Rice at Memphis - 2024 Matchup Preview
Rice logo Rice Owls at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Friday, November 8th 2024 (9:00 PM EST)
Memphis -7.5 (50.5) (-290)  Open: -9.0 | 52.5
Memphis 27 - Rice: 20  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Pete Alamar (Int) (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MEM is playing their 5th straight game
RICE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -21.5   (SP+ MEM -21)

Projected Score: RICE: 15 - MEM: 36 (51)
MEM Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
RICE Travel: 490 miles
Tigers (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (31 - 19)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Rice's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Rice vs Sam Houston-9.549.0L 14 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Rice vs Texas Southern-30.052.5W 69 - 7OY
Sat 9/14 Rice at Houston+3.543.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/21 Rice at Army+7.044.0L 14 - 37ON
Sat 9/28 Rice vs Charlotte-4.048.0L 20 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Rice vs UTSA+3.551.0W 29 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 Rice at Tulane+21.553.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Rice at UConn+6.547.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 Rice vs Navy+12.549.0W 24 - 10UY
Fri 11/8 Rice at Memphis+7.550.5L 20 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Rice at UAB-7.052.0L 14 - 40ON
Sat 11/30 Rice vs South Florida+5.553.5W 35 - 28OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Memphis's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Memphis vs North Alabama-38.562.5W 40 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Memphis vs Troy-18.557.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Memphis at Florida State+7.052.0W 20 - 12UY
Sat 9/21 Memphis at Navy-9.547.0L 44 - 56ON
Sat 9/28 Memphis vs Middle Tennessee-27.062.0W 24 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Memphis vs South Florida-10.061.0W 21 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Memphis vs North Texas-10.567.5W 52 - 44ON
Sat 10/26 Memphis vs Charlotte-17.056.5W 33 - 28ON
Sat 11/2 Memphis at UTSA-7.062.0L 36 - 44ON
Fri 11/8 Memphis vs Rice-7.550.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/16 Memphis vs UAB-16.062.0W 53 - 18OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Memphis at Tulane+12.554.5W 34 - 24OY
Tue 12/17 Memphis vs West Virginia-5.060.0W 42 - 37ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)22.236% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)25.440% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)35.746% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)23.840% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense1222.212.535.5%3.271.8183541152394.637%62%36%35%20%.05
MEM Defense1323.819.140%4.051.9 - - - - - 43%56%40%40%20%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense1225.429.737%3.721 - - - - - 55%45%40%34%17%.16
MEM Offense1335.738.143.7%4.660.6234461752705.146%54%46%41%12%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice1228:4018.335%35%7.157.41.816.32.7232.6
Memphis1333:1423.146%52%5.3480.61.95.81.9032.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense1237% (132)36% (127)24.8114.54.614 (98)-.03 (126)2.7 (118)86% (3)10% (63)1 (55)
MEM Defense1343% (5)40% (45) - - - - .09 (50)2.64 (20)64% (22)12% (20)1.13 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense1255% (112)40% (37) - - - - .16 (85)3.06 (80)76% (83)11% (45)1.07 (103)
MEM Offense1346% (99)46% (40)34.2175.15.133 (12).22 (26)3.27 (31)69% (93)7% (17)1.06 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense1262% (4)35% (121)24.339.823969.817 (79)13 (103).11 (121)1.5 (97)38% (129)25% (119).17 (119)10% (133)1.9 (104)
MEM Defense1356% (130)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (90)1.7 (93)34% (40)30% (70).43 (112)8% (13)2.4 (134)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense1245% (24)34% (4) - - - - - - 8 (93).16 (33)1.7 (109)34% (30)24% (4).19 (23)6% (70)2.1 (81)
MEM Offense1354% (33)41% (71)23.836.8270.57.311.325 (31)6 (10).31 (42)1.6 (47)30% (44)34% (40).47 (16)5% (32)2.1 (61)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -8.74 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.74   Memphis: 11.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -11.4   Memphis: 9.6




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 11.26 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 23.90 #29
Memphis's Defense Rating: 8.77 #61
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Memphis's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Memphis's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.7

Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 36
Rice 15


Total Points: 51

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Memphis's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/08Memphis27Rice20MemphisMemphis -7.5Rice50.5Under
201210/06Memphis14Rice10Memphis
201110/08Rice28Memphis6Rice
200809/06Memphis35Rice42Rice
200710/20Rice35Memphis38Memphis
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis300 Overs
Rice211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 31 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#95) Rice Info
Power Rating: -8.74 #95
Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Rice has won 1 straight
Rice has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Rice Notes
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ

Rice Highlights
Rice Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#99)
Rice run game is really bad (#76)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMEMRICE
OverallOver#28#74
OffenseOff#21#94
DefenseDef#50#32
Special TeamsST#55#87
PassingPass#26#79
RushingRush#19#80
Run BlockRBLK#10#89
Pass BlockPBLK#9#80
Route RunningWR Rt#56#82
TacklingTkl#86#29
Run DefenseR Def#24#78
Pass Rush DefPRush#101#42
Coverage DefCov#62#12

Rematch from Week 11
Memphis -7.5 (50.5)
Memphis won vs Rice this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Rice last year (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | MEM
Depth Chart: RICE | MEM
Rosters: RICE | MEM
(#36) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 11.26 #36
Offense Rating: 23.90 #29
Defense Rating: 8.77 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #80
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Memphis has lost 1 straight
Memphis has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Memphis Notes
(12/17) DC Jordon Hankins makes zero adjustments
(11/28) Buried Tulane. Hennigan/Rgame good, R D great
(11/18) Off balanced and torched UAB. Still alive in AAC
(11/3) Def torched by UTSA, Henigan great/Rgame awful
(10/20) Def torched by N. Tex, Off was great esp Rgame
(10/13) Def stuff S Fla, 24 rush yds, 1.3 ypc. Off enough
(9/23) Huge L @ Navy. Had 660 yds in L, All. 361 Ryds
(9/15) Big W @ FSU. Henigan good, Run Def great
(8/13) Def should improve w/ P5 portals in (starters in P5)
(8/13) QB Henigan (10K yds), WR's are G5 best & freaks

Memphis Highlights
Memphis is Undefeated at Home

Memphis offense is explosive (#67)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis Defensive Line is very good (#22)
Memphis Front 7 is disruptive (#7)
Memphis Secondary is very good (#38)
Memphis has a great TO Margin (#28)

Memphis Deficiencies
Memphis gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#94)


  
Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)27143862%271017136.2
Drew Devillier203853%137003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors15978094.971
Quinton Jackson4827515.745
Taji Atkins2415826.633
Christian Francisco197804.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matt Sykes65795512.237
Dean Connors6147227.769
Kobie Campbell32372111.633
Braylen Walker22264112.050

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Brian Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Sean Fresch471008
Gabe Taylor457306
Andrew Awe444110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Josh Pearcy356440
Michael Daley (Tr)146310
Gabe Taylor457306
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Ahoia341008
Sean Fresch471008
Gabe Taylor457306

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Seth Henigan30947765%35022567.3
Harris Boyd11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Anderson (Tr)2361362185.853
Brandon Thomas5733595.957
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Seth Henigan8019012.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roc Taylor66950214.448
DeMeer Blankumsee45677615.089
Kobe Drake39484112.429
Anthony Landphere33379411.531

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin110167104
Gregory Rubin746038
Matt Hudson (Tr)604110
Elijah Herring (Tr)598434
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin110167104
William Whitlow Jr.248531
Elijah Herring (Tr)598434
Kobee Minor (Tr)377206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Ross5120211
Gregory Rubin746038
Kobee Minor (Tr)377206