Ohio at Northern Illinois - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Ohio -5.5 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northern Illinois 23 - Ohio: 13  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 16 (21 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NIU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -2.5   (SP+ OHIO -4.5)

Projected Score: OHIO: 22 - NIU: 20 (42)
OHIO Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
OHIO Travel: 394 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (18 - 29)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (18 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 4.8 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Ohio at San Diego State+2.048.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/2 Ohio vs Long Island University-34.558.0W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio at Florida Atlantic+3.561.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/16 Ohio vs Iowa State+1.542.0W 10 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Ohio at Bowling Green-13.045.0W 38 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio vs Kent State-24.545.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/14 Ohio at Northern Illinois-5.545.0L 13 - 23UN
Sat 10/21 Ohio vs Western Michigan-16.552.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/28 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-7.539.0L 16 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Ohio at Buffalo-9.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Wed 11/15 Ohio vs Central Michigan-11.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Fri 11/24 Ohio at Akron-13.541.5W 25 - 14UN
Sat 12/16 Ohio vs Georgia Southern+1.548.5W 41 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Northern Illinois at Boston College+8.050.0W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Northern Illinois vs Southern Illinois-6.558.5L 11 - 14UN
Sat 9/16 Northern Illinois at Nebraska+11.542.5L 11 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Northern Illinois vs Tulsa-3.554.5L 14 - 22UN
Sat 9/30 Northern Illinois at Toledo+13.048.0L 33 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Northern Illinois at Akron-4.042.5W 55 - 14OY
Sat 10/14 Northern Illinois vs Ohio+5.545.0W 23 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan-11.543.5W 20 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Northern Illinois at Central Michigan-3.048.0L 31 - 37ON
Tue 11/7 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-9.543.5L 17 - 20UN
Tue 11/14 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan-4.555.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Northern Illinois at Kent State-20.544.5W 37 - 27ON
Sat 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Arkansas State+2.554.0W 21 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#76 (.18)45% (33)24.344% (61)2.99 (90)14448% (17)2043.61 (92)#3 (.02)35% (8)15.835% (9)36% (12)2.45 (2)51.811.8
NIU#54 (.21)42% (62)24.945% (45)3.21 (50)18040% (85)1903.4 (102)#36 (.14)41% (52)2144% (84)37% (21)3.4 (32)39.81.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1324.32145.2%3.611213481442043.952%47%44%48%15%.18
NIU Defense132113.740.7%3.41.2 - - - - - 56%43%44%37%13%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1315.81435%2.451.8 - - - - - 44%54%35%36%21%.02
NIU Offense1324.918.242.4%3.41.419370180190554%46%45%40%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1333:2320.846%50%5.651.811.87.42.8131.2
Northern Illinois1331:3018.742%50%4.539.81.41.24.11.7127.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1352% (46)44% (61)37.3144.43.918 (77).1 (95)2.99 (90)73% (75)9% (39)0.81 (131)
NIU Defense1356% (122)44% (84) - - - - .14 (69)3.29 (108)83% (118)8% (114)0.94 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1344% (10)35% (9) - - - - -.06 (3)2.54 (8)70% (47)15% (3)1.07 (101)
NIU Offense1354% (39)45% (45)35.8179.8523 (46).21 (36)3.21 (50)77% (36)9% (47)1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1347% (91)48% (17)18.429.5203.66.911.116 (92)9 (40).31 (57)1.4 (123)30% (31)35% (30).32 (72)6% (84)1.7 (131)
NIU Defense1343% (12)37% (21) - - - - - - 10 (67).17 (18)1.4 (14)32% (66)24% (9).29 (55)5% (115)2.2 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1354% (123)36% (12) - - - - - - 15 (15).14 (14)1.5 (30)36% (15)23% (5).19 (15)5% (94)1.9 (27)
NIU Offense1346% (95)40% (85)16.228.2189.86.711.715 (96)9 (40).26 (75)1.5 (96)32% (64)26% (106).29 (83)6% (63)2.3 (16)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.65 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 3.65   Northern Illinois: -1.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.2   Northern Illinois: -6.7




