Washington at Oregon - 2024 Matchup Preview
Washington logo Washington Huskies at Oregon Ducks(#6)Oregon logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Oregon -17.5 (50.5) (-900)  Open: -18.5 | 50.5
Oregon 49 - Washington: 21  (Big Ten)

 
Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
WASH coming off BYE
ORE coming off BYE
Our Line: Oregon -26.5   (SP+ ORE -23)

Projected Score: WASH: 12 - ORE: 39 (51)
ORE Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
WASH Travel: 251 miles
Ducks (13 - 1) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (22 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington vs Weber State-29.051.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Washington vs Eastern Michigan-25.048.5W 30 - 9UN
Sat 9/14 Washington vs Washington State-4.056.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 9/21 Washington vs Northwestern-11.542.5W 24 - 5UY
Fri 9/27 Washington at Rutgers+1.544.5L 18 - 21UN
Sat 10/5 Washington vs Michigan-1.539.5W 27 - 17OY
Sat 10/12 Washington at Iowa+2.541.5L 16 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Washington at Indiana+5.554.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 Washington vs USC+2.055.0W 26 - 21UY
Sat 11/9 Washington at Penn State+13.548.0L 6 - 35UN
Fri 11/15 Washington vs UCLA-4.547.0W 31 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Washington at Oregon+17.550.5L 21 - 49ON
Tue 12/31 Washington vs Louisville-1.050.5L 34 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Oregon's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Oregon vs Idaho-36.5
Sat 9/7 Oregon vs Boise State-17.560.5W 37 - 34ON
Sat 9/14 Oregon at Oregon State-16.050.0W 49 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Oregon at UCLA-23.554.5W 34 - 13UN
Fri 10/4 Oregon vs Michigan State-22.553.0W 31 - 10UN
Sat 10/12 Oregon vs Ohio State+3.554.5W 32 - 31OY
Fri 10/18 Oregon at Purdue-30.061.0W 35 - 0UY
Sat 10/26 Oregon vs Illinois-22.554.0W 38 - 9UY
Sat 11/2 Oregon at Michigan-14.545.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/9 Oregon vs Maryland-24.058.0W 39 - 18UN
Sat 11/16 Oregon at Wisconsin-13.549.5W 16 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Oregon vs Washington-17.550.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 12/7 Oregon vs Penn State-3.551.5W 45 - 37OY
Wed 1/1 Oregon vs Ohio State+2.555.5L 21 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 5, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)23.446% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)23.848% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)34.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)19.442% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense1323.415.647%3.520.8193551222334.146%54%46%48%16%.25
ORE Defense1419.419.637.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense1323.835.243.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 52%48%48%38%14%.14
ORE Offense1434.935.750.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington1327:5019.136%46%5.548.70.81.23.31.5027.9
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense1346% (100)46% (36)29.5121.64.113 (105).12 (78)3.29 (28)77% (43)11% (101)0.83 (123)
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense1352% (79)48% (116) - - - - .19 (106)3.3 (114)68% (36)7% (131)0.89 (31)
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense1354% (38)48% (13)21.229.6232.97.91118 (68)7 (26).37 (22)1.5 (117)27% (6)34% (44).35 (62)5% (35)1.8 (121)
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense1348% (58)38% (31) - - - - - - 8 (93).09 (13)1.5 (40)30% (95)33% (98).35 (90)7% (32)2 (57)
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: -0.06 #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: -0.06   Oregon: 28.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 3.1   Oregon: 26.0




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.2 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 29.52 #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: 4.01 #19
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Oregon's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0
Oregon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 39
Washington 12


Total Points: 51

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Oregon49Washington21OregonOregon -17.5Oregon50.5Over
202310/14Washington36Oregon33WashingtonWashington -3Push67.0Over
202312/01Washington34Oregon31WashingtonOregon -9Washington67.0Under
202211/12Oregon34Washington37WashingtonOregon -12Washington73.0Under
202111/06Washington16Oregon26OregonOregon -7Oregon48.0Under
201910/19Washington31Oregon35OregonOregon -3Oregon48.0Over
201810/13Oregon30Washington27OregonWashington -3.5Oregon59.0Under
201711/04Washington38Oregon3WashingtonWashington -17.5Washington53.0Under
201610/08Oregon21Washington70WashingtonWashington -6.5Washington67.0Over
201510/17Washington20Oregon26OregonWashington -3Oregon58.5Under
201410/18Oregon45Washington20OregonOregon -19Oregon0
201310/12Washington24Oregon45OregonOregon -10.5Oregon0
201210/06Oregon52Washington21Oregon
201111/05Washington17Oregon34Oregon
201011/06Oregon53Washington16Oregon
200910/24Washington19Oregon43Oregon
200808/30Oregon44Washington10Oregon
200710/20Washington34Oregon55Oregon
200611/04Oregon34Washington14Oregon
200510/15Oregon45Washington21Oregon
200410/30Oregon31Washington6Oregon
200311/01Washington42Oregon10Washington
200009/29Oregon23Washington16Oregon
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon1774 Overs
Washington646 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 95 - 63 - 22 - 4
Road Teams9 - 146 - 54 - 22 - 3

