Navy at Kansas State - 2019 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen vs Kansas State Wildcats  Kansas State logo
Tuesday, December 31st 2019 (3:45 PM EST)
Navy -2 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 20 - Kansas State: 17

 
Midshipmen (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2  (SP+ NAVY -4)
Projected Score: NAVY: 28 - KSU: 29 (57)
NAVY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
NAVY Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Navy vs Holy Cross-21.553.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Navy vs East Carolina-7.553.0W 42 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/26 Navy at Memphis+11.053.5L 23 - 35ON
Sat 10/5 Navy vs Air Force+3.046.5W 34 - 25OY
Sat 10/12 Navy at Tulsa+1.052.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 10/19 Navy vs South Florida-15.552.0W 35 - 3UY
Sat 10/26 Navy vs Tulane-4.559.0W 41 - 38ON
Fri 11/1 Navy at UConn-25.555.0W 56 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Navy at Notre Dame+7.555.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 11/23 Navy vs SMU-3.568.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/30 Navy at Houston-9.056.5W 56 - 41OY
Sat 12/14 Navy vs Army-11.541.5W 31 - 7UY
Tue 12/31 Navy vs Kansas State-2.053.5W 20 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Kansas State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs Nicholls-20.547.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/7 Kansas State vs Bowling Green-25.057.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Kansas State at Mississippi State+7.051.0W 31 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Kansas State at Oklahoma State+4.060.0L 13 - 26UN
Sat 10/5 Kansas State vs Baylor+1.048.5L 12 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Kansas State vs TCU+4.543.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Oklahoma+23.559.0W 48 - 41OY
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Kansas-4.554.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/9 Kansas State at Texas+7.557.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs West Virginia-14.045.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State at Texas Tech+1.058.0W 30 - 27UY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State vs Iowa State+5.545.0W 27 - 17UY
Tue 12/31 Kansas State vs Navy+2.053.5L 17 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.1440%31.542%3.0727625%734.17.2947%2543%51%3.99301.31.6
KSU.1241%29.441%3.0118339%1623.44.1848%26.747%47%3.1743.61.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.525.840.3%4.171.318349276734.983%16%42%25%14%.14
KSU Defense1226.727.347.8%3.171.6 - - - - - 44%54%47%47%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense132530.247%3.991.6 - - - - - 56%43%43%51%11%.29
KSU Offense1229.429.741.3%3.441.4183451831624.359%39%41%39%15%.12

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1333:2217.938%61%3.7301.31.62.80.8029.2
Kansas State1229:2317.539%45%4.843.61.41.64.21.5229.6
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1383%42%56.3276.24.937.193.0774%11%1.12
KSU Defense1244%47% - - - - .092.9270%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1356%43% - - - - .143.0174%7%1.1
KSU Offense1259%41%42.3182.64.320.143.0149%11%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1316%25%4.29.972.87.317.555-.082.332%26%.183%1.8
KSU Defense1254%47% - - - - - - 11.261.431%33%.216%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1343%51% - - - - - - 9.51.628%37%.454%2
KSU Offense1239%39%13.824.2162.16.711.7127.121.532%40%.424%1.7

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2019 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9  #31
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.0  #18
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #52

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Kansas State: 3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 9.9   Kansas State: 6.0




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 3 NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0  #45
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #65
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8  #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 29
Navy 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201912/31Kansas State17Navy20Navy -2Navy53.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State000 Overs
Navy111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

Navy Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019N/A Navy vs Kansas State-2.053.5W 20 - 17
2017Military Bowl Navy vs Virginia-2.551.0W 49 - 7
2016Forces Bowl Navy vs Louisiana Tech-1.067.0L 45 - 48
2015Military Bowl Navy vs Pittsburgh-5.0W 44 - 28
2014Poinsettia Bowl Navy vs San Diego State+3.551.0W 17 - 16
2013Forces Bowl Navy vs Middle Tennessee-7.057.5W 24 - 6
Kansas State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019N/A Kansas State vs Navy+2.053.5L 17 - 20
2017Cactus Bowl Kansas State vs UCLA-6.559.0W 35 - 17
2016Texas Bowl Kansas State vs Texas A&M+2.556.0W 33 - 28
2015Liberty Bowl Kansas State vs Arkansas+13.0L 23 - 45
2014Alamo Bowl Kansas State vs UCLA-1.061.5L 35 - 40
2013Wings Bowl Kansas State vs Michigan-7.052.0W 31 - 14
  
(#) NAVY at (#) KSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYKSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #45
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #113 #72
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffKSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #46
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffKSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffKSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCatKSU OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatKSU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Navy 2.0 (53.5)
Navy won at Kansas State this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

KSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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KSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD