Rice at UConn - 2024 Matchup Preview
Rice logo Rice Owls at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
UConn -6.5 (47.0) (-240)  Open: -6.0 | 47.0
UConn 17 - Rice: 10

 
Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Pete Alamar (Int) (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Wind: 16.1 MPH
RICE 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: UConn -11   (SP+ CONN -13)

Projected Score: RICE: 19 - CONN: 30 (52)
CONN Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
RICE Travel: 1518 miles, 1 hrs behind
Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
 
Rice's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Rice vs Sam Houston-9.549.0L 14 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Rice vs Texas Southern-30.052.5W 69 - 7OY
Sat 9/14 Rice at Houston+3.543.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/21 Rice at Army+7.044.0L 14 - 37ON
Sat 9/28 Rice vs Charlotte-4.048.0L 20 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Rice vs UTSA+3.551.0W 29 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 Rice at Tulane+21.553.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Rice at UConn+6.547.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 Rice vs Navy+12.549.0W 24 - 10UY
Fri 11/8 Rice at Memphis+7.550.5L 20 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Rice at UAB-7.052.0L 14 - 40ON
Sat 11/30 Rice vs South Florida+5.553.5W 35 - 28OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
UConn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UConn at Maryland+19.045.5L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/7 UConn vs Merrimack-14.544.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 UConn at Duke+17.546.5L 21 - 26OY
Sat 9/21 UConn vs Florida Atlantic-1.046.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 UConn vs Buffalo-6.044.5W 47 - 3OY
Sat 10/5 UConn vs Temple-17.549.0W 29 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UConn vs Wake Forest+2.555.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 UConn vs Rice-6.547.0W 17 - 10UY
Fri 11/1 UConn vs Georgia State-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/9 UConn at UAB-7.554.0W 31 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UConn at Syracuse+10.053.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 UConn at Massachusetts-9.549.5W 47 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 UConn vs North Carolina+2.053.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#52 (.22)44% (49)22.243% (70)3.01 (87)11045% (32)2524.81 (9)#63 (.17)41% (57)25.444% (83)39% (33)3.61 (52)49.420.9
CONN#111 (.11)40% (96)31.943% (68)2.76 (120)13737% (108)1903.29 (106)#99 (.23)47% (124)23.145% (89)49% (133)3.88 (75)53.81.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense1322.212.543.7%4.812193631102523.741%58%43%45%17%.22
CONN Defense1223.116.346.6%3.881.1 - - - - - 51%49%45%49%16%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense1325.429.741.2%3.610.9 - - - - - 52%48%44%39%12%.17
CONN Offense1231.936.939.8%3.291.4183271371904.251%48%43%37%16%.11

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice1330:5918.838%67%5.849.420.93.81.3128.7
UConn1231:1518.135%38%6.153.81.41.15.71.3127.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense1341% (120)43% (70)29.8110.53.721 (54).12 (86)3.01 (87)65% (118)10% (59)0.96 (89)
CONN Defense1251% (77)45% (89) - - - - .11 (48)2.9 (34)79% (103)11% (45)0.98 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense1352% (93)44% (83) - - - - .19 (99)3.15 (80)73% (66)7% (125)1.01 (79)
CONN Offense1251% (54)43% (68)32.8136.64.215 (100).01 (125)2.76 (120)77% (41)11% (93)0.9 (112)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense1358% (13)45% (32)20.633.2252.57.612.329 (18)16 (121).34 (45)1.6 (54)32% (74)32% (60).32 (71)7% (103)2.1 (47)
CONN Defense1249% (61)49% (133) - - - - - - 6 (120).4 (118)1.4 (17)30% (113)33% (112).35 (86)5% (110)1.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense1348% (42)39% (33) - - - - - - 5 (126).21 (34)1.6 (53)33% (49)29% (44).24 (34)5% (109)2 (53)
CONN Offense1248% (79)37% (108)18.331.8190.3610.412 (113)7 (21).25 (78)1.6 (51)35% (112)28% (90).23 (98)5% (33)1.8 (122)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -8.74 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 572.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.74   UConn: 1.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -11.4   UConn: 1.5




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 1.025 #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
2024 Talent Rating: 468.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 714
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.7

Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 30
Rice 19


Projected Total Points: 52
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26UConn17Rice10UConnUConn -6.5UConn47.0Under
202310/07Rice31UConn38UConnRice -10UConn47.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn221 Overs
Rice001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#95) Rice Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.74 #95
Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 572.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Rice Notes
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ
Rice     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #95
#80
Off #123
#89
Def #12
#36
Talent #82
#107
SP+ #109
#67
SP+ Off #110
#70
SP+ Def #94
#60

Rematch from Week 9
UConn -6.5 (47.0)
UConn won vs Rice this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Rice last year (17-10)
UConn beat Rice in 2023 (38-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61° - Wind: 16 mph


Team Information
Injuries: RICE | CONN
Depth Chart: RICE | CONN
Rosters: RICE | CONN
(#80) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.025 #80
Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60
Talent Rating: 468.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UConn Notes
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR


  
Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)27143862%271017136.2
Drew Devillier203853%137003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors15978094.971
Quinton Jackson4827515.745
Taji Atkins2415826.633
Coleman Bennett (Tr)228114.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors6147227.769
Braylen Walker22264112.050
Graham Walker (Tr)24252010.533
Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman (Tr)1512518.333

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Brian Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Andrew Awe444110
Daveon Hook352012
Max Ahoia341008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Michael Daley (Tr)146310
Charles Looes (Tr)317320
Joseph Mutombo113210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Ahoia341008
Daveon Hook352012
Tyson Flowers333012

UConn's OC Gordon Sammis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Tucker McDonald3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Durell Robinson (Tr)10773186.868
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)50860517.270
TJ Sheffield (Tr)5450539.458
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)3230739.626
Louis Hansen2423649.855

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Rante Jones562032
D'Mon Brinson484004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Pryce Yates217451
Langston Hardy447430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
D'Mon Brinson484004