Syracuse at Boston College - 2024 Matchup Preview

Syracuse Orange at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Boston College -5.5 (51.5) (-145) Open: -1.5 | 53.5
Boston College 37 - Syracuse: 31 (ACC)

Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC coming off BYE
Our Line: Syracuse -2.5 (SP+ SYR -4.5)
Projected Score: SYR: 29 - BC: 26 (55)
BC Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
SYR Travel: 257 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Syracuse vs Ohio	-17.5	47.5	W 38 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/7	Syracuse vs Georgia Tech	+2.5	60.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20	Syracuse vs Stanford	-9.5	56.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/28	Syracuse vs Holy Cross	-31.5	59.5	W 42 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/4	Syracuse at UNLV	+5.5	55.5	W 44 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Syracuse at NC State	-1.0	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Syracuse at Pittsburgh	+5.0	62.5	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/2	Syracuse vs Virginia Tech	+3.5	54.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Syracuse at Boston College	+5.5	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Syracuse at California	+10.5	58.0	W 33 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Syracuse vs UConn	-10.0	53.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/30	Syracuse vs Miami	+12.5	65.5	W 42 - 38	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Syracuse vs Washington State	-19.0	58.5	W 52 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Boston College's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/2	Boston College at Florida State	+16.5	50.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Boston College vs Duquesne	-33.5	52.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Boston College at Missouri	+14.5	51.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Boston College vs Michigan State	-4.5	45.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/28	Boston College vs Western Kentucky	-7.5	48.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/5	Boston College at Virginia	+2.0	52.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+8.5	47.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 10/25	Boston College vs Louisville	+7.0	54.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Boston College vs Syracuse	-5.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Boston College at SMU	+19.0	54.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Boston College vs North Carolina	+2.0	50.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	50.5	W 34 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/28	Boston College vs Nebraska	+3.0	47.5	L 15 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	#100 (.13)	40% (98)	20.2	41% (94)	2.98 (93)	172	39% (95)	172	3.38 (103)	#67 (.18)	44% (93)	34.9	47% (113)	41% (55)	3.33 (22)	61.6	1.8	1.7
BC	#62 (.21)	42% (63)	25.4	46% (35)	3.31 (29)	197	37% (106)	184	3.92 (66)	#113 (.26)	43% (82)	32.8	43% (66)	44% (106)	4.41 (120)	55.2	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	13	20.2	17	39.6%	3.38	1.8	18	344	172	172	4.2	61%	38%	41%	39%	18%	.13
BC Defense	13	32.8	31.9	43.1%	4.41	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	43%	44%	12%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	13	34.9	40.2	43.8%	3.33	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	41%	18%	.18
BC Offense	13	25.4	25.7	42.3%	3.92	1.5	21	381	197	184	4.7	61%	38%	46%	37%	13%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	13	28:16	17.8	39%	50%	7.3	61.6	1.8	1.7	6	2.2	3	29.6
Boston College	13	31:07	21.5	41%	76%	6.5	55.2	1.5	1.1	2.9	0.8	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	13	61% (10)	41% (94)	40.8	171.5	4.2	20 (61)	.12 (87)	2.98 (93)	71% (94)	12% (116)	1.04 (47)
BC Defense	13	55% (118)	43% (66)	-	-	-	-	.15 (77)	3.09 (65)	82% (113)	7% (128)	1.08 (107)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	13	50% (63)	47% (113)	-	-	-	-	.13 (60)	3.13 (75)	79% (105)	12% (16)	0.8 (6)
BC Offense	13	61% (9)	46% (35)	42	196.7	4.7	25 (37)	.26 (17)	3.31 (29)	88% (1)	7% (17)	1.12 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	13	38% (124)	39% (95)	14.7	24.2	172.1	7.1	11.7	17 (85)	15 (116)	.22 (88)	1.5 (93)	31% (48)	27% (102)	.23 (101)	6% (83)	2.1 (64)
BC Defense	13	44% (16)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.43 (125)	1.7 (105)	31% (84)	32% (98)	.37 (99)	4% (123)	2.1 (82)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	13	50% (76)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.25 (55)	1.6 (68)	31% (85)	30% (64)	.25 (37)	6% (78)	1.8 (6)
BC Offense	13	38% (125)	37% (106)	15.7	27.8	184.2	6.6	11.7	15 (96)	14 (107)	.17 (103)	1.6 (71)	29% (18)	28% (89)	.39 (45)	6% (56)	2.4 (2)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 8.66 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 318.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 8.66 Boston College: 4.395

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 5.5 Boston College: 1.2

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 368.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 29
Boston College 26

