Rutgers at USC - 2024 Matchup Preview
Rutgers logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights at USC Trojans(#20)USC logo
Friday, October 25th 2024 (11:00 PM EDT)
USC -14.0 (57.0) (-650)  Open: -14.5 | 56.0
USC 42 - Rutgers: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (25 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 6th straight game
RUTG is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: USC -7  (SP+ USC -6)

Projected Score: RUTG: 23 - USC: 30 (54)
USC Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
RUTG Travel: 2426 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Trojans (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Rutgers vs Howard-38.551.5W 44 - 7UN
Sat 9/7 Rutgers vs Akron-24.541.5W 49 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Rutgers at Virginia Tech+3.045.0W 26 - 23OY
Fri 9/27 Rutgers vs Washington-1.544.5W 21 - 18UY
Sat 10/5 Rutgers at Nebraska+7.039.5L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Rutgers vs Wisconsin-1.043.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/19 Rutgers vs UCLA-4.042.5L 32 - 35ON
Fri 10/25 Rutgers at USC+14.057.0L 20 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Rutgers vs Minnesota+6.544.5W 26 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Rutgers at Maryland+4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Rutgers vs Illinois-2.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Rutgers at Michigan State+1.546.5W 41 - 14OY
Thu 12/26 Rutgers vs Kansas State+7.551.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
USC's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 USC vs LSU+4.066.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/7 USC vs Utah State-30.562.5W 48 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 USC at Michigan-4.044.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/28 USC vs Wisconsin-14.050.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/5 USC at Minnesota-8.545.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/12 USC vs Penn State+3.551.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 10/19 USC at Maryland-6.556.5L 28 - 29ON
Fri 10/25 USC vs Rutgers-14.057.0W 42 - 20OY
Sat 11/2 USC at Washington-2.055.0L 21 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 USC vs Nebraska-6.551.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 USC at UCLA-5.053.0W 19 - 13UY
Sat 11/30 USC vs Notre Dame+6.552.5L 35 - 49ON
Fri 12/27 USC vs Texas A&M+3.556.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)28.944% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)25.448% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)30.252% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)24.144% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)44% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)48% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Offense1328.92542.9%4.190.6213531641894.553%47%44%42%14%.16
USC Defense1324.123.843.8%3.641.2 - - - - - 46%53%44%44%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Defense1325.42243.3%4.030.9 - - - - - 46%54%48%40%15%.23
USC Offense1330.236.848.4%3.761.4214081382695.540%60%52%46%18%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rutgers1329:302143%48%3.933.80.60.93.71.5129.4
USC1328:1221.345%47%5.3461.41.23.91.5133.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense1353% (51)44% (69)36.8163.84.524 (45).1 (87)2.92 (88)76% (52)7% (11)0.91 (97)
USC Defense1346% (22)44% (78) - - - - .18 (96)3.17 (92)76% (81)7% (127)1 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense1346% (18)48% (113) - - - - .26 (126)3.2 (99)82% (123)8% (115)1.07 (104)
USC Offense1340% (126)52% (10)25.2138.45.519 (73).23 (21)3.49 (9)85% (6)8% (24)0.89 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense1347% (88)42% (63)15.327.9189.26.812.417 (79)6 (10).25 (75)1.6 (63)30% (42)34% (37).42 (32)7% (108)2 (69)
USC Defense1353% (113)44% (103) - - - - - - 10 (66).2 (49)1.3 (4)28% (122)27% (27).14 (6)7% (42)1.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense1354% (117)40% (59) - - - - - - 7 (104).23 (69)1.6 (82)33% (50)31% (75).32 (76)7% (49)2.2 (101)
USC Offense1360% (9)46% (26)24.138269.27.111.225 (31)12 (85).25 (74)1.5 (108)29% (24)36% (18).4 (36)10% (134)2 (74)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.77  #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78  #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63  #70
2024 Talent Rating: 742.00  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4  #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 3.77   USC: 12.16

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 6.4   USC: 11.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 12.16  #37
USC's Offense Rating: 20.62  #60
USC's Defense Rating: 10.19  #74
2024 Talent Rating: 882.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 41  #16
USC's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
USC's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9  #23
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #15
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #48

