Tulsa at Northern Illinois - 2023 Matchup Preview

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Northern Illinois Huskies

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -3.5 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Tulsa 22 - Northern Illinois: 14

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NIU is playing their 4th straight game
TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -9.5 (SP+ NIU -8)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - NIU: 32 (56)
NIU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TLSA Travel: 554 miles

Huskies (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (18 - 29)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 4.8 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
NIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41.0	52.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Tulsa at Washington	+34.0	66.5	L 10 - 43	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Tulsa vs Oklahoma	+28.0	58.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/23	Tulsa at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.5	W 22 - 14	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Tulsa vs Temple	-3.0	56.0	W 48 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+3.0	54.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Tulsa vs Rice	-3.0	56.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulsa at SMU	+20.5	55.0	L 10 - 69	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulsa vs Charlotte	-4.5	47.5	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/11	Tulsa at Tulane	+24.5	52.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Tulsa vs North Texas	+1.5	69.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tulsa at East Carolina	+4.5	44.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Northern Illinois's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northern Illinois at Boston College	+8.0	50.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Northern Illinois vs Southern Illinois	-6.5	58.5	L 11 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/16	Northern Illinois at Nebraska	+11.5	42.5	L 11 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Northern Illinois vs Tulsa	-3.5	54.5	L 14 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/30	Northern Illinois at Toledo	+13.0	48.0	L 33 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Northern Illinois at Akron	-4.0	42.5	W 55 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Northern Illinois vs Ohio	+5.5	45.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan	-11.5	43.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Northern Illinois at Central Michigan	-3.0	48.0	L 31 - 37	O	N
Tue 11/7	Northern Illinois vs Ball State	-9.5	43.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 11/14	Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan	-4.5	55.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northern Illinois at Kent State	-20.5	44.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/23	Northern Illinois vs Arkansas State	+2.5	54.0	W 21 - 19	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	.21	41%	25	44%	3.09	139	40%	273	4.61	.23	40%	42.5	42%	38%	4.15	56.7	1.5	1.7
NIU	.19	41%	24.5	40%	3.16	190	43%	183	3.63	.27	44%	18.5	43%	47%	4.14	62.5	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	12	25	21.3	41.4%	4.61	1.5	21	412	139	273	3.9	46%	54%	44%	40%	17%	.21
NIU Defense	12	18.5	17.2	44.5%	4.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	43%	47%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	12	42.5	40.3	40.2%	4.15	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	42%	38%	15%	.23
NIU Offense	12	24.5	27.8	40.7%	3.63	1.3	19	373	190	183	4.8	59%	39%	40%	43%	16%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	12	28:52	21.4	40%	65%	6.1	56.7	1.5	1.7	5.2	1.3	0	28.1
Northern Illinois	12	30:48	18.8	39%	48%	6.3	62.5	1.3	1.8	4.6	2.4	1	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	12	46%	44%	35.8	138.7	3.9	18	.14	3.09	76%	11%	0.98
NIU Defense	12	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.26	73%	9%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	12	56%	42%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.15	81%	10%	1.08
NIU Offense	12	59%	40%	39.8	190.4	4.8	19	.16	3.16	82%	8%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	12	54%	40%	20.1	34.6	273.2	7.9	13.6	27	10	.3	1.8	31%	30%	.39	6%	2.4
NIU Defense	12	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.8	31%	32%	.51	6%	2.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	12	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.3	1.7	34%	30%	.31	5%	1.9
NIU Offense	12	39%	43%	15.4	27.3	182.7	6.7	11.9	18	14	.33	1.6	32%	29%	.18	8%	1.9

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.35 #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 350.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -8.35 Northern Illinois: -1.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -14.2 Northern Illinois: -6.7

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -1.73 #74
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
2023 Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Northern Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80
Northern Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Northern Illinois 32
Tulsa 23

Projected Total Points: 56

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Northern Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Northern Illinois	14	Tulsa	22	Tulsa	Northern Illinois -3.5	Tulsa	54.5	Under
2022	09/10	Tulsa	38	Northern Illinois	35	Tulsa	Tulsa -6.5	Northern Illinois	63.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northern Illinois	0	1	1 Overs
Tulsa	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#111) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.35 #111
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 350.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Tulsa Ratings Matchup Northern Illinois

Power #111

#74

Off #70

#61

Def #105

#48

Talent #122

#58

SP+ #115

#85

SP+ Off #100

#109

SP+ Def #117

#47

Rematch from Week 4
Northern Illinois -3.5 (54.5)
Tulsa won at Northern Illinois this year (22-14)

Previous Matchups
Tulsa beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (22-14)
Tulsa beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 77° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | NIU
Depth Chart: TLSA | NIU
Rosters: TLSA | NIU

(#74) Northern Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.73 #74
Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80

Team Profile

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Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braylon Braxton	134	610	4	4.6	35
Anthony Watkins	87	402	4	4.6	77
Jordan Ford	15	45	0	3.0	10
Nick Rempert	2	29	0	14.5	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamdyn Benjamin	70	822	6	11.7	74
Carl Chester	20	342	3	17.1	42
Zion Steptoe	15	203	0	13.5	34
Anthony Watkins	13	142	1	10.9	63

View Tulsa's Full Roster

Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	0	1
Malachi Jones	49	0	0	0	3
Zaid Hamdan	36	4	1	1	0
Jayden Simon	23	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	0	1
Justin Lohrenz	5	2	1	0	0
Julien Simon (Tr)	4	1	1	1	0
Zaid Hamdan	36	4	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Malachi Jones	49	0	0	3
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	1
Reggie Ellis	0	0	0	1

Northern Illinois's OC Eric Eidsness

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Williams (Tr)	139	749	4	5.4	71
Antario Brown	115	567	4	4.9	49
Brock Lampe	7	14	1	2.0	3
Kanon Woodill	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antario Brown	8	204	1	25.5	83
Gavin Williams (Tr)	25	140	1	5.6	35
Brock Lampe	9	91	1	10.1	21
Tristen Tewes	6	41	1	6.8	12

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
CJ Brown	73	2	0	1	2
Jaden Dolphin	61	3	0	0	2
Nate Valcarcel	53	2	2	4	8
Devin Lafayette	50	6	0	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devonte O'Malley	38	12	9	4	1
George Gumbs	36	9	6	4	2
Nate Valcarcel	53	2	2	4	8
Cade Haberman	27	6	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nate Valcarcel	53	2	2	4	8
Jashon Prophete	43	2	0	0	4
Javaughn Byrd	39	0	0	0	3