UConn at Syracuse - 2024 Matchup Preview
UConn logo UConn Huskies at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Syracuse -10 (53.0) (-345)  Open: -11.5
Syracuse 31 - UConn: 24

 
Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (26 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
CONN coming off BYE
SYR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Syracuse -11   (SP+ SYR -4)

Projected Score: CONN: 23 - SYR: 34 (57)
SYR Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
CONN Travel: 200 miles
Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
UConn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UConn at Maryland+19.045.5L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/7 UConn vs Merrimack-14.544.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 UConn at Duke+17.546.5L 21 - 26OY
Sat 9/21 UConn vs Florida Atlantic-1.046.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 UConn vs Buffalo-6.044.5W 47 - 3OY
Sat 10/5 UConn vs Temple-17.549.0W 29 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UConn vs Wake Forest+2.555.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 UConn vs Rice-6.547.0W 17 - 10UY
Fri 11/1 UConn vs Georgia State-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/9 UConn at UAB-7.554.0W 31 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UConn at Syracuse+10.053.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 UConn at Massachusetts-9.549.5W 47 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 UConn vs North Carolina+2.053.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Syracuse vs Ohio-17.547.5W 38 - 22ON
Sat 9/7 Syracuse vs Georgia Tech+2.560.5W 31 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Syracuse vs Stanford-9.556.5L 24 - 26UN
Sat 9/28 Syracuse vs Holy Cross-31.559.5W 42 - 14UN
Fri 10/4 Syracuse at UNLV+5.555.5W 44 - 41OY
Sat 10/12 Syracuse at NC State-1.051.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+5.062.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 11/2 Syracuse vs Virginia Tech+3.554.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Syracuse at Boston College+5.551.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 11/16 Syracuse at California+10.558.0W 33 - 25UY
Sat 11/23 Syracuse vs UConn-10.053.0W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/30 Syracuse vs Miami+12.565.5W 42 - 38OY
Fri 12/27 Syracuse vs Washington State-19.058.5W 52 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)31.943% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)23.142% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)34.145% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)29.242% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)43% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)42% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)45% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)42% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1331.92641.8%4.091.2193711841875.254%46%43%40%13%.19
SYR Defense1329.226.143.5%4.291.1 - - - - - 46%53%42%45%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense1323.134.439.4%3.361.1 - - - - - 49%51%42%37%17%.1
SYR Offense1334.135.148.1%4.231.224422873353.137%62%45%50%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1327:1619.137%47%550.41.21.15.21.6231.5
Syracuse1331:0623.850%67%6.555.31.21.152129
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1354% (39)43% (82)35.7184.15.222 (55).18 (40)3.07 (58)77% (39)7% (13)1.03 (45)
SYR Defense1346% (23)42% (58) - - - - .12 (71)3.05 (77)82% (119)10% (54)1.1 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1349% (45)42% (63) - - - - .05 (29)2.76 (31)63% (18)10% (78)0.89 (28)
SYR Offense1337% (130)45% (57)28.387.13.120 (67).07 (98)2.88 (98)78% (30)8% (30)0.81 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1346% (96)40% (84)15.828.6186.86.511.823 (41)9 (48).23 (85)1.5 (114)30% (47)30% (88).29 (86)6% (87)2 (82)
SYR Defense1353% (111)45% (114) - - - - - - 9 (76).35 (113)1.5 (26)31% (87)33% (101).43 (113)7% (44)2.1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1351% (84)37% (23) - - - - - - 9 (76).17 (35)1.5 (37)32% (72)26% (17).28 (57)7% (23)2.1 (97)
SYR Offense1362% (5)50% (5)28.443.4335.27.711.829 (12)12 (85).37 (18)1.5 (89)31% (58)38% (4).34 (70)8% (117)2 (83)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -4.45 #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -4.45   Syracuse: 9.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 1.5   Syracuse: 5.5




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 9.58 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Syracuse 34
UConn 23


Total Points: 57

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Syracuse27UConn20SyracuseSyracuse -7.0Push57.5Under
202411/23Syracuse31UConn24SyracuseSyracuse -10UConn53.0Over
202209/10UConn14Syracuse48SyracuseSyracuse -23.5Syracuse49.5Over
201809/22Syracuse51UConn21SyracuseSyracuse -30.5UConn74.5Under
201609/24UConn24Syracuse31SyracuseConnecticut -6Syracuse58.0Under
201210/19Syracuse40UConn10Syracuse
201111/05UConn28Syracuse21UConn
201011/20Syracuse6UConn23UConn
200911/28UConn56Syracuse31UConn
200811/15Syracuse14UConn39UConn
200711/17UConn30Syracuse7UConn
200611/18Syracuse20UConn14Syracuse
200510/07UConn26Syracuse7UConn
200410/30Syracuse42UConn30Syracuse
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse822 Overs
UConn623 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 40 - 40 - 30 - 1
Road Teams4 - 104 - 01 - 03 - 0

(#80) UConn Info
Power Rating: -4.45 #80
Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UConn has won 3 straight
UConn has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

UConn Notes
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR

UConn Highlights
UConn has Really Good Running Game (#77)
UConn defense does not give up big plays (#48)
UConn defense is really good in red zone (#29)
UConn has a good pass defense (#60)
UConn Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#44)
UConn Secondary is very good (#12)

UConn Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSYRCONN
OverallOver#34#32
OffenseOff#13#43
DefenseDef#82#38
Special TeamsST#92#26
PassingPass#8#82
RushingRush#67#63
Run BlockRBLK#51#2
Pass BlockPBLK#43#51
Route RunningWR Rt#5#95
TacklingTkl#93#51
Run DefenseR Def#75#56
Pass Rush DefPRush#60#95
Coverage DefCov#82#11

Rematch from Week 13
Syracuse -10.0 (53.0)
Syracuse won vs UConn this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat UConn last year (31-24)
Syracuse beat UConn in 2022 (48-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CONN | SYR
Depth Chart: CONN | SYR
Rosters: CONN | SYR
(#35) Syracuse Info
Power Rating: 9.58 #35
Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.29 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Syracuse has won 1 straight
Syracuse has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Syracuse Notes
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great

Syracuse Highlights
Syracuse offense is efficent (#35)
Syracuse offense is good on 3rd downs

Syracuse Deficiencies
Syracuse Can Not Run the Ball (#119)
Syracuse Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Syracuse has a bad red zone defense (#82)


  
UConn's OC Gordon Sammis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Fagnano12020758%16312047.9
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Durell Robinson (Tr)10773186.868
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)50860517.270
TJ Sheffield (Tr)5450539.458
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)3230739.626
Louis Hansen2423649.855

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Malik Dixon671003
Rante Jones562032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Pryce Yates217451
Langston Hardy447430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
Dalmont Gourdine274146

Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)39159266%477934128.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)2367%310010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lequint Allen2281021164.530
Yasin Willis3613013.626
Will Nixon (Tr)197604.012
Trebor Pena127216.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)781021713.141
Trebor Pena84941911.250
Oronde Gadsden II72922712.839
Darrell Gill Jr.31562218.153

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Barron8510243
Darian Chestnut604115
Alijah Clark594014
Devin Grant (Tr)518223
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)4213731
Marlowe Wax427510
KingJoseph Edwards73310
Denis Jaquez Jr.223310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)3610012
Jayden Bellamy341006
Darian Chestnut604115