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
USC 30
Rutgers 23


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
USC 26
Rutgers 19

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
USC 29
Rutgers 26

Total Points: 55
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/25USC42Rutgers20USC -14.0USC57.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC111 Overs
Rutgers000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#47) RUTG at (#37) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatRUTGUSC
Power RatePwr #47 #37
SP+SP+ #42 #23
Perf GradeGrade #39 #44
OffenseOff #21 #36
DefenseDef #57 #74
Spec TeamsST #127 #65
TalentTal #44 #17
Blue ChipsBC% #82 #16

Rutgers Notes
(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough

USC Notes
(11/30) Maiavia torched ND, Run D mauled, 2 late Int's
(11/25) 5 L's by an avg of 3.8 ppg. Have lead all in 4th
(11/24) Def good in UCLA W. Rgame bad, Maiava OK
(11/18) Maiavia OK, Rgame good, Def good in Neb W
(11/5) QB Maiava replacing Moss for Nebraska game
(11/3) Riley 2-11 at SC as a Road Favorite
(11/2) 0-4 in road games. 3 TO's, poorly coached
(10/19) Into Rutgers wk, L Riley is 5-9 in last 13 gms
(10/19) Gagged vs MD, Rgame awful, Moss meh.
(10/18) OL undersized/no depth. #129 in Pass blocking
(10/16) DE Lucas (Starter) out for season
Rutgers on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffUSC Def
Perf GradePerf #21 #74
SuccessSuc #67 #94
ExplosiveExp #103 #24
PPAPPA #84 #78
PowerPwr #57 #74
SP+SP+ #58 #48
Pts POPPO #44 #49
HavocHav #38 #105
Rutgers Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #59 #92
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #78
Run ExplRExp #97 #77
PPAExp #87 #96
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLY #88 #92
Stuff RateStuff #70 #120
TackleTak -  #19
Rutgers Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #39 #48
Pass SuccessPSuc #63 #103
Pass ExplPExl #63 #4
PPAExp #75 #49
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #82 #85
F7 HavocF7 #11 #127
DB HavocDB #108 #42
USC on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatUSC OffRUTG Def
Perf GradePerf #36 #57
SuccessSuc #11 #85
ExplosiveExp #91 #105
PPAPPA #41 #106
PowerPwr #60 #70
SP+SP+ #15 #38
Pts POPPO #85 #92
HavocHav #101 #85
USC Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
USC OffRUTG Def
Run GameRun #6 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #10 #113
Run ExplRExp #106 #104
PPAExp #21 #126
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #9 #99
Stuff RateStuff #22 #78
TackleTak -  #57
USC Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatUSC OffRUTG Def
Pass GamePass #24 #72
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #59
Pass ExplPExl #108 #82
PPAExp #74 #69
Pass Block/RushP Blk #114 #27
F7 HavocF7 #24 #115
DB HavocDB #134 #49
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 61° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 9
USC -14.0 (57.0)
USC won vs Rutgers this year (42-20)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Rutgers last year (42-20)

  
RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)21339554%26961876.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai2561279135.062
Antwan Raymond10045784.665
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)9225132.720
Samuel Brown V4020135.037
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)59757412.845
Ian Strong42668515.965
KJ Duff28433115.559
Chris Long11163114.858

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dariel Djabome1008441
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004
Tyreem Powell564032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Walker197440
Kyonte Hamilton325431
Dariel Djabome1008441
Aaron Lewis274362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam4220011
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004

USC's OC Josh Henson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss23336264%25551897.1
Jayden Maiava (Tr)10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks198113395.765
Quinten Joyner6347837.675
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
A'Marion Peterson166514.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Zachariah Branch47503110.742
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold (Tr)945221
Mason Cobb723003
Kamari Ramsey (Tr)606215
Akili Arnold (Tr)591111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold (Tr)945221
Kamari Ramsey (Tr)606215
Eric Gentry337201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeCarlos Nicholson (Tr)270005
Kamari Ramsey (Tr)606215
Mason Cobb723003