Projected Total Points: 55

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.9

Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Syracuse	12	Boston College	34	Boston College -2.5	Boston College	54.5	Under
2024	11/09	Boston College	37	Syracuse	31	Boston College -5.5	Boston College	51.5	Over
2023	11/03	Syracuse	10	Boston College	17	Syracuse -3	Boston College	51.0	Under
2022	11/26	Boston College	23	Syracuse	32	Syracuse -10.5	Boston College	47.0	Over
2021	10/30	Syracuse	21	Boston College	6	Syracuse -6.5	Syracuse	51.5	Under
2020	11/07	Syracuse	13	Boston College	16	Boston College -15	Syracuse	53.5	Under
2019	11/02	Syracuse	27	Boston College	58	Syracuse -3	Boston College	59.0	Over
2018	11/24	Boston College	21	Syracuse	42	Boston College -5	Syracuse	61.5	Over
2017	11/25	Syracuse	14	Boston College	42	Boston College -4	Boston College	56.5	Under
2016	10/22	Boston College	20	Syracuse	28	Boston College -4.5	Syracuse	49.5	Under
2015	11/28	Syracuse	20	Boston College	17	Boston College -4.5	Syracuse	39.5	Under
2014	11/29	Boston College	28	Syracuse	7	Boston College -10	Boston College	0
2013	11/30	Syracuse	34	Boston College	31	Boston College -2.5	Syracuse	0
2010	11/27	Syracuse	7	Boston College	16
2004	11/27	Boston College	17	Syracuse	43
2003	10/18	Syracuse	39	Boston College	14
2002	11/16	Boston College	41	Syracuse	20
2001	11/24	Syracuse	39	Boston College	28
2000	10/13	Boston College	20	Syracuse	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	10	7	4 Overs
Syracuse	9	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 10	7 - 6	3 - 4	4 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 9	6 - 7	2 - 4	4 - 3

(#35) SYR at (#51) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#35	#51
SP+SP+	#45	#70
Perf GradeGrade	#46	#56
OffenseOff	#13	#64
DefenseDef	#102	#33
Spec TeamsST	#113	#114
TalentTal	#68	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	#44	#82

Syracuse Notes(12/1) McCord torched Miami. Def torched but 28-17 4th Q
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great
(9/1) OL meh, DL awful vs Ohio (255 yds rush, 6.5 ypc)
Syracuse Injury Report

Boston College Notes(11/25) Rgame mauled NC, James OK, Def great in W
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far
(9/23) Outgained by MSU but 4 TOs in big W
Boston College Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#13	#33
SuccessSuc	#98	#82
ExplosiveExp	#101	#105
PPAPPA	#100	#113
PowerPwr	#12	#58
SP+SP+	#14	#56
Pts POPPO	#103	#120
HavocHav	#108	#130

Syracuse Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#96	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	#66
Run ExplRExp	#47	#107
PPAExp	#87	#77
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#93	#65
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#76
TackleTak	-	#39

Syracuse Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	#95	#106
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#105
PPAExp	#88	#125
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#43	#62
F7 HavocF7	#116	#128
DB HavocDB	#83	#123

Boston College on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	SYR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#64	#102
SuccessSuc	#63	#93
ExplosiveExp	#79	#13
PPAPPA	#62	#67
PowerPwr	#75	#80
SP+SP+	#62	#83
Pts POPPO	#66	#22
HavocHav	#20	#30

Boston College Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#104	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#113
Run ExplRExp	#18	#6
PPAExp	#17	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	#29	#75
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#70
TackleTak	-	#108

Boston College Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#106	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#71	#68
PPAExp	#103	#55
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#35	#68
F7 HavocF7	#17	#16
DB HavocDB	#56	#78

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

SYR 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Boston College -5.5 (51.5)
Boston College won vs Syracuse this year (37-31)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Syracuse last year (34-12)
Boston College beat Syracuse in 2024 (37-31)
Boston College beat Syracuse in 2023 (17-10)

SYR's OC Mike Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)	391	592	66%	4779	34	12	8.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)	2	3	67%	31	0	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	228	1021	16	4.5	30
Yasin Willis	36	130	1	3.6	26
Will Nixon (Tr)	19	76	0	4.0	12
Trebor Pena	12	72	1	6.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)	78	1021	7	13.1	41
Trebor Pena	84	941	9	11.2	50
Oronde Gadsden II	72	922	7	12.8	39
Darrell Gill Jr.	31	562	2	18.1	53

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Elijah Robinson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Alijah Clark	59	4	0	1	4
Devin Grant (Tr)	51	8	2	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)	42	13	7	3	1
Marlowe Wax	42	7	5	1	0
KingJoseph Edwards	7	3	3	1	0
Denis Jaquez Jr.	22	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)	36	1	0	0	12
Jayden Bellamy	34	1	0	0	6
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson James (Tr)	106	166	64%	1202	6	2	7.2
Thomas Castellanos	99	161	62%	1366	18	5	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kye Robichaux	175	744	10	4.3	41
Treshaun Ward (Tr)	77	406	2	5.3	36
Jordan Mcdonald (Tr)	53	361	3	6.8	41
Turbo Richard	55	278	2	5.1	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	67	689	3	10.3	49
Reed Harris	17	486	4	28.6	72
Kamari Morales (Tr)	28	325	6	11.6	54
Jeremiah Franklin	27	311	3	11.5	34

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3
Carter Davis	43	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Quintayvious Hutchins	29	6	4	8	0
Owen Stoudmire	29	4	3	2	0
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Ryan Turner (Tr)	13	2	1	0	4
Amari Jackson	18	0	0	0	4