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -1.73 #74
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Northern Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80
Northern Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 15.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 22
Northern Illinois 20


Total Points: 42

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Northern Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Northern Illinois23Ohio13Northern IllinoisOhio -5.5Northern Illinois45.0Under
202210/22Ohio24Northern Illinois17OhioNorthern Illinois -2.5Ohio65.5Under
201910/12Ohio36Northern Illinois39Northern IllinoisOhio -4.5Northern Illinois51.0Over
201810/13Northern Illinois24Ohio21Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -5.5Ohio52.0Under
201511/24Northern Illinois21Ohio26OhioNorthern Illinois -13.5Ohio58.0Under
201411/18Ohio14Northern Illinois21Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -2.5Northern Illinois0
201112/02Northern Illinois23Ohio20Northern Illinois
200911/21Ohio38Northern Illinois31Ohio
200609/09Northern Illinois23Ohio35Ohio
200310/04Northern Illinois30Ohio23Northern Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois631 Overs
Ohio434 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 42 - 40 - 32 - 1
Road Teams4 - 64 - 21 - 23 - 0

(#42) Ohio Info
Power Rating: 3.65 #42
Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20


Ohio has won 5 straight
Ohio has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Ohio Highlights
Ohio offense is good on 3rd downs
Ohio Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ohio has a really good defense (#112)
Ohio defense is really good in red zone (#32)
Ohio has a good run defense (#86)
Ohio has a good pass defense (#120)
Ohio Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Ohio Defensive Line is very good (#61)
Ohio Front 7 is disruptive (#105)
Ohio has a great TO Margin (#54)
Ohio defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio offense is not Explosive (#73)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNIUOHIO
OverallOver#67#35
OffenseOff#68#33
DefenseDef#53#26
Special TeamsST#96#110
PassingPass#73#31
RushingRush#59#62
Run BlockRBLK#44#20
Pass BlockPBLK#29#8
Route RunningWR Rt#86#59
TacklingTkl#52#79
Run DefenseR Def#58#36
Pass Rush DefPRush#72#17
Coverage DefCov#60#58

Rematch from Week 7
Ohio 5.5 (45.0)
Northern Illinois won vs Ohio this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Ohio in 2023 (23-13)
Ohio beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (24-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OHIO | NIU
Depth Chart: OHIO | NIU
Rosters: OHIO | NIU
(#74) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -1.73 #74
Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80


Northern Illinois has won 1 straight
Northern Illinois has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Northern Illinois defense does not give up big plays (#44)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)

Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense at Home
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)
Northern Illinois has a bad defensive line (#17)


  
Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke19530764%22071157.2
CJ Harris254951%248235.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura17881174.626
O'Shann Allison13945233.330
Kurtis Rourke6721943.325
Parker Navarro2517807.152
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Wiglusz55664312.138
Miles Cross47599512.742
Tyler Walton3734929.427
Will Kacmarek22243211.036

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC Spence Nowinsky
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Houston12813351
Keye Thompson9410242
Walter Reynolds (Tr)672001
Austin Brawley411002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver3413670
Vonnie Watkins3385110
Shane Bonner299560
Rayyan Buell3013530
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Birchette293008
Jeremiah Wood263024
Austin Brawley411002

Northern Illinois's OC Eric Eidsness
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocky Lombardi18932758%22741177.0
Ethan Hampton193358%147224.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antario Brown2121294106.180
Gavin Williams (Tr)9548835.153
Trayvon Rudolph2218218.336
Rocky Lombardi7213171.833
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph51531210.472
Grayson Barnes23422518.358
Kacper Rutkiewicz20313215.764
Davis Patterson16197012.328

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raishein Thomas747351
Jaden Dolphin631003
Tyler Jackson562020
DaRon Gilbert523121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Ester446432
Roy Williams246411
George Gumbs348420
Devonte O'Malley335300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jashon Prophete331008
Javaughn Byrd322005
Jacob Finley331003