Georgia Southern at South Alabama - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia Southern logo Georgia Southern Eagles at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -5.5 (60.0) (-192)  Open: -5.5
Georgia Southern 34 - South Alabama: 30  (Sun Belt)

 
Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
GASO 2nd straight Road Game
USA 3rd straight Home Game
GASO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -7.5   (SP+ USA -5)

Projected Score: GASO: 27 - USA: 34 (61)
USA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
GASO Travel: 387 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Jaguars (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Georgia Southern's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia Southern vs Boise State+13.057.5L 45 - 56OY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Southern at Nevada+1.556.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State-27.552.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Southern at Ole Miss+35.068.5L 13 - 52UN
Sat 9/28 Georgia Southern at Georgia State+3.557.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia Southern vs Marshall-1.058.5W 24 - 23UN
Sat 10/19 Georgia Southern vs James Madison+9.558.5W 28 - 14UY
Thu 10/24 Georgia Southern at Old Dominion-1.052.0L 19 - 47ON
Sat 11/2 Georgia Southern at South Alabama+5.560.0W 34 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Georgia Southern vs Troy-7.054.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina+2.059.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 11/30 Georgia Southern vs App State-2.560.5W 29 - 20UY
Thu 12/19 Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston-3.548.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule
South Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Alabama vs North Texas-6.061.5L 38 - 52ON
Sat 9/7 South Alabama at Ohio-1.555.5L 20 - 27UN
Thu 9/12 South Alabama vs Northwestern State-36.560.5W 87 - 10OY
Thu 9/19 South Alabama at App State+8.062.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 South Alabama at LSU+21.064.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/5 South Alabama at Arkansas State-2.562.5L 16 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 South Alabama vs Troy-10.053.0W 25 - 9UY
Sat 10/26 South Alabama vs UL Monroe-7.045.0W 46 - 17OY
Sat 11/2 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern-5.560.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 South Alabama at Louisiana+6.560.0W 24 - 22UY
Sat 11/23 South Alabama at Southern Miss-24.054.0W 35 - 14UN
Fri 11/29 South Alabama vs Texas State+2.560.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 12/14 South Alabama vs Western Michigan-6.053.5W 30 - 23UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)2846% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)27.647% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)34.453% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)25.239% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)46% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)47% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Offense13282542.9%4.571.7223661282383.846%53%46%40%17%.19
USA Defense1325.227.840.9%3.661.5 - - - - - 48%52%39%43%16%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Defense1327.628.845.5%3.811.5 - - - - - 47%53%47%44%14%.23
USA Offense1334.44449.8%4.660.9224421992435.851%49%53%47%14%.34

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Southern1330:0921.845%75%5.648.31.71.54.61.6127.7
South Alabama1329:2021.539%68%8.270.80.91.55.61.6429.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Offense1346% (95)46% (44)33.8128.23.824 (45).15 (57)2.84 (101)78% (36)11% (94)0.99 (57)
USA Defense1348% (38)39% (28) - - - - .09 (53)2.78 (32)71% (51)10% (78)1.05 (98)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Defense1347% (27)47% (109) - - - - .18 (99)3.1 (87)72% (60)8% (106)1 (79)
USA Offense1351% (67)53% (4)34.1199.25.832 (14).33 (3)3.57 (6)82% (12)10% (79)1.06 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Offense1353% (39)40% (85)22.234.2237.8710.721 (51)11 (72).23 (86)1.5 (84)31% (60)33% (48).39 (43)6% (65)2 (90)
USA Defense1352% (98)43% (96) - - - - - - 16 (10).24 (73)1.5 (32)32% (69)30% (55).15 (8)6% (59)1.7 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Defense1353% (108)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (97)1.5 (52)31% (89)32% (94).35 (89)5% (100)2 (54)
USA Offense1349% (68)47% (18)19.530243.28.112.521 (51)6 (10).36 (27)1.5 (101)29% (27)33% (49).48 (15)4% (14)2.2 (14)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -8.83 #96
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Georgia Southern's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Georgia Southern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -8.83   South Alabama: 2.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -1.7   South Alabama: 2.8




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 2.08 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Georgia Southern's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 34
Georgia Southern 27


Total Points: 61

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02South Alabama30Georgia Southern34Georgia SouthernSouth Alabama -5.5Georgia Southern60.0Over
202211/05Georgia Southern31South Alabama38South AlabamaSouth Alabama -3.5South Alabama60.5Over
202110/14South Alabama41Georgia Southern14South AlabamaSouth Alabama -2.5South Alabama49.0Over
202010/29Georgia Southern24South Alabama17Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -7.0Push0
201910/03South Alabama17Georgia Southern20Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -10South Alabama45.0Under
201810/06Georgia Southern48South Alabama13Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -13Georgia Southern56.0Over
201711/18Georgia Southern52South Alabama0Georgia SouthernSouth Alabama -6Georgia Southern44.5Over
201609/10South Alabama9Georgia Southern24Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -11.5Georgia Southern57.5Under
201511/28Georgia Southern55South Alabama17Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -21Georgia Southern56.0Over
201409/20South Alabama6Georgia Southern28Georgia SouthernSouth Alabama -2.5Georgia Southern0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama236 Overs
Georgia Southern862 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 55 - 43 - 22 - 2
Road Teams5 - 54 - 52 - 22 - 3

(#96) Georgia Southern Info
Power Rating: -8.83 #96
Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.57 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Georgia Southern has lost 1 straight
Georgia Southern has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Georgia Southern Notes
(11/25) French torced CC, Rgame awful, Def 3 INTs in W
(11/18) Bad L vs Troy, Rgame awful, Pass D awful
(11/3) Big W (S. Al), Outgained (100+) but forced 2 TOs
(10/24) Killed by ODU, gave up 500+ yds, 250+ rushing
(10/20) Rgame 190 (4.8 ypc), Def great in JMU upset
(10/18) QB French (concussion) cleared for JMU game
(10/13) Rgame bad vs Marshall, 21 pt 4Q comeback W
(9/28) Rgame 261 (5.4), French good vs Ga St.
(9/1) Good fight vs Boise, QB French good. Def awful
(8/17) Big year for Helton, need progress

Georgia Southern Highlights
Georgia Southern offense is good in red zone (#74)

Georgia Southern Deficiencies
Georgia Southern has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Georgia Southern Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Georgia Southern has a bad defense (#136)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSAGASO
OverallOver#43#68
OffenseOff#51#77
DefenseDef#48#70
Special TeamsST#91#62
PassingPass#66#68
RushingRush#3#58
Run BlockRBLK#93#88
Pass BlockPBLK#39#23
Route RunningWR Rt#34#72
TacklingTkl#102#56
Run DefenseR Def#36#67
Pass Rush DefPRush#93#76
Coverage DefCov#39#63

Rematch from Week 10
South Alabama -5.5 (60.0)
Georgia Southern won at South Alabama this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat South Alabama last year (34-30)
South Alabama beat Georgia Southern in 2022 (38-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GASO | USA
Depth Chart: GASO | USA
Rosters: GASO | USA
(#76) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: 2.08 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

South Alabama has won 2 straight
South Alabama has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio

South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama has Really Good Running Game (#57)
South Alabama offense is efficent (#61)
South Alabama has a top Offensive Line (#37)
South Alabama offense is good in red zone (#52)
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)

South Alabama has a good run defense (#122)
South Alabama has a great TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)


  
Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French26941066%283117116.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)193063%248308.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen White164745144.549
OJ Arnold6231535.132
JC French11823822.019
David Mbadinga5822933.929
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.59659311.248
Josh Dallas46614613.359
Dalen Cobb52599411.555
LV Bunkley-Shelton (Tr)30322010.734

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Watson-Trent1188221
Davon Gilmore625341
Jusfin Meyers613111
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davon Gilmore625341
Davion Rhodes226310
Elhadj Fall205311
Marc Stampley II422207
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
Marc Stampley II422207
Isaac Walker234233

South Alabama's OC Rob Ezell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez20531166%25571858.2
Bishop Davenport487961%604317.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Fluff Bothwell112834137.459
Kentrel Bullock15283275.559
Giovanni Lopez8246575.750
Bishop Davenport3716114.450
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamaal Pritchett911126912.475
Jeremiah Webb36649518.052
Devin Voisin34407012.028
Shamar Sandgren19208110.921

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick1018232
Jaden Voisin844035
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104
Jordan Scruggs705002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtney McBride3911530
Parker Shattuck113301
Tyler Thomas194300
Jordan Norman254322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amarion Fortenberry432006
Jaden Voisin844035
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104