Wisconsin at Rutgers - 2024 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rutgers -1.0 (43.5) (-130) Open: -2.5 | 40.0
Wisconsin 42 - Rutgers: 7 (Big Ten)

Badgers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (25 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RUTG is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Rutgers -4 (SP+ RUTG -3)
Projected Score: WIS: 22 - RUTG: 26 (48)
RUTG Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WIS Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs behind

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-24.0	57.0	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/7	Wisconsin vs South Dakota	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/14	Wisconsin vs Alabama	+15.5	51.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Wisconsin at USC	+14.0	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Wisconsin vs Purdue	-12.0	44.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Wisconsin at Rutgers	+1.0	43.5	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	42.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wisconsin vs Penn State	+6.5	47.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/2	Wisconsin at Iowa	+2.5	40.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Wisconsin vs Oregon	+13.5	49.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Wisconsin at Nebraska	+1.5	40.5	L 25 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/29	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	+1.5	40.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Rutgers vs Howard	-38.5	51.5	W 44 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rutgers vs Akron	-24.5	41.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Rutgers at Virginia Tech	+3.0	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	Y
Fri 9/27	Rutgers vs Washington	-1.5	44.5	W 21 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Rutgers at Nebraska	+7.0	39.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Rutgers vs Wisconsin	-1.0	43.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/19	Rutgers vs UCLA	-4.0	42.5	L 32 - 35	O	N
Fri 10/25	Rutgers at USC	+14.0	57.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Rutgers vs Minnesota	+6.5	44.5	W 26 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Rutgers at Maryland	+4.5	54.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Rutgers vs Illinois	-2.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rutgers at Michigan State	+1.5	46.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/26	Rutgers vs Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)	22.6	46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)	23.1	45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)	28.9	44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)	25.4	48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	12	22.6	24.5	42.2%	4.02	1.5	19	351	154	197	4.4	51%	49%	46%	38%	17%	.14
RUTG Defense	13	25.4	25.1	43.3%	4.03	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	48%	40%	15%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	12	23.1	32.8	43.4%	4.17	1	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	45%	42%	12%	.18
RUTG Offense	13	28.9	30	42.9%	4.19	0.6	21	353	164	189	4.5	53%	47%	44%	42%	14%	.16

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	12	29:21	18.8	36%	60%	5.3	37.5	1.5	1	3.5	1.4	0	27.7
Rutgers	13	29:30	21	43%	48%	3.9	33.8	0.6	0.9	3.7	1.5	1	29.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	12	51% (70)	46% (39)	34.9	154.1	4.4	19 (73)	.12 (75)	3.16 (46)	75% (58)	8% (37)	0.8 (129)
RUTG Defense	13	46% (18)	48% (113)	-	-	-	-	.26 (126)	3.2 (99)	82% (123)	8% (115)	1.07 (104)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	12	54% (110)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.15 (81)	3.27 (105)	68% (36)	7% (130)	0.97 (60)
RUTG Offense	13	53% (51)	44% (69)	36.8	163.8	4.5	24 (45)	.1 (87)	2.92 (88)	76% (52)	7% (11)	0.91 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	12	49% (65)	38% (107)	17.3	30.4	196.7	6.5	11.4	14 (108)	10 (63)	.16 (102)	1.5 (100)	30% (34)	27% (111)	.15 (128)	9% (132)	1.8 (122)
RUTG Defense	13	54% (117)	40% (59)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.23 (69)	1.6 (82)	33% (50)	31% (75)	.32 (76)	7% (49)	2.2 (101)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	12	45% (22)	42% (81)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.25 (76)	1.3 (5)	28% (123)	28% (32)	.24 (42)	5% (92)	1.8 (19)
RUTG Offense	13	47% (88)	42% (63)	15.3	27.9	189.2	6.8	12.4	17 (79)	6 (10)	.25 (75)	1.6 (63)	30% (42)	34% (37)	.42 (32)	7% (108)	2 (69)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 4.16 #45
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Wisconsin's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Wisconsin's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 4.16 Rutgers: 7.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 3.0 Rutgers: 6.4

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 7.585 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Wisconsin's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Rutgers 26
Wisconsin 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Rutgers 31
Wisconsin 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Rutgers 29
Wisconsin 24

Total Points: 53

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Rutgers	7	Wisconsin	42	Rutgers -1.0	Wisconsin	43.5	Over
2023	10/07	Wisconsin	24	Rutgers	13	Wisconsin -12.5	Rutgers	44.0	Under
2021	11/06	Rutgers	3	Wisconsin	52	Wisconsin -13	Wisconsin	37.5	Over
2018	11/03	Wisconsin	31	Rutgers	17	Wisconsin -29	Rutgers	50.5	Under
2015	10/31	Wisconsin	48	Rutgers	10	Wisconsin -19	Wisconsin	50.5	Over
2014	11/01	Rutgers	0	Wisconsin	37	Wisconsin -11	Wisconsin	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	0	2	3 Overs
Wisconsin	6	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	1 - 5	1 - 3	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 3	5 - 1	2 - 0	3 - 1

