Rice at Memphis - 2024 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 8th 2024 (9:00 PM EST)
Memphis -7.5 (50.5) (-290) Open: -9.0 | 52.5
Memphis 27 - Rice: 20 (American Athletic)

Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MEM is playing their 5th straight game
RICE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -21.5 (SP+ MEM -21)
Projected Score: RICE: 15 - MEM: 36 (51)
MEM Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
RICE Travel: 490 miles

Tigers (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (31 - 19)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RICE Players
MEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rice's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Rice vs Sam Houston	-9.5	49.0	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rice vs Texas Southern	-30.0	52.5	W 69 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Rice at Houston	+3.5	43.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/21	Rice at Army	+7.0	44.0	L 14 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/28	Rice vs Charlotte	-4.0	48.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Rice vs UTSA	+3.5	51.0	W 29 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Rice at Tulane	+21.5	53.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Rice at UConn	+6.5	47.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/2	Rice vs Navy	+12.5	49.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/8	Rice at Memphis	+7.5	50.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Rice at UAB	-7.0	52.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rice vs South Florida	+5.5	53.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Memphis's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Memphis vs North Alabama	-38.5	62.5	W 40 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Memphis vs Troy	-18.5	57.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Memphis at Florida State	+7.0	52.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Memphis at Navy	-9.5	47.0	L 44 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/28	Memphis vs Middle Tennessee	-27.0	62.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Memphis vs South Florida	-10.0	61.0	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Memphis vs North Texas	-10.5	67.5	W 52 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/26	Memphis vs Charlotte	-17.0	56.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/2	Memphis at UTSA	-7.0	62.0	L 36 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/8	Memphis vs Rice	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/16	Memphis vs UAB	-16.0	62.0	W 53 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28	Memphis at Tulane	+12.5	54.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Tue 12/17	Memphis vs West Virginia	-5.0	60.0	W 42 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)	22.2	36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)	25.4	40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)	35.7	46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)	23.8	40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)		36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)		40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)		46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)		40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Offense	12	22.2	12.5	35.5%	3.27	1.8	18	354	115	239	4.6	37%	62%	36%	35%	20%	.05
MEM Defense	13	23.8	19.1	40%	4.05	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	40%	40%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Defense	12	25.4	29.7	37%	3.72	1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	34%	17%	.16
MEM Offense	13	35.7	38.1	43.7%	4.66	0.6	23	446	175	270	5.1	46%	54%	46%	41%	12%	.27

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rice	12	28:40	18.3	35%	35%	7.1	57.4	1.8	1	6.3	2.7	2	32.6
Memphis	13	33:14	23.1	46%	52%	5.3	48	0.6	1.9	5.8	1.9	0	32.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Offense	12	37% (132)	36% (127)	24.8	114.5	4.6	14 (98)	-.03 (126)	2.7 (118)	86% (3)	10% (63)	1 (55)
MEM Defense	13	43% (5)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.09 (50)	2.64 (20)	64% (22)	12% (20)	1.13 (120)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Defense	12	55% (112)	40% (37)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.06 (80)	76% (83)	11% (45)	1.07 (103)
MEM Offense	13	46% (99)	46% (40)	34.2	175.1	5.1	33 (12)	.22 (26)	3.27 (31)	69% (93)	7% (17)	1.06 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Offense	12	62% (4)	35% (121)	24.3	39.8	239	6	9.8	17 (79)	13 (103)	.11 (121)	1.5 (97)	38% (129)	25% (119)	.17 (119)	10% (133)	1.9 (104)
MEM Defense	13	56% (130)	40% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (90)	1.7 (93)	34% (40)	30% (70)	.43 (112)	8% (13)	2.4 (134)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Defense	12	45% (24)	34% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.16 (33)	1.7 (109)	34% (30)	24% (4)	.19 (23)	6% (70)	2.1 (81)
MEM Offense	13	54% (33)	41% (71)	23.8	36.8	270.5	7.3	11.3	25 (31)	6 (10)	.31 (42)	1.6 (47)	30% (44)	34% (40)	.47 (16)	5% (32)	2.1 (61)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -8.74 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.74 Memphis: 11.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -11.4 Memphis: 9.6

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 11.26 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 23.90 #29
Memphis's Defense Rating: 8.77 #61
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Memphis's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Memphis's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.7

Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 36
Rice 15

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 30
Rice 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 32
Rice 19

