UConn at UAB - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (2:30 PM EST)
UConn -7.5 (54.0) (-230) Open: -6.0 | 56.5
UConn 31 - UAB: 23

Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (26 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UAB 2nd straight Home Game
CONN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UConn -8 (SP+ CONN -13)
Projected Score: CONN: 32 - UAB: 24 (55)
CONN Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CONN Travel: 960 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blazers (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (34 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
UAB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UConn at Maryland	+19.0	45.5	L 7 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/7	UConn vs Merrimack	-14.5	44.5	W 63 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/14	UConn at Duke	+17.5	46.5	L 21 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/21	UConn vs Florida Atlantic	-1.0	46.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/28	UConn vs Buffalo	-6.0	44.5	W 47 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/5	UConn vs Temple	-17.5	49.0	W 29 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	UConn vs Wake Forest	+2.5	55.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/26	UConn vs Rice	-6.5	47.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/1	UConn vs Georgia State	-7.0	48.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/9	UConn at UAB	-7.5	54.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	UConn at Syracuse	+10.0	53.0	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UConn at Massachusetts	-9.5	49.5	W 47 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/28	UConn vs North Carolina	+2.0	53.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

UAB's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UAB vs Alcorn State	-29.5	55.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	UAB at UL Monroe	-10.5	55.5	L 6 - 32	U	N
Sat 9/14	UAB at Arkansas	+23.5	60.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	UAB vs Navy	+4.5	56.5	L 18 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	UAB vs Tulane	+19.5	52.0	L 20 - 71	O	N
Sat 10/12	UAB at Army	+27.0	55.5	L 10 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/19	UAB at South Florida	+14.0	55.5	L 25 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UAB vs Tulsa	-2.5	57.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	UAB vs UConn	+7.5	54.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/16	UAB at Memphis	+16.0	62.0	L 18 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/23	UAB vs Rice	+7.0	52.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UAB at Charlotte	+1.5	59.5	L 27 - 29	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)	31.9	43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)	23.1	42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1
UAB	#85 (.16)	45% (42)	26.2	47% (32)	3.19 (42)	131	44% (48)	262	3.43 (109)	#101 (.23)	45% (104)	34.3	52% (132)	35% (12)	4.24 (110)	73.8	2.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1
UAB	#85 (.16)	45% (42)		47% (32)	3.19 (42)	131	44% (48)	262	3.43 (109)	#101 (.23)	45% (104)		52% (132)	35% (12)	4.24 (110)	73.8	2.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	31.9	26	41.8%	4.09	1.2	19	371	184	187	5.2	54%	46%	43%	40%	13%	.19
UAB Defense	12	34.3	30.2	44.9%	4.24	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	52%	35%	13%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	23.1	34.4	39.4%	3.36	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	42%	37%	17%	.1
UAB Offense	12	26.2	33.5	44.7%	3.43	2.2	22	393	131	262	4	45%	55%	47%	44%	18%	.16

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	27:16	19.1	37%	47%	5	50.4	1.2	1.1	5.2	1.6	2	31.5
UAB	12	29:26	21.6	38%	46%	8.2	73.8	2.2	1.1	4	1.5	3	27.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	54% (39)	43% (82)	35.7	184.1	5.2	22 (55)	.18 (40)	3.07 (58)	77% (39)	7% (13)	1.03 (45)
UAB Defense	12	58% (131)	52% (132)	-	-	-	-	.26 (127)	3.64 (134)	88% (132)	7% (132)	0.87 (17)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	49% (45)	42% (63)	-	-	-	-	.05 (29)	2.76 (31)	63% (18)	10% (78)	0.89 (28)
UAB Offense	12	45% (108)	47% (32)	32.6	131	4	9 (125)	.1 (85)	3.19 (42)	80% (21)	12% (111)	0.73 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	46% (96)	40% (84)	15.8	28.6	186.8	6.5	11.8	23 (41)	9 (48)	.23 (85)	1.5 (114)	30% (47)	30% (88)	.29 (86)	6% (87)	2 (82)
UAB Defense	12	42% (4)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.18 (43)	1.8 (121)	29% (113)	32% (92)	.32 (74)	6% (62)	1.8 (10)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	51% (84)	37% (23)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.17 (35)	1.5 (37)	32% (72)	26% (17)	.28 (57)	7% (23)	2.1 (97)
UAB Offense	12	55% (28)	44% (48)	23.7	37.1	261.6	7.1	11.1	24 (38)	16 (124)	.25 (71)	1.5 (94)	31% (59)	31% (73)	.4 (40)	6% (79)	2.1 (37)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -4.45 #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -4.45 UAB: -9.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 1.5 UAB: -11.3

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -9.46 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 21.87 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 16.86 #120
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UAB's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UAB's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #108
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #126

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 32
UAB 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
UConn 28
UAB 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
UConn 31
UAB 30

Total Points: 61

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

UAB's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	UConn	38	UAB	19	UConn -10	UConn	61.5	Under
2024	11/09	UAB	23	UConn	31	UConn -7.5	UConn	54.0	Push

