Washington at Oregon - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Oregon -17.5 (50.5) (-900) Open: -18.5 | 50.5
Oregon 49 - Washington: 21 (Big Ten)

Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (30 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WASH coming off BYE
ORE coming off BYE
Our Line: Oregon -26.5 (SP+ ORE -23)
Projected Score: WASH: 13 - ORE: 40 (53)
ORE Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
WASH Travel: 251 miles

Ducks (13 - 1) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (22 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 1 (#3)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WASH Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington vs Weber State	-29.0	51.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington vs Eastern Michigan	-25.0	48.5	W 30 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/14	Washington vs Washington State	-4.0	56.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/21	Washington vs Northwestern	-11.5	42.5	W 24 - 5	U	Y
Fri 9/27	Washington at Rutgers	+1.5	44.5	L 18 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/5	Washington vs Michigan	-1.5	39.5	W 27 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Washington at Iowa	+2.5	41.5	L 16 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Washington at Indiana	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/2	Washington vs USC	+2.0	55.0	W 26 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Washington at Penn State	+13.5	48.0	L 6 - 35	U	N
Fri 11/15	Washington vs UCLA	-4.5	47.0	W 31 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Washington at Oregon	+17.5	50.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Tue 12/31	Washington vs Louisville	-1.0	50.5	L 34 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Oregon's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Oregon vs Idaho	-36.5
Sat 9/7	Oregon vs Boise State	-17.5	60.5	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/14	Oregon at Oregon State	-16.0	50.0	W 49 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Oregon at UCLA	-23.5	54.5	W 34 - 13	U	N
Fri 10/4	Oregon vs Michigan State	-22.5	53.0	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/12	Oregon vs Ohio State	+3.5	54.5	W 32 - 31	O	Y
Fri 10/18	Oregon at Purdue	-30.0	61.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Oregon vs Illinois	-22.5	54.0	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Oregon at Michigan	-14.5	45.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Oregon vs Maryland	-24.0	58.0	W 39 - 18	U	N
Sat 11/16	Oregon at Wisconsin	-13.5	49.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Oregon vs Washington	-17.5	50.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Oregon vs Penn State	-3.5	51.5	W 45 - 37	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Oregon vs Ohio State	+2.5	55.5	L 21 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	#7 (.38)	53% (4)	34.1	54% (4)	3.37 (16)	109	53% (5)	298	4.73 (12)	#72 (.19)	44% (99)	18.7	51% (127)	40% (50)	3.93 (80)	64	1.1	1.2
ORE	#2 (.49)	57% (1)	36.9	57% (2)	3.69 (4)	171	57% (1)	318	5.11 (1)	#19 (.1)	38% (30)	17.9	39% (35)	39% (27)	3.33 (24)	59.1	0.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	15	34.1	29.6	52.9%	4.73	1.1	20	407	109	298	4.5	40%	60%	54%	53%	13%	.38
ORE Defense	14	17.9	16.8	38.4%	3.33	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	39%	59%	39%	39%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	15	18.7	19	44.1%	3.93	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	51%	40%	15%	.19
ORE Offense	14	36.9	43.1	56.9%	5.11	0.5	24	490	171	318	5.9	44%	56%	57%	57%	9%	.49

