Virginia Tech at Stanford - 2024 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies at Stanford Cardinal

Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -9.5 (50.0) (-345) Open: -6.5
Virginia Tech 31 - Stanford: 7 (ACC)

Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VT 2nd straight Road Game
VT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -14 (SP+ VT -18)
Projected Score: VT: 32 - STAN: 18 (50)
VT Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
VT Travel: 2274 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
STAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt	-13.5	53.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/7	Virginia Tech vs Marshall	-20.5	52.5	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/14	Virginia Tech at Old Dominion	-15.5	47.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Virginia Tech vs Rutgers	-3.0	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	N
Fri 9/27	Virginia Tech at Miami	+17.5	55.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Virginia Tech at Stanford	-9.5	50.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-8.5	47.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-11.0	52.0	W 21 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Virginia Tech at Syracuse	-3.5	54.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/9	Virginia Tech vs Clemson	+6.5	54.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Virginia Tech at Duke	-2.5	45.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/30	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-4.5	44.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Fri 1/3	Virginia Tech vs Minnesota	+10.0	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Stanford's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Stanford vs TCU	+8.0	58.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Stanford vs Cal Poly	-33.5	59.5	W 41 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20	Stanford at Syracuse	+9.5	56.5	W 26 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Stanford at Clemson	+24.0	58.0	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/5	Stanford vs Virginia Tech	+9.5	50.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/12	Stanford at Notre Dame	+22.5	45.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/19	Stanford vs SMU	+16.5	52.5	L 10 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/26	Stanford vs Wake Forest	+3.0	53.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Stanford at NC State	+10.0	46.5	L 28 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Stanford vs Louisville	+21.0	57.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Stanford at California	+15.0	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Stanford at San José State	+2.5	54.5	L 31 - 34	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	#59 (.21)	43% (55)	21.4	47% (32)	3.2 (51)	190	39% (91)	201	4.32 (30)	#49 (.16)	38% (23)	30.2	39% (36)	36% (13)	4.49 (124)	57.8	1.2	1.2
STAN	#114 (.1)	38% (114)	18.8	41% (95)	2.61 (130)	119	36% (114)	233	3.4 (101)	#133 (.35)	51% (133)	29.2	56% (133)	48% (129)	5.22 (133)	59.1	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	13	21.4	16	43.1%	4.32	1.2	20	391	190	201	5	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.21
STAN Defense	12	29.2	26	51.4%	5.22	1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	56%	48%	11%	.35

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	13	30.2	29.3	37.6%	4.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	36%	17%	.16
STAN Offense	12	18.8	25.2	37.6%	3.4	1.2	20	352	119	233	3.4	42%	57%	41%	36%	21%	.1

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	13	31:09	19.8	35%	65%	6.3	57.8	1.2	1.2	6.4	2.9	2	30.7
Stanford	12	31:16	19.5	36%	33%	6.3	59.1	1.2	1	4.3	1.9	0	27.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	13	55% (32)	47% (32)	38.4	189.9	5	20 (61)	.16 (63)	3.2 (51)	79% (24)	10% (74)	0.98 (77)
STAN Defense	12	45% (13)	56% (133)	-	-	-	-	.25 (120)	3.45 (124)	76% (87)	7% (129)	0.9 (25)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	13	53% (110)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.15 (75)	2.89 (32)	70% (51)	12% (17)	1.1 (111)
STAN Offense	12	42% (114)	41% (95)	34.5	118.8	3.4	15 (100)	.06 (114)	2.61 (130)	71% (90)	13% (122)	0.99 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	13	45% (99)	39% (91)	15.7	27.4	201.5	7.4	12.8	23 (51)	5 (6)	.28 (70)	1.7 (27)	32% (67)	30% (73)	.25 (92)	5% (18)	1.9 (113)
STAN Defense	12	55% (124)	48% (129)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.45 (130)	1.7 (89)	29% (125)	41% (133)	.66 (133)	4% (130)	2.1 (93)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	13	46% (26)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.19 (24)	1.6 (81)	34% (37)	24% (8)	.19 (14)	5% (108)	1.9 (29)
STAN Offense	12	57% (17)	36% (114)	19.4	35.6	233	6.6	12	11 (117)	10 (56)	.16 (106)	1.5 (84)	36% (120)	29% (77)	.28 (87)	8% (126)	2 (71)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 10.35 #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
2024 Talent Rating: 360.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 10.35 Stanford: -3.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 10.0 Stanford: -8.2

