Alabama State at UAB - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama State logo Alabama State Hornets at UAB BlazersUAB logo
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (8:30 PM EDT)
UAB -21.0 (53.5) (-1200)  Open: -20.0 | 53.5
UAB 52 - Alabama State: 42

 
Hornets (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 52 (42 - 52 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -11.5   (SP+ UAB -13)
UAB Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
Blazers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 36 - 36 (42 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
Alabama State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Alabama State at UAB+21.053.5L 42 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama State's Schedule
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+5
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+8.5
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+20.5
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice+6.5
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+16.5
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+15.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALST0%420%000%000%520%0%0000
UAB#13 (.45)55% (16)35.755% (20)3.53 (25)14956% (15)3034.58 (43)#136 (.56)58% (135)3659% (134)56% (132)4.92 (120)33.71.30.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALST Offense142420%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UAB Defense3363558.2%4.920.3 - - - - - 72%28%59%56%12%.56
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALST Defense152520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UAB Offense335.741.554.7%4.581.3244521493034.853%46%55%56%10%.45

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
UAB327:4824.341%43%4.333.71.30.362.3130.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UAB Defense372% (136)59% (134) - - - - .35 (129)3.49 (128)89% (119)11% (56)0.95 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UAB Offense353% (54)55% (20)31148.74.87 (38).32 (29)3.53 (25)67% (86)5% (13)1.06 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UAB Defense328% (1)56% (132) - - - - - - 01.11 (136)2.5 (136)25% (127)52% (135).93 (135)2% (134)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UAB Offense346% (86)56% (15)23.733.7303912.86 (34)3 (92).68 (9)1.5 (64)21% (8)50% (4).83 (7)5% (68)2.3 (31)

Alabama State's Power Ratings
Alabama State's Power Rating: #NR
Alabama State's Offense Rating: #NR
Alabama State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Alabama State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Alabama State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Alabama State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Alabama State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama State:    UAB: -11.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama State:    UAB: -12.6




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -11.725 #118
UAB's Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Alabama State Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 42
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Alabama State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UAB 45
Alabama State 39

Total Points: 84

UAB Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.5
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/28UAB52Alabama State42UABUAB -21.0Alabama State53.5Over
201908/29UAB24Alabama State19UABUAB -39Alabama State50.5Under
200809/20UAB45Alabama State10UAB
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB301 Overs
Alabama State021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 32 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#NR) Alabama State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Alabama State Highlights
Alabama State is Undefeated vs Spread


Alabama State Deficiencies
Alabama State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUABALST
OverallOver#47—
OffenseOff#22—
DefenseDef#83—
Special TeamsST#51—
PassingPass#31—
RushingRush#32—
Run BlockRBLK#37—
Pass BlockPBLK#32—
Route RunningWR Rt#30—
TacklingTkl#35—
Run DefenseR Def#46—
Pass Rush DefPRush#85—
Coverage DefCov#108—

Rematch from Week 1
UAB -21.0 (53.5)
UAB won vs Alabama State this year (52-42)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ALST | UAB
Depth Chart: ALST | UAB
Rosters: ALST | UAB
(#118) UAB Info
Power Rating: -11.725 #118
Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131
Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 58%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.92 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 59%
Awful Pass Def Success 56%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

UAB Notes
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
(6/14) OL 2/5 back, looks bad. 4 portals w/ no exp
(6/14) Both OL & DL look weak & lack playmakers
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long

UAB Highlights
UAB is Undefeated at Home

UAB offense is efficent (#16)
UAB has a top Offensive Line (#25)
UAB commits very few Penalties (#30)
UAB defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

UAB Deficiencies
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UAB has a bad defense (#135)
UAB Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
UAB has a bad defensive line (#128)
UAB has a bad red zone defense (#120)


  
Alabama State's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Body486574%76110011.7
Te'Sean Smoot (Tr)2450%26006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Body3019516.560
Jamarie Hostzclaw3412713.715
Karl Ligon188604.816
Marcus II Harris65719.547
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Jones13324324.969
Ajai Harrell10185318.540
Dylan Djete8101312.622
Asa Gregg661110.218

View Alabama State's Full Roster
Alabama State's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keane Lewis80000
Ta'Shaun Sims70000
Tre Phillips50000
Kayvon Henderson40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keane Lewis80000
Cameron Gordon21000
Brennen Ceaser10000
Jalen Jones10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rhoody Jean-Louis30002
Corey Lucius Jr.10001
Keane Lewis80000

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna7010070%892638.9
Iverson Hooks11100%170017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)4627736.048
Isaiah Jacobs199515.021
Solomon Beebe187224.012
Nate Rogers1818.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corri Milliner17268315.849
Iverson Hooks16229214.351
Solomon Beebe10121012.136
BJ Hawkins Jr.10120012.041

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Steve Russ
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pierre Royster (Tr)230000
Devin Hightower (Tr)211000
Chris Burge163310
Eamon Smalls151010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge163310
Kyle Mosley31100
J'Quan Mason11100
Eli Ennis (Tr)72100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)81004
Perry Fisher (Tr)30002
Sirad Bryant131002