Florida Atlantic at UConn - 2024 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo Florida Atlantic Owls at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
UConn -1.0 (46.0) (-115)  Open: 0.0
UConn 48 - Florida Atlantic: 14

 
Owls (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (23 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CONN is playing their 4th straight game
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UConn -15.5   (SP+ CONN -14)

Projected Score: FAU: 17 - CONN: 33 (50)
CONN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
FAU Travel: 1145 miles
Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Michigan State+12.045.0L 10 - 16UY
Sat 9/7 Florida Atlantic vs Army-1.542.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Florida Atlantic vs Florida International-3.544.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/21 Florida Atlantic at UConn+1.046.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/28 Florida Atlantic vs Wagner-34.552.5W 41 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Florida Atlantic vs North Texas+5.558.5L 37 - 41OY
Sat 10/19 Florida Atlantic at UTSA+4.052.5L 24 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 Florida Atlantic vs South Florida+1.548.0L 21 - 44ON
Thu 11/7 Florida Atlantic at East Carolina+5.558.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/16 Florida Atlantic at Temple+2.050.0L 15 - 18UN
Sat 11/23 Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte+3.049.5L 27 - 39ON
Sat 11/30 Florida Atlantic at Tulsa-2.557.5W 63 - 16OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
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Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
UConn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UConn at Maryland+19.045.5L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/7 UConn vs Merrimack-14.544.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 UConn at Duke+17.546.5L 21 - 26OY
Sat 9/21 UConn vs Florida Atlantic-1.046.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 UConn vs Buffalo-6.044.5W 47 - 3OY
Sat 10/5 UConn vs Temple-17.549.0W 29 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UConn vs Wake Forest+2.555.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 UConn vs Rice-6.547.0W 17 - 10UY
Fri 11/1 UConn vs Georgia State-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/9 UConn at UAB-7.554.0W 31 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UConn at Syracuse+10.053.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 UConn at Massachusetts-9.549.5W 47 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 UConn vs North Carolina+2.053.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)25.940% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)30.343% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)31.943% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)23.142% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)43% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)42% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense1225.923.339.2%3.191.520398189209554%45%40%39%17%.17
CONN Defense1323.116.339.4%3.361.1 - - - - - 49%51%42%37%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense1230.330.840.6%3.721.6 - - - - - 52%47%43%38%16%.21
CONN Offense1331.936.941.8%4.091.2193711841875.254%46%43%40%13%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic1230:2219.535%47%6.651.61.51.65.71.4128.5
UConn1327:1619.137%47%550.41.21.15.21.6231.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense1254% (41)40% (107)38189.2524 (45).2 (34)3.15 (48)64% (118)12% (113)1.28 (2)
CONN Defense1349% (45)42% (63) - - - - .05 (29)2.76 (31)63% (18)10% (78)0.89 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense1252% (86)43% (72) - - - - .16 (87)3.09 (86)83% (124)10% (65)1.05 (97)
CONN Offense1354% (39)43% (82)35.7184.15.222 (55).18 (40)3.07 (58)77% (39)7% (13)1.03 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense1245% (98)39% (99)17.129.2208.67.212.214 (108)11 (72).19 (96)1.6 (51)33% (105)32% (65).39 (46)5% (37)2.1 (43)
CONN Defense1351% (84)37% (23) - - - - - - 9 (76).17 (35)1.5 (37)32% (72)26% (17).28 (57)7% (23)2.1 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense1247% (45)38% (39) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (94)1.8 (129)34% (33)32% (88).35 (91)6% (52)2.2 (108)
CONN Offense1346% (96)40% (84)15.828.6186.86.511.823 (41)9 (48).23 (85)1.5 (114)30% (47)30% (88).29 (86)6% (87)2 (82)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -16.03 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -16.03   UConn: 1.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -12.7   UConn: 1.5




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 1.025 #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 33
Florida Atlantic 17


Total Points: 50

UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21UConn48Florida Atlantic14UConnUConn -1.0UConn46.0Over
200211/02UConn61Florida Atlantic14UConn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn211 Overs
Florida Atlantic000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#114) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -16.03 #114
Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Florida Atlantic has won 1 straight
Florida Atlantic has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida Atlantic Notes
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.

Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic offense is explosive (#65)

Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic offense is really bad (#62)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#69)
Florida Atlantic run game is really bad (#56)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida Atlantic does not Sack the QB (#112)
Florida Atlantic gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#104)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCONNFAU
OverallOver#32#56
OffenseOff#43#68
DefenseDef#38#47
Special TeamsST#26#67
PassingPass#82#99
RushingRush#63#49
Run BlockRBLK#2#28
Pass BlockPBLK#51#65
Route RunningWR Rt#95#66
TacklingTkl#51#95
Run DefenseR Def#56#93
Pass Rush DefPRush#95#33
Coverage DefCov#11#16

Rematch from Week 4
UConn -1.0 (46.0)
UConn won vs Florida Atlantic this year (48-14)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Florida Atlantic last year (48-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FAU | CONN
Depth Chart: FAU | CONN
Rosters: FAU | CONN
(#80) UConn Info
Power Rating: 1.025 #80
Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UConn has lost 1 straight
UConn has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

UConn Notes
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR

UConn Highlights
UConn has Really Good Running Game (#77)
UConn defense does not give up big plays (#48)
UConn defense is really good in red zone (#29)
UConn has a good pass defense (#60)
UConn Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#44)
UConn Secondary is very good (#12)

UConn Deficiencies


  
Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)12621259%1528667.2
Kasen Weisman (Tr)397353%416235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Campbell165860115.258
Zuberi Mobley9147145.272
Cam Fancher (Tr)9936533.776
Xavier Terrell14261318.693
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes39590315.171
CJ Campbell40466311.778
Jabari Smith17296317.476
Marlyn Johnson (Tr)1716909.922

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard741001
Jackson Ambush686202
Eddie Williams517021
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)483014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Merrifield154320
Marlon Bradley145210
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)214240
Jackson Ambush686202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kahzir Brown (Tr)422017
Daedae Hill271005
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)483014

UConn's OC Gordon Sammis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Fagnano12020758%16312047.9
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Durell Robinson (Tr)10773186.868
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)50860517.270
TJ Sheffield (Tr)5450539.458
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)3230739.626
Louis Hansen2423649.855

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Malik Dixon671003
Rante Jones562032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Pryce Yates217451
Langston Hardy447430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
Dalmont Gourdine274146