Virginia Tech at Old Dominion - 2024 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies at Old Dominion Monarchs

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (6:00 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -15.5 (47.5) (-700) Open: -14.0 | 49.5
Virginia Tech 37 - Old Dominion: 17

Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ODU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -12.5 (SP+ VT -16)
Projected Score: VT: 30 - ODU: 17 (47)
VT Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
VT Travel: 228 miles

Monarchs (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (15 - 23)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (34 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
ODU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt	-13.5	53.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/7	Virginia Tech vs Marshall	-20.5	52.5	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/14	Virginia Tech at Old Dominion	-15.5	47.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Virginia Tech vs Rutgers	-3.0	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	N
Fri 9/27	Virginia Tech at Miami	+17.5	55.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Virginia Tech at Stanford	-9.5	50.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-8.5	47.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-11.0	52.0	W 21 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Virginia Tech at Syracuse	-3.5	54.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/9	Virginia Tech vs Clemson	+6.5	54.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Virginia Tech at Duke	-2.5	45.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/30	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-4.5	44.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Fri 1/3	Virginia Tech vs Minnesota	+10.0	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Old Dominion's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Old Dominion at South Carolina	+20.5	49.5	L 19 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Old Dominion vs East Carolina	-1.5	53.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/14	Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech	+15.5	47.5	L 17 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Old Dominion at Bowling Green	+11.0	51.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina	+4.0	51.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/12	Old Dominion at Georgia State	+3.0	53.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Old Dominion vs Texas State	+10.5	60.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/24	Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern	+1.0	52.0	W 47 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Old Dominion at App State	-2.5	58.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Old Dominion vs James Madison	+1.5	51.0	L 32 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/23	Old Dominion vs Marshall	-3.0	51.0	L 35 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/30	Old Dominion at Arkansas State	-5.5	58.5	W 40 - 32	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	#59 (.21)	43% (55)	21.4	47% (32)	3.2 (51)	190	39% (91)	201	4.32 (30)	#49 (.16)	38% (23)	30.2	39% (36)	36% (13)	4.49 (124)	57.8	1.2	1.2
ODU	#102 (.13)	38% (109)	32	41% (92)	3.08 (76)	154	37% (107)	195	3.14 (117)	#30 (.13)	44% (100)	18.5	42% (60)	47% (124)	3.49 (46)	60.6	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ODU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	13	21.4	16	43.1%	4.32	1.2	20	391	190	201	5	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.21
ODU Defense	13	18.5	8.5	44.1%	3.49	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	47%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	13	30.2	29.3	37.6%	4.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	36%	17%	.16
ODU Offense	13	32	34.3	38.5%	3.14	1.4	17	348	154	195	4.2	50%	49%	41%	37%	20%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	13	31:09	19.8	35%	65%	6.3	57.8	1.2	1.2	6.4	2.9	2	30.7
Old Dominion	13	24:49	16.5	37%	27%	6.5	60.6	1.4	1.6	6.1	1.5	2	29.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	13	55% (32)	47% (32)	38.4	189.9	5	20 (61)	.16 (63)	3.2 (51)	79% (24)	10% (74)	0.98 (77)
ODU Defense	13	52% (98)	42% (60)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (11)	2.81 (22)	70% (50)	11% (56)	0.73 (2)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	13	53% (110)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.15 (75)	2.89 (32)	70% (51)	12% (17)	1.1 (111)
ODU Offense	13	50% (70)	41% (92)	36.5	153.5	4.2	15 (100)	.17 (58)	3.08 (76)	62% (127)	15% (131)	1.18 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	13	45% (99)	39% (91)	15.7	27.4	201.5	7.4	12.8	23 (51)	5 (6)	.28 (70)	1.7 (27)	32% (67)	30% (73)	.25 (92)	5% (18)	1.9 (113)
ODU Defense	13	47% (38)	47% (124)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.31 (93)	1.5 (39)	28% (126)	30% (71)	.24 (36)	6% (70)	2.1 (76)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	13	46% (26)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.19 (24)	1.6 (81)	34% (37)	24% (8)	.19 (14)	5% (108)	1.9 (29)
ODU Offense	13	49% (68)	37% (107)	15.7	27.8	194.8	7	12.4	20 (70)	11 (68)	.15 (112)	1.7 (39)	35% (119)	31% (70)	.3 (79)	5% (37)	2.2 (33)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 10.35 #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
2024 Talent Rating: 360.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 10.35 Old Dominion: -2.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 10.0 Old Dominion: -6.0

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -2.42 #77
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
2024 Talent Rating: 154.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Old Dominion's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Old Dominion's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 30
Old Dominion 17

Projected Total Points: 47

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

Old Dominion's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Virginia Tech	26	Old Dominion	45	Virginia Tech -5.5	Old Dominion	50.5	Over
2024	09/14	Old Dominion	17	Virginia Tech	37	Virginia Tech -15.5	Virginia Tech	47.5	Over
2023	09/02	Virginia Tech	36	Old Dominion	17	Virginia Tech -16	Virginia Tech	48.0	Over
2022	09/02	Old Dominion	20	Virginia Tech	17	Virginia Tech -6	Old Dominion	48.5	Under
2019	09/07	Virginia Tech	31	Old Dominion	17	Virginia Tech -30	Old Dominion	57.5	Under
2018	09/22	Old Dominion	49	Virginia Tech	35	Virginia Tech -28.5	Old Dominion	52.5	Over
2017	09/23	Virginia Tech	38	Old Dominion	0	Virginia Tech -28.5	Virginia Tech	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Old Dominion	3	4	4 Overs
Virginia Tech	4	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	4 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 5	3 - 4	1 - 2	2 - 2

(#29) VT at (#77) ODU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	ODU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#29	#77
SP+SP+	#30	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#64	#117
OffenseOff	#88	#126
DefenseDef	#60	#82
Spec TeamsST	#22	#114
TalentTal	#58	#126
Blue ChipsBC%	#48	#102

Virginia Tech Notes(12/23) Signed OL coach Moore (WVU cast off/Troy/La T)
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)
(9/27) Great fight @ Miami. Rgame 200 yds (6.2 ypc)
Virginia Tech Injury Report

Old Dominion Notes(11/25) Fight w/ Marshall, Off great but 2 TOs cost em
(11/18) Fight w/ JMU, QB awful, Rgame good, R D awful
(11/3) 4 TOs broke W streak, QB Joseph good, Def bad
(10/24) Rgame good, Run D good in big W (GaSo)
(10/20) Rgame good, Run D better in big upset (Tex St)
(10/13) Rgame good, Run Def great vs Ga St. QB meh
(10/10) Rgame 200 yds(5.4 pc) L to C.Car., Def torched
(10/10) QB Joseph a huge upgrade, JAG w/ mobility
(9/28) Rgame better (189/5.3), QBs abysmal in L to BGU
(8/26) OL gave up most sacks in CFB LY
(7/30) Year 5, won last 2 LY to go bowling.
(7/30) OC Decker's off is unique, but roster is limiting
Old Dominion Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	ODU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#82
SuccessSuc	#55	#100
ExplosiveExp	#74	#4
PPAPPA	#59	#30
PowerPwr	#48	#66
SP+SP+	#41	#99
Pts POPPO	#30	#46
HavocHav	#55	#56

Virginia Tech Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#40	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#60
Run ExplRExp	#77	#2
PPAExp	#63	#11
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#22
Stuff RateStuff	#85	#42
TackleTak	-	#120

Virginia Tech Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	#91	#124
Pass ExplPExl	#27	#39
PPAExp	#70	#93
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#128
F7 HavocF7	#74	#56
DB HavocDB	#18	#70

Old Dominion on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	VT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#126	#60
SuccessSuc	#109	#23
ExplosiveExp	#9	#92
PPAPPA	#102	#49
PowerPwr	#34	#10
SP+SP+	#78	#36
Pts POPPO	#117	#124
HavocHav	#122	#47

Old Dominion Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#10	#58
Run SuccessRSuc	#92	#36
Run ExplRExp	#4	#111
PPAExp	#58	#75
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	#76	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#105	#34
TackleTak	-	#17

Old Dominion Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#107	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#39	#81
PPAExp	#112	#24
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#134	#22
F7 HavocF7	#131	#17
DB HavocDB	#37	#108

Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average G5

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Virginia Tech 15.5 (47.5)
Virginia Tech won at Old Dominion this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Virginia Tech last year (45-26)
Virginia Tech beat Old Dominion in 2024 (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Old Dominion in 2023 (36-17)

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones	136	224	61%	1562	10	6	7.0
William Watson III	34	58	59%	481	1	2	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bhayshul Tuten	183	1158	15	6.3	83
Kyron Drones	98	337	6	3.4	53
Jeremiah Coney	32	179	0	5.6	47
Malachi Thomas	43	165	1	3.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Stephen Gosnell	28	506	1	18.1	49
Jaylin Lane	38	466	2	12.3	66
Ali Jennings	15	373	3	24.9	65
Da'Quan Felton	32	360	2	11.3	55

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Keller	83	2	0	2	1
Caleb Woodson	72	8	2	4	2
Mose Phillips III	65	4	1	0	3
Keonta Jenkins	65	10	1	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antwuan Powell	42	19	16	8	0
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)	29	6	3	3	3
Cole Nelson	36	3	3	6	0
Wilfried Pene	33	5	3	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaylen Jones	40	1	8
Mansoor Delane	54	1	7
Dorian Strong	32	0	6

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Colton Joseph	133	222	60%	1623	11	5	7.3
Grant Wilson	48	86	56%	507	4	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Young (Tr)	149	768	6	5.2	51
Colton Joseph	114	647	11	5.7	39
Bryce Duke (Tr)	46	285	0	6.2	48
Quinn Henicle	34	278	3	8.2	92

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isiah Paige	61	814	3	13.3	72
Pat Conroy (Tr)	37	523	5	14.1	75
Diante Vines (Tr)	36	393	2	10.9	40
Myles Alston	23	246	0	10.7	30

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Koa Naotala	87	5	4	5	1
Jahron Manning	85	6	1	0	3
Mario Thompson	66	10	5	5	1
Jahleel Culbreath	62	8	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mario Thompson	66	10	5	5	1
Koa Naotala	87	5	4	5	1
Kris Trinidad	44	10	4	5	3
Jeremy Mack Jr.	22	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Rasheed Reason	50	2	0	4
Dywan Griffin	4	0	0	3
Jahron Manning	85	6	1	3