SMU Mustangs at Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -6.5 (55.0) (-265) Open: -11.0
SMU 34 - Louisville: 27 (ACC)
Mustangs (11 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: SMU -1 (SP+ SMU -4)
Projected Score: SMU: 29 - LOU: 28 (57)
LOU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
SMU Travel: 722 miles, 1 hrs behind
Projected Score: SMU: 29 - LOU: 28 (57)
LOU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
SMU Travel: 722 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cardinals (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
| SMU's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | SMU at Nevada | -28.0 | 55.5 | W 29 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/31 | SMU vs Houston Christian | -32.5 | |||||
| Fri 9/6 | SMU vs BYU | -12.5 | 55.5 | L 15 - 18 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | SMU vs TCU | +1.0 | 58.5 | W 66 - 42 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | SMU vs Florida State | -6.0 | 46.0 | W 42 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | SMU at Louisville | +6.5 | 55.0 | W 34 - 27 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | SMU at Stanford | -16.5 | 52.5 | W 40 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | SMU at Duke | -11.5 | 49.5 | W 28 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | SMU vs Pittsburgh | -7.0 | 55.5 | W 48 - 25 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | SMU vs Boston College | -19.0 | 54.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | SMU at Virginia | -11.5 | 54.5 | W 33 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | SMU vs California | -11.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | SMU vs Clemson | -2.5 | 56.5 | L 31 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/21 | SMU at Penn State | +9.0 | 52.5 | L 10 - 38 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Louisville's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Louisville vs Austin Peay | -38.5 | 54.5 | W 62 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Louisville vs Jacksonville State | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Louisville vs Georgia Tech | -9.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Louisville at Notre Dame | +6.5 | 45.0 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Louisville vs SMU | -6.5 | 55.0 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Louisville at Virginia | -7.0 | 54.0 | W 24 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Louisville vs Miami | +4.5 | 61.5 | L 45 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/25 | Louisville at Boston College | -7.0 | 54.0 | W 31 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Louisville at Clemson | +11.0 | 62.5 | W 33 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Louisville at Stanford | -21.0 | 57.5 | L 35 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Louisville vs Pittsburgh | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 37 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Louisville at Kentucky | -3.5 | 48.5 | W 41 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Louisville vs Washington | +1.0 | 50.5 | W 35 - 34 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | #38 (.24) | 44% (53) | 36.5 | 44% (62) | 2.97 (83) | 169 | 44% (45) | 263 | 4.41 (25) | #5 (.03) | 37% (9) | 22.1 | 39% (35) | 35% (10) | 3.09 (13) | 77.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 36.5 | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 24.1 | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | #38 (.24) | 44% (53) | 44% (62) | 2.97 (83) | 169 | 44% (45) | 263 | 4.41 (25) | #5 (.03) | 37% (9) | 39% (35) | 35% (10) | 3.09 (13) | 77.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | ||
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Offense | 14 | 36.5 | 29 | 44.1% | 4.41 | 1.7 | 23 | 432 | 169 | 263 | 4.4 | 51% | 49% | 44% | 44% | 15% | .24 |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 24.1 | 21.3 | 40.2% | 3.98 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 40% | 40% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Defense | 14 | 22.1 | 22.2 | 36.7% | 3.09 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 55% | 39% | 35% | 18% | .03 |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 41.8 | 46.4% | 4.27 | 0.8 | 20 | 424 | 173 | 251 | 5.8 | 45% | 54% | 48% | 45% | 13% | .31 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 14 | 28:28 | 22.6 | 44% | 50% | 8.1 | 77.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 3 | 31.1 |
| Louisville | 13 | 27:39 | 20.1 | 40% | 40% | 5.9 | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 30.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Offense | 14 | 51% (65) | 44% (62) | 38.3 | 168.9 | 4.4 | 29 (18) | .12 (77) | 2.97 (83) | 70% (90) | 9% (49) | 0.93 (86) |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 49% (50) | 40% (44) | - | - | - | - | .08 (43) | 2.9 (51) | 65% (25) | 11% (43) | 0.99 (71) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Defense | 14 | 44% (9) | 39% (35) | - | - | - | - | -.05 (2) | 2.72 (25) | 60% (10) | 11% (36) | 0.81 (6) |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 45% (103) | 48% (20) | 29.9 | 172.7 | 5.8 | 27 (30) | .2 (35) | 3.09 (56) | 65% (116) | 8% (27) | 1.04 (43) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Offense | 14 | 49% (70) | 44% (45) | 19.9 | 31.2 | 262.9 | 8.4 | 13.2 | 28 (15) | 12 (85) | .37 (19) | 1.8 (11) | 33% (94) | 34% (34) | .47 (17) | 6% (69) | 2.3 (13) |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 51% (88) | 40% (65) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .27 (87) | 1.7 (111) | 31% (78) | 33% (99) | .26 (48) | 5% (94) | 1.8 (14) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Defense | 14 | 55% (124) | 35% (10) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .11 (17) | 1.7 (107) | 37% (7) | 27% (21) | .16 (12) | 7% (30) | 2.1 (96) |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 54% (32) | 45% (30) | 19.6 | 30.9 | 251.5 | 8.1 | 12.8 | 23 (41) | 6 (10) | .41 (9) | 1.7 (34) | 30% (40) | 38% (8) | .5 (9) | 5% (40) | 2.1 (42) |
SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 15.59 #13
SMU's Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #47
SMU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
SMU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
SMU's Power Rating: 15.59 #13
SMU's Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #47
SMU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
SMU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 15.59 Louisville: 15.52
SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 17.5 Louisville: 13.6
SMU: 15.59 Louisville: 15.52
SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 17.5 Louisville: 13.6
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.52 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.52 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2
SMU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2
SMU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 29
Louisville 28
Total Points: 57
SMU 29
Louisville 28
Total Points: 57
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | Louisville | 27 | SMU | 34 | SMU | Louisville -6.5 | SMU | 55.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 0 | 0 | 1 Overs |
| SMU | 1 | 1 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#13) SMU Info
Power Rating: 15.59 #13
Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #47
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.41 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
SMU has won 2 straight
SMU has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
SMU Highlights
SMU offense is explosive (#37)
SMU offense is good in red zone (#80)
SMU Defense Sacks the QB a lot
SMU has a really good defense (#109)
SMU defense is really good in red zone (#28)
SMU has a good pass defense (#127)
SMU Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#28)
SMU Defensive Line is very good (#41)
SMU Secondary is very good (#8)
SMU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
SMU Deficiencies
SMU has a bad TO Margin (#116)
SMU Fumbles a Lot (#113)
SMU Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
Power Rating: 15.59 #13
Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #47
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.41 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
SMU has won 2 straight
SMU has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
SMU Highlights
SMU offense is explosive (#37)
SMU offense is good in red zone (#80)
SMU Defense Sacks the QB a lot
SMU has a really good defense (#109)
SMU defense is really good in red zone (#28)
SMU has a good pass defense (#127)
SMU Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#28)
SMU Defensive Line is very good (#41)
SMU Secondary is very good (#8)
SMU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
SMU Deficiencies
SMU has a bad TO Margin (#116)
SMU Fumbles a Lot (#113)
SMU Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU | SMU |
| OverallOver | #9 | #11 |
| OffenseOff | #12 | #26 |
| DefenseDef | #12 | #10 |
| Special TeamsST | #31 | #70 |
| PassingPass | #9 | #10 |
| RushingRush | #16 | #53 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #42 | #37 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #69 | #33 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #10 | #16 |
| TacklingTkl | #57 | #39 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #12 | #9 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #16 | #15 |
| Coverage DefCov | #29 | #21 |
(#20) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 15.52 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Louisville has lost 1 straight
Louisville has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville offense is efficent (#77)
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#69)
Louisville has a great TO Margin (#82)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#11)
Power Rating: 15.52 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Louisville has lost 1 straight
Louisville has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville offense is efficent (#77)
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#69)
Louisville has a great TO Margin (#82)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#11)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Jennings | 248 | 381 | 65% | 3189 | 23 | 11 | 8.4 |
| Preston Stone | 30 | 51 | 59% | 421 | 5 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brashard Smith (Tr) | 234 | 1330 | 14 | 5.7 | 71 |
| Kevin Jennings | 101 | 354 | 5 | 3.5 | 59 |
| LJ Johnson Jr. | 74 | 303 | 5 | 4.1 | 35 |
| Roderick Daniels | 44 | 160 | 3 | 3.6 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Daniels | 42 | 601 | 4 | 14.3 | 81 |
| Keyshawn Smith | 33 | 527 | 5 | 16.0 | 45 |
| Jordan Hudson | 39 | 422 | 5 | 10.8 | 42 |
| Kelvontay Dixon | 21 | 386 | 1 | 18.4 | 87 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Wilson | 102 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Isaiah Nwokobia | 95 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Ahmad Walker | 88 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Ahmaad Moses | 64 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahfari Harvey (Tr) | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 1 |
| Isaiah Smith | 31 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Jared Harrison-Hunte (Tr) | 40 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Elijah Roberts | 32 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan McGill | 52 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Brandon Crossley | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Deuce Harmon (Tr) | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough (Tr) | 244 | 389 | 63% | 3195 | 23 | 6 | 8.2 |
| Harrison Bailey | 24 | 33 | 73% | 227 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 165 | 1173 | 11 | 7.1 | 77 |
| Duke Watson | 67 | 597 | 7 | 8.9 | 68 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 47 | 243 | 3 | 5.2 | 24 |
| Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr) | 50 | 178 | 3 | 3.6 | 27 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Corey Brooks (Tr) | 61 | 1013 | 9 | 16.6 | 86 |
| Chris Bell | 43 | 737 | 4 | 17.1 | 68 |
| Mark Redman (Tr) | 23 | 251 | 3 | 10.9 | 32 |
| Ahmari Huggins-Bruce | 17 | 230 | 0 | 13.5 | 58 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 82 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Stanquan Clark | 76 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| M.J. Griffin | 63 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Tamarion McDonald (Tr) | 58 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Gillotte | 43 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Tramel Logan Jr. | 20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Jared Dawson | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Thor Griffith (Tr) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Riley | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Corey Thornton (Tr) | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Tayon Holloway (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |