North Texas at UAB - 2025 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at UAB BlazersUAB logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Protective Stadium - Birmingham, AL  (American Athletic)

 
Mean Green (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 48 - 13 (33 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
UNT coming off BYE
Our Line: North Texas -16.5   (SP+ UNT -14)

Projected Score: UNT: 42 - UAB: 26 (68)
UNT Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UNT Travel: 598 miles
Blazers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 36 - 36 (42 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Texas vs Lamar-27.563.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-12.056.0W 33 - 30ON
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-6.557.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army-1.552.5
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama-13
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida-3.5
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA-7
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-19
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-16.5
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-12.5
Sat 11/29 North Texas vs Temple-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+5
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+8.5
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+20.5
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice+6.5
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+16.5
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+15.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#18 (.4)46% (49)47.750% (40)3.45 (28)15945% (57)2675.7 (6)#14 (-.06)33% (26)13.335% (35)30% (19)2.25 (23)48.70.32.3
UAB#13 (.45)55% (16)35.755% (20)3.53 (25)14956% (15)3034.58 (43)#136 (.56)58% (135)3659% (134)56% (132)4.92 (120)33.71.30.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense347.73346.5%5.70.3244261592674.841%57%50%45%12%.4
UAB Defense3363558.2%4.920.3 - - - - - 72%28%59%56%12%.56
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense313.33033.1%2.252.3 - - - - - 64%36%35%30%15%-.06
UAB Offense335.741.554.7%4.581.3244521493034.853%46%55%56%10%.45

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas328:2724.350%67%5.348.70.32.36.32.3039.1
UAB327:4824.341%43%4.333.71.30.362.3130.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense341% (121)50% (40)33.3159.34.89 (17).42 (9)3.45 (28)57% (114)8% (56)1.28 (20)
UAB Defense372% (136)59% (134) - - - - .35 (129)3.49 (128)89% (119)11% (56)0.95 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense364% (130)35% (35) - - - - -.01 (44)2.44 (38)73% (75)11% (48)1.01 (82)
UAB Offense353% (54)55% (20)31148.74.87 (38).32 (29)3.53 (25)67% (86)5% (13)1.06 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense357% (20)45% (57)23.733.7266.77.911.39 (13)0 (1).42 (40)1.6 (61)24% (18)46% (12).8 (10)4% (45)1.9 (88)
UAB Defense328% (1)56% (132) - - - - - - 01.11 (136)2.5 (136)25% (127)52% (135).93 (135)2% (134)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense336% (7)30% (19) - - - - - - 4 (12)-.13 (12)1.4 (34)37% (29)30% (77).19 (55)3% (118)1.7 (39)
UAB Offense346% (86)56% (15)23.733.7303912.86 (34)3 (92).68 (9)1.5 (64)21% (8)50% (4).83 (7)5% (68)2.3 (31)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 8.28 #59
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
North Texas's Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 8.28   UAB: -11.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 1.2   UAB: -12.6




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -11.725 #118
UAB's Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 42
UAB 26


Total Points: 68

UAB Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.5
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25North Texas45UAB42North TexasNorth Texas -3Push72.5Over
202211/12UAB41North Texas21UABUAB -6.5UAB58.0Over
202109/18North Texas6UAB40UABUAB -12.5UAB58.5Under
201911/30North Texas21UAB26UABUAB -3.5UAB50.0Under
201810/20UAB29North Texas21UABUAB -1.5UAB53.0Under
201709/23North Texas46UAB43North TexasNorth Texas -10UAB60.5Over
201410/11UAB56North Texas21UABUAB -3UAB0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB563 Overs
North Texas203 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 23 - 33 - 10 - 2
Road Teams2 - 53 - 32 - 01 - 3

(#59) North Texas Info
Power Rating: 8.28 #59
Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.7 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

North Texas has lost 6 straight
North Texas has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

North Texas Notes
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC

North Texas Highlights
North Texas in Undefeated

North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas offense is good on 3rd downs
North Texas has a really good defense (#26)
North Texas defense is really good in red zone (#23)
North Texas has a good pass defense (#19)
North Texas has a great TO Margin (#11)
North Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

North Texas Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUABUNT
OverallOver#47#10
OffenseOff#22#27
DefenseDef#83#14
Special TeamsST#51#39
PassingPass#31#8
RushingRush#32#25
Run BlockRBLK#37#47
Pass BlockPBLK#32#45
Route RunningWR Rt#30#46
TacklingTkl#35#4
Run DefenseR Def#46#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#85#68
Coverage DefCov#108#14

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat UAB in 2023 (45-42)
UAB beat North Texas in 2022 (41-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | UAB
Depth Chart: UNT | UAB
Rosters: UNT | UAB
(#118) UAB Info
Power Rating: -11.725 #118
Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131
Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 58%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.92 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 59%
Awful Pass Def Success 56%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UAB has lost 6 straight
UAB has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

UAB Notes
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
(6/14) OL 2/5 back, looks bad. 4 portals w/ no exp
(6/14) Both OL & DL look weak & lack playmakers
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long

UAB Highlights
UAB is Undefeated at Home

UAB offense is efficent (#16)
UAB has a top Offensive Line (#25)
UAB commits very few Penalties (#30)
UAB defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

UAB Deficiencies
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UAB has a bad defense (#135)
UAB Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
UAB has a bad defensive line (#128)
UAB has a bad red zone defense (#120)


  
North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker669470%764908.1
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)5771%36005.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makenzie McGill3117035.527
Jayden Becks (Tr)167824.916
Kiefer Sibley137625.830
Caleb Hawkins136815.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young10160216.046
Cameron Dorner9121213.425
Miles Coleman1110809.824
Simeon Evans (Tr)790012.930

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Skyler Cassity
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Whitter251030
Trey Fields (Tr)192000
Ethan Wesloski164100
Ethan Day (Tr)122210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)43300
Ethan Day (Tr)122210
Zhaiylen Scott81120
Joshua Pierce (Tr)21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Hammonds101001
Bryan Allen Jr.40001
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)81001

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna7010070%892638.9
Iverson Hooks11100%170017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)4627736.048
Isaiah Jacobs199515.021
Solomon Beebe187224.012
Nate Rogers1818.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corri Milliner17268315.849
Iverson Hooks16229214.351
Solomon Beebe10121012.136
BJ Hawkins Jr.10120012.041

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Steve Russ
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pierre Royster (Tr)230000
Devin Hightower (Tr)211000
Chris Burge163310
Eamon Smalls151010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge163310
Kyle Mosley31100
J'Quan Mason11100
Eli Ennis (Tr)72100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)81004
Perry Fisher (Tr)30002
Sirad Bryant131002