USC at Washington - 2024 Matchup Preview
USC logo USC Trojans at Washington HuskiesWashington logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
USC -2 (55.0) (-125)  Open: -3.0
Washington 26 - USC: 21  (Big Ten)

 
Trojans (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: USC -5.5  (SP+ USC -9)

Projected Score: USC: 29 - WASH: 23 (52)
USC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
USC Travel: 965 miles
Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (29 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
USC's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 USC vs LSU+4.066.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/7 USC vs Utah State-30.562.5W 48 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 USC at Michigan-4.044.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/28 USC vs Wisconsin-14.050.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/5 USC at Minnesota-8.545.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/12 USC vs Penn State+3.551.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 10/19 USC at Maryland-6.556.5L 28 - 29ON
Fri 10/25 USC vs Rutgers-14.057.0W 42 - 20OY
Sat 11/2 USC at Washington-2.055.0L 21 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 USC vs Nebraska-6.551.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 USC at UCLA-5.053.0W 19 - 13UY
Sat 11/30 USC vs Notre Dame+6.552.5L 35 - 49ON
Fri 12/27 USC vs Texas A&M+3.556.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Washington's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington vs Weber State-29.051.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Washington vs Eastern Michigan-25.048.5W 30 - 9UN
Sat 9/14 Washington vs Washington State-4.056.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 9/21 Washington vs Northwestern-11.542.5W 24 - 5UY
Fri 9/27 Washington at Rutgers+1.544.5L 18 - 21UN
Sat 10/5 Washington vs Michigan-1.539.5W 27 - 17OY
Sat 10/12 Washington at Iowa+2.541.5L 16 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Washington at Indiana+5.554.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 Washington vs USC+2.055.0W 26 - 21UY
Sat 11/9 Washington at Penn State+13.548.0L 6 - 35UN
Fri 11/15 Washington vs UCLA-4.547.0W 31 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Washington at Oregon+17.550.5L 21 - 49ON
Tue 12/31 Washington vs Louisville-1.050.5L 34 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)30.252% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)24.144% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)23.446% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)23.848% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1330.221.848.4%3.761.4214081382695.540%60%52%46%18%.24
WASH Defense1323.812.343.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 52%48%48%38%14%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense1324.123.843.8%3.641.2 - - - - - 46%53%44%44%14%.18
WASH Offense1323.428.847%3.520.8193551222334.146%54%46%48%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1328:1221.345%47%5.3461.41.23.91.5133.7
Washington1327:5019.136%46%5.548.70.81.23.31.5027.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1340% (126)52% (10)25.2138.45.519 (73).23 (21)3.49 (9)85% (6)8% (24)0.89 (106)
WASH Defense1352% (79)48% (116) - - - - .19 (106)3.3 (114)68% (36)7% (131)0.89 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1346% (22)44% (78) - - - - .18 (96)3.17 (92)76% (81)7% (127)1 (77)
WASH Offense1346% (100)46% (36)29.5121.64.113 (105).12 (78)3.29 (28)77% (43)11% (101)0.83 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1360% (9)46% (26)24.138269.27.111.225 (31)12 (85).25 (74)1.5 (108)29% (24)36% (18).4 (36)10% (134)2 (74)
WASH Defense1348% (58)38% (31) - - - - - - 8 (93).09 (13)1.5 (40)30% (95)33% (98).35 (90)7% (32)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1353% (113)44% (103) - - - - - - 10 (66).2 (49)1.3 (4)28% (122)27% (27).14 (6)7% (42)1.8 (8)
WASH Offense1354% (38)48% (13)21.229.6232.97.91118 (68)7 (26).37 (22)1.5 (117)27% (6)34% (44).35 (62)5% (35)1.8 (121)

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 7.42  #37
USC's Offense Rating: 20.62  #60
USC's Defense Rating: 10.19  #74
2024 Talent Rating: 882.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 41%  #16
USC's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
USC's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9  #23
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #15
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #48

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: 7.42   Washington: 4.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 11.9   Washington: 3.1




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 4.02  #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16  #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11  #81
2024 Talent Rating: 754.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 25  #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

USC's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
USC 29
Washington 23


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 25
USC 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Washington 25
USC 22

