Washington State at Washington - 2024 Matchup Preview

Washington State Cougars vs Washington Huskies

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Washington -4 (56.0) (-225) Open: -8.0
Washington State 24 - Washington: 19

Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 30 (30 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Shower Predicted
WASH 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington -2 (SP+ WASH -2)
Projected Score: WSU: 27 - WASH: 29 (55)
WASH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WSU Travel: 250 miles

Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (29 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WSU Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington State vs Portland State	-26.5	57.5	W 70 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington State vs Texas Tech	+2.5	64.5	W 37 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Washington State vs Washington	+4.0	56.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Washington State vs San José State	-13.0	55.5	W 54 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/28	Washington State at Boise State	+6.5	66.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Washington State at Fresno State	-3.5	60.5	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Washington State vs Hawai'i	-18.5	55.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Washington State at San Diego State	-17.0	56.5	W 29 - 26	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Washington State vs Utah State	-20.5	69.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Washington State at New Mexico	-10.5	72.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/23	Washington State at Oregon State	-11.0	57.0	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/30	Washington State vs Wyoming	-18.5	55.5	L 14 - 15	U	N
Fri 12/27	Washington State vs Syracuse	+19.0	58.5	L 35 - 52	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

Washington's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington vs Weber State	-29.0	51.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington vs Eastern Michigan	-25.0	48.5	W 30 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/14	Washington vs Washington State	-4.0	56.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/21	Washington vs Northwestern	-11.5	42.5	W 24 - 5	U	Y
Fri 9/27	Washington at Rutgers	+1.5	44.5	L 18 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/5	Washington vs Michigan	-1.5	39.5	W 27 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Washington at Iowa	+2.5	41.5	L 16 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Washington at Indiana	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/2	Washington vs USC	+2.0	55.0	W 26 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Washington at Penn State	+13.5	48.0	L 6 - 35	U	N
Fri 11/15	Washington vs UCLA	-4.5	47.0	W 31 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Washington at Oregon	+17.5	50.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Tue 12/31	Washington vs Louisville	-1.0	50.5	L 34 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)	36.6	47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)	29.9	51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)	23.4	46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)	23.8	48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)		46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)		48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	13	36.6	30.2	48.1%	4.43	0.8	21	407	159	248	4.7	51%	49%	47%	49%	14%	.29
WASH Defense	13	23.8	12.3	43.1%	4.04	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	48%	38%	14%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	13	29.9	33.4	46%	4.18	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	51%	43%	15%	.22
WASH Offense	13	23.4	28.8	47%	3.52	0.8	19	355	122	233	4.1	46%	54%	46%	48%	16%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	13	26:19	21.1	41%	54%	5.9	54.8	0.8	1.7	4.6	1.5	3	30.1
Washington	13	27:50	19.1	36%	46%	5.5	48.7	0.8	1.2	3.3	1.5	0	27.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	13	51% (66)	47% (27)	33.6	158.8	4.7	27 (30)	.23 (22)	3.1 (54)	67% (108)	10% (72)	1.12 (14)
WASH Defense	13	52% (79)	48% (116)	-	-	-	-	.19 (106)	3.3 (114)	68% (36)	7% (131)	0.89 (31)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	13	44% (7)	51% (129)	-	-	-	-	.25 (123)	3.28 (110)	69% (45)	9% (102)	1.03 (89)
WASH Offense	13	46% (100)	46% (36)	29.5	121.6	4.1	13 (105)	.12 (78)	3.29 (28)	77% (43)	11% (101)	0.83 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	13	49% (69)	49% (8)	17.8	27.4	248.2	9.1	13.9	30 (9)	7 (26)	.37 (20)	1.6 (68)	27% (13)	37% (14)	.43 (27)	4% (19)	2.1 (44)
WASH Defense	13	48% (58)	38% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.09 (13)	1.5 (40)	30% (95)	33% (98)	.35 (90)	7% (32)	2 (57)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	13	55% (126)	43% (91)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.24 (74)	1.5 (54)	30% (98)	32% (93)	.35 (87)	6% (64)	2.2 (114)
WASH Offense	13	54% (38)	48% (13)	21.2	29.6	232.9	7.9	11	18 (68)	7 (26)	.37 (22)	1.5 (117)	27% (6)	34% (44)	.35 (62)	5% (35)	1.8 (121)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.40 #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -2.40 Washington: 1.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.3 Washington: 3.1

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 1.52 #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 29
Washington State 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 30
Washington State 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Washington 29
Washington State 26

