Alabama State at UAB - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama State logo Alabama State Hornets at UAB BlazersUAB logo
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (8:30 PM EDT)
UAB -21.0 (53.5) (-1200)  Open: -20.0 | 53.5
UAB 52 - Alabama State: 42

 
Hornets (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 52 (42 - 52 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -13  (SP+ UAB -15)
UAB Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
Blazers (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Alex Mortensen (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (28 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
Alabama State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Alabama State at UAB+21.053.5L 42 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama State's Schedule
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5L 24 - 56OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+6.555.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+4.566.5L 33 - 53ON
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+23.559.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+10.061.5L 19 - 38UN
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice-1.551.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+17.569.5L 24 - 53ON
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+21.568.5L 18 - 48UN
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+9.056.5W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALST0%420%000%000%520%0%0000
UAB#55 (.19)42% (64)26.444% (63)3.12 (36)13942% (62)2663.63 (77)#135 (.34)49% (132)38.350% (131)48% (126)4.71 (135)61.21.80.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALST Offense142420%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UAB Defense1238.337.748.9%4.710.8 - - - - - 61%38%50%48%12%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALST Defense152520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UAB Offense1226.428.242.4%3.631.8224041392664.245%53%44%42%15%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
UAB1231:182246%47%7.461.21.80.84.11.4128.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UAB Defense1261% (136)50% (131) - - - - .22 (127)3.35 (131)83% (129)8% (115)0.91 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UAB Offense1245% (110)44% (63)32.9138.84.220 (49).17 (42)3.12 (36)71% (79)9% (69)1.09 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UAB Defense1238% (1)48% (126) - - - - - - 4 (100).52 (136)1.9 (134)27% (131)32% (92).41 (116)4% (130)2.1 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UAB Offense1253% (32)42% (62)23.936.5265.67.311.120 (42)16 (88).27 (59)1.5 (73)31% (68)33% (32).36 (49)6% (68)2.1 (39)

Alabama State's Power Ratings
Alabama State's Power Rating: NR
Alabama State's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Alabama State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama State:    UAB: -13.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama State:    UAB: -15.1




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -13.165  #130
UAB's Offense Rating: 5.78  #88
UAB's Defense Rating: 22.01  #133
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #122
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #79
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.2  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama State Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 42
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Alabama State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UAB 39
Alabama State 29

Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
UAB 37
Alabama State 18

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Alabama State 40
UAB 40

Total Points: 80
UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.7

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/28UAB52Alabama State42UAB -21.0Alabama State53.5Over
201908/29UAB24Alabama State19UAB -39Alabama State50.5Under
200809/20UAB45Alabama State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB301 Overs
Alabama State021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 32 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#NR) ALST at (#130) UAB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALSTUAB
Power RatePwrNR #130
SP+SP+NR #122
Perf GradeGradeNR #111
OffenseOffNR #53
DefenseDefNR #132
Spec TeamsSTNR #135
TalentTalNR #111
Blue ChipsBC%NR #79
UAB Notes
(12/10) Worst program in AAC. Will be ‘26 doormat
(12/4) Interim HC Alex Mortensen has been hired full time
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
UAB Injury Report
Alabama State on Offense
CategoryCat
ALST OffUAB Def
Perf GradePerfNR #132
SuccessSucNR #132
ExplosiveExpNR #94
PPAPPANR #135
PowerPwrNR #133
SP+SP+NR #132
Pts POPPONR #135
HavocHavNR #130
Alabama State Run Game
CategoryCat
ALST OffUAB Def
Run GameRunNR #110
Run SuccessRSucNR #131
Run ExplRExpNR #42
PPAExpNR #127
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #131
Stuff RateStuffNR #130
TackleTak -  #131
Alabama State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALST OffUAB Def
Pass GamePassNR #136
Pass SuccessPSucNR #126
Pass ExplPExlNR #134
PPAExpNR #136
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #118
F7 HavocF7NR #115
DB HavocDBNR #130
UAB on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUAB OffALST Def
Perf GradePerf #53NR
SuccessSuc #64NR
ExplosiveExp #31NR
PPAPPA #55NR
PowerPwr #88NR
SP+SP+ #79NR
Pts POPPO #77NR
HavocHav #65NR
UAB Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffALST Def
Run GameRun #85NR
Run SuccessRSuc #63NR
Run ExplRExp #23NR
PPAExp #42NR
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLY #36NR
Stuff RateStuff #55NR
TackleTak - NR
UAB Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUAB OffALST Def
Pass GamePass #86NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #62NR
Pass ExplPExl #73NR
PPAExp #59NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #44NR
F7 HavocF7 #69NR
DB HavocDB #68NR
Program Comparison
UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

ALST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78°Rain: 0.024
Rematch from Week 1
UAB -21.0 (53.5)
UAB won vs Alabama State this year (52-42)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ALST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Body11316071%177020111.1
Te'Sean Smoot (Tr)598470%9859011.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarie Hostzclaw11761555.344
Andrew Body7151847.360
Jahbari Kuykendall4338629.069
Marcus II Harris46323147.050
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Jones471119923.887
Dylan Djete28435415.546
Ajai Harrell22396418.045
Asa Gregg17236213.938

View Alabama State's Full Roster

ALST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keane Lewis80000
Ta'Shaun Sims70000
Tre Phillips50000
Denzel Johnson40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keane Lewis80000
Stewart McCall II20000
Elijah Bean10000
Michael Joiner Jr.10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rhoody Jean-Louis30002
Corey Lucius Jr.10001
Keane Lewis80000

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna22333766%246213117.3
Ryder Burton (Tr)629863%708757.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)16790055.458
Isaiah Jacobs7934244.323
Solomon Beebe5633866.081
Nate Rogers138426.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Iverson Hooks72927712.951
BJ Hawkins Jr.41540513.268
Corri Milliner24341314.249
Solomon Beebe3128409.243

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Hightower (Tr)813120
Jeremiah Vessel (Tr)541102
AJ Brown530000
Eamon Smalls504110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge325470
Jonathan Allen343210
Eddy Toussom467230
Eli Ennis (Tr)112200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)182006
Delvon Gulley (Tr)191013
Perry Fisher (Tr)210003