Boston College at Nebraska - 2024 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles vs Nebraska Cornhuskers

Saturday, December 28th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Nebraska -3 (47.5) (-162) Open: 0.0 | 45.5
Nebraska 20 - Boston College: 15 (Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl)

Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Nebraska -5 (SP+ NEB -4)
Projected Score: BC: 24 - NEB: 29 (52)
NEB Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BC Travel: 177 miles

Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
BC Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/2	Boston College at Florida State	+16.5	50.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Boston College vs Duquesne	-33.5	52.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Boston College at Missouri	+14.5	51.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Boston College vs Michigan State	-4.5	45.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/28	Boston College vs Western Kentucky	-7.5	48.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/5	Boston College at Virginia	+2.0	52.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+8.5	47.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 10/25	Boston College vs Louisville	+7.0	54.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Boston College vs Syracuse	-5.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Boston College at SMU	+19.0	54.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Boston College vs North Carolina	+2.0	50.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	50.5	W 34 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/28	Boston College vs Nebraska	+3.0	47.5	L 15 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Nebraska vs UTEP	-27.5	49.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Nebraska vs Colorado	-6.5	55.0	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Nebraska vs Northern Iowa	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Nebraska vs Illinois	-9.5	41.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Nebraska at Purdue	-10.0	47.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Nebraska vs Rutgers	-7.0	39.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Nebraska at Indiana	+6.5	48.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/26	Nebraska at Ohio State	+25.0	48.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Nebraska vs UCLA	-7.5	38.5	L 20 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Nebraska at USC	+6.5	51.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 44 - 25	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Nebraska at Iowa	+3.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Nebraska vs Boston College	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#62 (.21)	42% (63)	25.4	46% (35)	3.31 (29)	197	37% (106)	184	3.92 (66)	#113 (.26)	43% (82)	32.8	43% (66)	44% (106)	4.41 (120)	55.2	1.5	1.1
NEB	#105 (.13)	38% (111)	28.7	42% (84)	3.31 (33)	177	34% (125)	136	3.33 (104)	#18 (.1)	38% (22)	24.6	37% (18)	39% (31)	3.09 (16)	42.3	2.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	25.4	25	42.3%	3.92	1.5	21	381	197	184	4.7	61%	38%	46%	37%	13%	.21
NEB Defense	12	24.6	20.9	37.6%	3.09	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	37%	39%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	32.8	34	43.1%	4.41	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	43%	44%	12%	.26
NEB Offense	12	28.7	36.1	38.1%	3.33	2.6	16	313	177	136	4.4	62%	36%	42%	34%	22%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	31:07	21.5	41%	76%	6.5	55.2	1.5	1.1	2.9	0.8	1	28.7
Nebraska	12	30:53	16.4	38%	50%	5	42.3	2.6	1.2	6.3	2.7	0	29

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	61% (9)	46% (35)	42	196.7	4.7	25 (37)	.26 (17)	3.31 (29)	88% (1)	7% (17)	1.12 (18)
NEB Defense	12	43% (8)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	.03 (16)	3.15 (81)	73% (70)	12% (22)	0.77 (3)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	55% (118)	43% (66)	-	-	-	-	.15 (77)	3.09 (65)	82% (113)	7% (128)	1.08 (107)
NEB Offense	12	62% (5)	42% (84)	39.8	176.8	4.4	16 (89)	.12 (84)	3.31 (33)	76% (51)	14% (129)	0.99 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	38% (125)	37% (106)	15.7	27.8	184.2	6.6	11.7	15 (96)	14 (107)	.17 (103)	1.6 (71)	29% (18)	28% (89)	.39 (45)	6% (56)	2.4 (2)
NEB Defense	12	56% (126)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.2 (31)	1.5 (35)	35% (25)	26% (20)	.27 (44)	8% (17)	2.1 (83)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	44% (16)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.43 (125)	1.7 (105)	31% (84)	32% (98)	.37 (99)	4% (123)	2.1 (82)
NEB Offense	12	36% (129)	34% (125)	11.3	21.8	135.9	6.3	12	10 (120)	16 (121)	.24 (85)	1.9 (7)	34% (100)	25% (118)	.28 (84)	7% (110)	2.4 (5)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.59 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 368.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.59 Nebraska: 7.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 1.2 Nebraska: 5.5

