Washington State at New Mexico - 2024 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo   Washington State Cougars at New Mexico Lobos  New Mexico logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (9:30 PM EST)
Washington State -10.5 (72.5) (-395)  Open: -14.0
New Mexico 38 - Washington State: 35

 
Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Washington State -13.5  (SP+ WSU -16)

Projected Score: WSU: 36 - UNM: 23 (59)
WSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
WSU Travel: 974 miles, 1 hrs behind
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington State vs Portland State-26.557.5W 70 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 Washington State vs Texas Tech+2.564.5W 37 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Washington State vs Washington+4.056.0W 24 - 19UY
Fri 9/20 Washington State vs San José State-13.055.5W 54 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Washington State at Boise State+6.566.0L 24 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Washington State at Fresno State-3.560.5W 25 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 Washington State vs Hawai'i-18.555.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 Washington State at San Diego State-17.056.5W 29 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Washington State vs Utah State-20.569.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Washington State at New Mexico-10.572.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/23 Washington State at Oregon State-11.057.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 Washington State vs Wyoming-18.555.5L 14 - 15UN
Fri 12/27 Washington State vs Syracuse+19.058.5L 35 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
New Mexico's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 New Mexico vs Montana State+10.554.0L 31 - 35OY
Sat 8/31 New Mexico at Arizona+28.060.0L 39 - 61OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Auburn+25.558.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs Fresno State+12.061.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at New Mexico State-9.554.0W 50 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 New Mexico vs Air Force-7.056.0W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Utah State-1.078.5W 50 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 New Mexico at Colorado State+3.562.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 New Mexico vs Wyoming-7.560.5L 45 - 49ON
Fri 11/8 New Mexico at San Diego State+1.565.5W 21 - 16UY
Sat 11/16 New Mexico vs Washington State+10.572.5W 38 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 New Mexico at Hawai'i-6.561.5L 30 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#65 (.2)45% (40)22.547% (24)2.85 (110)8444% (47)3364.17 (41)#62 (.17)42% (64)20.245% (95)39% (34)4.22 (108)49.81.81.3
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)27.150% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)22.350% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1222.516.344.9%4.171.82342084336334%65%47%44%18%.2
UNM Defense1222.318.748.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1220.223.741.7%4.221.3 - - - - - 49%50%45%39%15%.17
UNM Offense1227.128.348.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1229:4322.742%46%6.149.81.81.35.22329.4
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1234% (132)47% (24)28.484.3317 (81).09 (98)2.85 (110)72% (80)11% (96)0.98 (80)
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1249% (54)45% (95) - - - - .12 (53)3.03 (53)68% (39)9% (87)0.98 (60)
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1265% (3)44% (47)28.442.6335.77.911.827 (25)9 (40).29 (69)1.5 (117)31% (58)34% (37).43 (34)6% (80)2.1 (65)
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1250% (82)39% (34) - - - - - - 8 (100).24 (50)1.6 (66)32% (59)29% (54).26 (39)6% (93)2.1 (78)
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.40  #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60  #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60  #107
2024 Talent Rating: 237.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3  #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0  #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 259.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -2.40   New Mexico: -13.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.3   New Mexico: -14.8




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -13.95  #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67  #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73  #128
2024 Talent Rating: 120.00  #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8  #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Washington State 36
New Mexico 23


Projected Total Points: 59
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16New Mexico38Washington State35Washington State -10.5New Mexico72.5Over
200409/03New Mexico17Washington State21
200309/20Washington State23New Mexico13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico111 Overs
Washington State200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#72) WSU at (#118) UNM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWSUUNM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #72 #118
SP+SP+ #68 #116
Perf GradeGrade #48 #92
OffenseOff #45 #17
DefenseDef #44 #134
Spec TeamsST #101 #135
TalentTal #102 #130
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #74
Washington State Notes
(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh
Washington State Injury Report
New Mexico Notes
(12/14) HC Mendenhall left for Utah State
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg
(9/10) Defense is worst in CFB. Maybe historically bad.
New Mexico Injury Report
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WSU OffUNM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #45 #134
SuccessSuc #40 #130
ExplosiveExp #75 #64
PPAPPA #65 #127
PowerPwr #22 #128
SP+SP+ #21 #132
Pts POPPO #41 #109
HavocHav #94 #54
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WSU OffUNM Def
Run GameRun #25 #127
Run SuccessRSuc #24 #126
Run ExplRExp #80 #20
PPAExp #98 #106
Run BlockR Blk #112 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #115
Stuff RateStuff #86 #66
TackleTak -  #115
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WSU OffUNM Def
Pass GamePass #51 #116
Pass SuccessPSuc #47 #127
Pass ExplPExl #117 #118
PPAExp #69 #128
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #3 #135
F7 HavocF7 #96 #80
DB HavocDB #80 #28
New Mexico on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUNM OffWSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #17 #44
SuccessSuc #12 #64
ExplosiveExp #65 #54
PPAPPA #15 #62
PowerPwr #30 #107
SP+SP+ #64 #97
Pts POPPO #49 #108
HavocHav #126 #94
New Mexico Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
UNM OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #5 #69
Run SuccessRSuc #13 #95
Run ExplRExp #54 #60
PPAExp #16 #53
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLY #31 #53
Stuff RateStuff #61 #55
TackleTak -  #132
New Mexico Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUNM OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #30 #42
Pass SuccessPSuc #23 #34
Pass ExplPExl #57 #66
PPAExp #23 #50
Pass Block/RushP Blk #22 #43
F7 HavocF7 #110 #87
DB HavocDB #129 #93
Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Washington State 10.5 (72.5)
New Mexico won vs Washington State this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Washington State in 2024 (38-35)

  
WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer22434765%31392979.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)375074%424428.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Mateer178826154.668
Wayshawn Parker13773545.475
Leo Pulalasi6530224.622
Djouvensky Schlenbaker4314933.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Williams7011931417.066
Kris Hutson (Tr)55691212.659
Josh Meredith39477212.239
Carlos Hernandez31397512.842

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taariq Al-Uqdah695052
Kyle Thornton667141
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tanner Moku480001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh247620
Khalil Laufau154301
Andrew Edson387342
Quinn Roff184320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan O'Connor301018
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tyson Durant (Tr)452026

UNM's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier22639058%276812127.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier1561152197.485
Eli Sanders (Tr)147106497.275
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)7438255.229
Javen Jacobs (Tr)4027736.950
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Wysong69840112.253
Ryan Davis54747313.855
Caleb Medford18336318.747
Nic Trujillo16305119.143

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Randolph Kpai (Tr)805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Dmitri Johnson775212
Jayden Wilson323220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Taylor5620010
Noa Pola-Gates500007
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005