Louisville Cardinals at Boston College Eagles
Friday, October 25th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisville -7.0 (54.0) (-270) Open: -7.5 | 54.0
Louisville 31 - Boston College: 27 (ACC)
Cardinals (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
LOU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -8.5 (SP+ LOU -12.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 32 - BC: 23 (55)
LOU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 819 miles
Our Line: Louisville -8.5 (SP+ LOU -12.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 32 - BC: 23 (55)
LOU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 819 miles
Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
| Louisville's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Louisville vs Austin Peay | -38.5 | 54.5 | W 62 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Louisville vs Jacksonville State | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Louisville vs Georgia Tech | -9.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Louisville at Notre Dame | +6.5 | 45.0 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Louisville vs SMU | -6.5 | 55.0 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Louisville at Virginia | -7.0 | 54.0 | W 24 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Louisville vs Miami | +4.5 | 61.5 | L 45 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/25 | Louisville at Boston College | -7.0 | 54.0 | W 31 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Louisville at Clemson | +11.0 | 62.5 | W 33 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Louisville at Stanford | -21.0 | 57.5 | L 35 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Louisville vs Pittsburgh | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 37 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Louisville at Kentucky | -3.5 | 48.5 | W 41 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Louisville vs Washington | +1.0 | 50.5 | W 35 - 34 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Boston College's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/2 | Boston College at Florida State | +16.5 | 50.0 | W 28 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Boston College vs Duquesne | -33.5 | 52.5 | W 56 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Boston College at Missouri | +14.5 | 51.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Boston College vs Michigan State | -4.5 | 45.5 | W 23 - 19 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Boston College vs Western Kentucky | -7.5 | 48.0 | W 21 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Boston College at Virginia | +2.0 | 52.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/17 | Boston College at Virginia Tech | +8.5 | 47.5 | L 21 - 42 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/25 | Boston College vs Louisville | +7.0 | 54.0 | L 27 - 31 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Boston College vs Syracuse | -5.5 | 51.5 | W 37 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Boston College at SMU | +19.0 | 54.5 | L 28 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Boston College vs North Carolina | +2.0 | 50.5 | W 41 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Boston College vs Pittsburgh | -3.5 | 50.5 | W 34 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/28 | Boston College vs Nebraska | +3.0 | 47.5 | L 15 - 20 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 36.5 | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 24.1 | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| BC | #89 (.16) | 41% (93) | 28.2 | 41% (96) | 2.87 (99) | 164 | 41% (78) | 176 | 4 (58) | #56 (.15) | 42% (74) | 23.8 | 40% (40) | 44% (104) | 3.64 (51) | 40 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | ||
| BC | #89 (.16) | 41% (93) | 41% (96) | 2.87 (99) | 164 | 41% (78) | 176 | 4 (58) | #56 (.15) | 42% (74) | 40% (40) | 44% (104) | 3.64 (51) | 40 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 31.3 | 46.4% | 4.27 | 0.8 | 20 | 424 | 173 | 251 | 5.8 | 45% | 54% | 48% | 45% | 13% | .31 |
| BC Defense | 13 | 23.8 | 20.7 | 42.2% | 3.64 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 55% | 40% | 44% | 16% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Defense | 13 | 24.1 | 25.2 | 40.2% | 3.98 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 40% | 40% | 16% | .18 |
| BC Offense | 13 | 28.2 | 34.1 | 40.9% | 4 | 1.2 | 18 | 340 | 164 | 176 | 4.3 | 56% | 44% | 41% | 41% | 13% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 13 | 27:39 | 20.1 | 40% | 40% | 5.9 | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 30.3 |
| Boston College | 13 | 29:25 | 17.8 | 43% | 50% | 4.2 | 40 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 2 | 3 | 30.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Offense | 13 | 45% (103) | 48% (20) | 29.9 | 172.7 | 5.8 | 27 (30) | .2 (35) | 3.09 (56) | 65% (116) | 8% (27) | 1.04 (43) |
| BC Defense | 13 | 45% (12) | 40% (40) | - | - | - | - | .05 (33) | 2.84 (43) | 82% (120) | 9% (96) | 0.92 (40) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Defense | 13 | 49% (50) | 40% (44) | - | - | - | - | .08 (43) | 2.9 (51) | 65% (25) | 11% (43) | 0.99 (71) |
| BC Offense | 13 | 56% (26) | 41% (96) | 38.2 | 164.2 | 4.3 | 22 (55) | .01 (120) | 2.87 (99) | 72% (79) | 9% (53) | 0.86 (120) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Offense | 13 | 54% (32) | 45% (30) | 19.6 | 30.9 | 251.5 | 8.1 | 12.8 | 23 (41) | 6 (10) | .41 (9) | 1.7 (34) | 30% (40) | 38% (8) | .5 (9) | 5% (40) | 2.1 (42) |
| BC Defense | 13 | 55% (123) | 44% (104) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .23 (67) | 1.4 (12) | 32% (71) | 29% (43) | .2 (26) | 7% (36) | 1.8 (22) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Defense | 13 | 51% (88) | 40% (65) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .27 (87) | 1.7 (111) | 31% (78) | 33% (99) | .26 (48) | 5% (94) | 1.8 (14) |
| BC Offense | 13 | 44% (108) | 41% (78) | 13.9 | 22.2 | 176.2 | 7.9 | 12.7 | 24 (38) | 7 (26) | .34 (29) | 1.9 (7) | 30% (50) | 32% (68) | .34 (68) | 4% (12) | 2.3 (11) |
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Louisville's Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.44 Boston College: 4.395
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.6 Boston College: 1.2
Louisville: 12.44 Boston College: 4.395
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.6 Boston College: 1.2
Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Boston College's Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2
Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2
Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 32
Boston College 23
Total Points: 55
Louisville 32
Boston College 23
Total Points: 55
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7
Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7
Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/25 | Boston College | 27 | Louisville | 31 | Louisville | Louisville -7.0 | Boston College | 54.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/23 | Louisville | 56 | Boston College | 28 | Louisville | Louisville -14 | Louisville | 53.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Boston College | 34 | Louisville | 33 | Boston College | Louisville -13.5 | Boston College | 48.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/23 | Louisville | 28 | Boston College | 14 | Louisville | Louisville -4 | Louisville | 57.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/28 | Boston College | 34 | Louisville | 27 | Boston College | Boston College -1 | Boston College | 57.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/05 | Louisville | 41 | Boston College | 39 | Louisville | Louisville -3.5 | Boston College | 61.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Boston College | 38 | Louisville | 20 | Boston College | Boston College -11 | Boston College | 56.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/14 | Louisville | 42 | Boston College | 45 | Boston College | Louisville -20 | Boston College | 60.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Boston College | 7 | Louisville | 52 | Louisville | Louisville -24.5 | Louisville | 52.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/24 | Louisville | 17 | Boston College | 14 | Louisville | Louisville -8.5 | Boston College | 37.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/08 | Boston College | 19 | Louisville | 38 | Louisville | Louisville -2.5 | Louisville | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | 4 | 7 | 8 Overs |
| Louisville | 7 | 4 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 4 | 6 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 7 | 5 - 6 | 2 - 2 | 3 - 4 |
(#20) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Louisville has lost 1 straight
Louisville has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville offense is efficent (#77)
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#69)
Louisville has a great TO Margin (#82)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#11)
Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Louisville has lost 1 straight
Louisville has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville offense is efficent (#77)
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#69)
Louisville has a great TO Margin (#82)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#11)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BC | LOU |
| OverallOver | #40 | #9 |
| OffenseOff | #54 | #12 |
| DefenseDef | #26 | #12 |
| Special TeamsST | #93 | #31 |
| PassingPass | #39 | #9 |
| RushingRush | #74 | #16 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #25 | #42 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #35 | #69 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #80 | #10 |
| TacklingTkl | #35 | #57 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #23 | #12 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #55 | #16 |
| Coverage DefCov | #49 | #29 |
Rematch from Week 9
Louisville 7.0 (54.0)
Louisville won at Boston College this year (31-27)
Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)
Boston College beat Louisville in 2022 (34-33)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: LOU | BC
Depth Chart: LOU | BC
Rosters: LOU | BC
(#51) Boston College Info
Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Boston College has lost 2 straight
Boston College has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Boston College Notes
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far
Boston College Highlights
Boston College is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Boston College defense does not give up big plays (#74)
Boston College commits very few Penalties (#38)
Boston College defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Boston College Deficiencies
Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Boston College has lost 2 straight
Boston College has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Boston College Notes
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far
Boston College Highlights
Boston College is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Boston College defense does not give up big plays (#74)
Boston College commits very few Penalties (#38)
Boston College defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Boston College Deficiencies
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough (Tr) | 244 | 389 | 63% | 3195 | 23 | 6 | 8.2 |
| Harrison Bailey | 24 | 33 | 73% | 227 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 165 | 1173 | 11 | 7.1 | 77 |
| Duke Watson | 67 | 597 | 7 | 8.9 | 68 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 47 | 243 | 3 | 5.2 | 24 |
| Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr) | 50 | 178 | 3 | 3.6 | 27 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Corey Brooks (Tr) | 61 | 1013 | 9 | 16.6 | 86 |
| Chris Bell | 43 | 737 | 4 | 17.1 | 68 |
| Mark Redman (Tr) | 23 | 251 | 3 | 10.9 | 32 |
| Ahmari Huggins-Bruce | 17 | 230 | 0 | 13.5 | 58 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 82 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Stanquan Clark | 76 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| M.J. Griffin | 63 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Tamarion McDonald (Tr) | 58 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Gillotte | 43 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Tramel Logan Jr. | 20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Jared Dawson | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Thor Griffith (Tr) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Riley | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Corey Thornton (Tr) | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Tayon Holloway (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson James (Tr) | 106 | 166 | 64% | 1202 | 6 | 2 | 7.2 |
| Thomas Castellanos | 99 | 161 | 62% | 1366 | 18 | 5 | 8.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kye Robichaux | 175 | 744 | 10 | 4.3 | 41 |
| Treshaun Ward (Tr) | 77 | 406 | 2 | 5.3 | 36 |
| Jordan Mcdonald (Tr) | 53 | 361 | 3 | 6.8 | 41 |
| Turbo Richard | 55 | 278 | 2 | 5.1 | 30 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Bond | 67 | 689 | 3 | 10.3 | 49 |
| Reed Harris | 17 | 486 | 4 | 28.6 | 72 |
| Kamari Morales (Tr) | 28 | 325 | 6 | 11.6 | 54 |
| Jeremiah Franklin | 27 | 311 | 3 | 11.5 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KP Price | 81 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Donovan Ezeiruaku | 76 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 1 |
| Daveon Crouch | 74 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Carter Davis | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Ezeiruaku | 76 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 1 |
| Quintayvious Hutchins | 29 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| Owen Stoudmire | 29 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Daveon Crouch | 74 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KP Price | 81 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Ryan Turner (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Amari Jackson | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |