Wyoming at New Mexico - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -7.5 (60.5) (-285) Open: -6.5
Wyoming 49 - New Mexico: 45 (Mountain West)

Cowboys (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNM is playing their 4th straight game
WYO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico -1.5 (SP+ WYO -1)
Projected Score: WYO: 30 - UNM: 31 (61)
UNM Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 435 miles

Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Wyoming at Arizona State	+6.5	47.0	L 7 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/7	Wyoming vs Idaho	-6.5	39.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/14	Wyoming vs BYU	+9.5	40.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/21	Wyoming at North Texas	+7.0	55.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/28	Wyoming vs Air Force	+4.0	33.5	W 31 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Wyoming vs San Diego State	-1.5	43.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/19	Wyoming at San José State	+13.0	53.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wyoming vs Utah State	+2.5	57.0	L 25 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Wyoming at New Mexico	+7.5	60.5	W 49 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Wyoming at Colorado State	+8.5	47.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Wyoming vs Boise State	+22.0	54.0	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Wyoming at Washington State	+18.5	55.5	W 15 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

New Mexico's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	New Mexico vs Montana State	+10.5	54.0	L 31 - 35	O	Y
Sat 8/31	New Mexico at Arizona	+28.0	60.0	L 39 - 61	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	New Mexico at Auburn	+25.5	58.5	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/21	New Mexico vs Fresno State	+12.0	61.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/28	New Mexico at New Mexico State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 40	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	New Mexico vs Air Force	-7.0	56.0	W 52 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/19	New Mexico at Utah State	-1.0	78.5	W 50 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/26	New Mexico at Colorado State	+3.5	62.0	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/2	New Mexico vs Wyoming	-7.5	60.5	L 45 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/8	New Mexico at San Diego State	+1.5	65.5	W 21 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/16	New Mexico vs Washington State	+10.5	72.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	New Mexico at Hawai'i	-6.5	61.5	L 30 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)	19.3	39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)	28.3	43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)	33.5	53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)	38	50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)		53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)		50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	12	19.3	18.7	36.4%	3.07	1.3	17	327	138	189	3.6	54%	46%	39%	34%	17%	.05
UNM Defense	12	38	38.8	50.4%	4.64	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	51%	14%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	12	28.3	33.2	44%	3.97	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	43%	45%	15%	.23
UNM Offense	12	33.5	37.4	48.9%	3.83	1.6	25	485	254	231	6.7	52%	48%	53%	44%	12%	.31

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	12	30:52	17.3	36%	60%	5.5	49.6	1.3	0.9	5	1.3	2	28
New Mexico	12	28:52	24.7	43%	68%	9.3	81.5	1.6	0.8	3.9	1.6	1	26.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	12	54% (40)	39% (111)	38.2	138.1	3.6	14 (98)	.02 (117)	2.64 (122)	62% (121)	11% (92)	0.94 (83)
UNM Defense	12	54% (106)	50% (125)	-	-	-	-	.2 (110)	3.26 (103)	71% (52)	8% (118)	0.97 (64)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	12	52% (82)	43% (70)	-	-	-	-	.21 (112)	3.09 (85)	62% (12)	9% (87)	1.19 (128)
UNM Offense	12	52% (55)	53% (3)	37.8	254	6.7	37 (6)	.37 (1)	3.81 (1)	81% (20)	5% (1)	1.1 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	12	46% (93)	34% (125)	15.1	28.9	188.6	6.5	12.5	11 (122)	11 (72)	.08 (126)	1.8 (19)	34% (110)	25% (118)	.15 (126)	6% (72)	2.1 (62)
UNM Defense	12	46% (30)	51% (131)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.51 (132)	1.6 (81)	26% (132)	38% (129)	.54 (129)	6% (79)	2.2 (118)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	12	48% (55)	45% (113)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.25 (78)	1.4 (10)	31% (81)	32% (85)	.32 (73)	5% (102)	1.8 (16)
UNM Offense	12	48% (77)	44% (40)	18.8	32.5	230.7	7.1	12.3	12 (118)	12 (85)	.24 (77)	1.4 (125)	27% (8)	37% (11)	.49 (13)	6% (85)	1.9 (110)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -17.71 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -17.71 New Mexico: -13.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -13.6 New Mexico: -14.8

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -13.95 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 31
Wyoming 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico 35
Wyoming 27

