Wyoming at New Mexico Game Matchup
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -7.5 (60.5) (-285)  Open: -6.5
Wyoming 49 - New Mexico: 45  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
UNM is playing their 4th straight game
WYO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico -1.5   (SP+ WYO -1)

Projected Score: WYO: 30 - UNM: 31 (60)
UNM Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 435 miles
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Wyoming's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Wyoming at Arizona State+6.547.0L 7 - 48ON
Sat 9/7 Wyoming vs Idaho-6.539.5L 13 - 17UN
Sat 9/14 Wyoming vs BYU+9.540.5L 14 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Wyoming at North Texas+7.055.0L 17 - 44ON
Sat 9/28 Wyoming vs Air Force+4.033.5W 31 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Wyoming vs San Diego State-1.543.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 10/19 Wyoming at San José State+13.053.0L 14 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Wyoming vs Utah State+2.557.0L 25 - 27UY
Sat 11/2 Wyoming at New Mexico+7.560.5W 49 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Wyoming at Colorado State+8.547.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Wyoming vs Boise State+22.054.0L 13 - 17UY
Sat 11/30 Wyoming at Washington State+18.555.5W 15 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 3

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
New Mexico's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 New Mexico vs Montana State+10.554.0L 31 - 35OY
Sat 8/31 New Mexico at Arizona+28.060.0L 39 - 61OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Auburn+25.558.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs Fresno State+12.061.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at New Mexico State-9.554.0W 50 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 New Mexico vs Air Force-7.056.0W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Utah State-1.078.5W 50 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 New Mexico at Colorado State+3.562.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 New Mexico vs Wyoming-7.560.5L 45 - 49ON
Fri 11/8 New Mexico at San Diego State+1.565.5W 21 - 16UY
Sat 11/16 New Mexico vs Washington State+10.572.5W 38 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 New Mexico at Hawai'i-6.561.5L 30 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#71 (.19)43% (56)19.344% (60)3.25 (41)15843% (59)1693.97 (60)#76 (.19)43% (77)28.342% (58)44% (104)3.44 (40)33.40.81.7
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)33.550% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)3850% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense1319.318.743.1%3.970.8193271581694.456%44%44%43%14%.19
UNM Defense123838.848.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1328.333.242.6%3.441.7 - - - - - 48%51%42%44%14%.19
UNM Offense1233.537.448.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1330:1518.637%67%3.933.40.81.73.81.5128.9
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1356% (28)44% (60)36158.54.419 (69).17 (53)3.25 (41)82% (11)9% (53)1 (66)
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1348% (47)42% (58) - - - - .13 (64)3.17 (86)71% (55)7% (130)0.94 (38)
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1344% (106)43% (59)14.523.4168.57.211.620 (70)6 (14).23 (86)1.5 (101)29% (23)32% (61).3 (80)5% (20)2 (85)
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1351% (87)44% (104) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (79)1.5 (25)32% (74)31% (81).33 (77)6% (59)2 (64)
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -17.71 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 462.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -17.71   New Mexico: -13.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -13.6   New Mexico: -14.8




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -13.95 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 31
Wyoming 30


Projected Total Points: 60
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02New Mexico45Wyoming49WyomingNew Mexico -7.5Wyoming60.5Over
202309/30Wyoming35New Mexico26WyomingWyoming -14.5New Mexico40.5Over
202210/08New Mexico14Wyoming27WyomingWyoming -3Wyoming37.0Over
202110/23Wyoming3New Mexico14New MexicoWyoming -20.0New Mexico41.0Under
202012/05New Mexico17Wyoming16New MexicoWyoming -18New Mexico52.0Under
201910/19Wyoming23New Mexico10WyomingWyoming -17.5New Mexico49.0Under
201811/24New Mexico3Wyoming31WyomingWyoming -7Wyoming43.0Under
201710/28Wyoming42New Mexico3WyomingWyoming -2.5Wyoming47.0Under
201611/26New Mexico56Wyoming35New MexicoWyoming -2New Mexico65.0Over
201509/26Wyoming28New Mexico38New MexicoNew Mexico -2.5New Mexico58.5Over
201411/29New Mexico36Wyoming30New MexicoNew Mexico -6Push0
201310/12Wyoming38New Mexico31WyomingWyoming -14.5New Mexico0
201211/10New Mexico23Wyoming28Wyoming
201111/19Wyoming31New Mexico10Wyoming
201011/06New Mexico34Wyoming31New Mexico
200910/10Wyoming37New Mexico13Wyoming
200810/04New Mexico24Wyoming0New Mexico
200710/13Wyoming3New Mexico20New Mexico
200610/07New Mexico10Wyoming14Wyoming
200510/15Wyoming24New Mexico27New Mexico
200411/20New Mexico16Wyoming9New Mexico
200311/22Wyoming3New Mexico26New Mexico
200110/06Wyoming29New Mexico30New Mexico
200009/29New Mexico45Wyoming10New Mexico
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico1375 Overs
Wyoming1145 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 113 - 81 - 52 - 3
Road Teams11 - 138 - 33 - 25 - 1

(#117) Wyoming Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -17.71 #117
Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 462.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wyoming Notes
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad
(9/8) Lost @ home to Idaho? QB awful, penalties
(9/1) Mauled @ ASU, DL 241 yds rushing, run game awful
(8/11) DL may be best in MWC, OL exp'd and rising
Wyoming     Ratings Matchup     New Mexico
Power #117
#118
Off #122
#30
Def #84
#128
Talent #108
#128
SP+ #115
#116
SP+ Off #127
#64
SP+ Def #95
#132

Rematch from Week 10
New Mexico -7.5 (60.5)
Wyoming won at New Mexico this year (49-45)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat New Mexico last year (49-45)
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2023 (35-26)
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 69° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WYO | UNM
Depth Chart: WYO | UNM
Rosters: WYO | UNM
(#118) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.95 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg


  
Wyoming's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Svoboda11122649%1308585.8
Kaden Anderson7012058%955638.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Scott9243534.743
Harrison Waylee6332315.136
Jamari Ferrell8031814.062
Evan Svoboda10923752.251
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Sargent23480220.970
Johnmichael Gyllenborg30425314.263
Chris Durr Jr.31348111.240
Tyler King (Tr)17236013.936

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Aaron Bohl
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wrook Brown481006
Tyrecus Davis421008
Tyce Westland416300
Keany Parks411007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyce Westland416300
Sabastian Harsh419310
Braden Siders204200
Ben Florentine264111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrecus Davis421008
Keany Parks411007
Wrook Brown481006

New Mexico's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier22639058%276812127.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier1561152197.485
Eli Sanders (Tr)147106497.275
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)7438255.229
Javen Jacobs (Tr)4027736.950
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Wysong69840112.253
Caleb Medford18336318.747
Nic Trujillo16305119.143
Trace Bruckler2213826.312

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Randolph Kpai (Tr)805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Dmitri Johnson775212
Jayden Wilson323220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Taylor5620010
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Christian Ellis934824