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	15	25:41	20.2	48%	73%	6.8	64	1.1	1.2	3.9	1.3	3	31
Oregon	14	28:31	24.4	51%	74%	6.5	59.1	0.5	1.1	4.8	2.4	1	29.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	15	40% (125)	54% (4)	24	108.5	4.5	26 (30)	.28 (10)	3.37 (16)	74% (71)	7% (18)	0.96 (90)
ORE Defense	14	39% (2)	39% (35)	-	-	-	-	.08 (32)	3.08 (60)	55% (6)	9% (96)	0.97 (54)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	15	41% (3)	51% (127)	-	-	-	-	.3 (130)	3.63 (132)	78% (99)	7% (126)	0.99 (66)
ORE Offense	14	44% (107)	57% (2)	29.1	171.4	5.9	32 (10)	.37 (2)	3.69 (4)	78% (32)	6% (3)	1.05 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	15	60% (8)	53% (5)	21.3	32.3	298	9.2	14	35 (7)	10 (56)	.49 (11)	1.5 (109)	26% (7)	41% (5)	.56 (10)	5% (36)	2 (89)
ORE Defense	14	59% (132)	39% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.16 (16)	1.5 (45)	32% (70)	30% (60)	.33 (78)	8% (13)	2 (45)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	15	58% (130)	40% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.14 (13)	1.4 (7)	29% (122)	30% (66)	.22 (23)	8% (12)	1.7 (2)
ORE Offense	14	56% (22)	57% (1)	26	33.7	318.3	9.4	12.2	44 (1)	5 (6)	.59 (3)	1.5 (112)	24% (3)	43% (3)	.73 (2)	3% (4)	2 (70)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: -0.06 #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
2024 Talent Rating: 398.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: -0.06 Oregon: 28.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 3.1 Oregon: 26.0

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.2 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 29.52 #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: 4.01 #19
2024 Talent Rating: 619.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Oregon's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0
Oregon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 40
Washington 13

Projected Total Points: 53

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Washington	14	Oregon	26	Oregon -6.5	Oregon	51.5	Under
2024	11/30	Oregon	49	Washington	21	Oregon -17.5	Oregon	50.5	Over
2023	10/14	Washington	36	Oregon	33	Washington -3	Push	67.0	Over
2023	12/01	Washington	34	Oregon	31	Oregon -9	Washington	67.0	Under
2022	11/12	Oregon	34	Washington	37	Oregon -12	Washington	73.0	Under
2021	11/06	Washington	16	Oregon	26	Oregon -7	Oregon	48.0	Under
2019	10/19	Washington	31	Oregon	35	Oregon -3	Oregon	48.0	Over
2018	10/13	Oregon	30	Washington	27	Washington -3.5	Oregon	59.0	Under
2017	11/04	Washington	38	Oregon	3	Washington -17.5	Washington	53.0	Under
2016	10/08	Oregon	21	Washington	70	Washington -6.5	Washington	67.0	Over
2015	10/17	Washington	20	Oregon	26	Washington -3	Oregon	58.5	Under
2014	10/18	Oregon	45	Washington	20	Oregon -19	Oregon	0
2013	10/12	Washington	24	Oregon	45	Oregon -10.5	Oregon	0
2012	10/06	Oregon	52	Washington	21
2011	11/05	Washington	17	Oregon	34
2010	11/06	Oregon	53	Washington	16
2009	10/24	Washington	19	Oregon	43
2008	08/30	Oregon	44	Washington	10
2007	10/20	Washington	34	Oregon	55
2006	11/04	Oregon	34	Washington	14
2005	10/15	Oregon	45	Washington	21
2004	10/30	Oregon	31	Washington	6
2003	11/01	Washington	42	Oregon	10
2000	09/29	Oregon	23	Washington	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	18	8	4 Overs
Washington	6	4	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	5 - 7	3 - 2	2 - 5
Road Teams	10 - 14	7 - 5	5 - 2	2 - 3

(#64) WASH at (#2) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WASH	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#64	#2
SP+SP+	#58	#3
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#4
OffenseOff	#71	#9
DefenseDef	#62	#4
Spec TeamsST	#121	#26
TalentTal	#35	#5
Blue ChipsBC%	#23	#8

Washington Notes(12/31) QB D Williams (Mobile, Fr) great in bowl.
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY
(8/4) Fisch good HC, but year 0 with 0 ret. starters
Washington Injury Report

