Washington State at New Mexico Game Matchup
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (9:30 PM EST)
Washington State -10.5 (72.5) (-395)  Open: -14.0
New Mexico 38 - Washington State: 35

 
Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 30 (30 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
UNM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Washington State -13.5   (SP+ WSU -16)

Projected Score: WSU: 42 - UNM: 29 (69)
WSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
WSU Travel: 974 miles, 1 hrs behind
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington State vs Portland State-26.557.5W 70 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 Washington State vs Texas Tech+2.564.5W 37 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Washington State vs Washington+4.056.0W 24 - 19UY
Fri 9/20 Washington State vs San José State-13.055.5W 54 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Washington State at Boise State+6.566.0L 24 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Washington State at Fresno State-3.560.5W 25 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 Washington State vs Hawai'i-18.555.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 Washington State at San Diego State-17.056.5W 29 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Washington State vs Utah State-20.569.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Washington State at New Mexico-10.572.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/23 Washington State at Oregon State-11.057.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 Washington State vs Wyoming-18.555.5L 14 - 15UN
Fri 12/27 Washington State vs Syracuse+19.058.5L 35 - 52OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
New Mexico's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 New Mexico vs Montana State+10.554.0L 31 - 35OY
Sat 8/31 New Mexico at Arizona+28.060.0L 39 - 61OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Auburn+25.558.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs Fresno State+12.061.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at New Mexico State-9.554.0W 50 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 New Mexico vs Air Force-7.056.0W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Utah State-1.078.5W 50 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 New Mexico at Colorado State+3.562.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 New Mexico vs Wyoming-7.560.5L 45 - 49ON
Fri 11/8 New Mexico at San Diego State+1.565.5W 21 - 16UY
Sat 11/16 New Mexico vs Washington State+10.572.5W 38 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 New Mexico at Hawai'i-6.561.5L 30 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#65 (.2)45% (40)36.647% (24)2.85 (110)8444% (47)3364.17 (41)#62 (.17)42% (64)29.945% (95)39% (34)4.22 (108)49.81.81.3
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)33.550% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)3850% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1236.630.244.9%4.171.82342084336334%65%47%44%18%.2
UNM Defense123838.848.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1229.933.441.7%4.221.3 - - - - - 49%50%45%39%15%.17
UNM Offense1233.537.448.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1229:4322.742%46%6.149.81.81.35.22329.4
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1234% (132)47% (24)28.484.3317 (81).09 (98)2.85 (110)72% (80)11% (96)0.98 (80)
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1249% (54)45% (95) - - - - .12 (53)3.03 (53)68% (39)9% (87)0.98 (60)
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1265% (3)44% (47)28.442.6335.77.911.827 (25)9 (40).29 (69)1.5 (117)31% (58)34% (37).43 (34)6% (80)2.1 (65)
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1250% (82)39% (34) - - - - - - 8 (100).24 (50)1.6 (66)32% (59)29% (54).26 (39)6% (93)2.1 (78)
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.40 #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
2024 Talent Rating: 480.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 519
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -2.40   New Mexico: -13.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.3   New Mexico: -14.8




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -13.95 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Washington State 42
New Mexico 29


Projected Total Points: 69
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16New Mexico38Washington State35New MexicoWashington State -10.5New Mexico72.5Over
200409/03New Mexico17Washington State21Washington State
200309/20Washington State23New Mexico13Washington State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico111 Overs
Washington State200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#72) Washington State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.40 #72
Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97
Talent Rating: 480.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Washington State Notes
(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh
Washington State     Ratings Matchup     New Mexico
Power #72
#118
Off #22
#30
Def #107
#128
Talent #105
#128
SP+ #68
#116
SP+ Off #21
#64
SP+ Def #97
#132

Rematch from Week 12
Washington State 10.5 (72.5)
New Mexico won vs Washington State this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Washington State last year (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 47° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WSU | UNM
Depth Chart: WSU | UNM
Rosters: WSU | UNM
(#118) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.95 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg


  
Washington State's OC Ben Arbuckle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer22434765%31392979.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)375074%424428.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Mateer178826154.668
Wayshawn Parker13773545.475
Leo Pulalasi6530224.622
Djouvensky Schlenbaker4314933.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Hutson (Tr)55691212.659
Josh Meredith39477212.239
Carlos Hernandez31397512.842
Cooper Mathers13196615.150

View Washington State's Full Roster
Washington State's DC Jeff Schmedding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taariq Al-Uqdah695052
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tanner Moku480001
Stephen Hall484003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh247620
Khalil Laufau154301
Raam Stevenson153270
Syrus Webster (Tr)284140
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan O'Connor301018
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tyson Durant (Tr)452026

New Mexico's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier22639058%276812127.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier1561152197.485
Eli Sanders (Tr)147106497.275
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)7438255.229
Javen Jacobs (Tr)4027736.950
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Wysong69840112.253
Caleb Medford18336318.747
Nic Trujillo16305119.143
Trace Bruckler2213826.312

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Randolph Kpai (Tr)805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Dmitri Johnson775212
Jayden Wilson323220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Taylor5620010
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Christian Ellis934824