Western Michigan at Northern Illinois

Western Michigan at Northern Illinois - 2023 Matchup Preview

Western Michigan Broncos at Northern Illinois Huskies

Tuesday, November 14th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Northern Illinois -4.5 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Northern Illinois 24 - Western Michigan: 0 (Mid-American)

Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (20 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NIU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -10.5 (SP+ NIU -9)
Projected Score: WMU: 20 - NIU: 31 (51)
NIU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 165 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Huskies (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (18 - 29)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (18 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 4.8 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
NIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-14.0	58.0	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Michigan at Syracuse	+24.5	56.5	L 7 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/16	Western Michigan at Iowa	+28.5	43.5	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Michigan at Toledo	+21.5	52.5	L 31 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-1.5	50.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Western Michigan at Mississippi State	+21.5	54.5	L 28 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+7.5	46.0	L 21 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/21	Western Michigan at Ohio	+16.5	52.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-3.0	50.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	57.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+4.5	55.5	L 0 - 24	U	N
Tue 11/21	Western Michigan vs Bowling Green	+2.0	54.5	L 10 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Northern Illinois's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northern Illinois at Boston College	+8.0	50.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Northern Illinois vs Southern Illinois	-6.5	58.5	L 11 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/16	Northern Illinois at Nebraska	+11.5	42.5	L 11 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Northern Illinois vs Tulsa	-3.5	54.5	L 14 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/30	Northern Illinois at Toledo	+13.0	48.0	L 33 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Northern Illinois at Akron	-4.0	42.5	W 55 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Northern Illinois vs Ohio	+5.5	45.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan	-11.5	43.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Northern Illinois at Central Michigan	-3.0	48.0	L 31 - 37	O	N
Tue 11/7	Northern Illinois vs Ball State	-9.5	43.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 11/14	Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan	-4.5	55.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northern Illinois at Kent State	-20.5	44.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/23	Northern Illinois vs Arkansas State	+2.5	54.0	W 21 - 19	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	#85 (.16)	40% (90)	23.7	41% (87)	3.09 (71)	153	40% (87)	211	3.89 (72)	#92 (.22)	44% (101)	31.8	46% (99)	44% (99)	4.15 (105)	62.3	1.1	1.5
NIU	#54 (.21)	42% (62)	24.9	45% (45)	3.21 (50)	180	40% (85)	190	3.4 (102)	#36 (.14)	41% (52)	21	44% (84)	37% (21)	3.4 (32)	39.8	1.4	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)		45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)		48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6
NIU	#86 (.16)	42% (79)		44% (72)	3.25 (33)	204	40% (86)	179	3.39 (113)	#11 (.06)	38% (19)		41% (52)	35% (9)	3.08 (12)	42.8	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	12	23.7	19.7	40.3%	3.89	1.1	20	365	153	211	3.8	54%	45%	41%	40%	16%	.16
NIU Defense	13	21	13.7	40.7%	3.4	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	37%	13%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	12	31.8	34.9	44.3%	4.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	46%	44%	19%	.22
NIU Offense	13	24.9	18.2	42.4%	3.4	1.4	19	370	180	190	5	54%	46%	45%	40%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	12	29:55	19.6	36%	49%	7.1	62.3	1.1	1.5	5.2	2	0	28.3
Northern Illinois	13	31:30	18.7	42%	50%	4.5	39.8	1.4	1.2	4.1	1.7	1	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	12	54% (38)	41% (87)	39.9	153.3	3.8	21 (54)	.15 (73)	3.09 (71)	75% (58)	10% (66)	1 (65)
NIU Defense	13	56% (122)	44% (84)	-	-	-	-	.14 (69)	3.29 (108)	83% (118)	8% (114)	0.94 (37)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	12	50% (74)	46% (99)	-	-	-	-	.17 (91)	3.48 (127)	81% (112)	11% (44)	0.95 (40)
NIU Offense	13	54% (39)	45% (45)	35.8	179.8	5	23 (46)	.21 (36)	3.21 (50)	77% (36)	9% (47)	1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	12	45% (98)	40% (87)	20.6	32.8	211.2	6.5	10.3	13 (111)	9 (40)	.2 (96)	1.5 (105)	30% (29)	25% (113)	.25 (93)	6% (88)	2 (96)
NIU Defense	13	43% (12)	37% (21)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.17 (18)	1.4 (14)	32% (66)	24% (9)	.29 (55)	5% (115)	2.2 (109)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	12	48% (47)	44% (99)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.33 (104)	1.6 (78)	31% (94)	30% (71)	.23 (29)	9% (7)	1.9 (31)
NIU Offense	13	46% (95)	40% (85)	16.2	28.2	189.8	6.7	11.7	15 (96)	9 (40)	.26 (75)	1.5 (96)	32% (64)	26% (106)	.29 (83)	6% (63)	2.3 (16)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -8.28 Northern Illinois: -1.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -15.9 Northern Illinois: -6.7

