Louisville at Clemson - 2024 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Clemson Tigers

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -11 (62.5) (-410) Open: -8.0
Louisville 33 - Clemson: 21 (ACC)

Cardinals (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU 2nd straight Road Game
CLEM coming off BYE
LOU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -3 (SP+ LOU -0.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 26 - CLEM: 29 (56)
CLEM Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 293 miles

Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
CLEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisville vs Austin Peay	-38.5	54.5	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Louisville vs Jacksonville State	-27.5	56.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Louisville vs Georgia Tech	-9.5	56.0	W 31 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Louisville at Notre Dame	+6.5	45.0	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/5	Louisville vs SMU	-6.5	55.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/12	Louisville at Virginia	-7.0	54.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/19	Louisville vs Miami	+4.5	61.5	L 45 - 52	O	N
Fri 10/25	Louisville at Boston College	-7.0	54.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/2	Louisville at Clemson	+11.0	62.5	W 33 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Louisville at Stanford	-21.0	57.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/23	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-7.0	57.0	W 37 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisville at Kentucky	-3.5	48.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Tue 12/31	Louisville vs Washington	+1.0	50.5	W 35 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Clemson's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Clemson vs Georgia	+10.5	49.0	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	Clemson vs App State	-13.5	53.5	W 66 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Clemson vs NC State	-17.0	44.0	W 59 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Clemson vs Stanford	-24.0	58.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Clemson at Florida State	-16.5	47.0	W 29 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Clemson at Wake Forest	-21.0	63.0	W 49 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Clemson vs Virginia	-20.0	57.5	W 48 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Clemson vs Louisville	-11.0	62.5	L 21 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/9	Clemson at Virginia Tech	-6.5	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Clemson at Pittsburgh	-12.0	52.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/23	Clemson vs The Citadel	-49.5	58.5	W 51 - 14	O	N
Sat 11/30	Clemson vs South Carolina	-2.5	48.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/7	Clemson vs SMU	+2.5	56.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Clemson at Texas	+13.5	49.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	#46 (.23)	48% (11)	29.9	51% (12)	3.07 (80)	179	47% (26)	236	4.04 (53)	#12 (.08)	36% (13)	21.2	35% (14)	37% (16)	3.9 (77)	48.6	1.4	1.4
CLEM	#87 (.16)	45% (38)	27.2	47% (25)	3.22 (47)	174	43% (56)	229	3.62 (90)	#9 (.07)	33% (2)	20.5	35% (10)	32% (2)	4.04 (91)	42.2	1.7	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CLEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	14	29.9	23	48.4%	4.04	1.4	21	415	179	236	4.7	51%	48%	51%	47%	16%	.23
CLEM Defense	13	20.5	24	33%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	32%	22%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	14	21.2	25.5	35.8%	3.9	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	35%	37%	19%	.08
CLEM Offense	13	27.2	28	45%	3.62	1.7	23	403	174	229	4.3	49%	51%	47%	43%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	14	32:13	20.8	37%	54%	5.6	48.6	1.4	1.4	5.4	2.3	1	30.8
Clemson	13	33:04	23.1	40%	52%	4.9	42.2	1.7	2	6.5	2.3	4	32.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	14	51% (57)	51% (12)	38.1	178.5	4.7	31 (17)	.2 (43)	3.07 (80)	73% (78)	10% (64)	0.93 (101)
CLEM Defense	13	46% (19)	35% (10)	-	-	-	-	.13 (62)	2.9 (33)	83% (117)	13% (10)	1.22 (128)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	14	47% (26)	35% (14)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (14)	2.4 (3)	68% (37)	12% (26)	1 (68)
CLEM Offense	13	49% (77)	47% (25)	40.2	174.3	4.3	24 (41)	.17 (55)	3.22 (47)	79% (25)	9% (55)	0.91 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	14	48% (74)	47% (26)	19	29.1	236.4	8.1	12.4	22 (61)	12 (85)	.3 (64)	1.6 (82)	26% (6)	37% (18)	.45 (33)	6% (74)	2.1 (42)
CLEM Defense	13	54% (116)	32% (2)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.05 (3)	1.6 (51)	40% (1)	23% (2)	.13 (4)	9% (1)	1.9 (17)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	14	53% (111)	37% (16)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.19 (23)	1.8 (123)	37% (7)	23% (3)	.24 (35)	7% (32)	2.4 (131)
CLEM Offense	13	51% (53)	43% (56)	23.2	36.5	228.6	6.3	9.8	20 (70)	9 (40)	.16 (104)	1.3 (133)	29% (20)	29% (85)	.18 (109)	6% (85)	1.9 (117)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 391.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.44 Clemson: 16.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.6 Clemson: 13.3

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 16.1 #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
2024 Talent Rating: 574.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 29
Louisville 26

