Boston College at Virginia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Virginia Tech Hokies

Thursday, October 17th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -8.5 (47.5) (-325) Open: -7.0
Virginia Tech 42 - Boston College: 21 (ACC)

Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC coming off BYE
VT coming off BYE
Our Line: Virginia Tech -11 (SP+ VT -9)
Projected Score: BC: 21 - VT: 32 (52)
VT Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
BC Travel: 605 miles

Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/2	Boston College at Florida State	+16.5	50.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Boston College vs Duquesne	-33.5	52.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Boston College at Missouri	+14.5	51.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Boston College vs Michigan State	-4.5	45.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/28	Boston College vs Western Kentucky	-7.5	48.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/5	Boston College at Virginia	+2.0	52.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+8.5	47.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 10/25	Boston College vs Louisville	+7.0	54.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Boston College vs Syracuse	-5.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Boston College at SMU	+19.0	54.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Boston College vs North Carolina	+2.0	50.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	50.5	W 34 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/28	Boston College vs Nebraska	+3.0	47.5	L 15 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt	-13.5	53.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/7	Virginia Tech vs Marshall	-20.5	52.5	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/14	Virginia Tech at Old Dominion	-15.5	47.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Virginia Tech vs Rutgers	-3.0	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	N
Fri 9/27	Virginia Tech at Miami	+17.5	55.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Virginia Tech at Stanford	-9.5	50.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-8.5	47.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-11.0	52.0	W 21 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Virginia Tech at Syracuse	-3.5	54.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/9	Virginia Tech vs Clemson	+6.5	54.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Virginia Tech at Duke	-2.5	45.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/30	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-4.5	44.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Fri 1/3	Virginia Tech vs Minnesota	+10.0	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#62 (.21)	42% (63)	25.4	46% (35)	3.31 (29)	197	37% (106)	184	3.92 (66)	#113 (.26)	43% (82)	32.8	43% (66)	44% (106)	4.41 (120)	55.2	1.5	1.1
VT	#59 (.21)	43% (55)	21.4	47% (32)	3.2 (51)	190	39% (91)	201	4.32 (30)	#49 (.16)	38% (23)	30.2	39% (36)	36% (13)	4.49 (124)	57.8	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	25.4	25	42.3%	3.92	1.5	21	381	197	184	4.7	61%	38%	46%	37%	13%	.21
VT Defense	13	30.2	31.6	37.6%	4.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	36%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	32.8	34	43.1%	4.41	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	43%	44%	12%	.26
VT Offense	13	21.4	26	43.1%	4.32	1.2	20	391	190	201	5	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	31:07	21.5	41%	76%	6.5	55.2	1.5	1.1	2.9	0.8	1	28.7
Virginia Tech	13	31:09	19.8	35%	65%	6.3	57.8	1.2	1.2	6.4	2.9	2	30.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	61% (9)	46% (35)	42	196.7	4.7	25 (37)	.26 (17)	3.31 (29)	88% (1)	7% (17)	1.12 (18)
VT Defense	13	53% (110)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.15 (75)	2.89 (32)	70% (51)	12% (17)	1.1 (111)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	55% (118)	43% (66)	-	-	-	-	.15 (77)	3.09 (65)	82% (113)	7% (128)	1.08 (107)
VT Offense	13	55% (32)	47% (32)	38.4	189.9	5	20 (61)	.16 (63)	3.2 (51)	79% (24)	10% (74)	0.98 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	38% (125)	37% (106)	15.7	27.8	184.2	6.6	11.7	15 (96)	14 (107)	.17 (103)	1.6 (71)	29% (18)	28% (89)	.39 (45)	6% (56)	2.4 (2)
VT Defense	13	46% (26)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.19 (24)	1.6 (81)	34% (37)	24% (8)	.19 (14)	5% (108)	1.9 (29)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	44% (16)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.43 (125)	1.7 (105)	31% (84)	32% (98)	.37 (99)	4% (123)	2.1 (82)
VT Offense	13	45% (99)	39% (91)	15.7	27.4	201.5	7.4	12.8	23 (51)	5 (6)	.28 (70)	1.7 (27)	32% (67)	30% (73)	.25 (92)	5% (18)	1.9 (113)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.59 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 368.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.59 Virginia Tech: 12.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 1.2 Virginia Tech: 10.0

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 12.675 #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
2024 Talent Rating: 360.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 32
Boston College 21