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -1.73 #74
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Northern Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80
Northern Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Northern Illinois 31
Western Michigan 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 24
Northern Illinois 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Northern Illinois 27
Western Michigan 19

Total Points: 46

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Northern Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/18	Northern Illinois	19	Western Michigan	35	Western Michigan -7	Western Michigan	39.5	Over
2024	11/06	Western Michigan	28	Northern Illinois	42	Northern Illinois -2.5	Northern Illinois	51.5	Over
2023	11/14	Northern Illinois	24	Western Michigan	0	Northern Illinois -4.5	Northern Illinois	55.5	Under
2022	11/09	Western Michigan	21	Northern Illinois	24	Northern Illinois -1	Northern Illinois	49.0	Under
2021	11/23	Northern Illinois	21	Western Michigan	42	Western Michigan -6.5	Western Michigan	60.0	Over
2020	11/28	Western Michigan	30	Northern Illinois	27	Western Michigan -18.5	Northern Illinois	64.5	Under
2019	11/26	Northern Illinois	17	Western Michigan	14	Western Michigan -10	Northern Illinois	51.0	Under
2018	11/20	Western Michigan	28	Northern Illinois	21	Northern Illinois -6.5	Western Michigan	48.5	Over
2017	11/15	Northern Illinois	35	Western Michigan	31	Northern Illinois -9	Western Michigan	49.5	Over
2016	10/08	Western Michigan	45	Northern Illinois	30	Western Michigan -19	Northern Illinois	68.5	Over
2015	11/18	Northern Illinois	27	Western Michigan	19	Northern Illinois -3.5	Northern Illinois	59.5	Under
2014	11/28	Western Michigan	21	Northern Illinois	31	Western Michigan -7	Northern Illinois	0
2013	11/26	Northern Illinois	33	Western Michigan	14	Northern Illinois -33.5	Western Michigan	0
2012	10/27	Western Michigan	34	Northern Illinois	48
2011	10/15	Northern Illinois	51	Western Michigan	22
2010	10/30	Western Michigan	21	Northern Illinois	28
2009	10/03	Northern Illinois	38	Western Michigan	3
2008	09/06	Western Michigan	29	Northern Illinois	26
2007	10/13	Northern Illinois	13	Western Michigan	17
2006	10/14	Western Michigan	16	Northern Illinois	14
2005	11/23	Northern Illinois	42	Western Michigan	7
2004	10/23	Western Michigan	38	Northern Illinois	59
2003	10/18	Northern Illinois	37	Western Michigan	10
2002	10/26	Western Michigan	20	Northern Illinois	24
2001	10/20	Northern Illinois	20	Western Michigan	12
2000	10/20	Western Michigan	52	Northern Illinois	22

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northern Illinois	17	8	6 Overs
Western Michigan	9	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	4 - 9	2 - 5	2 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 16	9 - 4	4 - 2	5 - 2

