Boston College at SMU - 2024 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
SMU -19 (54.5) (-1050)  Open: -15.5
SMU 38 - Boston College: 28  (ACC)

 
Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
SMU coming off BYE
Our Line: SMU -17   (SP+ SMU -16)

Projected Score: BC: 19 - SMU: 36 (55)
SMU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
BC Travel: 1541 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (11 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Boston College's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/2 Boston College at Florida State+16.550.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Boston College vs Duquesne-33.552.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Boston College at Missouri+14.551.5L 21 - 27UY
Sat 9/21 Boston College vs Michigan State-4.545.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/28 Boston College vs Western Kentucky-7.548.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/5 Boston College at Virginia+2.052.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Boston College at Virginia Tech+8.547.5L 21 - 42ON
Fri 10/25 Boston College vs Louisville+7.054.0L 27 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Boston College vs Syracuse-5.551.5W 37 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Boston College at SMU+19.054.5L 28 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Boston College vs North Carolina+2.050.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/30 Boston College vs Pittsburgh-3.550.5W 34 - 23OY
Sat 12/28 Boston College vs Nebraska+3.047.5L 15 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
SMU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 SMU at Nevada-28.055.5W 29 - 24UN
Sat 8/31 SMU vs Houston Christian-32.5
Fri 9/6 SMU vs BYU-12.555.5L 15 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 SMU vs TCU+1.058.5W 66 - 42OY
Sat 9/28 SMU vs Florida State-6.046.0W 42 - 16OY
Sat 10/5 SMU at Louisville+6.555.0W 34 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 SMU at Stanford-16.552.5W 40 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 SMU at Duke-11.549.5W 28 - 27ON
Sat 11/2 SMU vs Pittsburgh-7.055.5W 48 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 SMU vs Boston College-19.054.5W 38 - 28ON
Sat 11/23 SMU at Virginia-11.554.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 11/30 SMU vs California-11.554.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 12/7 SMU vs Clemson-2.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 12/21 SMU at Penn State+9.052.5L 10 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for SMU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)28.241% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)23.840% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)36.544% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)22.139% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1328.222.440.9%41.2183401641764.356%44%41%41%13%.16
SMU Defense1422.120.336.7%3.091.6 - - - - - 44%55%39%35%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1323.828.842.2%3.641.8 - - - - - 45%55%40%44%16%.15
SMU Offense1436.543.744.1%4.411.7234321692634.451%49%44%44%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1329:2517.843%50%4.2401.21.84.72330.3
SMU1428:2822.644%50%8.177.71.71.66.63.1331.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1356% (26)41% (96)38.2164.24.322 (55).01 (120)2.87 (99)72% (79)9% (53)0.86 (120)
SMU Defense1444% (9)39% (35) - - - - -.05 (2)2.72 (25)60% (10)11% (36)0.81 (6)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1345% (12)40% (40) - - - - .05 (33)2.84 (43)82% (120)9% (96)0.92 (40)
SMU Offense1451% (65)44% (62)38.3168.94.429 (18).12 (77)2.97 (83)70% (90)9% (49)0.93 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1344% (108)41% (78)13.922.2176.27.912.724 (38)7 (26).34 (29)1.9 (7)30% (50)32% (68).34 (68)4% (12)2.3 (11)
SMU Defense1455% (124)35% (10) - - - - - - 16 (10).11 (17)1.7 (107)37% (7)27% (21).16 (12)7% (30)2.1 (96)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1355% (123)44% (104) - - - - - - 16 (10).23 (67)1.4 (12)32% (71)29% (43).2 (26)7% (36)1.8 (22)
SMU Offense1449% (70)44% (45)19.931.2262.98.413.228 (15)12 (85).37 (19)1.8 (11)33% (94)34% (34).47 (17)6% (69)2.3 (13)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.59 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.59   SMU: 19.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 1.2   SMU: 17.5




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 19.045 #13
SMU's Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #47
SMU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
SMU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 36
Boston College 19


Total Points: 55

SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

SMU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16SMU38Boston College28SMUSMU -19Boston College54.5Over
202312/28Boston College23SMU14Boston CollegeSMU -13.5Boston College49.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU101 Overs
Boston College121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#51) Boston College Info
Power Rating: 2.59 #51
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Boston College has won 1 straight
Boston College has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Boston College Notes
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far

Boston College Highlights
Boston College defense does not give up big plays (#74)
Boston College commits very few Penalties (#38)
Boston College defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Boston College Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSMUBC
OverallOver#11#40
OffenseOff#26#54
DefenseDef#10#26
Special TeamsST#70#93
PassingPass#10#39
RushingRush#53#74
Run BlockRBLK#37#25
Pass BlockPBLK#33#35
Route RunningWR Rt#16#80
TacklingTkl#39#35
Run DefenseR Def#9#23
Pass Rush DefPRush#15#55
Coverage DefCov#21#49

Rematch from Week 12
SMU -19.0 (54.5)
SMU won vs Boston College this year (38-28)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Boston College last year (38-28)
Boston College beat SMU in 2023 (23-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BC | SMU
Depth Chart: BC | SMU
Rosters: BC | SMU
(#13) SMU Info
Power Rating: 19.045 #13
Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #47
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.41 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

SMU has won 6 straight
SMU has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

SMU Highlights
SMU offense is explosive (#37)
SMU offense is good in red zone (#80)
SMU Defense Sacks the QB a lot

SMU has a really good defense (#109)
SMU defense is really good in red zone (#28)
SMU has a good pass defense (#127)
SMU Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#28)
SMU Defensive Line is very good (#41)
SMU Secondary is very good (#8)
SMU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

SMU Deficiencies
SMU has a bad TO Margin (#116)
SMU Fumbles a Lot (#113)
SMU Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)


  
Boston College's OC Will Lawing
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson James (Tr)10616664%1202627.2
Thomas Castellanos9916162%13661858.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kye Robichaux175744104.341
Treshaun Ward (Tr)7740625.336
Jordan Mcdonald (Tr)5336136.841
Turbo Richard5527825.130
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond67689310.349
Reed Harris17486428.672
Kamari Morales (Tr)28325611.654
Jeremiah Franklin27311311.534

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Tim Lewis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Donovan Ezeiruaku761914141
Daveon Crouch747233
Carter Davis431003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Ezeiruaku761914141
Quintayvious Hutchins296480
Owen Stoudmire294320
Daveon Crouch747233
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Ryan Turner (Tr)132104
Amari Jackson180004

SMU's OC Casey Woods
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings24838165%318923118.4
Preston Stone305159%421518.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brashard Smith (Tr)2341330145.771
Kevin Jennings10135453.559
LJ Johnson Jr.7430354.135
Roderick Daniels4416033.613
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roderick Daniels42601414.381
Keyshawn Smith33527516.045
Jordan Hudson39422510.842
Kelvontay Dixon21386118.487

View SMU's Full Roster
SMU's DC Scott Symons
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Wilson1026341
Isaiah Nwokobia953123
Ahmad Walker888143
Ahmaad Moses646003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahfari Harvey (Tr)3013891
Isaiah Smith319761
Jared Harrison-Hunte (Tr)408750
Elijah Roberts32107101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonathan McGill522016
Brandon Crossley301016
Deuce Harmon (Tr)282006