	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	45% (103)	40% (98)	35.8	136.4	3.8	9 (132)	(122)	2.8 (100)	72% (70)	10% (98)	0.82 (122)
UAB Defense	12	61% (136)	50% (131)	-	-	-	-	.22 (127)	3.35 (131)	83% (129)	8% (115)	0.91 (42)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	51% (77)	41% (59)	-	-	-	-	.03 (27)	2.75 (46)	58% (5)	11% (30)	0.92 (50)
UAB Offense	12	45% (110)	44% (63)	32.9	138.8	4.2	20 (49)	.17 (42)	3.12 (36)	71% (79)	9% (69)	1.09 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	52% (39)	37% (114)	17.4	33.7	219	6.5	12.6	20 (50)	9 (88)	.18 (105)	1.6 (34)	35% (125)	28% (96)	.19 (113)	8% (123)	2.1 (61)
UAB Defense	12	38% (1)	48% (126)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (100)	.52 (136)	1.9 (134)	27% (131)	32% (92)	.41 (116)	4% (130)	2.1 (105)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	48% (69)	38% (36)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.23 (58)	1.7 (121)	30% (93)	25% (15)	.22 (40)	6% (54)	2.2 (115)
UAB Offense	12	53% (32)	42% (62)	23.9	36.5	265.6	7.3	11.1	20 (42)	16 (88)	.27 (59)	1.5 (73)	31% (68)	33% (32)	.36 (49)	6% (68)	2.1 (39)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -9.21 #105
Akron's Offense Rating: 1.41 #119
Akron's Defense Rating: 10.62 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #114
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #122
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #86

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -9.21 UAB: -13.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.0 UAB: -15.1

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -13.165 #130
UAB's Offense Rating: 5.78 #88
UAB's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #122
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #79
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.2 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Akron 31
UAB 29

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
UAB 38
Akron 23

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
UAB 30
Akron 29

Total Points: 59

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.7

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	UAB	31	Akron	28	UAB -12.5	Akron	58.5	Over
2019	09/07	Akron	20	UAB	31	UAB -8	UAB	46.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UAB	2	1	2 Overs
Akron	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#105) AKR at (#130) UAB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	UAB
Power RatePwr	#105	#130
SP+SP+	#114	#122
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#111
OffenseOff	#84	#53
DefenseDef	#49	#132
Spec TeamsST	#103	#135
TalentTal	#122	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	#56	#79

Akron Notes(11/4) Killed UMass, over 430 yds, Def played well
(10/31) Coming off only bye into Nov & last 3 MAC gms
(10/31) QB Ben Finley & RB Jordan Grant can play, OL Avg
(10/31) Could get to 6-6? UMass, Kent, BG to finish
(10/4) QB Finley missed Toledo game, ? for CMU game
(9/24) QB Finley playing better but this Off is terrible
(8/28) Offense somehow worse than anticipated, woof
(8/21) This is not an FBS roster. Bad team
(8/21) No bowl, no real bye, end on Nov 18th
(7/27) WR A Adams was leader WR in '23, injury probs
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
Akron Injury Report

UAB Notes(12/10) Worst program in AAC. Will be ‘26 doormat
(12/4) Interim HC Alex Mortensen has been hired full time
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
UAB Injury Report

Akron on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	UAB Def
Perf GradePerf	#84	#132
SuccessSuc	#112	#132
ExplosiveExp	#62	#94
PPAPPA	#118	#135
PowerPwr	#119	#133
SP+SP+	#122	#132
Pts POPPO	#112	#135
HavocHav	#114	#130

Akron Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#102	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	#98	#131
Run ExplRExp	#122	#42
PPAExp	#122	#127
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#100	#131
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#130
TackleTak	-	#131

Akron Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#69	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	#114	#126
Pass ExplPExl	#34	#134
PPAExp	#105	#136
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#116	#118
F7 HavocF7	#98	#115
DB HavocDB	#123	#130

UAB on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	AKR Def
Perf GradePerf	#53	#49
SuccessSuc	#64	#39
ExplosiveExp	#31	#93
PPAPPA	#55	#46
PowerPwr	#88	#82
SP+SP+	#79	#86
Pts POPPO	#77	#70
HavocHav	#65	#35

UAB Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#85	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#63	#59
Run ExplRExp	#23	#50
PPAExp	#42	#27
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	#36	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#55	#19
TackleTak	-	#50

UAB Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	#62	#36
Pass ExplPExl	#73	#121
PPAExp	#59	#58
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#44	#53
F7 HavocF7	#69	#30
DB HavocDB	#68	#54

Program Comparison
UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 81°

Rematch from Week 3
UAB -12.5 (58.5)
UAB won vs Akron this year (31-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

AKR's OC Taylor Housewright (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Finley	186	362	51%	2475	19	9	6.8
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)	12	23	52%	62	1	0	2.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Gant (Tr)	213	1032	6	4.8	36
Sean Patrick	69	274	1	4.0	25
Ben Finley	69	130	2	1.9	40
Marquese Williams	21	86	0	4.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcel Williams (Tr)	45	641	2	14.2	46
Israel Polk	33	525	8	15.9	75
Kyan Mason	33	481	5	14.6	62
Myles Walker	20	209	0	10.5	24

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shammond Cooper	66	5	1	1	1
Gage Summers	54	7	2	1	0
DiMarco Johnson	53	1	0	0	3
Malcom DeWalt IV	51	3	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Julien Laventure	45	11	4	6	0
Bruno Dall	44	8	4	6	6
Cyrus Durham (Tr)	32	9	4	7	0
Ronald Hull	20	3	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malcom DeWalt IV	51	3	0	1	8
Bruno Dall	44	8	4	6	6
Elijah Reed	44	2	1	0	4

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	223	337	66%	2462	13	11	7.3
Ryder Burton (Tr)	62	98	63%	708	7	5	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)	167	900	5	5.4	58
Isaiah Jacobs	79	342	4	4.3	23
Solomon Beebe	56	338	6	6.0	81
Nate Rogers	13	84	2	6.5	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Iverson Hooks	72	927	7	12.9	51
BJ Hawkins Jr.	41	540	5	13.2	68
Corri Milliner	24	341	3	14.2	49
Solomon Beebe	31	284	0	9.2	43

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devin Hightower (Tr)	81	3	1	2	0
Jeremiah Vessel (Tr)	54	1	1	0	2
AJ Brown	53	0	0	0	0
Eamon Smalls	50	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Chris Burge	32	5	4	7
Jonathan Allen	34	3	2	1
Eddy Toussom	46	7	2	3
Eli Ennis (Tr)	11	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)	18	2	0	6
Delvon Gulley (Tr)	19	1	1	3
Perry Fisher (Tr)	21	0	0	3