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 7.115 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 495.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 29
Boston College 24

Projected Total Points: 52

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/28	Nebraska	20	Boston College	15	Nebraska -3	Nebraska	47.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	1	1	0 Overs
Boston College	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Boston College Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Pinstripe Bowl	Boston College vs Nebraska	+3.0	47.5	L 15 - 20
2023	Fenway Bowl	Boston College vs SMU	+13.5	49.0	W 23 - 14
2019	Birmingham Bowl	Boston College vs Cincinnati	+8.0	53.0	L 6 - 38

Nebraska Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Pinstripe Bowl	Nebraska vs Boston College	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 15

(#51) BC at (#34) NEB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	NEB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#51	#34
SP+SP+	#70	#45
Perf GradeGrade	#56	#75
OffenseOff	#64	#65
DefenseDef	#33	#78
Spec TeamsST	#114	#99
TalentTal	#50	#16
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#29

Boston College Notes(11/25) Rgame mauled NC, James OK, Def great in W
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far
(9/23) Outgained by MSU but 4 TOs in big W
Boston College Injury Report

Nebraska Notes(12/11) Elevated DB's coach Butler to DC? (NFL 14-23)
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb
(10/19) Unserious team. Def sucked/Rgame sucked
Nebraska Injury Report

Boston College on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	NEB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#64	#78
SuccessSuc	#63	#22
ExplosiveExp	#79	#17
PPAPPA	#62	#18
PowerPwr	#75	#26
SP+SP+	#62	#12
Pts POPPO	#66	#16
HavocHav	#20	#12

Boston College Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#104	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#18
Run ExplRExp	#18	#3
PPAExp	#17	#16
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	#29	#81
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#122
TackleTak	-	#49

Boston College Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#106	#31
Pass ExplPExl	#71	#35
PPAExp	#103	#31
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#35	#31
F7 HavocF7	#17	#22
DB HavocDB	#56	#17

Nebraska on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#65	#33
SuccessSuc	#111	#82
ExplosiveExp	#70	#105
PPAPPA	#105	#113
PowerPwr	#53	#58
SP+SP+	#99	#56
Pts POPPO	#104	#120
HavocHav	#130	#130

Nebraska Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#63	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#66
Run ExplRExp	#72	#107
PPAExp	#84	#77
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	#33	#65
Stuff RateStuff	#15	#76
TackleTak	-	#39

Nebraska Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#106
Pass ExplPExl	#7	#105
PPAExp	#85	#125
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#62
F7 HavocF7	#129	#128
DB HavocDB	#110	#123

Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yankee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Nebraska -3.0 (47.5)
Nebraska won vs Boston College this year (20-15)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Boston College in 2024 (20-15)

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson James (Tr)	106	166	64%	1202	6	2	7.2
Thomas Castellanos	99	161	62%	1366	18	5	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kye Robichaux	175	744	10	4.3	41
Treshaun Ward (Tr)	77	406	2	5.3	36
Jordan Mcdonald (Tr)	53	361	3	6.8	41
Turbo Richard	55	278	2	5.1	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	67	689	3	10.3	49
Reed Harris	17	486	4	28.6	72
Kamari Morales (Tr)	28	325	6	11.6	54
Jeremiah Franklin	27	311	3	11.5	34

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3
Carter Davis	43	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Quintayvious Hutchins	29	6	4	8	0
Owen Stoudmire	29	4	3	2	0
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Ryan Turner (Tr)	13	2	1	0	4
Amari Jackson	18	0	0	0	4

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Raiola	274	409	67%	2806	13	11	6.9
Heinrich Haarberg	10	18	56%	101	0	1	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)	143	614	12	4.3	38
Emmett Johnson	117	598	1	5.1	42
Rahmir Johnson	54	260	1	4.8	22
Jacory Barney Jr.	10	130	3	13.0	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)	44	587	3	13.3	31
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)	34	455	5	13.4	59
Jacory Barney Jr.	55	447	0	8.1	40
Thomas Fidone Jr.	36	373	0	10.4	33

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Gifford	73	4	0	1	1
DeShon Singleton	71	1	0	0	3
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Mikai Gbayor	49	6	1	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4
James Williams	14	6	5	4	0
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
MJ Sherman	29	5	4	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Marques Buford	35	1	0	0	5