Alabama State at UAB - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama State logo   Alabama State Hornets at UAB Blazers  UAB logo
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (8:30 PM EDT)
UAB -21.0 (53.5) (-1200)  Open: -20.0 | 53.5
UAB 52 - Alabama State: 42

 
Hornets (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 52 (42 - 52 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -14  (SP+ UAB -16)
UAB Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
Blazers (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (28 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
Alabama State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Alabama State at UAB+21.053.5L 42 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama State's Schedule
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5L 24 - 56OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+6.555.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+4.566.5L 33 - 53ON
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+23.559.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+10.061.5L 19 - 38UN
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice-1.551.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+17.569.5L 24 - 53ON
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+21.568.5L 18 - 48UN
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+9.056.5W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALST0%420%000%000%520%0%0000
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)26.447% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)38.352% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UAB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALST Offense042420%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UAB Defense1238.337.744.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 58%42%52%35%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALST Defense052520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UAB Offense1226.428.244.7%3.432.222393131262445%55%47%44%18%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama State00:000NAN%0%0000000100
UAB1229:2621.638%46%8.273.82.21.141.5327.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALST Offense00%0%000000%0%0
UAB Defense1258% (131)52% (132) - - - - .26 (127)3.64 (134)88% (132)7% (132)0.87 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALST Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UAB Offense1245% (108)47% (32)32.613149 (125).1 (85)3.19 (42)80% (21)12% (111)0.73 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALST Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
UAB Defense1242% (4)35% (12) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (43)1.8 (121)29% (113)32% (92).32 (74)6% (62)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALST Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UAB Offense1255% (28)44% (48)23.737.1261.67.111.124 (38)16 (124).25 (71)1.5 (94)31% (59)31% (73).4 (40)6% (79)2.1 (37)

Alabama State's Power Ratings
Alabama State's Power Rating: NR
Alabama State's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Alabama State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama State:    UAB: -13.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama State:    UAB: -15.8




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -13.87  #125
UAB's Offense Rating: 8.41  #97
UAB's Defense Rating: 25.35  #133
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8  #125
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama State Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 42
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Alabama State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama State 40
UAB 40

Projected Total Points: 80
UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.7

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/28UAB52Alabama State42UAB -21.0Alabama State53.5Over
201908/29UAB24Alabama State19UAB -39Alabama State50.5Under
200809/20UAB45Alabama State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB301 Overs
Alabama State021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 32 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) ALST at (#125) UAB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALSTUAB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #125
SP+SP+NR #125
Perf GradeGradeNR #121
OffenseOffNR #56
DefenseDefNR #136
Spec TeamsSTNR #134
TalentTalNR #111
Blue ChipsBC%NR #79
UAB Notes
(12/10) Worst program in AAC. Will be ‘26 doormat
(12/4) Interim HC Alex Mortensen has been hired full time
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
UAB Injury Report
Alabama State on Offense
CategoryCat
ALST OffUAB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #136
SuccessSucNR #104
ExplosiveExpNR #21
PPAPPANR #101
PowerPwrNR #133
SP+SP+NR #132
Pts POPPONR #110
HavocHavNR #118
Alabama State Run Game
CategoryCat
ALST OffUAB Def
Run GameRunNR #129
Run SuccessRSucNR #132
Run ExplRExpNR #17
PPAExpNR #127
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #134
Stuff RateStuffNR #130
TackleTak -  #130
Alabama State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALST OffUAB Def
Pass GamePassNR #136
Pass SuccessPSucNR #12
Pass ExplPExlNR #121
PPAExpNR #43
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #104
F7 HavocF7NR #132
DB HavocDBNR #62
UAB on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUAB OffALST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56NR
SuccessSuc #42NR
ExplosiveExp #126NR
PPAPPA #85NR
PowerPwr #97NR
SP+SP+ #80NR
Pts POPPO #109NR
HavocHav #106NR
UAB Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffALST Def
Run GameRun #83NR
Run SuccessRSuc #32NR
Run ExplRExp #132NR
PPAExp #85NR
Run BlockR Blk #50 -
OL YdsOLY #42NR
Stuff RateStuff #26NR
TackleTak - NR
UAB Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUAB OffALST Def
Pass GamePass #79NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #48NR
Pass ExplPExl #94NR
PPAExp #71NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #50NR
F7 HavocF7 #111NR
DB HavocDB #79NR
Program Comparison
UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

ALST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
UAB -21.0 (53.5)
UAB won vs Alabama State this year (52-42)

Previous Matchups
UAB beat Alabama State last year (52-42)

  
ALST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Body11316071%177020111.1
Te'Sean Smoot (Tr)598470%9859011.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarie Hostzclaw11761555.344
Andrew Body7151847.360
Jahbari Kuykendall4338629.069
Marcus II Harris46323147.050
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Jones471119923.887
Dylan Djete28435415.546
Ajai Harrell22396418.045
Asa Gregg17236213.938

View Alabama State's Full Roster

ALST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keane Lewis80000
Ta'Shaun Sims70000
Tre Phillips50000
Myles Richardson40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keane Lewis80000
Detrick Jones21000
Corey Lucius Jr.10001
Brennen Ceaser10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rhoody Jean-Louis30002
Corey Lucius Jr.10001
Keane Lewis80000

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna22333766%246213117.3
Ryder Burton (Tr)629863%708757.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)16790055.458
Isaiah Jacobs7934244.323
Solomon Beebe5633866.081
Nate Rogers138426.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Iverson Hooks72927712.951
BJ Hawkins Jr.41540513.268
Corri Milliner24341314.249
Solomon Beebe3128409.243

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Hightower (Tr)813120
Jeremiah Vessel (Tr)541102
AJ Brown530000
Eamon Smalls504110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge325470
Jonathan Allen343210
Eddy Toussom467230
Eli Ennis (Tr)112200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)182006
Delvon Gulley (Tr)191013
Perry Fisher (Tr)210003