UConn at Massachusetts - 2024 Matchup Preview

UConn Huskies at Massachusetts Minutemen

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
UConn -9.5 (49.5) (-320) Open: -10.5 | 50.5
UConn 47 - Massachusetts: 42 (FBS Independents)

Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CONN 3rd straight Road Game
Our Line: UConn -15 (SP+ CONN -23.5)
Projected Score: CONN: 34 - UMASS: 19 (53)
CONN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
CONN Travel: 43 miles

Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Don Brown (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
UMASS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UConn at Maryland	+19.0	45.5	L 7 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/7	UConn vs Merrimack	-14.5	44.5	W 63 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/14	UConn at Duke	+17.5	46.5	L 21 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/21	UConn vs Florida Atlantic	-1.0	46.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/28	UConn vs Buffalo	-6.0	44.5	W 47 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/5	UConn vs Temple	-17.5	49.0	W 29 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	UConn vs Wake Forest	+2.5	55.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/26	UConn vs Rice	-6.5	47.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/1	UConn vs Georgia State	-7.0	48.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/9	UConn at UAB	-7.5	54.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	UConn at Syracuse	+10.0	53.0	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UConn at Massachusetts	-9.5	49.5	W 47 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/28	UConn vs North Carolina	+2.0	53.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	49.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/7	Massachusetts at Toledo	+17.5	50.5	L 23 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Massachusetts at Buffalo	+3.5	45.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/21	Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut	-19.5	52.0	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Massachusetts at Miami (OH)	+15.5	44.5	L 20 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Massachusetts at Northern Illinois	+14.0	41.0	L 20 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Massachusetts vs Missouri	+27.0	54.0	L 3 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Massachusetts vs Wagner	-23.0	48.0	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Massachusetts at Mississippi State	+19.5	59.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Massachusetts vs Liberty	+17.0	53.0	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Massachusetts at Georgia	+42.5	55.5	L 21 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Massachusetts vs UConn	+9.5	49.5	L 42 - 47	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#111 (.11)	40% (96)	35.3	43% (68)	2.76 (120)	137	37% (108)	190	3.29 (106)	#99 (.23)	47% (124)	27	45% (89)	49% (133)	3.88 (75)	53.8	1.4	1.1
UMASS	#72 (.18)	42% (68)	11.1	45% (47)	3.35 (21)	142	40% (86)	214	3.73 (82)	#124 (.31)	49% (132)	38.6	53% (131)	43% (92)	4.31 (114)	70.9	1.4	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	12	35.3	33.5	39.8%	3.29	1.4	18	327	137	190	4.2	51%	48%	43%	37%	16%	.11
UMASS Defense	12	38.6	34.7	48.5%	4.31	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	53%	43%	15%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	12	27	32.2	46.6%	3.88	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	49%	16%	.23
UMASS Offense	12	11.1	12.8	42%	3.73	1.4	18	356	142	214	4.4	51%	48%	45%	40%	21%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	12	31:15	18.1	35%	38%	6.1	53.8	1.4	1.1	5.7	1.3	1	27.5
Massachusetts	12	29:45	17.8	36%	23%	8	70.9	1.4	1.2	4.5	1.5	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	12	51% (54)	43% (68)	32.8	136.6	4.2	15 (100)	.01 (125)	2.76 (120)	77% (41)	11% (93)	0.9 (112)
UMASS Defense	12	58% (130)	53% (131)	-	-	-	-	.34 (131)	3.83 (133)	85% (123)	9% (89)	1 (69)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	12	51% (77)	45% (89)	-	-	-	-	.11 (48)	2.9 (34)	79% (103)	11% (45)	0.98 (59)
UMASS Offense	12	51% (59)	45% (47)	32.5	142.2	4.4	19 (69)	.25 (18)	3.35 (21)	62% (125)	14% (127)	1.14 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	12	48% (79)	37% (108)	18.3	31.8	190.3	6	10.4	12 (113)	7 (21)	.25 (78)	1.6 (51)	35% (112)	28% (90)	.23 (98)	5% (33)	1.8 (122)
UMASS Defense	12	42% (4)	43% (92)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.31 (94)	1.8 (122)	29% (121)	37% (125)	.47 (124)	6% (90)	1.9 (30)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	12	49% (61)	49% (133)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.4 (118)	1.4 (17)	30% (113)	33% (112)	.35 (86)	5% (110)	1.8 (8)
UMASS Offense	12	48% (76)	40% (86)	17.7	29	214.1	7.4	12.1	14 (106)	11 (68)	.18 (99)	1.5 (85)	32% (62)	33% (50)	.43 (35)	7% (109)	2.2 (36)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -4.45 #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
2024 Talent Rating: 230.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 392
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -4.45 Massachusetts: -16.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 1.5 Massachusetts: -21.9

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.56 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 245.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 247.58
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 34
Massachusetts 19