(#64) Washington Info
Power Rating: -0.06 #64
Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Washington has won 1 straight
Washington has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (0 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Washington Notes
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY

Washington Highlights
Washington offense is efficent (#10)
Washington has a top Offensive Line (#20)
Washington does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#73)

Washington defense does not give up big plays (#129)
Washington has a great TO Margin (#11)

Washington Deficiencies
Washington offense is not Explosive (#50)
Washington offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#25)
Washington Does Not Stuff Runs (#101)
Washington has a bad defensive line (#76)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOREWASH
OverallOver#4#47
OffenseOff#9#58
DefenseDef#4#46
Special TeamsST#23#98
PassingPass#10#67
RushingRush#11#25
Run BlockRBLK#22#81
Pass BlockPBLK#21#114
Route RunningWR Rt#24#7
TacklingTkl#7#2
Run DefenseR Def#26#72
Pass Rush DefPRush#7#69
Coverage DefCov#4#10

Rematch from Week 14
Oregon -17.5 (50.5)
Oregon won vs Washington this year (49-21)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Washington last year (49-21)
Washington beat Oregon in 2023 (34-31)
Washington beat Oregon in 2022 (37-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WASH | ORE
Depth Chart: WASH | ORE
Rosters: WASH | ORE
(#2) Oregon Info
Power Rating: 28.2 #2
Offense Rating: 29.52 #4
Defense Rating: 4.01 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oregon has won 11 straight
Oregon has won 6 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Oregon Notes
(11/4) Tez Johnson inj (Mich), out weeks, not year
(10/27) Rgame mauled Illinois, 229 yds, 5.9 ypc in blowout
(10/19) Rgame bad vs Purdue, Run Def bad, still shutout
(10/12) Off torched Ohio St. Gabriel/Rgame great
(9/14) Dominanted Beavs. 240 yds rushing, Gabriel good
(9/9) OL & DL are a big issue, outgained by Boise but won
(9/1) Run game a big ? after 2.9 YPC vs Idaho.
(8/4) Gabriel perfect for Off, can lines play B1G ball?
(8/4) Lots of travel weeks 7-11, 3 MW/cold trips
(7/30) Portal QBs Gabriel(UCF)/Moore(UCLA), WR Stewart

Oregon Highlights
Oregon is Undefeated at Home

Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)

Oregon Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Front 7 is disruptive (#67)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)

Oregon Deficiencies
Oregon offense is not Explosive (#24)
Oregon Does Not Stuff Runs (#90)


  
Washington's OC Brennan Carroll
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers (Tr)22031171%24581477.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8210578%944819.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)1931053105.564
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8328223.443
Adam Mohammed (Tr)4219304.632
Cameron Davis4419004.320
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Giles Jackson85893710.549
Denzel Boston63834913.251
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)36490113.642
Keleki Latu (Tr)4037119.336

View Washington's Full Roster
Washington's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carson Bruener1042035
Alphonzo Tuputala814421
Kamren Fabiculanan541012
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)495201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alphonzo Tuputala814421
Russell Davis II (Tr)43300
Isaiah Ward (Tr)286322
Voi Tunuufi364321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)450006
Jordan Shaw374016

Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dillon Gabriel (Tr)32644773%38573068.6
Dante Moore (Tr)7888%49006.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan James2331267155.441
Noah Whittington11854064.628
Dillon Gabriel (Tr)7514972.054
Da'Jaun Riggs118217.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tez Johnson838981010.852
Traeshon Holden45718516.059
Evan Stewart (Tr)48613512.869
Terrance Ferguson43591313.762

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher877204
Tysheem Johnson583000
Kobe Savage (Tr)573001
Teitum Tuioti538631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei3711961
Jordan Burch2911945
Teitum Tuioti538631
Derrick Harmon (Tr)43115102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)3810010
Dontae Manning181006
Jordan Burch2911945