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico 33
Wyoming 29

Total Points: 62

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	New Mexico	45	Wyoming	49	New Mexico -7.5	Wyoming	60.5	Over
2023	09/30	Wyoming	35	New Mexico	26	Wyoming -14.5	New Mexico	40.5	Over
2022	10/08	New Mexico	14	Wyoming	27	Wyoming -3	Wyoming	37.0	Over
2021	10/23	Wyoming	3	New Mexico	14	Wyoming -20.0	New Mexico	41.0	Under
2020	12/05	New Mexico	17	Wyoming	16	Wyoming -18	New Mexico	52.0	Under
2019	10/19	Wyoming	23	New Mexico	10	Wyoming -17.5	New Mexico	49.0	Under
2018	11/24	New Mexico	3	Wyoming	31	Wyoming -7	Wyoming	43.0	Under
2017	10/28	Wyoming	42	New Mexico	3	Wyoming -2.5	Wyoming	47.0	Under
2016	11/26	New Mexico	56	Wyoming	35	Wyoming -2	New Mexico	65.0	Over
2015	09/26	Wyoming	28	New Mexico	38	New Mexico -2.5	New Mexico	58.5	Over
2014	11/29	New Mexico	36	Wyoming	30	New Mexico -6	Push	0
2013	10/12	Wyoming	38	New Mexico	31	Wyoming -14.5	New Mexico	0
2012	11/10	New Mexico	23	Wyoming	28
2011	11/19	Wyoming	31	New Mexico	10
2010	11/06	New Mexico	34	Wyoming	31
2009	10/10	Wyoming	37	New Mexico	13
2008	10/04	New Mexico	24	Wyoming	0
2007	10/13	Wyoming	3	New Mexico	20
2006	10/07	New Mexico	10	Wyoming	14
2005	10/15	Wyoming	24	New Mexico	27
2004	11/20	New Mexico	16	Wyoming	9
2003	11/22	Wyoming	3	New Mexico	26
2001	10/06	Wyoming	29	New Mexico	30
2000	09/29	New Mexico	45	Wyoming	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	13	7	5 Overs
Wyoming	11	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 11	3 - 8	1 - 5	2 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 13	8 - 3	3 - 2	5 - 1

(#117) WYO at (#118) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WYO	UNM
Power RatePwr	#117	#118
SP+SP+	#115	#116
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#92
OffenseOff	#118	#17
DefenseDef	#69	#134
Spec TeamsST	#94	#135
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#74

Wyoming Notes(11/25) Fight w/ Boise, Off awful, Def fought hard in L
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad
(9/8) Lost @ home to Idaho? QB awful, penalties
(9/1) Mauled @ ASU, DL 241 yds rushing, run game awful
(8/11) DL may be best in MWC, OL exp'd and rising
(7/31) Exp'd team, great at home, can Off rise up?
Wyoming Injury Report

New Mexico Notes(12/14) HC Mendenhall left for Utah State
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg
(9/10) Defense is worst in CFB. Maybe historically bad.
New Mexico Injury Report

Wyoming on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	UNM Def
Perf GradePerf	#118	#134
SuccessSuc	#126	#132
ExplosiveExp	#60	#68
PPAPPA	#127	#132
PowerPwr	#122	#128
SP+SP+	#127	#132
Pts POPPO	#126	#128
HavocHav	#86	#114

Wyoming Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#125	#127
Run SuccessRSuc	#111	#125
Run ExplRExp	#83	#64
PPAExp	#117	#110
Run BlockR Blk	#60	-
OL YdsOLY	#122	#103
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#94
TackleTak	-	#115

Wyoming Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#116
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#131
Pass ExplPExl	#19	#81
PPAExp	#126	#132
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#112	#135
F7 HavocF7	#92	#118
DB HavocDB	#72	#79

New Mexico on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	UNM Off	WYO Def
Perf GradePerf	#17	#69
SuccessSuc	#10	#96
ExplosiveExp	#86	#65
PPAPPA	#14	#102
PowerPwr	#30	#84
SP+SP+	#64	#95
Pts POPPO	#79	#86
HavocHav	#12	#92

New Mexico Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	UNM Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#5	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#3	#70
Run ExplRExp	#21	#128
PPAExp	#1	#112
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	#1	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#3	#58
TackleTak	-	#96

New Mexico Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	UNM Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#30	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	#40	#113
Pass ExplPExl	#125	#10
PPAExp	#77	#78
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#22	#75
F7 HavocF7	#1	#87
DB HavocDB	#85	#102

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WYO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 69° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 10
New Mexico -7.5 (60.5)
Wyoming won at New Mexico this year (49-45)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat New Mexico last year (49-45)
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2023 (35-26)
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-14)

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Svoboda	111	226	49%	1308	5	8	5.8
Kaden Anderson	70	120	58%	955	6	3	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Scott	92	435	3	4.7	43
Harrison Waylee	63	323	1	5.1	36
Jamari Ferrell	80	318	1	4.0	62
Evan Svoboda	109	237	5	2.2	51

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Sargent	23	480	2	20.9	70
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	30	425	3	14.2	63
Chris Durr Jr.	31	348	1	11.2	40
Tyler King (Tr)	17	236	0	13.9	36

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Isaac White	57	2	0	0	2
Wrook Brown	48	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tyce Westland	41	6	3	0
Sabastian Harsh	41	9	3	1
Braden Siders	20	4	2	0
DeVonne Harris	21	5	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyrecus Davis	42	1	8
Keany Parks	41	1	7
Wrook Brown	48	1	6

UNM's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Devon Dampier	226	390	58%	2768	12	12	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devon Dampier	156	1152	19	7.4	85
Eli Sanders (Tr)	147	1064	9	7.2	75
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)	74	382	5	5.2	29
Javen Jacobs (Tr)	40	277	3	6.9	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Wysong	69	840	1	12.2	53
Ryan Davis	54	747	3	13.8	55
Caleb Medford	18	336	3	18.7	47
Nic Trujillo	16	305	1	19.1	43

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Christian Ellis	93	4	8	2	4
Noah Avinger (Tr)	82	2	0	0	5
Randolph Kpai (Tr)	80	5	1	5	3
Dmitri Johnson	77	5	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Christian Ellis	93	4	8	2	4
Moso'oipala Tuitele	35	6	4	2	0
Dmitri Johnson	77	5	2	1	2
Jayden Wilson	32	3	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Bryson Taylor	56	2	10
Noa Pola-Gates	50	0	7
Noah Avinger (Tr)	82	2	5