Projected Total Points: 53

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Massachusetts	42	UConn	47	UConn -9.5	Massachusetts	49.5	Over
2023	11/25	Massachusetts	18	UConn	31	UMass -2.5	UConn	51.0	Under
2022	11/04	UConn	27	Massachusetts	10	Connecticut -15	UConn	39.5	Under
2021	10/09	Massachusetts	27	UConn	13	Connecticut -3	Massachusetts	57.0	Under
2019	10/26	Massachusetts	35	UConn	56	Connecticut -9.5	UConn	62.0	Over
2018	10/27	UConn	17	Massachusetts	22	UMass -3.5	Massachusetts	63.5	Under
2012	08/30	UConn	37	Massachusetts	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Massachusetts	2	3	2 Overs
UConn	5	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 3	3 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 1

(#80) CONN at (#115) UMASS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	UMASS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#80	#115
SP+SP+	#67	#129
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#128
OffenseOff	#50	#114
DefenseDef	#51	#117
Spec TeamsST	#30	#126
TalentTal	#106	#98
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#82

UConn Notes(11/25) Pass D torched by Cuse. Off good, fought hard
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR
(7/30) Def hoping new adds improve pretty poor unit LY
UConn Injury Report

Massachusetts Notes(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Injury Report

UConn on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	UMASS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#50	#117
SuccessSuc	#96	#132
ExplosiveExp	#102	#66
PPAPPA	#111	#124
PowerPwr	#89	#122
SP+SP+	#70	#129
Pts POPPO	#106	#114
HavocHav	#75	#97

UConn Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	#87	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#131
Run ExplRExp	#112	#69
PPAExp	#125	#131
Run BlockR Blk	#2	-
OL YdsOLY	#120	#133
Stuff RateStuff	#125	#133
TackleTak	-	#14

UConn Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	#108	#92
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#122
PPAExp	#78	#94
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#86
F7 HavocF7	#93	#89
DB HavocDB	#33	#90

Massachusetts on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	CONN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#114	#51
SuccessSuc	#68	#124
ExplosiveExp	#48	#33
PPAPPA	#72	#99
PowerPwr	#69	#36
SP+SP+	#110	#60
Pts POPPO	#82	#75
HavocHav	#129	#80

Massachusetts Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#119	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	#47	#89
Run ExplRExp	#11	#59
PPAExp	#18	#48
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	#21	#34
Stuff RateStuff	#29	#41
TackleTak	-	#57

Massachusetts Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#115	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	#86	#133
Pass ExplPExl	#85	#17
PPAExp	#99	#118
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#57	#111
F7 HavocF7	#127	#45
DB HavocDB	#109	#110

Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 38° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 14
UConn 9.5 (49.5)
UConn won at Massachusetts this year (47-42)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2024 (47-42)
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2023 (31-18)

CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano	120	207	58%	1631	20	4	7.9
Nick Evers (Tr)	97	180	54%	918	5	5	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Edwards	146	830	8	5.7	71
Durell Robinson (Tr)	107	731	8	6.8	68
Jayden Brown	98	578	2	5.9	52
Nick Evers (Tr)	80	245	3	3.1	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)	50	860	5	17.2	70
TJ Sheffield (Tr)	54	505	3	9.4	58
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)	32	307	3	9.6	26
Louis Hansen	24	236	4	9.8	55

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)	125	10	4	8	3
Tui Faumuina-Brown	91	11	5	7	6
Malik Dixon	67	1	0	0	3
Rante Jones	56	2	0	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tui Faumuina-Brown	91	11	5	7	6
Jayden McDonald (Tr)	125	10	4	8	3
Pryce Yates	21	7	4	5	1
Langston Hardy	44	7	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tui Faumuina-Brown	91	11	5	7	6
Cam Chadwick	47	1	0	1	6
Dalmont Gourdine	27	4	1	4	6

UMASS's OC Shane Montgomery (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taisun Phommachanh	132	234	56%	1590	8	6	6.8
AJ Hairston	40	73	55%	480	5	0	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen John	111	583	5	5.3	68
C.J. Hester (Tr)	119	529	4	4.4	24
Taisun Phommachanh	107	317	3	3.0	33
Brandon Campbell (Tr)	61	233	3	3.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jakobie Keeney-James (Tr)	51	870	6	17.1	75
Ty Harding	18	303	5	16.8	58
Jacquon Gibson	23	270	1	11.7	39
Sterling Galban (Tr)	25	210	0	8.4	21

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Stewart	77	3	3	1	2
Gerrell Johnson	74	3	1	2	2
Tyler Rudolph	61	2	0	0	3
Te'Rai Powell	52	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Louce Julien	43	7	4	1	1
Kofi Asare	30	6	3	1	1
Jalen Stewart	77	3	3	1	2
Christian Lebrun	22	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Lake Ellis (Tr)	29	3	5
Isaiah Rutherford	8	1	4
Tim Grant-Randall (Tr)	27	2	3