South Alabama at Southern Miss - 2024 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo South Alabama Jaguars at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
South Alabama -24 (54.0) (-2400)  Open: -21.5
South Alabama 35 - Southern Miss: 14  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
USA 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: South Alabama -24.5   (SP+ USA -28.5)

Projected Score: USA: 39 - USM: 15 (56)
USA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
USA Travel: 88 miles
Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Reed Stringer (Int) (13 - 24)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
South Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Alabama vs North Texas-6.061.5L 38 - 52ON
Sat 9/7 South Alabama at Ohio-1.555.5L 20 - 27UN
Thu 9/12 South Alabama vs Northwestern State-36.560.5W 87 - 10OY
Thu 9/19 South Alabama at App State+8.062.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 South Alabama at LSU+21.064.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/5 South Alabama at Arkansas State-2.562.5L 16 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 South Alabama vs Troy-10.053.0W 25 - 9UY
Sat 10/26 South Alabama vs UL Monroe-7.045.0W 46 - 17OY
Sat 11/2 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern-5.560.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 South Alabama at Louisiana+6.560.0W 24 - 22UY
Sat 11/23 South Alabama at Southern Miss-24.054.0W 35 - 14UN
Fri 11/29 South Alabama vs Texas State+2.560.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 12/14 South Alabama vs Western Michigan-6.053.5W 30 - 23UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Southern Miss at Kentucky+25.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana-17.553.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Southern Miss vs South Florida+13.058.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Southern Miss at Jacksonville State+6.059.5L 7 - 44UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Southern Miss vs Louisiana+17.557.5L 13 - 23UY
Sat 10/12 Southern Miss at UL Monroe+4.541.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State+7.057.0L 28 - 44ON
Sat 10/26 Southern Miss at James Madison+24.054.0L 15 - 32UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Southern Miss vs Marshall+13.553.5L 3 - 37UN
Sat 11/16 Southern Miss at Texas State+27.556.5L 3 - 58ON
Sat 11/23 Southern Miss vs South Alabama+24.054.0L 14 - 35UY
Sat 11/30 Southern Miss at Troy+17.548.5L 20 - 52ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 2

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#31 (.28)43% (57)34.442% (80)3.24 (44)17245% (35)2684.67 (15)#34 (.14)37% (17)25.235% (8)40% (44)3.32 (21)57.71.51.7
USM#109 (.12)37% (121)15.340% (106)2.89 (107)16334% (126)1913.07 (121)#105 (.24)42% (69)37.841% (49)45% (109)4.15 (103)48.21.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1334.425.543%4.671.5234401722684.848%51%42%45%15%.28
USM Defense1237.83342.2%4.151.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%45%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense1325.222.836.6%3.321.7 - - - - - 54%45%35%40%16%.14
USM Offense1215.319.536.7%3.071.320354163191453%46%40%34%20%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1330:3022.643%63%6.757.71.51.75.82031.4
Southern Miss1233:1520.338%44%6.348.21.31.44.52.1228
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1348% (81)42% (80)36171.94.828 (25).18 (49)3.24 (44)74% (71)10% (76)1.18 (6)
USM Defense1253% (106)41% (49) - - - - .22 (109)3.21 (94)67% (30)10% (76)1.24 (129)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1354% (116)35% (8) - - - - -.01 (12)2.69 (14)74% (74)11% (33)0.9 (27)
USM Offense1253% (41)40% (106)40.5163.4416 (89).13 (80)2.89 (107)67% (109)12% (109)1.11 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1351% (55)45% (35)22.432.9268.28.11228 (23)11 (68).41 (26)1.7 (34)34% (104)39% (8).59 (7)5% (27)2.2 (34)
USM Defense1246% (27)45% (109) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (101)1.7 (101)31% (93)33% (103).4 (106)6% (63)2.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1345% (19)40% (44) - - - - - - 13 (26).36 (109)1.8 (124)36% (12)27% (29).28 (47)5% (106)2.2 (104)
USM Offense1246% (92)34% (126)15.730.4190.76.312.215 (96)8 (30).14 (114)1.7 (26)36% (126)28% (87).34 (67)8% (117)2.1 (49)