Oregon Notes(11/18) Rgame bad vs Wisc, Gabriel OK, missed WR Tez
(11/4) Tez Johnson inj (Mich), out weeks, not year
(10/27) Rgame mauled Illinois, 229 yds, 5.9 ypc in blowout
(10/19) Rgame bad vs Purdue, Run Def bad, still shutout
(10/12) Off torched Ohio St. Gabriel/Rgame great
(9/14) Dominanted Beavs. 240 yds rushing, Gabriel good
(9/9) OL & DL are a big issue, outgained by Boise but won
(9/1) Run game a big ? after 2.9 YPC vs Idaho.
(8/4) Gabriel perfect for Off, can lines play B1G ball?
(8/4) Lots of travel weeks 7-11, 3 MW/cold trips
(7/30) Portal QBs Gabriel(UCF)/Moore(UCLA), WR Stewart
(7/30) DL & DB's both PFF top 10, but 4/5 DBs are portals.
Oregon Injury Report

Washington on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#4
SuccessSuc	#4	#30
ExplosiveExp	#81	#78
PPAPPA	#7	#19
PowerPwr	#73	#19
SP+SP+	#66	#14
Pts POPPO	#12	#24
HavocHav	#13	#52

Washington Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	#37	#33
Run SuccessRSuc	#4	#35
Run ExplRExp	#90	#54
PPAExp	#10	#32
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#16	#60
Stuff RateStuff	#34	#75
TackleTak	-	#8

Washington Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#27
Pass ExplPExl	#109	#45
PPAExp	#11	#16
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#131	#7
F7 HavocF7	#18	#96
DB HavocDB	#36	#13

Oregon on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ORE Off	WASH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#62
SuccessSuc	#1	#99
ExplosiveExp	#67	#20
PPAPPA	#2	#72
PowerPwr	#4	#81
SP+SP+	#2	#36
Pts POPPO	#1	#80
HavocHav	#2	#89

Oregon Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ORE Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#11	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	#2	#127
Run ExplRExp	#37	#66
PPAExp	#2	#130
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#32	#130
TackleTak	-	#2

Oregon Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ORE Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	#1	#50
Pass ExplPExl	#112	#7
PPAExp	#3	#13
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#21	#82
F7 HavocF7	#3	#126
DB HavocDB	#4	#12

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

WASH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Oregon -17.5 (50.5)
Oregon won vs Washington this year (49-21)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Washington last year (26-14)
Oregon beat Washington in 2024 (49-21)
Washington beat Oregon in 2023 (34-31)

WASH's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Rogers (Tr)	220	311	71%	2458	14	7	7.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	82	105	78%	944	8	1	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)	193	1053	10	5.5	64
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	83	282	2	3.4	43
Adam Mohammed (Tr)	42	193	0	4.6	32
Cameron Davis	44	190	0	4.3	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Giles Jackson	85	893	7	10.5	49
Denzel Boston	63	834	9	13.2	51
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)	36	490	1	13.6	42
Keleki Latu (Tr)	40	371	1	9.3	36

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Stephen Belichick (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Kamren Fabiculanan	54	1	0	1	2
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)	49	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Russell Davis II (Tr)	4	3	3	0	0
Isaiah Ward (Tr)	28	6	3	2	2
Voi Tunuufi	36	4	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Thaddeus Dixon	43	2	0	10
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)	45	0	0	6
Jordan Shaw	37	4	1	6

ORE's OC Junior Adams (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dillon Gabriel (Tr)	326	447	73%	3857	30	6	8.6
Dante Moore (Tr)	7	8	88%	49	0	0	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan James	233	1267	15	5.4	41
Noah Whittington	118	540	6	4.6	28
Dillon Gabriel (Tr)	75	149	7	2.0	54
Da'Jaun Riggs	11	82	1	7.5	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tez Johnson	83	898	10	10.8	52
Traeshon Holden	45	718	5	16.0	59
Evan Stewart (Tr)	48	613	5	12.8	69
Terrance Ferguson	43	591	3	13.7	62

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Boettcher	87	7	2	0	4
Tysheem Johnson	58	3	0	0	0
Kobe Savage (Tr)	57	3	0	0	1
Teitum Tuioti	53	8	6	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matayo Uiagalelei	37	11	9	6	1
Jordan Burch	29	11	9	4	5
Teitum Tuioti	53	8	6	3	1
Derrick Harmon (Tr)	43	11	5	10	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	38	1	0	0	10
Dontae Manning	18	1	0	0	6
Jordan Burch	29	11	9	4	5