Northern Illinois at Akron - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -4 (42.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Northern Illinois 55 - Akron: 14 (Mid-American)

Huskies (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (18 - 29)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (21 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 4.8 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.7 MPH
NIU 2nd straight Road Game
AKR 2nd straight Home Game
AKR is playing their 6th straight game
NIU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -11 (SP+ NIU -15)
Projected Score: NIU: 28 - AKR: 17 (48)
NIU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NIU Travel: 381 miles, 1 hrs behind

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NIU Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Illinois's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northern Illinois at Boston College	+8.0	50.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Northern Illinois vs Southern Illinois	-6.5	58.5	L 11 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/16	Northern Illinois at Nebraska	+11.5	42.5	L 11 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Northern Illinois vs Tulsa	-3.5	54.5	L 14 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/30	Northern Illinois at Toledo	+13.0	48.0	L 33 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Northern Illinois at Akron	-4.0	42.5	W 55 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Northern Illinois vs Ohio	+5.5	45.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan	-11.5	43.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Northern Illinois at Central Michigan	-3.0	48.0	L 31 - 37	O	N
Tue 11/7	Northern Illinois vs Ball State	-9.5	43.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 11/14	Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan	-4.5	55.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northern Illinois at Kent State	-20.5	44.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/23	Northern Illinois vs Arkansas State	+2.5	54.0	W 21 - 19	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU	.19	41%	24.5	40%	3.16	190	43%	183	3.63	.27	44%	18.5	43%	47%	4.14	62.5	1.3	1.8
AKR	.14	44%	20.4	46%	3.14	86	43%	260	3.16	.27	44%	32	42%	47%	4.34	54.3	1.8	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Offense	12	24.5	20.7	40.7%	3.63	1.3	19	373	190	183	4.8	59%	39%	40%	43%	16%	.19
AKR Defense	12	32	24.6	44.1%	4.34	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	42%	47%	20%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Defense	12	18.5	19.7	44.5%	4.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	43%	47%	15%	.27
AKR Offense	12	20.4	25.4	43.8%	3.16	1.8	21	346	86	260	3	37%	62%	46%	43%	30%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Illinois	12	30:48	18.8	39%	48%	6.3	62.5	1.3	1.8	4.6	2.4	1	30
Akron	12	27:41	21.2	34%	50%	6	54.3	1.8	0.8	4.8	1.5	1	27.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Offense	12	59%	40%	39.8	190.4	4.8	19	.16	3.16	82%	8%	1.05
AKR Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.95	71%	12%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Defense	12	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.26	73%	9%	0.9
AKR Offense	12	37%	46%	29	85.5	3	15	.02	3.14	70%	20%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Offense	12	39%	43%	15.4	27.3	182.7	6.7	11.9	18	14	.33	1.6	32%	29%	.18	8%	1.9
AKR Defense	12	45%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	31%	30%	.4	8%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Defense	12	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.8	31%	32%	.51	6%	2.5
AKR Offense	12	62%	43%	24.7	38.1	260.3	6.8	10.6	13	10	.27	1.5	31%	35%	.32	10%	2.1

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -1.76 #74
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
2023 Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Northern Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80
Northern Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -1.76 Akron: -15.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -6.7 Akron: -21.6

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -15.25 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.7

Northern Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Northern Illinois 28
Akron 17

Projected Total Points: 48

Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.4
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.6

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/13	Northern Illinois	29	Akron	16	Northern Illinois	Northern Illinois -14	Akron	43.5	Over
2023	10/07	Akron	14	Northern Illinois	55	Northern Illinois	Northern Illinois -4	Northern Illinois	42.5	Over
2022	11/26	Northern Illinois	12	Akron	44	Akron	Northern Illinois -9.5	Akron	51.5	Over
2019	10/26	Northern Illinois	49	Akron	0	Northern Illinois	Northern Illinois -22	Northern Illinois	42.5	Over
2018	11/01	Akron	26	Northern Illinois	36	Northern Illinois	Northern Illinois -6	Northern Illinois	37.0	Over
2013	10/12	Northern Illinois	27	Akron	20	Northern Illinois	Northern Illinois -21.5	Akron	0
2012	10/20	Akron	7	Northern Illinois	37	Northern Illinois
2010	10/02	Akron	14	Northern Illinois	50	Northern Illinois
2009	10/31	Northern Illinois	27	Akron	10	Northern Illinois
2005	09/24	Akron	48	Northern Illinois	42	Akron
2005	12/01	Northern Illinois	30	Akron	31	Akron
2004	10/02	Northern Illinois	49	Akron	19	Northern Illinois
2000	10/13	Akron	35	Northern Illinois	52	Northern Illinois

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	3	3	5 Overs
Northern Illinois	10	3	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 7	1 - 5	1 - 3	0 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 6	5 - 1	2 - 0	3 - 1

(#74) Northern Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.76 #74
Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80

Team Profile

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Northern Illinois Ratings Matchup Akron

Power #74

#130

Off #61

#129

Def #48

#63

Talent #58

#117

SP+ #85

#128

SP+ Off #109

#132

SP+ Def #47

#90

Rematch from Week 6
Northern Illinois 4.0 (42.5)
Northern Illinois won at Akron this year (55-14)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Akron last year (29-16)
Northern Illinois beat Akron in 2023 (55-14)
Akron beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (44-12)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 56° - Wind: 14 mph

Team Information
Injuries: NIU | AKR
Depth Chart: NIU | AKR
Rosters: NIU | AKR

(#130) Akron Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.25 #130
Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90
Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80

Team Profile

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Northern Illinois's OC Eric Eidsness

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Williams (Tr)	139	749	4	5.4	71
Antario Brown	115	567	4	4.9	49
Brock Lampe	7	14	1	2.0	3
Kanon Woodill	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antario Brown	8	204	1	25.5	83
Gavin Williams (Tr)	25	140	1	5.6	35
Brock Lampe	9	91	1	10.1	21
Tristen Tewes	6	41	1	6.8	12

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
CJ Brown	73	2	0	1	2
Jaden Dolphin	61	3	0	0	2
Nate Valcarcel	53	2	2	4	8
Devin Lafayette	50	6	0	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devonte O'Malley	38	12	9	4	1
George Gumbs	36	9	6	4	2
Nate Valcarcel	53	2	2	4	8
Cade Haberman	27	6	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nate Valcarcel	53	2	2	4	8
Jashon Prophete	43	2	0	0	4
Javaughn Byrd	39	0	0	0	3

Akron's OC Billy Fessler

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tahj Bullock (Tr)	22	30	73%	200	0	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Bullock (Tr)	53	138	8	2.6	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Adrian Norton	43	832	7	19.3	60
Jasaiah Gathings	32	307	3	9.6	26
Connor Cravaack	13	147	0	11.3	30
Tahj Bullock (Tr)	10	63	0	6.3	18

View Akron's Full Roster

Akron's DC Tim Tibesar

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Fish	67	2	1	1	1
Corey Thomas Jr.	47	1	0	0	2
Tyson Durant	45	2	0	2	6
Bennett Adler	34	7	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bennett Adler	34	7	3	5	1
Kabbash Richards	9	6	2	0	0
Antavious Fish	67	2	1	1	1
Lama Lavea	12	2	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyson Durant	45	2	0	2	6
Corey Thomas Jr.	47	1	0	0	2
Antavious Fish	67	2	1	1	1