Merrimack at UConn - 2024 Matchup Preview
Merrimack logo   Merrimack Warriors at UConn Huskies  UConn logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
UConn -14.5 (44.5) (-800)  Open: -15.5 | 45.5
UConn 63 - Merrimack: 17

 
Warriors (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 24 (15 - 24 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MER 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: UConn -1  (SP+ CONN -2)
CONN Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (40 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Merrimack's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Merrimack at Air Force+30.547.5L 6 - 21UY
Sat 9/7 Merrimack at UConn+14.544.5L 17 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Merrimack's Schedule
UConn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UConn at Maryland+19.045.5L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/7 UConn vs Merrimack-14.544.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 UConn at Duke+17.546.5L 21 - 26OY
Sat 9/21 UConn vs Florida Atlantic-1.046.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 UConn vs Buffalo-6.044.5W 47 - 3OY
Sat 10/5 UConn vs Temple-17.549.0W 29 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UConn vs Wake Forest+2.555.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 UConn vs Rice-6.547.0W 17 - 10UY
Fri 11/1 UConn vs Georgia State-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/9 UConn at UAB-7.554.0W 31 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UConn at Syracuse+10.053.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 UConn at Massachusetts-9.549.5W 47 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 UConn vs North Carolina+2.053.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%150%000%000%240%0%0000
CONN#111 (.11)40% (96)35.343% (68)2.76 (120)13737% (108)1903.29 (106)#99 (.23)47% (124)2745% (89)49% (133)3.88 (75)53.81.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Offense115150%00000000%0%0%0%0%
CONN Defense122719.546.6%3.881.1 - - - - - 51%49%45%49%16%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Defense124240%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
CONN Offense1235.340.339.8%3.291.4183271371904.251%48%43%37%16%.11

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Merrimack10:000NAN%0%0000000100
UConn1231:1518.135%38%6.153.81.41.15.71.3127.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Offense10%0%000000%0%0
CONN Defense1251% (77)45% (89) - - - - .11 (48)2.9 (34)79% (103)11% (45)0.98 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
CONN Offense1251% (54)43% (68)32.8136.64.215 (100).01 (125)2.76 (120)77% (41)11% (93)0.9 (112)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
CONN Defense1249% (61)49% (133) - - - - - - 6 (120).4 (118)1.4 (17)30% (113)33% (112).35 (86)5% (110)1.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
CONN Offense1248% (79)37% (108)18.331.8190.3610.412 (113)7 (21).25 (78)1.6 (51)35% (112)28% (90).23 (98)5% (33)1.8 (122)

Merrimack's Power Ratings
Merrimack's Power Rating: NR
Merrimack's Offense Rating: NR
Merrimack's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Merrimack's 2024 Expected Record: -
Merrimack's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Merrimack's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Merrimack's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Merrimack:    UConn: 1.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Merrimack:    UConn: 1.5




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 1.025  #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51  #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05  #36
2024 Talent Rating: 230.00  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 392
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Merrimack Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Merrimack's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 24
Merrimack 23

Projected Total Points: 47
UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07UConn63Merrimack17UConn -14.5UConn44.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn111 Overs
Merrimack000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) MER at (#80) CONN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMERCONN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #80
SP+SP+NR #67
Perf GradeGradeNR #42
OffenseOffNR #50
DefenseDefNR #51
Spec TeamsSTNR #30
TalentTalNR #106
Blue ChipsBC%NR #82
UConn Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by Cuse. Off good, fought hard
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR
(7/30) Def hoping new adds improve pretty poor unit LY
UConn Injury Report
Merrimack on Offense
CategoryCat
MER OffCONN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #51
SuccessSucNR #124
ExplosiveExpNR #33
PPAPPANR #99
PowerPwrNR #36
SP+SP+NR #60
Pts POPPONR #75
HavocHavNR #80
Merrimack Run Game
CategoryCat
MER OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNR #71
Run SuccessRSucNR #89
Run ExplRExpNR #59
PPAExpNR #48
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #34
Stuff RateStuffNR #41
TackleTak -  #57
Merrimack Pass Game
CategoryCat
MER OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNR #12
Pass SuccessPSucNR #133
Pass ExplPExlNR #17
PPAExpNR #118
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #111
F7 HavocF7NR #45
DB HavocDBNR #110
UConn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatCONN OffMER Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #50NR
SuccessSuc #96NR
ExplosiveExp #102NR
PPAPPA #111NR
PowerPwr #89NR
SP+SP+ #70NR
Pts POPPO #106NR
HavocHav #75NR
UConn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
CONN OffMER Def
Run GameRun #87NR
Run SuccessRSuc #68NR
Run ExplRExp #112NR
PPAExp #125NR
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLY #120NR
Stuff RateStuff #125NR
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatCONN OffMER Def
Pass GamePass #102NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #108NR
Pass ExplPExl #51NR
PPAExp #78NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #54NR
F7 HavocF7 #93NR
DB HavocDB #33NR
Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

MER 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
UConn -14.5 (44.5)
UConn won vs Merrimack this year (63-17)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Merrimack in 2024 (63-17)

  
MER's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Merrimack's Full Roster

MER's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendal Sims100000
DJ Frazier100010
Donte Williams90001
Jason Compoh70000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendal Sims100000
Brandon Roberts30000
Justyce Hathaway10000
Jabari Nichols11000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garry Rosemond Jr.50001
Donte Williams90001
Nicholas Lenon40011

CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Fagnano12020758%16312047.9
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Durell Robinson (Tr)10773186.868
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)50860517.270
TJ Sheffield (Tr)5450539.458
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)3230739.626
Louis Hansen2423649.855

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Malik Dixon671003
Rante Jones562032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Pryce Yates217451
Langston Hardy447430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
Dalmont Gourdine274146