New Mexico Lobos at Colorado State Rams
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (5:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -3.5 (62.0) (-230) Open: -6.0 | 65.0
Colorado State 17 - New Mexico: 6 (Mountain West)
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
UNM 2nd straight Road Game
CSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado State -14 (SP+ CSU -9)
Projected Score: UNM: 24 - CSU: 38 (61)
CSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNM Travel: 389 miles
CSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado State -14 (SP+ CSU -9)
Projected Score: UNM: 24 - CSU: 38 (61)
CSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNM Travel: 389 miles
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
| New Mexico's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | New Mexico vs Montana State | +10.5 | 54.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 8/31 | New Mexico at Arizona | +28.0 | 60.0 | L 39 - 61 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | New Mexico at Auburn | +25.5 | 58.5 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | New Mexico vs Fresno State | +12.0 | 61.0 | L 21 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | New Mexico at New Mexico State | -9.5 | 54.0 | W 50 - 40 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | New Mexico vs Air Force | -7.0 | 56.0 | W 52 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | New Mexico at Utah State | -1.0 | 78.5 | W 50 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | New Mexico at Colorado State | +3.5 | 62.0 | L 6 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | New Mexico vs Wyoming | -7.5 | 60.5 | L 45 - 49 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/8 | New Mexico at San Diego State | +1.5 | 65.5 | W 21 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | New Mexico vs Washington State | +10.5 | 72.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/30 | New Mexico at Hawai'i | -6.5 | 61.5 | L 30 - 38 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Colorado State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Colorado State at Texas | +35.5 | 59.0 | L 0 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Colorado State vs Northern Colorado | -31.0 | 52.5 | W 38 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Colorado State vs Colorado | +7.5 | 58.5 | L 9 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Colorado State vs UTEP | -8.5 | 49.0 | W 27 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Colorado State at Oregon State | +10.0 | 47.0 | L 31 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Colorado State vs San José State | -2.5 | 55.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Colorado State at Air Force | -6.0 | 43.5 | W 21 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Colorado State vs New Mexico | -3.5 | 62.0 | W 17 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Colorado State at Nevada | -2.0 | 45.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/15 | Colorado State vs Wyoming | -8.5 | 47.5 | W 24 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Colorado State at Fresno State | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 22 - 28 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Colorado State vs Utah State | -5.5 | 56.5 | W 42 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Colorado State vs Miami (OH) | +1.0 | 42.5 | L 17 - 43 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | #14 (.31) | 49% (10) | 33.5 | 53% (3) | 3.81 (1) | 254 | 44% (40) | 231 | 3.83 (79) | #132 (.34) | 50% (132) | 38 | 50% (125) | 51% (131) | 4.64 (128) | 81.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| CSU | #90 (.16) | 42% (76) | 24.4 | 43% (80) | 2.88 (96) | 162 | 41% (81) | 192 | 3.56 (98) | #61 (.16) | 42% (78) | 25.8 | 42% (59) | 43% (94) | 4 (88) | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | #14 (.31) | 49% (10) | 53% (3) | 3.81 (1) | 254 | 44% (40) | 231 | 3.83 (79) | #132 (.34) | 50% (132) | 50% (125) | 51% (131) | 4.64 (128) | 81.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | ||
| CSU | #90 (.16) | 42% (76) | 43% (80) | 2.88 (96) | 162 | 41% (81) | 192 | 3.56 (98) | #61 (.16) | 42% (78) | 42% (59) | 43% (94) | 4 (88) | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Offense | 12 | 33.5 | 30.7 | 48.9% | 3.83 | 1.6 | 25 | 485 | 254 | 231 | 6.7 | 52% | 48% | 53% | 44% | 12% | .31 |
| CSU Defense | 13 | 25.8 | 19.9 | 42.4% | 4 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 42% | 43% | 17% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Defense | 12 | 38 | 37.4 | 50.4% | 4.64 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 50% | 51% | 14% | .34 |
| CSU Offense | 13 | 24.4 | 26.9 | 42.2% | 3.56 | 1.2 | 16 | 354 | 162 | 192 | 4.9 | 55% | 45% | 43% | 41% | 15% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | 12 | 28:52 | 24.7 | 43% | 68% | 9.3 | 81.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 26.8 |