Total Points: 47
Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.3

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Washington26USC21USC -2Washington55.0Under
202311/04USC42Washington52Washington -3.0Washington76.0Over
201909/28Washington28USC14Washington -12.5Washington60.5Under
201611/12Washington13USC26Washington -10USC59.5Under
201510/08USC12Washington17USC -17Washington59.5Under
201210/13Washington14USC24
201111/12USC40Washington17
201010/02USC31Washington32
200909/19Washington16USC13
200811/01USC56Washington0
200709/29Washington24USC27
200610/07USC26Washington20
200510/22Washington24USC51
200410/23USC38Washington0
200310/25Washington23USC43
200210/19USC41Washington21
200110/06Washington27USC24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington741 Overs
USC1014 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 82 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams8 - 93 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#37) USC at (#64) WASH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCWASH
Power RatePwr #37 #64
SP+SP+ #23 #58
Perf GradeGrade #44 #69
OffenseOff #36 #71
DefenseDef #74 #62
Spec TeamsST #65 #121
TalentTal #17 #41
Blue ChipsBC% #16 #23

USC Notes
(11/30) Maiavia torched ND, Run D mauled, 2 late Int's
(11/25) 5 L's by an avg of 3.8 ppg. Have lead all in 4th
(11/24) Def good in UCLA W. Rgame bad, Maiava OK
(11/18) Maiavia OK, Rgame good, Def good in Neb W
(11/5) QB Maiava replacing Moss for Nebraska game
(11/3) Riley 2-11 at SC as a Road Favorite
(11/2) 0-4 in road games. 3 TO's, poorly coached
(10/19) Into Rutgers wk, L Riley is 5-9 in last 13 gms
(10/19) Gagged vs MD, Rgame awful, Moss meh.
(10/18) OL undersized/no depth. #129 in Pass blocking
(10/16) DE Lucas (Starter) out for season

Washington Notes
(12/31) QB D Williams (Mobile, Fr) great in bowl.
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY
USC on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
USC OffWASH Def
Perf GradePerf #36 #62
SuccessSuc #11 #83
ExplosiveExp #91 #17
PPAPPA #41 #54
PowerPwr #60 #81
SP+SP+ #15 #36
Pts POPPO #85 #95
HavocHav #101 #107
USC Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
USC OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #6 #90
Run SuccessRSuc #10 #116
Run ExplRExp #106 #31
PPAExp #21 #106
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #9 #114
Stuff RateStuff #22 #123
TackleTak -  #2
USC Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
USC OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #24 #10
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #31
Pass ExplPExl #108 #40
PPAExp #74 #13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #114 #82
F7 HavocF7 #24 #131
DB HavocDB #134 #32
Washington on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatWASH OffUSC Def
Perf GradePerf #71 #74
SuccessSuc #21 #94
ExplosiveExp #119 #24
PPAPPA #32 #78
PowerPwr #73 #74
SP+SP+ #66 #48
Pts POPPO #102 #49
HavocHav #74 #105
Washington Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
WASH OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #37 #92
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #78
Run ExplRExp #123 #77
PPAExp #78 #96
Run BlockR Blk #104 -
OL YdsOLY #28 #92
Stuff RateStuff #17 #120
TackleTak -  #19
Washington Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatWASH OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #86 #48
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #103
Pass ExplPExl #117 #4
PPAExp #22 #49
Pass Block/RushP Blk #131 #85
F7 HavocF7 #101 #127
DB HavocDB #35 #42
Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

USC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 53° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 10
USC 2.0 (55.0)
Washington won vs USC this year (26-21)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat USC last year (26-21)
Washington beat USC in 2023 (52-42)

  
USC's OC Josh Henson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss23336264%25551897.1
Jayden Maiava (Tr)10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks198113395.765
Quinten Joyner6347837.675
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
A'Marion Peterson166514.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Zachariah Branch47503110.742
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold (Tr)945221
Mason Cobb723003
Kamari Ramsey (Tr)606215
Akili Arnold (Tr)591111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold (Tr)945221
Kamari Ramsey (Tr)606215
Eric Gentry337201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeCarlos Nicholson (Tr)270005
Kamari Ramsey (Tr)606215
Mason Cobb723003

WASH's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers (Tr)22031171%24581477.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8210578%944819.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)1931053105.564
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8328223.443
Adam Mohammed (Tr)4219304.632
Cameron Davis4419004.320
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Giles Jackson85893710.549
Denzel Boston63834913.251
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)36490113.642
Keleki Latu (Tr)4037119.336

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Stephen Belichick (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carson Bruener1042035
Alphonzo Tuputala814421
Kamren Fabiculanan541012
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)495201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alphonzo Tuputala814421
Russell Davis II (Tr)43300
Isaiah Ward (Tr)286322
Voi Tunuufi364321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)450006
Jordan Shaw374016