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -3.79 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 410.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 32
Stanford 18

Projected Total Points: 50

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Stanford	7	Virginia Tech	31	Virginia Tech -9.5	Virginia Tech	50.0	Under
2010	01/03	Virginia Tech	12	Stanford	40

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Stanford	1	0	0 Overs
Virginia Tech	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#29) VT at (#79) STAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	STAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#29	#79
SP+SP+	#30	#101
Perf GradeGrade	#64	#112
OffenseOff	#88	#121
DefenseDef	#60	#106
Spec TeamsST	#22	#6
TalentTal	#58	#31
Blue ChipsBC%	#48	#35

Virginia Tech Notes(12/23) Signed OL coach Moore (WVU cast off/Troy/La T)
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)
(9/27) Great fight @ Miami. Rgame 200 yds (6.2 ypc)
Virginia Tech Injury Report

Stanford Notes(11/29) Def torched by SJSU, Daniels 3 Int, Rgame meh
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic
(8/19) WR Ayomanor who abused T. Hunter back (1K yds)
Stanford Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	STAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#106
SuccessSuc	#55	#133
ExplosiveExp	#74	#63
PPAPPA	#59	#133
PowerPwr	#48	#112
SP+SP+	#41	#112
Pts POPPO	#30	#133
HavocHav	#55	#133

Virginia Tech Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	#40	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#133
Run ExplRExp	#77	#25
PPAExp	#63	#120
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#85	#98
TackleTak	-	#98

Virginia Tech Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	#91	#129
Pass ExplPExl	#27	#89
PPAExp	#70	#130
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#53
F7 HavocF7	#74	#129
DB HavocDB	#18	#130

Stanford on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	VT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#121	#60
SuccessSuc	#114	#23
ExplosiveExp	#68	#92
PPAPPA	#114	#49
PowerPwr	#80	#10
SP+SP+	#90	#36
Pts POPPO	#101	#124
HavocHav	#128	#47

Stanford Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#127	#58
Run SuccessRSuc	#95	#36
Run ExplRExp	#74	#111
PPAExp	#114	#75
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	#130	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#130	#34
TackleTak	-	#17

Stanford Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#114	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#84	#81
PPAExp	#106	#24
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#94	#22
F7 HavocF7	#122	#17
DB HavocDB	#126	#108

Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Virginia Tech 9.5 (50.0)
Virginia Tech won at Stanford this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Stanford in 2024 (31-7)

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones	136	224	61%	1562	10	6	7.0
William Watson III	34	58	59%	481	1	2	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bhayshul Tuten	183	1158	15	6.3	83
Kyron Drones	98	337	6	3.4	53
Jeremiah Coney	32	179	0	5.6	47
Malachi Thomas	43	165	1	3.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Stephen Gosnell	28	506	1	18.1	49
Jaylin Lane	38	466	2	12.3	66
Ali Jennings	15	373	3	24.9	65
Da'Quan Felton	32	360	2	11.3	55

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Keller	83	2	0	2	1
Caleb Woodson	72	8	2	4	2
Mose Phillips III	65	4	1	0	3
Keonta Jenkins	65	10	1	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antwuan Powell	42	19	16	8	0
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)	29	6	3	3	3
Cole Nelson	36	3	3	6	0
Wilfried Pene	33	5	3	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaylen Jones	40	1	8
Mansoor Delane	54	1	7
Dorian Strong	32	0	6

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels	170	271	63%	1700	10	12	6.3
Elijah Brown	28	48	58%	274	2	3	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Daniels	148	669	3	4.5	67
Micah Ford	76	309	0	4.1	26
Chris Davis Jr.	54	288	0	5.3	47
Cole Tabb	27	130	0	4.8	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elic Ayomanor	63	831	6	13.2	60
Emmett Mosley V	48	525	6	10.9	62
Sam Roush	40	334	2	8.4	28
Ismael Cisse	26	241	2	9.3	25

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April III (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gaethan Bernadel	86	6	1	2	1
Scotty Edwards	80	2	0	0	2
Tristan Sinclair	77	7	2	5	1
Mitch Leigber	54	4	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Bailey	31	8	6	8	0
Tevarua Tafiti	41	7	4	3	0
Tobin Phillips	16	5	4	1	0
Zach Buckey	11	6	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Collin Wright	45	3	5
Aaron Morris	32	0	4
Zahran Manley	12	0	3