Total Points: 51

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Memphis's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/31	Rice	14	Memphis	38	Memphis -13.5	Memphis	48.5	Over
2024	11/08	Memphis	27	Rice	20	Memphis -7.5	Rice	50.5	Under
2012	10/06	Memphis	14	Rice	10
2011	10/08	Rice	28	Memphis	6
2008	09/06	Memphis	35	Rice	42
2007	10/20	Rice	35	Memphis	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Memphis	4	1	1 Overs
Rice	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 3	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#95) RICE at (#36) MEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RICE	MEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#95	#36
SP+SP+	#109	#31
Perf GradeGrade	#103	#37
OffenseOff	#117	#23
DefenseDef	#43	#67
Spec TeamsST	#105	#66
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#74

Rice Notes(11/26) Hired Scott Abell (Davidson) 47-28 in 7 yrs
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ
(9/1) Way off on Rice, killed by S Hou, lines abysmal
Rice Injury Report

Memphis Notes(12/18) Dumb, poorly coached football team
(12/17) DC Jordon Hankins makes zero adjustments
(11/28) Buried Tulane. Hennigan/Rgame good, R D great
(11/18) Off balanced and torched UAB. Still alive in AAC
(11/3) Def torched by UTSA, Henigan great/Rgame awful
(10/20) Def torched by N. Tex, Off was great esp Rgame
(10/13) Def stuff S Fla, 24 rush yds, 1.3 ypc. Off enough
(9/23) Huge L @ Navy. Had 660 yds in L, All. 361 Ryds
(9/15) Big W @ FSU. Henigan good, Run Def great
(8/13) Def should improve w/ P5 portals in (starters in P5)
(8/13) QB Henigan (10K yds), WR's are G5 best & freaks
(8/3) Fav'd in every game but FSU. USF/UTSA bigs
Memphis Injury Report

Rice on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	MEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#67
SuccessSuc	#127	#47
ExplosiveExp	#36	#123
PPAPPA	#126	#87
PowerPwr	#123	#61
SP+SP+	#110	#80
Pts POPPO	#119	#96
HavocHav	#123	#11

Rice Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#111	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#45
Run ExplRExp	#55	#120
PPAExp	#126	#50
Run BlockR Blk	#115	-
OL YdsOLY	#118	#20
Stuff RateStuff	#81	#14
TackleTak	-	#100

Rice Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	#121	#62
Pass ExplPExl	#97	#93
PPAExp	#121	#90
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#94	#119
F7 HavocF7	#63	#20
DB HavocDB	#133	#13

Memphis on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	RICE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#23	#43
SuccessSuc	#57	#11
ExplosiveExp	#26	#99
PPAPPA	#23	#60
PowerPwr	#29	#12
SP+SP+	#12	#94
Pts POPPO	#14	#62
HavocHav	#18	#55

Memphis Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#29	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#40	#37
Run ExplRExp	#38	#103
PPAExp	#26	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	#31	#80
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#110
TackleTak	-	#32

Memphis Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#14
Pass SuccessPSuc	#71	#4
Pass ExplPExl	#47	#109
PPAExp	#42	#33
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#9	#47
F7 HavocF7	#17	#45
DB HavocDB	#32	#70

Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 62° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Memphis -7.5 (50.5)
Memphis won vs Rice this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Rice last year (27-20)

RICE's OC Marques Tuiasosopo (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)	271	438	62%	2710	17	13	6.2
Drew Devillier	20	38	53%	137	0	0	3.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors	159	780	9	4.9	71
Quinton Jackson	48	275	1	5.7	45
Taji Atkins	24	158	2	6.6	33
Christian Francisco	19	78	0	4.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matt Sykes	65	795	5	12.2	37
Dean Connors	61	472	2	7.7	69
Kobie Campbell	32	372	1	11.6	33
Braylen Walker	22	264	1	12.0	50

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Brian Smith (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Anthony Morris	49	8	5	0	0
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6
Andrew Awe	44	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Anthony Morris	49	8	5	0	0
Josh Pearcy	35	6	4	4	0
Michael Daley (Tr)	14	6	3	1	0
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Max Ahoia	34	1	0	8
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	6

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	309	477	65%	3502	25	6	7.3
Harris Boyd	1	1	100%	14	0	0	14.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Anderson (Tr)	236	1362	18	5.8	53
Brandon Thomas	57	335	9	5.9	57
Gregory DeRosiers	31	228	3	7.4	46
Seth Henigan	80	190	1	2.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	66	950	2	14.4	48
DeMeer Blankumsee	45	677	6	15.0	89
Kobe Drake	39	484	1	12.4	29
Anthony Landphere	33	379	4	11.5	31

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Jordon Hankins (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin	110	16	7	10	4
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Matt Hudson (Tr)	60	4	1	1	0
Elijah Herring (Tr)	59	8	4	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin	110	16	7	10	4
William Whitlow Jr.	24	8	5	3	1
Elijah Herring (Tr)	59	8	4	3	4
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6