North Texas at UAB Game Matchup
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at UAB BlazersUAB logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Protective Stadium - Birmingham, AL  (American Athletic)

 
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)
UNT coming off BYE
Our Line: North Texas -4   (SP+ UNT -6.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 36 - UAB: 32 (64)
UNT Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNT Travel: 598 miles
Blazers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (34 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 North Texas vs Lamar-15.5
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-7
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-4.5
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army+7
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama+2.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida+6
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA+6
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-10
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-4
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-6.5
Sat 11/29 North Texas vs Temple-13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 UAB vs Alabama State-9
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+12.5
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-7.5
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+34
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+8.5
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+3.5
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+13
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice+0.5
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+4
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+12.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)33.540% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)34.247% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)26.247% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)34.352% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UAB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1333.534.842.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23
UAB Defense1234.330.244.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 58%42%52%35%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1334.24344.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
UAB Offense1226.233.544.7%3.432.222393131262445%55%47%44%18%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
UAB1229:2621.638%46%8.273.82.21.141.5327.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)
UAB Defense1258% (131)52% (132) - - - - .26 (127)3.64 (134)88% (132)7% (132)0.87 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
UAB Offense1245% (108)47% (32)32.613149 (125).1 (85)3.19 (42)80% (21)12% (111)0.73 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)
UAB Defense1242% (4)35% (12) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (43)1.8 (121)29% (113)32% (92).32 (74)6% (62)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
UAB Offense1255% (28)44% (48)23.737.1261.67.111.124 (38)16 (124).25 (71)1.5 (94)31% (59)31% (73).4 (40)6% (79)2.1 (37)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -8.60 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
North Texas's Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -8.60   UAB: -11.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2   UAB: -13.8




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -11.945 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 7.88 #105
UAB's Defense Rating: 22.97 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 464.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 36
UAB 32

Projected Total Points: 64
UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25North Texas45UAB42North TexasNorth Texas -3Push72.5Over
202211/12UAB41North Texas21UABUAB -6.5UAB58.0Over
202109/18North Texas6UAB40UABUAB -12.5UAB58.5Under
201911/30North Texas21UAB26UABUAB -3.5UAB50.0Under
201810/20UAB29North Texas21UABUAB -1.5UAB53.0Under
201709/23North Texas46UAB43North TexasNorth Texas -10UAB60.5Over
201410/11UAB56North Texas21UABUAB -3UAB0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB563 Overs
North Texas203 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 23 - 33 - 10 - 2
Road Teams2 - 53 - 32 - 01 - 3

(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.60 #90
Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127
Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Texas Notes
(3/23) QB Mestemaker/Poffenbarger(UM)/Jimerson(Fr)
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC
North Texas     Ratings Matchup     UAB
Power #90
#107
Off #98
#105
Def #87
#109
Talent #85
#115
SP+ #92
#112
SP+ Off #37
#84
SP+ Def #127
#130

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat UAB in 2023 (45-42)
UAB beat North Texas in 2022 (41-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | UAB
Depth Chart: UNT | UAB
Rosters: UNT | UAB
(#107) UAB Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.945 #107
Offense Rating: 7.88 #105
Defense Rating: 22.97 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130
Talent Rating: 464.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UAB Notes
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long


  
North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker304665%4622210.0
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)6786%20002.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makenzie McGill78470106.075
Kiefer Sibley4420604.719
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Drew Mestemaker148716.270
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Simeon Evans (Tr)43474511.064
Miles Coleman36378210.549
Dalton Carnes29371212.834
Wyatt Young18295216.475

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Skyler Cassity
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Fields (Tr)726121
Ethan Wesloski575321
Quinton Hammonds522011
Shane Whitter492023
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Briceon Hayes (Tr)267532
Richard Outland155330
Ethan Wesloski575321
Fatafehi Vailea344320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)332006
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)262004
Taylor Starling202004

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna19631662%220917117.0
Harrison Barker33100%491016.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)19175443.942
Isaiah Jacobs4116204.012
Solomon Beebe228113.716
Harrison Barker53306.613
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corri Milliner24416317.345
Iverson Hooks14179112.839
Jevon Jackson (Tr)169926.222
Antonio Ferguson (Tr)790112.939

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Steve Russ
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka (Tr)903005
Sirad Bryant591000
AJ Brown312121
Perry Fisher (Tr)271002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Denver Warren (Tr)213311
James Smyre92200
Amorie Morrison (Tr)194250
AJ Brown312121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka (Tr)903005
Donald Lee201023
Perry Fisher (Tr)271002