Louisville at Stanford Game Matchup
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Louisville -21 (57.5) (-1600)  Open: -20.0
Stanford 38 - Louisville: 35  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
LOU coming off BYE
STAN coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisville -17   (SP+ LOU -22)

Projected Score: LOU: 37 - STAN: 20 (59)
LOU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
LOU Travel: 1975 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Louisville's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisville vs Austin Peay-38.554.5W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Louisville vs Jacksonville State-27.556.5W 49 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Louisville vs Georgia Tech-9.556.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 9/28 Louisville at Notre Dame+6.545.0L 24 - 31ON
Sat 10/5 Louisville vs SMU-6.555.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 Louisville at Virginia-7.054.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Louisville vs Miami+4.561.5L 45 - 52ON
Fri 10/25 Louisville at Boston College-7.054.0W 31 - 27ON
Sat 11/2 Louisville at Clemson+11.062.5W 33 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Louisville at Stanford-21.057.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/23 Louisville vs Pittsburgh-7.057.0W 37 - 9UY
Sat 11/30 Louisville at Kentucky-3.548.5W 41 - 14OY
Tue 12/31 Louisville vs Washington+1.050.5W 35 - 34OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Stanford's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Stanford vs TCU+8.058.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/7 Stanford vs Cal Poly-33.559.5W 41 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Stanford at Syracuse+9.556.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 9/28 Stanford at Clemson+24.058.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/5 Stanford vs Virginia Tech+9.550.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 10/12 Stanford at Notre Dame+22.545.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 10/19 Stanford vs SMU+16.552.5L 10 - 40UN
Sat 10/26 Stanford vs Wake Forest+3.053.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 11/2 Stanford at NC State+10.046.5L 28 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Stanford vs Louisville+21.057.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Stanford at California+15.053.5L 21 - 24UY
Fri 11/29 Stanford at San José State+2.554.5L 31 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#46 (.23)48% (11)36.551% (12)3.07 (80)17947% (26)2364.04 (53)#12 (.08)36% (13)24.135% (14)37% (16)3.9 (77)48.61.41.4
STAN#114 (.1)38% (114)22.841% (95)2.61 (130)11936% (114)2333.4 (101)#133 (.35)51% (133)33.756% (133)48% (129)5.22 (133)59.11.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1436.531.348.4%4.041.4214151792364.751%48%51%47%16%.23
STAN Defense1233.72951.4%5.221 - - - - - 45%55%56%48%11%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1424.125.235.8%3.91.4 - - - - - 47%53%35%37%19%.08
STAN Offense1222.824.537.6%3.41.2203521192333.442%57%41%36%21%.1

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1432:1320.837%54%5.648.61.41.45.42.3130.8
Stanford1231:1619.536%33%6.359.11.214.31.9027.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1451% (57)51% (12)38.1178.54.731 (17).2 (43)3.07 (80)73% (78)10% (64)0.93 (101)
STAN Defense1245% (13)56% (133) - - - - .25 (120)3.45 (124)76% (87)7% (129)0.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1447% (26)35% (14) - - - - -.01 (14)2.4 (3)68% (37)12% (26)1 (68)
STAN Offense1242% (114)41% (95)34.5118.83.415 (100).06 (114)2.61 (130)71% (90)13% (122)0.99 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1448% (74)47% (26)1929.1236.48.112.422 (61)12 (85).3 (64)1.6 (82)26% (6)37% (18).45 (33)6% (74)2.1 (42)
STAN Defense1255% (124)48% (129) - - - - - - 8 (100).45 (130)1.7 (89)29% (125)41% (133).66 (133)4% (130)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1453% (111)37% (16) - - - - - - 13 (26).19 (23)1.8 (123)37% (7)23% (3).24 (35)7% (32)2.4 (131)
STAN Offense1257% (17)36% (114)19.435.62336.61211 (117)10 (56).16 (106)1.5 (84)36% (120)29% (77).28 (87)8% (126)2 (71)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.44   Stanford: -3.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.6   Stanford: -8.2




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -3.79 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 798.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 37
Stanford 20


Projected Total Points: 59
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Stanford38Louisville35StanfordLouisville -21Stanford57.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford111 Overs
Louisville000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#20) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville     Ratings Matchup     Stanford
Power #20
#79
Off #26
#80
Def #40
#112
Talent #35
#30
SP+ #21
#101
SP+ Off #7
#90
SP+ Def #40
#112

Rematch from Week 12
Louisville 21.0 (57.5)
Stanford won vs Louisville this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Stanford beat Louisville last year (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 59° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: LOU | STAN
Depth Chart: LOU | STAN
Rosters: LOU | STAN
(#79) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.79 #79
Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 798.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Stanford Notes
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic


  
Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Shough (Tr)24438963%31952368.2
Harrison Bailey243373%227306.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown1651173117.177
Duke Watson6759778.968
Keyjuan Brown4724335.224
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)5017833.627
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Corey Brooks (Tr)611013916.686
Chris Bell43737417.168
Mark Redman (Tr)23251310.932
Caullin Lacy (Tr)18196110.934

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Quinn824200
Stanquan Clark768102
Tamarion McDonald (Tr)584201
D'Angelo Hutchinson522003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tramel Logan Jr.206420
Jared Dawson197400
Thor Griffith (Tr)195300
Jordan Guerad (Tr)224321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Thornton (Tr)380016
Tayon Holloway (Tr)162105
D'Angelo Hutchinson522003

Stanford's OC Troy Taylor
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels17027163%170010126.3
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Daniels14866934.567
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmett Mosley V48525610.962
Sam Roush4033428.428
Ismael Cisse2624129.325
Sedrick Irvin5107021.451

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scotty Edwards802002
Mitch Leigber544011
Collin Wright453005
Tevarua Tafiti417430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey318680
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Zach Buckey116301
Jshawn Frausto-Ramos222200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Scotty Edwards802002