New Mexico at Auburn - 2024 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Auburn Tigers(#24)Auburn logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Auburn -25.5 (58.5) (-2500)  Open: -28.0 | 59.5
Auburn 45 - New Mexico: 19

 
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AUB 3rd straight Home Game
UNM coming off BYE
Our Line: Auburn -29   (SP+ AUB -24)

Projected Score: UNM: 15 - AUB: 44 (59)
AUB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
UNM Travel: 1223 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 New Mexico vs Montana State+10.554.0L 31 - 35OY
Sat 8/31 New Mexico at Arizona+28.060.0L 39 - 61OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Auburn+25.558.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs Fresno State+12.061.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at New Mexico State-9.554.0W 50 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 New Mexico vs Air Force-7.056.0W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Utah State-1.078.5W 50 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 New Mexico at Colorado State+3.562.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 New Mexico vs Wyoming-7.560.5L 45 - 49ON
Fri 11/8 New Mexico at San Diego State+1.565.5W 21 - 16UY
Sat 11/16 New Mexico vs Washington State+10.572.5W 38 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 New Mexico at Hawai'i-6.561.5L 30 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Auburn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Auburn vs Alabama A&M-48.558.5W 73 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Auburn vs California-11.552.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Auburn vs New Mexico-25.558.5W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Auburn vs Arkansas-2.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/28 Auburn vs Oklahoma-2.043.0L 21 - 27ON
Sat 10/5 Auburn at Georgia+21.050.0L 13 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Auburn at Missouri+3.549.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Auburn at Kentucky+2.043.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Auburn vs Vanderbilt-7.548.0L 7 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Auburn vs UL Monroe-24.546.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Auburn vs Texas A&M+2.547.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 11/30 Auburn at Alabama+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)33.553% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)3850% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)27.848% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)21.338% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1233.530.748.9%3.831.6254852542316.752%48%53%44%12%.31
AUB Defense1221.320.837.8%3.351.1 - - - - - 53%47%38%38%15%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense123837.450.4%4.640.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%51%14%.34
AUB Offense1227.833.144.9%3.421.821430166264548%52%48%42%17%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1228:5224.743%68%9.381.51.60.83.91.6126.8
Auburn1227:1320.941%47%5.849.31.81.15.72.3127.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1252% (55)53% (3)37.82546.737 (6).37 (1)3.81 (1)81% (20)5% (1)1.1 (21)
AUB Defense1253% (98)38% (19) - - - - -.02 (7)2.49 (6)80% (108)10% (81)0.93 (44)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1254% (106)50% (125) - - - - .2 (110)3.26 (103)71% (52)8% (118)0.97 (64)
AUB Offense1248% (85)48% (21)33.4165.7513 (105).16 (55)3.32 (23)69% (95)10% (67)0.92 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1248% (77)44% (40)18.832.5230.77.112.312 (118)12 (85).24 (77)1.4 (125)27% (8)37% (11).49 (13)6% (85)1.9 (110)
AUB Defense1247% (42)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (93).22 (63)1.7 (104)35% (19)28% (34).21 (31)6% (77)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1246% (30)51% (131) - - - - - - 3 (132).51 (132)1.6 (81)26% (132)38% (129).54 (129)6% (79)2.2 (118)
AUB Offense1252% (47)42% (67)19.230.8263.98.613.827 (20)13 (103).31 (45)1.6 (39)31% (55)32% (69).41 (34)7% (113)1.9 (101)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -18.10 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.10   Auburn: 12.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.8   Auburn: 9.5




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 44
New Mexico 15


Total Points: 59

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Auburn45New Mexico19AuburnAuburn -25.5Auburn58.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn111 Overs
New Mexico000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#118) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -18.10 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

New Mexico has lost 2 straight
New Mexico has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg

New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico has Really Good Running Game (#41)
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico has a top Offensive Line (#79)
New Mexico does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#24)


New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAUBUNM
OverallOver#21#66
OffenseOff#42#16
DefenseDef#15#113
Special TeamsST#46#112
PassingPass#55#25
RushingRush#52#5
Run BlockRBLK#34#24
Pass BlockPBLK#55#22
Route RunningWR Rt#37#47
TacklingTkl#39#100
Run DefenseR Def#10#102
Pass Rush DefPRush#27#114
Coverage DefCov#59#94

Rematch from Week 3
Auburn -25.5 (58.5)
Auburn won vs New Mexico this year (45-19)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat New Mexico last year (45-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | AUB
Depth Chart: UNM | AUB
Rosters: UNM | AUB
(#27) Auburn Info
Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.42 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Auburn has lost 1 straight
Auburn has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (4 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Auburn Highlights
Auburn has a top Offensive Line (#21)
Auburn has a really good defense (#16)
Auburn defense is really good in red zone (#63)
Auburn has a good run defense (#3)
Auburn Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#9)
Auburn Defensive Line is very good (#6)

Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Auburn Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Auburn throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Auburn offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#8)


  
New Mexico's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier22639058%276812127.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier1561152197.485
Eli Sanders (Tr)147106497.275
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)7438255.229
Javen Jacobs (Tr)4027736.950
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Wysong69840112.253
Ryan Davis54747313.855
Caleb Medford18336318.747
Nic Trujillo16305119.143

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Randolph Kpai (Tr)805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Dmitri Johnson775212
Jayden Wilson323220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Taylor5620010
Noa Pola-Gates500007
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005

Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne19931763%27132198.6
Hank Brown274363%403639.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter187120186.450
Payton Thorne11228322.531
Damari Alston5227635.336
Jeremiah Cobb2914204.927
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Cam Coleman37598816.263
Malcolm Simmons40451311.357
Rivaldo Fairweather31372212.043

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105
Jalen McLeod5614821
Keldric Faulk4511771
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen McLeod5614821
Keldric Faulk4511771
Demarcus Riddick275321
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kayin Lee320007
Jay Crawford150007
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105