Projected Total Points: 56

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/14	Louisville	19	Clemson	20	Louisville -1.5	Clemson	50.5	Under
2024	11/02	Clemson	21	Louisville	33	Clemson -11	Louisville	62.5	Under
2022	11/12	Clemson	31	Louisville	16	Clemson -7	Clemson	52.0	Under
2021	11/06	Louisville	24	Clemson	30	Clemson -3.5	Clemson	46.0	Over
2019	10/19	Louisville	10	Clemson	45	Clemson -24	Clemson	62.0	Under
2018	11/03	Clemson	77	Louisville	16	Clemson -38	Clemson	61.0	Over
2017	09/16	Louisville	21	Clemson	47	Clemson -3	Clemson	61.0	Over
2016	10/01	Clemson	42	Louisville	36	Clemson -3.5	Clemson	64.0	Over
2015	09/17	Louisville	17	Clemson	20	Clemson -5	Louisville	54.0	Under
2014	10/11	Clemson	23	Louisville	17	Clemson -6.5	Louisville	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Clemson	9	7	4 Overs
Louisville	1	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	4 - 6	3 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 4	6 - 4	3 - 1	3 - 3

(#20) LOU at (#17) CLEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	CLEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#20	#17
SP+SP+	#21	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#11	#32
OffenseOff	#12	#37
DefenseDef	#16	#33
Spec TeamsST	#35	#38
TalentTal	#37	#7
Blue ChipsBC%	#41	#6

Louisville Notes(12/14) Signed QB Miller Moss (USC)
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
(9/23) Star CB Riley ? for ND game (ankle)
Louisville Injury Report

Clemson Injury Report

Louisville on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	CLEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#33
SuccessSuc	#11	#2
ExplosiveExp	#105	#115
PPAPPA	#46	#9
PowerPwr	#26	#47
SP+SP+	#7	#26
Pts POPPO	#53	#91
HavocHav	#68	#3

Louisville Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#22	#43
Run SuccessRSuc	#12	#10
Run ExplRExp	#101	#128
PPAExp	#43	#62
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#80	#33
Stuff RateStuff	#110	#92
TackleTak	-	#93

Louisville Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#9	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#26	#2
Pass ExplPExl	#82	#51
PPAExp	#64	#3
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#79	#40
F7 HavocF7	#64	#10
DB HavocDB	#74	#1

Clemson on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#16
SuccessSuc	#38	#13
ExplosiveExp	#132	#122
PPAPPA	#87	#12
PowerPwr	#15	#40
SP+SP+	#16	#40
Pts POPPO	#90	#77
HavocHav	#64	#23

Clemson Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#42	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#25	#14
Run ExplRExp	#106	#68
PPAExp	#55	#14
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#3
Stuff RateStuff	#17	#7
TackleTak	-	#65

Clemson Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	#56	#16
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#123
PPAExp	#104	#23
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#17
F7 HavocF7	#55	#26
DB HavocDB	#85	#32

Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Clemson -11.0 (62.5)
Louisville won at Clemson this year (33-21)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Louisville last year (20-19)
Louisville beat Clemson in 2024 (33-21)

LOU's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Shough (Tr)	244	389	63%	3195	23	6	8.2
Harrison Bailey	24	33	73%	227	3	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaac Brown	165	1173	11	7.1	77
Duke Watson	67	597	7	8.9	68
Keyjuan Brown	47	243	3	5.2	24
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)	50	178	3	3.6	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Corey Brooks (Tr)	61	1013	9	16.6	86
Chris Bell	43	737	4	17.1	68
Mark Redman (Tr)	23	251	3	10.9	32
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce	17	230	0	13.5	58

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
TJ Quinn	82	4	2	0
Stanquan Clark	76	8	1	2
M.J. Griffin	63	2	1	2
Tamarion McDonald (Tr)	58	4	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Ashton Gillotte	43	10	5	10
Tramel Logan Jr.	20	6	4	2
Jared Dawson	19	7	4	0
Thor Griffith (Tr)	19	5	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quincy Riley	33	3	0	0	9
Corey Thornton (Tr)	38	0	0	1	6
Tayon Holloway (Tr)	16	2	1	0	5

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	308	486	63%	3639	36	6	7.5
Christopher Vizzina	19	34	56%	190	0	0	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Phil Mafah	216	1115	8	5.2	83
Cade Klubnik	119	462	7	3.9	55
Jay Haynes	43	295	3	6.9	70
Keith Adams Jr.	30	122	1	4.1	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antonio Williams	74	902	11	12.2	57
Bryant Wesco Jr.	41	708	5	17.3	76
T.J. Moore	45	651	5	14.5	41
Jake Briningstool	49	530	7	10.8	41

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wade Woodaz	75	9	3	9	4
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Parker	50	17	11	5	1
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
Peter Woods	26	7	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Avieon Terrell	49	5	1	0	11
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6