UTSA at Rice - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
UTSA -3.5 (51.0) (-180) Open: -3.5
Rice 29 - UTSA: 27 (American Athletic)

Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (39 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTSA coming off BYE
RICE coming off BYE
Our Line: UTSA -6.5 (SP+ UTSA -13.5)
Projected Score: UTSA: 30 - RICE: 24 (54)
UTSA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 186 miles

Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UTSA vs Kennesaw State	-24.0	49.5	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/7	UTSA at Texas State	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/14	UTSA at Texas	+36.5	56.5	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/21	UTSA vs Houston Christian	-35.5	54.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/28	UTSA at East Carolina	+2.0	53.5	L 20 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	UTSA at Rice	-3.5	51.0	L 27 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/19	UTSA vs Florida Atlantic	-4.0	52.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/26	UTSA at Tulsa	-9.5	52.5	L 45 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/2	UTSA vs Memphis	+7.0	62.0	W 44 - 36	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	UTSA vs North Texas	-1.0	73.0	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/22	UTSA vs Temple	-16.5	56.0	W 51 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UTSA at Army	+6.5	53.5	L 24 - 29	U	Y
Mon 12/23	UTSA vs Coastal Carolina	-12.5	56.5	W 44 - 15	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Rice's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Rice vs Sam Houston	-9.5	49.0	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rice vs Texas Southern	-30.0	52.5	W 69 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Rice at Houston	+3.5	43.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/21	Rice at Army	+7.0	44.0	L 14 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/28	Rice vs Charlotte	-4.0	48.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Rice vs UTSA	+3.5	51.0	W 29 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Rice at Tulane	+21.5	53.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Rice at UConn	+6.5	47.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/2	Rice vs Navy	+12.5	49.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/8	Rice at Memphis	+7.5	50.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Rice at UAB	-7.0	52.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rice vs South Florida	+5.5	53.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#45 (.23)	42% (66)	35.5	41% (89)	3 (88)	172	44% (49)	250	4.45 (24)	#35 (.14)	37% (21)	28.8	38% (26)	38% (25)	3.77 (65)	51.2	1.7	1.3
RICE	#52 (.22)	44% (49)	19.1	43% (70)	3.01 (87)	110	45% (32)	252	4.81 (9)	#63 (.17)	41% (57)	32.9	44% (83)	39% (33)	3.61 (52)	49.4	2	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RICE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	13	35.5	21.7	42.2%	4.45	1.7	23	422	172	250	4.3	51%	49%	41%	44%	15%	.23
RICE Defense	13	32.9	32	41.2%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	44%	39%	12%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	13	28.8	33.7	37.4%	3.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	38%	20%	.14
RICE Offense	13	19.1	23.9	43.7%	4.81	2	19	363	110	252	3.7	41%	58%	43%	45%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	13	30:08	22.6	47%	58%	5.6	51.2	1.7	1.3	7.6	3.5	1	29
Rice	13	30:59	18.8	38%	67%	5.8	49.4	2	0.9	3.8	1.3	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	13	51% (62)	41% (89)	39.7	171.8	4.3	27 (29)	.18 (48)	3 (88)	81% (14)	9% (45)	1.13 (13)
RICE Defense	13	52% (93)	44% (83)	-	-	-	-	.19 (99)	3.15 (80)	73% (66)	7% (125)	1.01 (79)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	13	47% (27)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	.12 (52)	2.86 (27)	83% (114)	12% (14)	1.14 (118)
RICE Offense	13	41% (120)	43% (70)	29.8	110.5	3.7	21 (54)	.12 (86)	3.01 (87)	65% (118)	10% (59)	0.96 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	13	49% (72)	44% (49)	22.3	34.3	249.8	7.3	11.2	25 (37)	14 (107)	.31 (58)	1.6 (60)	32% (71)	35% (27)	.46 (28)	6% (64)	2.2 (35)
RICE Defense	13	48% (42)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.21 (34)	1.6 (53)	33% (49)	29% (44)	.24 (34)	5% (109)	2 (53)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	13	52% (101)	38% (25)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.23 (44)	1.6 (70)	35% (28)	24% (6)	.18 (13)	8% (11)	2.4 (130)
RICE Offense	13	58% (13)	45% (32)	20.6	33.2	252.5	7.6	12.3	29 (18)	16 (121)	.34 (45)	1.6 (54)	32% (74)	32% (60)	.32 (71)	7% (103)	2.1 (47)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -4.61 #81
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.26 #91
UTSA's Defense Rating: 6.84 #41
2024 Talent Rating: 291.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
UTSA's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
UTSA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2 #64
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #34
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -4.61 Rice: -7.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 2.2 Rice: -11.4

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 278.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UTSA 30
Rice 24

Projected Total Points: 54

Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	UTSA	61	Rice	13	UTSA -8.5	UTSA	48.5	Over
2024	10/12	Rice	29	UTSA	27	UTSA -3.5	Rice	51.0	Over
2023	11/11	UTSA	34	Rice	14	UT San Antonio -13.5	UTSA	53.5	Under
2022	11/19	Rice	7	UTSA	41	UT San Antonio -14	UTSA	56.0	Under
2021	10/16	UTSA	45	Rice	0	UT San Antonio -17	UTSA	53.0	Under
2019	10/19	UTSA	31	Rice	27	Rice -5	UTSA	43.0	Over
2018	10/06	Rice	3	UTSA	20	Rice -1	UTSA	50.0	Under
2017	10/21	UTSA	20	Rice	7	UT San Antonio -20	Rice	53.0	Under
2016	10/15	Rice	13	UTSA	14	Rice -1.5	UTSA	52.5	Under
2015	11/21	UTSA	34	Rice	24	UT San Antonio -3	UTSA	55.5	Over
2014	11/08	Rice	17	UTSA	7	Rice -8	Rice	0
2013	10/12	UTSA	21	Rice	27	Rice -4.5	Rice	0
2012	10/13	Rice	34	UTSA	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	4	4	4 Overs
UTSA	9	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 4	7 - 5	5 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 9	5 - 7	2 - 2	3 - 5