Total Points: 55

Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.3

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Washington State	24	Washington	59	Washington -21	Washington	51.5	Over
2024	09/14	Washington	19	Washington State	24	Washington -4	Washington State	56.0	Under
2023	11/25	Washington	24	Washington State	21	Washington -16	Washington State	68.5	Under
2022	11/26	Washington State	33	Washington	51	Washington -2	Washington	60.0	Over
2021	11/26	Washington	13	Washington State	40	Washington -1	Washington State	45.0	Over
2019	11/29	Washington	31	Washington State	13	Washington -7.5	Washington	65.0	Under
2018	11/23	Washington State	15	Washington	28	Washington State -2.5	Washington	50.0	Under
2017	11/25	Washington	41	Washington State	14	Washington -9.5	Washington	50.5	Over
2016	11/25	Washington State	17	Washington	45	Washington -6	Washington	62.0	Push
2015	11/27	Washington	45	Washington State	10	Washington -5.5	Washington	52.5	Over
2014	11/29	Washington State	13	Washington	31	Washington -4	Washington	0
2013	11/29	Washington	27	Washington State	17	Washington -14.5	Washington State	0
2012	11/23	Washington State	31	Washington	28
2011	11/26	Washington	38	Washington State	21
2010	12/04	Washington State	28	Washington	35
2009	11/28	Washington	30	Washington State	0
2008	11/22	Washington State	16	Washington	13
2007	11/24	Washington	35	Washington State	42
2006	11/18	Washington State	32	Washington	35
2005	11/19	Washington	22	Washington State	26
2004	11/20	Washington State	28	Washington	25
2003	11/22	Washington	27	Washington State	19
2001	11/17	Washington	26	Washington State	14
2000	11/17	Washington State	3	Washington	51

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	17	8	5 Overs
Washington State	7	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 12	3 - 9	3 - 5	0 - 4
Road Teams	12 - 12	9 - 3	4 - 0	5 - 3

(#72) WSU at (#64) WASH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	WASH
Power RatePwr	#72	#64
SP+SP+	#68	#58
Perf GradeGrade	#48	#69
OffenseOff	#45	#71
DefenseDef	#44	#62
Spec TeamsST	#101	#121
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#23

Washington State Notes(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh
Washington State Injury Report

Washington Notes(12/31) QB D Williams (Mobile, Fr) great in bowl.
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY
(8/4) Fisch good HC, but year 0 with 0 ret. starters
Washington Injury Report

Washington State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	WASH Def
Perf GradePerf	#45	#62
SuccessSuc	#15	#83
ExplosiveExp	#24	#17
PPAPPA	#19	#54
PowerPwr	#22	#81
SP+SP+	#21	#36
Pts POPPO	#23	#95
HavocHav	#43	#107

Washington State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#25	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	#27	#116
Run ExplRExp	#14	#31
PPAExp	#22	#106
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	#54	#114
Stuff RateStuff	#99	#123
TackleTak	-	#2

Washington State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#51	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	#8	#31
Pass ExplPExl	#68	#40
PPAExp	#20	#13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#3	#82
F7 HavocF7	#72	#131
DB HavocDB	#19	#32

Washington on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	WSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#71	#44
SuccessSuc	#21	#112
ExplosiveExp	#119	#82
PPAPPA	#32	#99
PowerPwr	#73	#107
SP+SP+	#66	#97
Pts POPPO	#102	#107
HavocHav	#74	#88

Washington Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#37	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	#36	#129
Run ExplRExp	#123	#89
PPAExp	#78	#123
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#28	#110
Stuff RateStuff	#17	#82
TackleTak	-	#132

Washington Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	#13	#91
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#54
PPAExp	#22	#74
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#131	#43
F7 HavocF7	#101	#102
DB HavocDB	#35	#64

Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lumen Field
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 68° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.008

Rematch from Week 3
Washington -4.0 (56.0)
Washington State won at Washington this year (24-19)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Washington last year (24-19)
Washington beat Washington State in 2023 (24-21)
Washington beat Washington State in 2022 (51-33)

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Mateer	224	347	65%	3139	29	7	9.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)	37	50	74%	424	4	2	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
John Mateer	178	826	15	4.6	68
Wayshawn Parker	137	735	4	5.4	75
Leo Pulalasi	65	302	2	4.6	22
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	43	149	3	3.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Williams	70	1193	14	17.0	66
Kris Hutson (Tr)	55	691	2	12.6	59
Josh Meredith	39	477	2	12.2	39
Carlos Hernandez	31	397	5	12.8	42

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taariq Al-Uqdah	69	5	0	5	2
Kyle Thornton	66	7	1	4	1
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	0	6
Tanner Moku	48	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ansel Din-Mbuh	24	7	6	2	0
Khalil Laufau	15	4	3	0	1
Andrew Edson	38	7	3	4	2
Quinn Roff	18	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ethan O'Connor	30	1	1	8
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	6
Tyson Durant (Tr)	45	2	2	6

WASH's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Rogers (Tr)	220	311	71%	2458	14	7	7.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	82	105	78%	944	8	1	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)	193	1053	10	5.5	64
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	83	282	2	3.4	43
Adam Mohammed (Tr)	42	193	0	4.6	32
Cameron Davis	44	190	0	4.3	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Giles Jackson	85	893	7	10.5	49
Denzel Boston	63	834	9	13.2	51
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)	36	490	1	13.6	42
Keleki Latu (Tr)	40	371	1	9.3	36

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Stephen Belichick (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Kamren Fabiculanan	54	1	0	1	2
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)	49	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Russell Davis II (Tr)	4	3	3	0	0
Isaiah Ward (Tr)	28	6	3	2	2
Voi Tunuufi	36	4	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Thaddeus Dixon	43	2	0	10
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)	45	0	0	6
Jordan Shaw	37	4	1	6