(#110) WMU at (#74) NIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WMU	NIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#110	#74
SP+SP+	#120	#85
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#82
OffenseOff	#103	#78
DefenseDef	#107	#64
Spec TeamsST	#106	#119
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Western Michigan Injury Report

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	NIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#103	#64
SuccessSuc	#90	#52
ExplosiveExp	#104	#5
PPAPPA	#85	#36
PowerPwr	#73	#48
SP+SP+	#111	#47
Pts POPPO	#72	#32
HavocHav	#71	#120

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	#131	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	#87	#84
Run ExplRExp	#65	#37
PPAExp	#73	#69
Run BlockR Blk	#13	-
OL YdsOLY	#71	#108
Stuff RateStuff	#21	#125
TackleTak	-	#60

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#75
Pass SuccessPSuc	#87	#21
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#14
PPAExp	#96	#18
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#37	#92
F7 HavocF7	#66	#114
DB HavocDB	#88	#115

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	WMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#78	#107
SuccessSuc	#62	#101
ExplosiveExp	#84	#56
PPAPPA	#54	#92
PowerPwr	#61	#105
SP+SP+	#109	#106
Pts POPPO	#102	#105
HavocHav	#50	#13

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#83	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	#45	#99
Run ExplRExp	#29	#40
PPAExp	#36	#91
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	#50	#127
Stuff RateStuff	#63	#101
TackleTak	-	#66

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	#85	#99
Pass ExplPExl	#96	#78
PPAExp	#75	#104
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#116
F7 HavocF7	#47	#44
DB HavocDB	#63	#7

Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 41° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Northern Illinois -4.5 (55.5)
Northern Illinois won vs Western Michigan this year (24-0)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan last year (42-28)
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan in 2023 (24-0)
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan in 2022 (24-21)

WMU's OC Billy Cosh (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hayden Wolff (Tr)	148	226	66%	1505	8	5	6.7
Treyson Bourguet	57	103	55%	713	4	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Buckley	189	997	10	5.3	75
Zahir Abdus-Salaam	123	470	5	3.8	19
C.J. Hester	29	124	2	4.3	29
Treyson Bourguet	36	65	0	1.8	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kenneth Womack	76	691	1	9.1	34
Leroy Thomas	36	401	2	11.1	41
Anthony Sambucci	21	318	5	15.1	64
Blake Bosma	19	317	2	16.7	58

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tate Hallock (Tr)	75	2	0	0	4
Aaron Wofford	72	1	0	0	5
Damari Roberson	68	2	1	1	6
Jacob Wahlberg	65	7	2	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marshawn Kneeland	57	8	5	8	0
Donald Willis (Tr)	40	7	4	2	2
Mason Nelson	32	5	3	1	0
Boone Bonnema	18	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bilhal Kone	42	2	0	0	8
Damari Roberson	68	2	1	1	6
Aaron Wofford	72	1	0	0	5

NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocky Lombardi	189	327	58%	2274	11	7	7.0
Ethan Hampton	19	33	58%	147	2	2	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antario Brown	212	1294	10	6.1	80
Gavin Williams (Tr)	95	488	3	5.1	53
Trayvon Rudolph	22	182	1	8.3	36
Rocky Lombardi	72	131	7	1.8	33

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trayvon Rudolph	51	531	2	10.4	72
Grayson Barnes	23	422	5	18.3	58
Kacper Rutkiewicz	20	313	2	15.7	64
Davis Patterson	16	197	0	12.3	28

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Raishein Thomas	74	7	3	5	1
Jaden Dolphin	63	1	0	0	3
Tyler Jackson	56	2	0	2	0
DaRon Gilbert	52	3	1	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Ester	44	6	4	3	2
Roy Williams	24	6	4	1	1
George Gumbs	34	8	4	2	0
Devonte O'Malley	33	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jashon Prophete	33	1	8
Javaughn Byrd	32	2	5
Jacob Finley	33	1	3