UL Monroe at South Alabama Game Matchup
UL Monroe logo UL Monroe Warhawks at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (5:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -7.0 (45.0) (-310)  Open: -7.5 | 46.5
South Alabama 46 - UL Monroe: 17  (Sun Belt)

 
Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
USA 2nd straight Home Game
ULM coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -21.5   (SP+ USA -20)

Projected Score: ULM: 15 - USA: 37 (55)
USA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ULM Travel: 269 miles
Jaguars (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UL Monroe vs Jackson State-4.545.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 9/7 UL Monroe vs UAB+10.555.5W 32 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 UL Monroe at Texas+43.554.5L 3 - 51UN
Sat 9/28 UL Monroe at Troy+6.046.0W 13 - 9UY
Sat 10/5 UL Monroe vs James Madison+16.548.5W 21 - 19UY
Sat 10/12 UL Monroe vs Southern Miss-4.541.0W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 UL Monroe at South Alabama+7.045.0L 17 - 46ON
Sat 11/2 UL Monroe at Marshall+10.548.0L 23 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 UL Monroe vs Texas State+9.550.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/16 UL Monroe at Auburn+24.546.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 UL Monroe at Arkansas State+3.051.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/30 UL Monroe vs Louisiana+8.550.5L 23 - 37ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
South Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Alabama vs North Texas-6.061.5L 38 - 52ON
Sat 9/7 South Alabama at Ohio-1.555.5L 20 - 27UN
Thu 9/12 South Alabama vs Northwestern State-36.560.5W 87 - 10OY
Thu 9/19 South Alabama at App State+8.062.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 South Alabama at LSU+21.064.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/5 South Alabama at Arkansas State-2.562.5L 16 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 South Alabama vs Troy-10.053.0W 25 - 9UY
Sat 10/26 South Alabama vs UL Monroe-7.045.0W 46 - 17OY
Sat 11/2 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern-5.560.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 South Alabama at Louisiana+6.560.0W 24 - 22UY
Sat 11/23 South Alabama at Southern Miss-24.054.0W 35 - 14UN
Fri 11/29 South Alabama vs Texas State+2.560.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 12/14 South Alabama vs Western Michigan-6.053.5W 30 - 23UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#124 (.06)36% (128)2140% (97)3.18 (56)14632% (133)1752.61 (130)#107 (.24)46% (117)28.844% (78)49% (132)4.1 (97)53.61.51.6
USA#31 (.28)43% (57)34.442% (80)3.24 (44)17245% (35)2684.67 (15)#34 (.14)37% (17)25.235% (8)40% (44)3.32 (21)57.71.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense122115.235.6%2.611.5163211461754.249%50%40%32%19%.06
USA Defense1325.227.836.6%3.321.7 - - - - - 54%45%35%40%16%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense1228.83545.6%4.11.6 - - - - - 53%46%44%49%15%.24
USA Offense1334.44443%4.671.5234401722684.848%51%42%45%15%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe1227:0215.832%35%5.953.61.51.66.12231
South Alabama1330:3022.643%63%6.757.71.51.75.82031.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense1249% (78)40% (97)34.6146.34.27 (131).11 (89)3.18 (56)74% (63)12% (100)0.92 (102)
USA Defense1354% (116)35% (8) - - - - -.01 (12)2.69 (14)74% (74)11% (33)0.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense1253% (107)44% (78) - - - - .11 (42)3.06 (58)75% (78)11% (55)0.9 (26)
USA Offense1348% (81)42% (80)36171.94.828 (25).18 (49)3.24 (44)74% (71)10% (76)1.18 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense1250% (59)32% (133)14.828.8174.86.111.915 (96)13 (97).03 (131)1.7 (22)36% (124)21% (133).12 (124)7% (111)2.3 (9)
USA Defense1345% (19)40% (44) - - - - - - 13 (26).36 (109)1.8 (124)36% (12)27% (29).28 (47)5% (106)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense1246% (25)49% (132) - - - - - - 11 (53).48 (132)1.7 (97)32% (68)39% (130).52 (129)5% (121)2 (48)
USA Offense1351% (55)45% (35)22.432.9268.28.11228 (23)11 (68).41 (26)1.7 (34)34% (104)39% (8).59 (7)5% (27)2.2 (34)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -22.07 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 254.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -22.07   South Alabama: 2.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -16.7   South Alabama: 2.8




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 2.08 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 37
UL Monroe 15


Projected Total Points: 55
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26South Alabama46UL Monroe17South AlabamaSouth Alabama -7.0South Alabama45.0Over
202310/07UL Monroe7South Alabama55South AlabamaSouth Alabama -11South Alabama51.5Over
202210/15South Alabama41UL Monroe34South AlabamaSouth Alabama -17UL Monroe51.0Over
202110/23UL Monroe41South Alabama31UL MonroeSouth Alabama -13.5UL Monroe51.5Over
202010/24South Alabama38UL Monroe14South AlabamaSouth Alabama -14.5South Alabama56.5Under
201909/28UL Monroe30South Alabama17UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -14.5South Alabama59.5Under
201811/10South Alabama10UL Monroe38UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -7.5UL Monroe63.0Under
201710/21South Alabama33UL Monroe23South AlabamaSouth Alabama -3.5South Alabama55.5Over
201611/05UL Monroe42South Alabama35UL MonroeSouth Alabama -13.5UL Monroe49.5Over
201311/23South Alabama36UL Monroe14South AlabamaSouth Alabama -3South Alabama0
201210/27UL Monroe38South Alabama24UL Monroe
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama666 Overs
UL Monroe543 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 26 - 44 - 22 - 2
Road Teams2 - 94 - 62 - 22 - 4

(#123) UL Monroe Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.07 #123
Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106
Talent Rating: 254.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UL Monroe Notes
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back
UL Monroe     Ratings Matchup     South Alabama
Power #123
#76
Off #124
#16
Def #115
#78
Talent #130
#93
SP+ #122
#61
SP+ Off #126
#47
SP+ Def #106
#71

Rematch from Week 9
South Alabama -7.0 (45.0)
South Alabama won vs UL Monroe this year (46-17)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat UL Monroe last year (46-17)
South Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2023 (55-7)
South Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2022 (41-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 85° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ULM | USA
Depth Chart: ULM | USA
Rosters: ULM | USA
(#76) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.08 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio


  
UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta10218854%12949106.9
General Booty (Tr)295454%306225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy2371352135.780
James Jones7933614.324
Taven Curry (Tr)3215304.815
Hunter Herring1611627.344
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Godfrey24265211.057
Davon Wells2926229.051
Tyler Griffin (Tr)8193124.140
Javon Campbell8176122.044

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Travor Randle634128
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen416451
Tristan Shorter164331
Kevontay Wells4610350
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travor Randle634128
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014

South Alabama's OC Rob Ezell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez20531166%25571858.2
Bishop Davenport487961%604317.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Fluff Bothwell112834137.459
Kentrel Bullock15283275.559
Giovanni Lopez8246575.750
Bishop Davenport3716114.450
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin34407012.028
Kentrel Bullock15153110.228
Anthony Eager10133213.338
Fluff Bothwell129007.528

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick1018232
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104
Jordan Scruggs705002
Wesley Miller592004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtney McBride3911530
Parker Shattuck113301
Tyler Thomas194300
Jordan Norman254322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amarion Fortenberry432006
Wesley Miller592004
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104