Ohio at Northern Illinois - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Ohio -5.5 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northern Illinois 23 - Ohio: 13  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
NIU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -2.5  (SP+ OHIO -4.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 24 - NIU: 21 (45)
OHIO Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
OHIO Travel: 394 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (18 - 29)
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (18 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 4.8 (#42)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Ohio at San Diego State+2.048.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/2 Ohio vs Long Island University-34.558.0W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio at Florida Atlantic+3.561.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/16 Ohio vs Iowa State+1.542.0W 10 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Ohio at Bowling Green-13.045.0W 38 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio vs Kent State-24.545.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/14 Ohio at Northern Illinois-5.545.0L 13 - 23UN
Sat 10/21 Ohio vs Western Michigan-16.552.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/28 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-7.539.0L 16 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Ohio at Buffalo-9.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Wed 11/15 Ohio vs Central Michigan-11.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Fri 11/24 Ohio at Akron-13.541.5W 25 - 14UN
Sat 12/16 Ohio vs Georgia Southern+1.548.5W 41 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Northern Illinois at Boston College+8.050.0W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Northern Illinois vs Southern Illinois-6.558.5L 11 - 14UN
Sat 9/16 Northern Illinois at Nebraska+11.542.5L 11 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Northern Illinois vs Tulsa-3.554.5L 14 - 22UN
Sat 9/30 Northern Illinois at Toledo+13.048.0L 33 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Northern Illinois at Akron-4.042.5W 55 - 14OY
Sat 10/14 Northern Illinois vs Ohio+5.545.0W 23 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan-11.543.5W 20 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Northern Illinois at Central Michigan-3.048.0L 31 - 37ON
Tue 11/7 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-9.543.5L 17 - 20UN
Tue 11/14 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan-4.555.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Northern Illinois at Kent State-20.544.5W 37 - 27ON
Sat 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Arkansas State+2.554.0W 21 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.2344%27.842%2.9414347%2783.83.2243%21.941%46%3.8244.10.92.2
NIU.1941%17.140%3.1619043%1833.63.2744%24.343%47%4.1462.51.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1427.82144.3%3.830.9214221432784.149%50%42%47%15%.23
NIU Defense1224.320.844.5%4.141.8 - - - - - 51%47%43%47%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1421.925.843.4%3.822.2 - - - - - 43%56%41%46%18%.22
NIU Offense1217.117.840.7%3.631.3193731901834.859%39%40%43%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1432:0920.742%35%4.944.10.92.25.92.6131.2
Northern Illinois1230:4818.839%48%6.362.51.31.84.62.4130
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1449%42%35.2143.44.123.112.9473%10%0.91
NIU Defense1251%43% - - - - .113.2673%9%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1443%41% - - - - .122.8766%12%1.11
NIU Offense1259%40%39.8190.44.819.163.1682%8%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1450%47%21.633.1278.18.412.9285.371.632%34%.425%2
NIU Defense1247%47% - - - - - - 8.491.831%32%.516%2.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1456%46% - - - - - - 12.331.533%33%.376%2.1
NIU Offense1239%43%15.427.3182.76.711.91814.331.632%29%.188%1.9

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.65  #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43  #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96  #5
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2  #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 3.65   Northern Illinois: -1.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.2   Northern Illinois: -6.7




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -1.73  #74
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 17.02  #61
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.15  #48
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Northern Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80
Northern Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7  #85
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #109
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #47

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 24
Northern Illinois 21

Projected Total Points: 45
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Northern Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Ohio48Northern Illinois21Ohio -10.5Ohio41.5Over
202310/14Northern Illinois23Ohio13Ohio -5.5Northern Illinois45.0Under
202210/22Ohio24Northern Illinois17Northern Illinois -2.5Ohio65.5Under
201910/12Ohio36Northern Illinois39Ohio -4.5Northern Illinois51.0Over
201810/13Northern Illinois24Ohio21Northern Illinois -5.5Ohio52.0Under
201511/24Northern Illinois21Ohio26Northern Illinois -13.5Ohio58.0Under
201411/18Ohio14Northern Illinois21Northern Illinois -2.5Northern Illinois0
201112/02Northern Illinois23Ohio20
200911/21Ohio38Northern Illinois31
200609/09Northern Illinois23Ohio35
200310/04Northern Illinois30Ohio23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois632 Overs
Ohio544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 43 - 41 - 32 - 1
Road Teams4 - 74 - 31 - 23 - 1

(#42) OHIO at (#74) NIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIONIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #42 #74
SP+SP+ #74 #85
Perf GradeGrade #42 #82
OffenseOff #36 #78
DefenseDef #30 #64
Spec TeamsST #135 #119
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #36 #64
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #68 #48
SP+SP+ #115 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNIU Def
Run GameRun #89 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #60
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNIU Def
Pass GamePass #39 #75
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #8 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatNIU OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #30
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #61 #5
SP+SP+ #109 #13
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #83 #41
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #56 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatNIU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #87 #73
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #31 #19
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 53° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Ohio 5.5 (45.0)
Northern Illinois won vs Ohio this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Northern Illinois last year (48-21)
Northern Illinois beat Ohio in 2023 (23-13)

  
OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke19530764%22071157.2
CJ Harris254951%248235.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura17881174.626
O'Shann Allison13945233.330
Kurtis Rourke6721943.325
Parker Navarro2517807.152
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Wiglusz55664312.138
Miles Cross47599512.742
Tyler Walton3734929.427
Will Kacmarek22243211.036

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Houston12813351
Keye Thompson9410242
Walter Reynolds (Tr)672001
Austin Brawley411002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver3413670
Vonnie Watkins3385110
Shane Bonner299560
Rayyan Buell3013530
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Birchette293008
Jeremiah Wood263024
Austin Brawley411002

NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocky Lombardi18932758%22741177.0
Ethan Hampton193358%147224.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antario Brown2121294106.180
Gavin Williams (Tr)9548835.153
Trayvon Rudolph2218218.336
Rocky Lombardi7213171.833
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph51531210.472
Grayson Barnes23422518.358
Kacper Rutkiewicz20313215.764
Davis Patterson16197012.328

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raishein Thomas747351
Jaden Dolphin631003
Tyler Jackson562020
DaRon Gilbert523121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Ester446432
Roy Williams246411
George Gumbs348420
Devonte O'Malley335300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jashon Prophete331008
Javaughn Byrd322005
Jacob Finley331003