| Colorado State | 13 | 28:44 | 16.5 | 35% | 64% | 5.8 | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 2 | 27.8 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Offense | 12 | 52% (55) | 53% (3) | 37.8 | 254 | 6.7 | 37 (6) | .37 (1) | 3.81 (1) | 81% (20) | 5% (1) | 1.1 (21) |
| CSU Defense | 13 | 49% (51) | 42% (59) | - | - | - | - | .1 (55) | 3.01 (70) | 69% (45) | 9% (91) | 1.02 (88) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Defense | 12 | 54% (106) | 50% (125) | - | - | - | - | .2 (110) | 3.26 (103) | 71% (52) | 8% (118) | 0.97 (64) |
| CSU Offense | 13 | 55% (30) | 43% (80) | 33.4 | 161.8 | 4.9 | 19 (73) | .03 (115) | 2.88 (96) | 55% (133) | 9% (46) | 0.92 (87) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Offense | 12 | 48% (77) | 44% (40) | 18.8 | 32.5 | 230.7 | 7.1 | 12.3 | 12 (118) | 12 (85) | .24 (77) | 1.4 (125) | 27% (8) | 37% (11) | .49 (13) | 6% (85) | 1.9 (110) |
| CSU Defense | 13 | 51% (85) | 43% (94) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .22 (59) | 1.4 (16) | 30% (105) | 30% (64) | .27 (49) | 8% (22) | 1.9 (35) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Defense | 12 | 46% (30) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (132) | .51 (132) | 1.6 (81) | 26% (132) | 38% (129) | .54 (129) | 6% (79) | 2.2 (118) |
| CSU Offense | 13 | 45% (102) | 41% (81) | 16.2 | 26.4 | 191.8 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 15 (98) | 8 (40) | .31 (43) | 1.7 (25) | 32% (75) | 34% (37) | .42 (33) | 7% (98) | 2 (92) |
New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -18.10 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico's Power Rating: -18.10 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.10 Colorado State: -2.37
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.8 Colorado State: -5.7
New Mexico: -18.10 Colorado State: -2.37
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.8 Colorado State: -5.7
Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4
New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4
New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 38
New Mexico 24
Total Points: 61
Colorado State 38
New Mexico 24
Total Points: 61
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Colorado State | 17 | New Mexico | 6 | Colorado State | Colorado State -3.5 | Colorado State | 62.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/25 | Colorado State | 17 | New Mexico | 0 | Colorado State | Colorado State -7.5 | Colorado State | 36.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | New Mexico | 7 | Colorado State | 36 | Colorado State | Colorado State -13 | Colorado State | 44.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/11 | New Mexico | 21 | Colorado State | 35 | Colorado State | Colorado State -4 | Colorado State | 66.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Colorado State | 20 | New Mexico | 18 | Colorado State | New Mexico -1.5 | Colorado State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/20 | New Mexico | 24 | Colorado State | 27 | Colorado State | Colorado State -10 | New Mexico | 61.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/19 | Colorado State | 49 | New Mexico | 31 | Colorado State | Colorado State -5 | Colorado State | 61.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/21 | New Mexico | 21 | Colorado State | 28 | Colorado State | Colorado State -2 | Colorado State | 56.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/22 | Colorado State | 58 | New Mexico | 20 | Colorado State | Colorado State -21 | Colorado State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/16 | New Mexico | 42 | Colorado State | 66 | Colorado State | Colorado State -4 | Colorado State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Colorado State | 24 | New Mexico | 20 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2011 | 09/03 | New Mexico | 10 | Colorado State | 14 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/30 | Colorado State | 38 | New Mexico | 14 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/21 | New Mexico | 29 | Colorado State | 27 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2008 | 11/15 | Colorado State | 20 | New Mexico | 6 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/10 | New Mexico | 26 | Colorado State | 23 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | Colorado State | 19 | New Mexico | 20 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2005 | 10/28 | New Mexico | 25 | Colorado State | 35 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2004 | 10/30 | Colorado State | 17 | New Mexico | 26 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2003 | 11/07 | New Mexico | 37 | Colorado State | 34 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | New Mexico | 17 | Colorado State | 24 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Colorado State | 17 | New Mexico | 14 | Colorado State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State | 17 | 9 | 1 Overs |
| New Mexico | 5 | 1 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 10 | 6 - 4 | 4 - 0 | 2 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 12 | 4 - 6 | 4 - 2 | 0 - 4 |
