Louisville at Boston College Game Matchup
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Friday, October 25th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisville -7.0 (54.0) (-270)  Open: -7.5 | 54.0
Louisville 31 - Boston College: 27  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
LOU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -8.5   (SP+ LOU -12.5)

Projected Score: LOU: 32 - BC: 23 (56)
LOU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 819 miles
Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisville vs Austin Peay-38.554.5W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Louisville vs Jacksonville State-27.556.5W 49 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Louisville vs Georgia Tech-9.556.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 9/28 Louisville at Notre Dame+6.545.0L 24 - 31ON
Sat 10/5 Louisville vs SMU-6.555.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 Louisville at Virginia-7.054.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Louisville vs Miami+4.561.5L 45 - 52ON
Fri 10/25 Louisville at Boston College-7.054.0W 31 - 27ON
Sat 11/2 Louisville at Clemson+11.062.5W 33 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Louisville at Stanford-21.057.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/23 Louisville vs Pittsburgh-7.057.0W 37 - 9UY
Sat 11/30 Louisville at Kentucky-3.548.5W 41 - 14OY
Tue 12/31 Louisville vs Washington+1.050.5W 35 - 34OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Boston College's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/2 Boston College at Florida State+16.550.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Boston College vs Duquesne-33.552.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Boston College at Missouri+14.551.5L 21 - 27UY
Sat 9/21 Boston College vs Michigan State-4.545.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/28 Boston College vs Western Kentucky-7.548.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/5 Boston College at Virginia+2.052.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Boston College at Virginia Tech+8.547.5L 21 - 42ON
Fri 10/25 Boston College vs Louisville+7.054.0L 27 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Boston College vs Syracuse-5.551.5W 37 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Boston College at SMU+19.054.5L 28 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Boston College vs North Carolina+2.050.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/30 Boston College vs Pittsburgh-3.550.5W 34 - 23OY
Sat 12/28 Boston College vs Nebraska+3.047.5L 15 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#46 (.23)48% (11)36.551% (12)3.07 (80)17947% (26)2364.04 (53)#12 (.08)36% (13)24.135% (14)37% (16)3.9 (77)48.61.41.4
BC#62 (.21)42% (63)28.246% (35)3.31 (29)19737% (106)1843.92 (66)#113 (.26)43% (82)23.843% (66)44% (106)4.41 (120)55.21.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1436.531.348.4%4.041.4214151792364.751%48%51%47%16%.23
BC Defense1323.820.743.1%4.411.1 - - - - - 55%44%43%44%12%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1424.125.235.8%3.91.4 - - - - - 47%53%35%37%19%.08
BC Offense1328.234.142.3%3.921.5213811971844.761%38%46%37%13%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1432:1320.837%54%5.648.61.41.45.42.3130.8
Boston College1331:0721.541%76%6.555.21.51.12.90.8128.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1451% (57)51% (12)38.1178.54.731 (17).2 (43)3.07 (80)73% (78)10% (64)0.93 (101)
BC Defense1355% (118)43% (66) - - - - .15 (77)3.09 (65)82% (113)7% (128)1.08 (107)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1447% (26)35% (14) - - - - -.01 (14)2.4 (3)68% (37)12% (26)1 (68)
BC Offense1361% (9)46% (35)42196.74.725 (37).26 (17)3.31 (29)88% (1)7% (17)1.12 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1448% (74)47% (26)1929.1236.48.112.422 (61)12 (85).3 (64)1.6 (82)26% (6)37% (18).45 (33)6% (74)2.1 (42)
BC Defense1344% (16)44% (106) - - - - - - 8 (100).43 (125)1.7 (105)31% (84)32% (98).37 (99)4% (123)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1453% (111)37% (16) - - - - - - 13 (26).19 (23)1.8 (123)37% (7)23% (3).24 (35)7% (32)2.4 (131)
BC Offense1338% (125)37% (106)15.727.8184.26.611.715 (96)14 (107).17 (103)1.6 (71)29% (18)28% (89).39 (45)6% (56)2.4 (2)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.44   Boston College: 4.395

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.6   Boston College: 1.2




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 732.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 32
Boston College 23


Projected Total Points: 56
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/25Boston College27Louisville31LouisvilleLouisville -7.0Boston College54.0Over
202309/23Louisville56Boston College28LouisvilleLouisville -14Louisville53.0Over
202210/01Boston College34Louisville33Boston CollegeLouisville -13.5Boston College48.5Over
202110/23Louisville28Boston College14LouisvilleLouisville -4Louisville57.5Under
202011/28Boston College34Louisville27Boston CollegeBoston College -1Boston College57.0Over
201910/05Louisville41Boston College39LouisvilleLouisville -3.5Boston College61.0Over
201810/13Boston College38Louisville20Boston CollegeBoston College -11Boston College56.5Over
201710/14Louisville42Boston College45Boston CollegeLouisville -20Boston College60.0Over
201611/05Boston College7Louisville52LouisvilleLouisville -24.5Louisville52.0Over
201510/24Louisville17Boston College14LouisvilleLouisville -8.5Boston College37.0Under
201411/08Boston College19Louisville38LouisvilleLouisville -2.5Louisville0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College478 Overs
Louisville742 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 46 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams4 - 75 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#20) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville     Ratings Matchup     Boston College
Power #20
#51
Off #26
#75
Def #40
#58
Talent #35
#48
SP+ #21
#70
SP+ Off #7
#62
SP+ Def #40
#56

Rematch from Week 9
Louisville 7.0 (54.0)
Louisville won at Boston College this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)
Boston College beat Louisville in 2022 (34-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 51° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: LOU | BC
Depth Chart: LOU | BC
Rosters: LOU | BC
(#51) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56
Talent Rating: 732.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Boston College Notes
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far


  
Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Shough (Tr)24438963%31952368.2
Harrison Bailey243373%227306.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown1651173117.177
Duke Watson6759778.968
Keyjuan Brown4724335.224
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)5017833.627
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Corey Brooks (Tr)611013916.686
Chris Bell43737417.168
Mark Redman (Tr)23251310.932
Caullin Lacy (Tr)18196110.934

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Quinn824200
Stanquan Clark768102
Tamarion McDonald (Tr)584201
D'Angelo Hutchinson522003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tramel Logan Jr.206420
Jared Dawson197400
Thor Griffith (Tr)195300
Jordan Guerad (Tr)224321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Thornton (Tr)380016
Tayon Holloway (Tr)162105
D'Angelo Hutchinson522003

Boston College's OC Will Lawing
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson James (Tr)10616664%1202627.2
Thomas Castellanos9916162%13661858.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Treshaun Ward (Tr)7740625.336
Jordan Mcdonald (Tr)5336136.841
Turbo Richard5527825.130
Thomas Castellanos9319412.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond67689310.349
Reed Harris17486428.672
Kamari Morales (Tr)28325611.654
Jeremiah Franklin27311311.534

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Tim Lewis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Daveon Crouch747233
Carter Davis431003
Max Tucker301002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quintayvious Hutchins296480
Owen Stoudmire294320
Daveon Crouch747233
KP Price812115
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Amari Jackson180004
Ryan Turner (Tr)132104