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -3.64 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -3.64   Southern Miss: -24.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 2.8   Southern Miss: -25.6




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -24.845 #133
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
2024 Talent Rating: 452.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Southern Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Southern Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 39
Southern Miss 15


Projected Total Points: 56
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Southern Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Southern Miss14South Alabama35South AlabamaSouth Alabama -24Southern Miss54.0Under
202310/17South Alabama55Southern Miss3South AlabamaSouth Alabama -18.5South Alabama51.0Over
202211/19Southern Miss20South Alabama27South AlabamaSouth Alabama -7.5Southern Miss45.0Over
202109/04South Alabama31Southern Miss7South AlabamaSouth Alabama -2South Alabama56.5Under
202009/03Southern Miss21South Alabama32South AlabamaSouthern Mississippi -12.5South Alabama55.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss022 Overs
South Alabama533 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 34 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams3 - 21 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#76) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.64 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio
South Alabama     Ratings Matchup     Southern Miss
Power #76
#133
Off #16
#134
Def #78
#125
Talent #93
#111
SP+ #61
#133
SP+ Off #47
#130
SP+ Def #71
#128

Rematch from Week 13
South Alabama 24.0 (54.0)
South Alabama won at Southern Miss this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Southern Miss last year (35-14)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2023 (55-3)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 68°

Team Information
Injuries: USA | USM
Depth Chart: USA | USM
Rosters: USA | USM
(#133) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -24.845 #133
Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128
Talent Rating: 452.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Southern Miss Notes
(11/25) Off awful vs S. Al, worst team in SBC
(11/18) Has to be worst Off in CFB. 3 pts in 2 straight L's
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#126) into week 9
(10/20) HC Will Hall fired, GM Reed Stringer Int?
(10/12) QB Crawford abysmal, Def torched in L (UL Mon)
(10/4) Def awful (B 10)/Off getting worse. Staff big trouble
(9/14) Allowed 369 yds rushing to S Fla. Rgame awful
(9/11) Worst Rgame in CFB to date. 36% suc, 39% stuffed
(9/1) Miserable L @ UK. Lucky game called. No Off
(7/30) QB Rodemaker (FSU) leads lots of SEC transfers


  
South Alabama's OC Rob Ezell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez20531166%25571858.2
Bishop Davenport487961%604317.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Fluff Bothwell112834137.459
Kentrel Bullock15283275.559
Giovanni Lopez8246575.750
Bishop Davenport3716114.450
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin34407012.028
Kentrel Bullock15153110.228
Anthony Eager10133213.338
Fluff Bothwell129007.528

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick1018232
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104
Jordan Scruggs705002
Wesley Miller592004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtney McBride3911530
Parker Shattuck113301
Tyler Thomas194300
Jordan Norman254322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amarion Fortenberry432006
Wesley Miller592004
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104

Southern Miss's OC Chip Long
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tate Rodemaker (Tr)9816559%985776.0
Ethan Crawford5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenyon Clay8438774.670
Ethan Crawford9720932.221
Jalen Washington2611814.514
JQ Gray3210603.319
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Larry Simmons (Tr)27421115.675
Tiaquelin Mims33393111.956
Kenyon Clay21225110.737
Kyirin Heath (Tr)15210214.034

View Southern Miss's Full Roster
Southern Miss's DC Clay Bignell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Pinkney (Tr)745120
Chris Jones463101
Ja'Len Sims455113
Desmyn Baker (Tr)422212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brodarius Lewis398400
Ryan Johnson (Tr)234390
Jameer Lewis245251
Desmyn Baker (Tr)422212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will James (Tr)352007
Ques McNeal292004
Ja'Len Sims455113