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UAB	0	0	0 Overs
UConn	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#80) CONN at (#107) UAB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	UAB
Power RatePwr	#80	#107
SP+SP+	#67	#108
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#124
OffenseOff	#50	#109
DefenseDef	#51	#126
Spec TeamsST	#30	#105
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#102

UConn Notes(11/25) Pass D torched by Cuse. Off good, fought hard
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR
(7/30) Def hoping new adds improve pretty poor unit LY
UConn Injury Report

UAB Notes(11/25) Upset Rice, Def 4 TOs, Off was OK but enough
(11/18) Tulsa was dead cat bounce, L's to UConn/Memphis
(11/3) Killed Tulsa, 400+ pass yds. Still 10 flags
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#129) into week 9
(10/20) Fought w/ S Fla but gagged. Kitna 384 yds
(10/13) Def all 400+ yds rush (Army). Dilfer needs 2 go
(10/7) Dilfer is done. Concerning rumors, team quit
(10/6) Team has quit. Tulane 70 pts, 300+ yds rushing
(9/29) Mauled by Navy, though stats even. Dilfer a clown
(9/14) Lost to #130 ULM by 26 as a 10+ pt fav. Woof
(8/13) OC Mortensen Dink & Dunk Off worked LY
(8/13) 4/5 OL starters back, RB losses big, now ?
UAB Injury Report

UConn on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	UAB Def
Perf GradePerf	#50	#126
SuccessSuc	#82	#104
ExplosiveExp	#99	#21
PPAPPA	#67	#101
PowerPwr	#89	#120
SP+SP+	#70	#126
Pts POPPO	#51	#110
HavocHav	#30	#118

UConn Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#87	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	#82	#132
Run ExplRExp	#45	#17
PPAExp	#40	#127
Run BlockR Blk	#2	-
OL YdsOLY	#58	#134
Stuff RateStuff	#83	#130
TackleTak	-	#91

UConn Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#63
Pass SuccessPSuc	#84	#12
Pass ExplPExl	#114	#121
PPAExp	#85	#43
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#58
F7 HavocF7	#13	#132
DB HavocDB	#87	#62

UAB on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	CONN Def
Perf GradePerf	#109	#51
SuccessSuc	#42	#37
ExplosiveExp	#126	#26
PPAPPA	#85	#25
PowerPwr	#51	#36
SP+SP+	#75	#60
Pts POPPO	#109	#26
HavocHav	#106	#53

UAB Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#113	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#63
Run ExplRExp	#132	#28
PPAExp	#85	#29
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	#42	#31
Stuff RateStuff	#26	#26
TackleTak	-	#57

UAB Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#23
Pass ExplPExl	#94	#37
PPAExp	#71	#35
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#45	#111
F7 HavocF7	#111	#78
DB HavocDB	#79	#23

Program Comparison
UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 76°

Rematch from Week 11
UConn 7.5 (54.0)
UConn won at UAB this year (31-23)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat UAB last year (31-23)

CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano	120	207	58%	1631	20	4	7.9
Nick Evers (Tr)	97	180	54%	918	5	5	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Edwards	146	830	8	5.7	71
Durell Robinson (Tr)	107	731	8	6.8	68
Jayden Brown	98	578	2	5.9	52
Nick Evers (Tr)	80	245	3	3.1	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)	50	860	5	17.2	70
TJ Sheffield (Tr)	54	505	3	9.4	58
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)	32	307	3	9.6	26
Louis Hansen	24	236	4	9.8	55

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)	125	10	4	8	3
Tui Faumuina-Brown	91	11	5	7	6
Malik Dixon	67	1	0	0	3
Rante Jones	56	2	0	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tui Faumuina-Brown	91	11	5	7	6
Jayden McDonald (Tr)	125	10	4	8	3
Pryce Yates	21	7	4	5	1
Langston Hardy	44	7	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tui Faumuina-Brown	91	11	5	7	6
Cam Chadwick	47	1	0	1	6
Dalmont Gourdine	27	4	1	4	6

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	196	316	62%	2209	17	11	7.0
Jacob Zeno	82	118	70%	819	6	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lee Beebe	166	885	7	5.3	61
Lee Witherspoon	35	166	0	4.7	15
Isaiah Jacobs	41	162	0	4.0	12
Jacob Zeno	37	97	0	2.6	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amare Thomas	62	670	8	10.8	73
Kameran Shanks	62	656	6	10.6	67
Corri Milliner	24	416	3	17.3	45
Malachi Holt-Bennett	16	241	1	15.1	71

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Moore	92	3	0	1	2
Everett Roussaw Jr.	75	8	3	4	1
Tyjon Jones (Tr)	59	0	0	1	4
Sirad Bryant (Tr)	59	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Little	40	10	6	7	3
Everett Roussaw Jr.	75	8	3	4	1
James Smyre	9	2	2	0	0
Kendall Johnson	18	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Colby Dempsey	22	2	0	11
Adrian Maddox (Tr)	44	2	1	7
Kelvin Hill	42	0	0	5