(#45) WIS at (#47) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	RUTG
Power RatePwr	#45	#47
SP+SP+	#60	#42
Perf GradeGrade	#78	#39
OffenseOff	#72	#21
DefenseDef	#86	#57
Spec TeamsST	#15	#127
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#29	#82

Wisconsin Notes(12/16) Signed QB Billy Edwards (MD)
(12/6) Hired OC Jeff Grimes (Bay/KU)
(11/29) How does Fickell address the offense for '25
(11/29) 5 str L's to finish. Offense is untenable. Bad vibes
(11/29) 22 year bowl streak over, was CFB longest
(11/23) 4 str L's, Locke good, Def torched by Nebraska
(11/18) Fight w/ Oreg, Locke awful, Rgame bad, OC fired
(11/17) OC Longo fired after Oregon loss
(11/2) Locke is awful. Rgame avg at best. Longo Off bad
(10/27) Rgame awful vs PSU, Lock bad INT. < 300 yds
(10/22) Def stop rate is 75% (#10) into PSU/Iowa games
(10/19) Off enough, Def great vs NW. Locke meh
Wisconsin Injury Report

Rutgers Notes(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough
(8/20) Star LB/captain Toure out for season (ACL)
Rutgers Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	RUTG Def
Perf GradePerf	#72	#57
SuccessSuc	#73	#85
ExplosiveExp	#130	#105
PPAPPA	#97	#106
PowerPwr	#67	#70
SP+SP+	#100	#38
Pts POPPO	#57	#92
HavocHav	#90	#85

Wisconsin Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#71	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#39	#113
Run ExplRExp	#129	#104
PPAExp	#75	#126
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	#46	#99
Stuff RateStuff	#43	#78
TackleTak	-	#57

Wisconsin Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	#107	#59
Pass ExplPExl	#100	#82
PPAExp	#102	#69
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#6	#27
F7 HavocF7	#37	#115
DB HavocDB	#132	#49

Rutgers on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	WIS Def
Perf GradePerf	#21	#86
SuccessSuc	#67	#88
ExplosiveExp	#103	#11
PPAPPA	#84	#80
PowerPwr	#57	#73
SP+SP+	#58	#22
Pts POPPO	#44	#105
HavocHav	#38	#124

Rutgers Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#59	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	#69	#86
Run ExplRExp	#97	#60
PPAExp	#87	#81
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	#88	#105
Stuff RateStuff	#70	#86
TackleTak	-	#13

Rutgers Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	#63	#81
Pass ExplPExl	#63	#5
PPAExp	#75	#76
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#66
F7 HavocF7	#11	#130
DB HavocDB	#108	#92

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 73° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Rutgers -1.0 (43.5)
Wisconsin won at Rutgers this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Rutgers last year (42-7)
Wisconsin beat Rutgers in 2023 (24-13)

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braedyn Locke	164	296	55%	1936	13	10	6.5
Tyler Van Dyke (Tr)	43	68	63%	422	1	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)	190	864	10	4.5	55
Darrion Dupree	79	317	1	4.0	32
Cade Yacamelli	33	274	2	8.3	45
Chez Mellusi	56	232	3	4.1	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vinny Anthony	39	672	4	17.2	63
Will Pauling	42	407	3	9.7	28
Trech Kekahuna	25	339	2	13.6	69
CJ Williams	16	248	2	15.5	50

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	71	1	0	0	6
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	0	1
Preston Zachman	58	3	0	0	4
Jake Chaney	55	4	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Hills (Tr)	26	6	3	2	1
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	0	1
John Pius (Tr)	21	4	3	3	0
Sebastian Cheeks (Tr)	12	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	71	1	0	6
Ben Barten	22	0	1	5
Nyzier Fourqurean	51	2	1	5

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	213	395	54%	2696	18	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	256	1279	13	5.0	62
Antwan Raymond	100	457	8	4.6	65
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	92	251	3	2.7	20
Samuel Brown V	40	201	3	5.0	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)	59	757	4	12.8	45
Ian Strong	42	668	5	15.9	65
KJ Duff	28	433	1	15.5	59
Chris Long	11	163	1	14.8	58

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	0	4
Tyreem Powell	56	4	0	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Walker	19	7	4	4	0
Kyonte Hamilton	32	5	4	3	1
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Aaron Lewis	27	4	3	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	42	2	0	11
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	4