(#81) UTSA at (#95) RICE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	RICE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#81	#95
SP+SP+	#64	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#73	#103
OffenseOff	#88	#117
DefenseDef	#37	#43
Spec TeamsST	#71	#105
TalentTal	#78	#83
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#102

UTSA Notes(11/18) 680 yds vs N Tex, Def meh but TOs, McCown great
(11/3) Huge W (Mem), McCown good, forced 2 TOs to W
(10/28) Blew 35-7 halftime lead vs Tulsa. Season killer?
(10/20) Even w/ FAU. McCown good, Def played well
(10/12) Bad L (Rice). Pass D torched, Rgame bad
(9/28) Rgame 170 (4.5)better but Pass D awful vs ECU
(9/15) Off has been really bad. Rgame awful, QB ?
(9/8) Killed by Tex St? Pulled McCown? Rgame just awful
(8/13) Lost DPY DE to Texas, another DE kicked out
(8/13) Starting MLB French suspended indefinitely
(8/13) Lost 3/4 top WR's, new QB, Def suspensions?
(8/13) QB McCown (won bowl LY) vs Marberger (Davis?)
UTSA Injury Report

Rice Notes(11/26) Hired Scott Abell (Davidson) 47-28 in 7 yrs
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ
(9/1) Way off on Rice, killed by S Hou, lines abysmal
Rice Injury Report

UTSA on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	RICE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#43
SuccessSuc	#66	#57
ExplosiveExp	#21	#50
PPAPPA	#45	#63
PowerPwr	#91	#12
SP+SP+	#34	#94
Pts POPPO	#24	#52
HavocHav	#46	#126

UTSA Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#78	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#89	#83
Run ExplRExp	#13	#79
PPAExp	#48	#99
Run BlockR Blk	#78	-
OL YdsOLY	#88	#80
Stuff RateStuff	#68	#97
TackleTak	-	#32

UTSA Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#14
Pass SuccessPSuc	#49	#33
Pass ExplPExl	#60	#53
PPAExp	#58	#34
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#111	#47
F7 HavocF7	#45	#125
DB HavocDB	#64	#109

Rice on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	UTSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#37
SuccessSuc	#49	#21
ExplosiveExp	#31	#112
PPAPPA	#52	#35
PowerPwr	#123	#41
SP+SP+	#110	#101
Pts POPPO	#9	#65
HavocHav	#81	#10

Rice Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#111	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	#70	#26
Run ExplRExp	#89	#118
PPAExp	#86	#52
Run BlockR Blk	#115	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#27
Stuff RateStuff	#71	#45
TackleTak	-	#119

Rice Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#93
Pass SuccessPSuc	#32	#25
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#70
PPAExp	#45	#44
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#94	#19
F7 HavocF7	#59	#14
DB HavocDB	#103	#11

Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
UTSA 3.5 (51.0)
Rice won vs UTSA this year (29-27)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Rice last year (61-13)
Rice beat UTSA in 2024 (29-27)
UTSA beat Rice in 2023 (34-14)

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Owen McCown	294	467	63%	3424	25	10	7.3
Eddie Lee Marburger	22	40	55%	234	2	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Henry	130	706	7	5.4	88
Brandon High	93	495	8	5.3	66
Owen McCown	86	340	3	4.0	75
Kevorian Barnes	78	221	2	2.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Willie McCoy	28	536	4	19.1	66
Chris Carpenter	39	479	1	12.3	69
Houston Thomas	34	470	3	13.8	44
Devin Mccuin	45	424	5	9.4	54

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Martavius French	80	17	1	4	3
Elliott Davison	58	0	0	0	4
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Jamal Ligon	46	7	3	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimmori Robinson	44	18	11	8	1
Ronald Triplette	23	5	4	2	0
Brandon Brown	29	9	4	1	0
Jamal Ligon	46	7	3	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zah Frazier	24	1	0	1	9
Tyan Milton	18	2	1	1	5
Elliott Davison	58	0	0	0	4

RICE's OC Marques Tuiasosopo (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)	271	438	62%	2710	17	13	6.2
Drew Devillier	20	38	53%	137	0	0	3.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors	159	780	9	4.9	71
Quinton Jackson	48	275	1	5.7	45
Taji Atkins	24	158	2	6.6	33
Christian Francisco	19	78	0	4.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matt Sykes	65	795	5	12.2	37
Dean Connors	61	472	2	7.7	69
Kobie Campbell	32	372	1	11.6	33
Braylen Walker	22	264	1	12.0	50

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Brian Smith (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Anthony Morris	49	8	5	0	0
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6
Andrew Awe	44	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Anthony Morris	49	8	5	0	0
Josh Pearcy	35	6	4	4	0
Michael Daley (Tr)	14	6	3	1	0
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Max Ahoia	34	1	0	8
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	6