Projected Total Points: 52

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/17	Virginia Tech	42	Boston College	21	Virginia Tech -8.5	Virginia Tech	47.5	Over
2023	11/11	Boston College	22	Virginia Tech	48	Virginia Tech -2.5	Virginia Tech	48.5	Over
2022	09/10	Virginia Tech	27	Boston College	10	Virginia Tech -2.5	Virginia Tech	45.0	Under
2021	11/05	Boston College	17	Virginia Tech	3	Virginia Tech -1	Boston College	51.0	Under
2020	10/17	Virginia Tech	40	Boston College	14	Virginia Tech -13	Virginia Tech	61.5	Under
2019	08/31	Boston College	35	Virginia Tech	28	Virginia Tech -4.5	Boston College	56.5	Over
2018	11/03	Virginia Tech	21	Boston College	31	Boston College -2	Boston College	57.0	Under
2017	10/07	Boston College	10	Virginia Tech	23	Virginia Tech -16.5	Boston College	47.0	Under
2016	09/17	Virginia Tech	49	Boston College	0	Virginia Tech -7	Virginia Tech	39.0	Over
2015	10/31	Boston College	10	Virginia Tech	26	Virginia Tech -1	Virginia Tech	36.5	Under
2014	11/01	Virginia Tech	31	Boston College	33	Virginia Tech -5.5	Boston College	0
2013	11/02	Boston College	34	Virginia Tech	27	Virginia Tech -6	Boston College	0
2012	11/17	Boston College	23	Virginia Tech	30
2011	10/22	Virginia Tech	30	Boston College	14
2010	09/25	Boston College	0	Virginia Tech	19
2009	10/10	Virginia Tech	48	Boston College	14
2008	12/06	Virginia Tech	30	Boston College	12
2008	10/18	Boston College	28	Virginia Tech	23
2007	10/25	Virginia Tech	10	Boston College	14
2007	12/01	Boston College	16	Virginia Tech	30
2006	10/12	Boston College	22	Virginia Tech	3
2005	10/27	Virginia Tech	30	Boston College	10
2003	11/22	Virginia Tech	27	Boston College	34
2002	10/10	Boston College	23	Virginia Tech	28
2001	10/13	Virginia Tech	34	Boston College	20
2000	09/29	Boston College	34	Virginia Tech	48

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	17	6	4 Overs
Boston College	9	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 12	8 - 4	4 - 1	4 - 3
Road Teams	12 - 14	4 - 8	3 - 4	1 - 4

(#51) BC at (#29) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	VT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#51	#29
SP+SP+	#70	#30
Perf GradeGrade	#56	#64
OffenseOff	#64	#88
DefenseDef	#33	#60
Spec TeamsST	#114	#22
TalentTal	#50	#58
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#48

Boston College Notes(11/25) Rgame mauled NC, James OK, Def great in W
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far
(9/23) Outgained by MSU but 4 TOs in big W
Boston College Injury Report

Virginia Tech Notes(12/23) Signed OL coach Moore (WVU cast off/Troy/La T)
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)
(9/27) Great fight @ Miami. Rgame 200 yds (6.2 ypc)
Virginia Tech Injury Report

Boston College on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#64	#60
SuccessSuc	#63	#23
ExplosiveExp	#79	#92
PPAPPA	#62	#49
PowerPwr	#75	#10
SP+SP+	#62	#36
Pts POPPO	#66	#124
HavocHav	#20	#47

Boston College Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#104	#58
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#36
Run ExplRExp	#18	#111
PPAExp	#17	#75
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	#29	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#34
TackleTak	-	#17

Boston College Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#106	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#71	#81
PPAExp	#103	#24
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#35	#22
F7 HavocF7	#17	#17
DB HavocDB	#56	#108

Virginia Tech on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#33
SuccessSuc	#55	#82
ExplosiveExp	#74	#105
PPAPPA	#59	#113
PowerPwr	#48	#58
SP+SP+	#41	#56
Pts POPPO	#30	#120
HavocHav	#55	#130

Virginia Tech Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#40	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#66
Run ExplRExp	#77	#107
PPAExp	#63	#77
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#65
Stuff RateStuff	#85	#76
TackleTak	-	#39

Virginia Tech Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	#91	#106
Pass ExplPExl	#27	#105
PPAExp	#70	#125
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#62
F7 HavocF7	#74	#128
DB HavocDB	#18	#123

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Virginia Tech -8.5 (47.5)
Virginia Tech won vs Boston College this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Boston College in 2024 (42-21)
Virginia Tech beat Boston College in 2023 (48-22)

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson James (Tr)	106	166	64%	1202	6	2	7.2
Thomas Castellanos	99	161	62%	1366	18	5	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kye Robichaux	175	744	10	4.3	41
Treshaun Ward (Tr)	77	406	2	5.3	36
Jordan Mcdonald (Tr)	53	361	3	6.8	41
Turbo Richard	55	278	2	5.1	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	67	689	3	10.3	49
Reed Harris	17	486	4	28.6	72
Kamari Morales (Tr)	28	325	6	11.6	54
Jeremiah Franklin	27	311	3	11.5	34

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3
Carter Davis	43	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Quintayvious Hutchins	29	6	4	8	0
Owen Stoudmire	29	4	3	2	0
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Ryan Turner (Tr)	13	2	1	0	4
Amari Jackson	18	0	0	0	4

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones	136	224	61%	1562	10	6	7.0
William Watson III	34	58	59%	481	1	2	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bhayshul Tuten	183	1158	15	6.3	83
Kyron Drones	98	337	6	3.4	53
Jeremiah Coney	32	179	0	5.6	47
Malachi Thomas	43	165	1	3.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Stephen Gosnell	28	506	1	18.1	49
Jaylin Lane	38	466	2	12.3	66
Ali Jennings	15	373	3	24.9	65
Da'Quan Felton	32	360	2	11.3	55

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Keller	83	2	0	2	1
Caleb Woodson	72	8	2	4	2
Mose Phillips III	65	4	1	0	3
Keonta Jenkins	65	10	1	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antwuan Powell	42	19	16	8	0
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)	29	6	3	3	3
Cole Nelson	36	3	3	6	0
Wilfried Pene	33	5	3	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaylen Jones	40	1	8
Mansoor Delane	54	1	7
Dorian Strong	32	0	6