(#118) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -18.10 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
New Mexico has won 3 straight
New Mexico has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg
New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico has Really Good Running Game (#41)
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico has a top Offensive Line (#79)
New Mexico does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#24)
New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)
Power Rating: -18.10 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
New Mexico has won 3 straight
New Mexico has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg
New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico has Really Good Running Game (#41)
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico has a top Offensive Line (#79)
New Mexico does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#24)
New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CSU | UNM |
| OverallOver | #34 | #66 |
| OffenseOff | #36 | #16 |
| DefenseDef | #34 | #113 |
| Special TeamsST | #69 | #112 |
| PassingPass | #49 | #25 |
| RushingRush | #66 | #5 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #14 | #24 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #13 | #22 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #59 | #47 |
| TacklingTkl | #61 | #100 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #28 | #102 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #81 | #114 |
| Coverage DefCov | #42 | #94 |
Rematch from Week 9
Colorado State -3.5 (62.0)
Colorado State won vs New Mexico this year (17-6)
Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat New Mexico last year (17-6)
Colorado State beat New Mexico in 2022 (17-0)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UNM | CSU
Depth Chart: UNM | CSU
Rosters: UNM | CSU
(#78) Colorado State Info
Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State has won 2 straight
Colorado State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State Secondary is very good (#53)
Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#28)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State has won 2 straight
Colorado State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State Secondary is very good (#53)
Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#28)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Dampier | 226 | 390 | 58% | 2768 | 12 | 12 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Dampier | 156 | 1152 | 19 | 7.4 | 85 |
| Eli Sanders (Tr) | 147 | 1064 | 9 | 7.2 | 75 |
| NaQuari Rogers (Tr) | 74 | 382 | 5 | 5.2 | 29 |
| Javen Jacobs (Tr) | 40 | 277 | 3 | 6.9 | 50 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wysong | 69 | 840 | 1 | 12.2 | 53 |
| Ryan Davis | 54 | 747 | 3 | 13.8 | 55 |
| Caleb Medford | 18 | 336 | 3 | 18.7 | 47 |
| Nic Trujillo | 16 | 305 | 1 | 19.1 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ellis | 93 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| Noah Avinger (Tr) | 82 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Randolph Kpai (Tr) | 80 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Dmitri Johnson | 77 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ellis | 93 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| Moso'oipala Tuitele | 35 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Dmitri Johnson | 77 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Jayden Wilson | 32 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Taylor | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Noa Pola-Gates | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Noah Avinger (Tr) | 82 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi | 227 | 374 | 61% | 2755 | 14 | 8 | 7.4 |
| Jackson Brousseau | 3 | 6 | 50% | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Morrow | 184 | 1006 | 9 | 5.5 | 73 |
| Justin Marshall | 156 | 767 | 4 | 4.9 | 42 |
| Jalen Dupree | 25 | 153 | 1 | 6.1 | 24 |
| Keegan Holles | 15 | 97 | 1 | 6.5 | 18 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Goodie | 21 | 436 | 4 | 20.8 | 85 |
| Jamari Person | 35 | 373 | 1 | 10.7 | 60 |
| Armani Winfield (Tr) | 38 | 341 | 2 | 9.0 | 62 |
| Tory Horton | 25 | 331 | 1 | 13.2 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buom Jock | 97 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Chase Wilson | 97 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Jack Howell | 86 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Henry Blackburn | 79 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Kirschke (Tr) | 41 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Mukendi Wa-Kalonji | 35 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| James Mitchell | 38 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Ayden Hector | 40 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Larry (Tr) | 38 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| Dom Jones | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Dominic Morris | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |