UTSA at Rice - 2024 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Rice OwlsRice logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
UTSA -3.5 (51.0) (-180)  Open: -3.5
Rice 29 - UTSA: 27  (American Athletic)

 
Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (39 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
UTSA coming off BYE
RICE coming off BYE
Our Line: UTSA -6.5   (SP+ UTSA -13.5)

Projected Score: UTSA: 30 - RICE: 24 (54)
UTSA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 186 miles
Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Pete Alamar (Int) (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
UTSA's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UTSA vs Kennesaw State-24.049.5W 28 - 16UN
Sat 9/7 UTSA at Texas State+2.558.5L 10 - 49ON
Sat 9/14 UTSA at Texas+36.556.5L 7 - 56ON
Sat 9/21 UTSA vs Houston Christian-35.554.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/28 UTSA at East Carolina+2.053.5L 20 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 UTSA at Rice-3.551.0L 27 - 29ON
Sat 10/19 UTSA vs Florida Atlantic-4.052.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/26 UTSA at Tulsa-9.552.5L 45 - 46ON
Sat 11/2 UTSA vs Memphis+7.062.0W 44 - 36OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 UTSA vs North Texas-1.073.0W 48 - 27OY
Fri 11/22 UTSA vs Temple-16.556.0W 51 - 27OY
Sat 11/30 UTSA at Army+6.553.5L 24 - 29UY
Mon 12/23 UTSA vs Coastal Carolina-12.556.5W 44 - 15OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Rice's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Rice vs Sam Houston-9.549.0L 14 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Rice vs Texas Southern-30.052.5W 69 - 7OY
Sat 9/14 Rice at Houston+3.543.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/21 Rice at Army+7.044.0L 14 - 37ON
Sat 9/28 Rice vs Charlotte-4.048.0L 20 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Rice vs UTSA+3.551.0W 29 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 Rice at Tulane+21.553.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Rice at UConn+6.547.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 Rice vs Navy+12.549.0W 24 - 10UY
Fri 11/8 Rice at Memphis+7.550.5L 20 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Rice at UAB-7.052.0L 14 - 40ON
Sat 11/30 Rice vs South Florida+5.553.5W 35 - 28OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)33.237% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)30.132% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)22.236% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)25.440% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1333.222.240.1%3.631.7224521692834.546%54%37%43%16%.2
RICE Defense1225.421.237%3.721 - - - - - 55%45%40%34%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1330.139.834.3%3.781.6 - - - - - 46%53%32%36%22%.13
RICE Offense1222.231.835.5%3.271.8183541152394.637%62%36%35%20%.05

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1331:1021.541%36%8.781.11.71.68.23.2230.4
Rice1228:4018.335%35%7.157.41.816.32.7232.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1346% (97)37% (123)37.71694.521 (59).1 (88)3.03 (70)60% (125)10% (65)1.09 (25)
RICE Defense1255% (112)40% (37) - - - - .16 (85)3.06 (80)76% (83)11% (45)1.07 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1346% (24)32% (1) - - - - -.03 (5)2.12 (1)63% (16)15% (4)1.2 (129)
RICE Offense1237% (132)36% (127)24.8114.54.614 (98)-.03 (126)2.7 (118)86% (3)10% (63)1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1354% (37)43% (61)24.439.2283.57.211.627 (20)13 (103).29 (52)1.5 (82)34% (115)30% (90).34 (67)6% (81)2 (73)
RICE Defense1245% (24)34% (4) - - - - - - 8 (93).16 (33)1.7 (109)34% (30)24% (4).19 (23)6% (70)2.1 (81)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1353% (112)36% (16) - - - - - - 11 (52).27 (83)1.9 (134)36% (13)27% (22).39 (103)7% (29)2.3 (130)
RICE Offense1262% (4)35% (121)24.339.823969.817 (79)13 (103).11 (121)1.5 (97)38% (129)25% (119).17 (119)10% (133)1.9 (104)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -4.61 #81
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.26 #91
UTSA's Defense Rating: 6.84 #41
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
UTSA's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
UTSA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2 #64
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #34
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -4.61   Rice: -7.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 2.2   Rice: -11.4




Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

UTSA's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 30
Rice 24


Total Points: 54

Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Rice29UTSA27RiceUTSA -3.5Rice51.0Over
202311/11UTSA34Rice14UTSAUT San Antonio -13.5UTSA53.5Under
202211/19Rice7UTSA41UTSAUT San Antonio -14UTSA56.0Under
202110/16UTSA45Rice0UTSAUT San Antonio -17UTSA53.0Under
201910/19UTSA31Rice27UTSARice -5UTSA43.0Over
201810/06Rice3UTSA20UTSARice -1UTSA50.0Under
201710/21UTSA20Rice7UTSAUT San Antonio -20Rice53.0Under
201610/15Rice13UTSA14UTSARice -1.5UTSA52.5Under
201511/21UTSA34Rice24UTSAUT San Antonio -3UTSA55.5Over
201411/08Rice17UTSA7RiceRice -8Rice0
201310/12UTSA21Rice27RiceRice -4.5Rice0
201210/13Rice34UTSA14Rice
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rice443 Overs
UTSA876 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 46 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams4 - 85 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#81) UTSA Info
Power Rating: -4.61 #81
Offense Rating: 17.26 #91
Defense Rating: 6.84 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #101
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UTSA has lost 1 straight
UTSA has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

UTSA Notes
(11/3) Huge W (Mem), McCown good, forced 2 TOs to W
(10/28) Blew 35-7 halftime lead vs Tulsa. Season killer?
(10/20) Even w/ FAU. McCown good, Def played well
(10/12) Bad L (Rice). Pass D torched, Rgame bad
(9/28) Rgame 170 (4.5)better but Pass D awful vs ECU
(9/15) Off has been really bad. Rgame awful, QB ?
(9/8) Killed by Tex St? Pulled McCown? Rgame just awful
(8/13) Lost DPY DE to Texas, another DE kicked out
(8/13) Starting MLB French suspended indefinitely
(8/13) Lost 3/4 top WR's, new QB, Def suspensions?

UTSA Highlights
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA Defense Sacks the QB a lot

UTSA has a really good defense (#77)
UTSA has a good run defense (#54)
UTSA has a good pass defense (#101)
UTSA Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#57)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA Front 7 is disruptive (#74)
UTSA Secondary is very good (#41)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA has a bad TO Margin (#1)
UTSA Fumbles a Lot (#1)
UTSA Commits a Lot of Penalties (#59)
UTSA throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
UTSA offense is really bad (#74)
UTSA Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#48)
UTSA run game is really bad (#72)
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatRICEUTSA
OverallOver#74#50
OffenseOff#94#72
DefenseDef#32#27
Special TeamsST#87#59
PassingPass#79#26
RushingRush#80#56
Run BlockRBLK#89#61
Pass BlockPBLK#80#95
Route RunningWR Rt#82#71
TacklingTkl#29#103
Run DefenseR Def#78#15
Pass Rush DefPRush#42#18
Coverage DefCov#12#74

Rematch from Week 7
UTSA 3.5 (51.0)
Rice won vs UTSA this year (29-27)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat UTSA last year (29-27)
UTSA beat Rice in 2023 (34-14)
UTSA beat Rice in 2022 (41-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | RICE
Depth Chart: UTSA | RICE
Rosters: UTSA | RICE
(#95) Rice Info
Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Rice has lost 3 straight
Rice has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Rice Notes
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ

Rice Highlights
Rice is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Rice Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#99)
Rice run game is really bad (#76)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown29446763%342425107.3
Eddie Lee Marburger224055%234235.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry13070675.488
Brandon High9349585.366
Owen McCown8634034.075
Kevorian Barnes7822122.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Willie McCoy28536419.166
Chris Carpenter39479112.369
Houston Thomas34470313.844
Devin Mccuin4542459.454

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Martavius French8017143
Elliott Davison580004
Brevin Randle (Tr)483144
Jamal Ligon467343
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmori Robinson44181181
Ronald Triplette235420
Brandon Brown299410
Jamal Ligon467343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zah Frazier241019
Tyan Milton182115
Elliott Davison580004

Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)27143862%271017136.2
Drew Devillier203853%137003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors15978094.971
Quinton Jackson4827515.745
Taji Atkins2415826.633
Christian Francisco197804.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matt Sykes65795512.237
Dean Connors6147227.769
Kobie Campbell32372111.633
Braylen Walker22264112.050

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Brian Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Sean Fresch471008
Gabe Taylor457306
Andrew Awe444110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Josh Pearcy356440
Michael Daley (Tr)146310
Gabe Taylor457306
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Ahoia341008
Sean Fresch471008
Gabe Taylor457306