Kent State at Ball State Game Matchup

Kent State Golden Flashes at Ball State Cardinals

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Ball State -10.5 (41.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ball State 34 - Kent State: 3 (Mid-American)

Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (9 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ball State -14.5 (SP+ BALL -12)
Projected Score: KENT: 18 - BALL: 33 (62)
BALL Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
KENT Travel: 224 miles

Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KENT Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kent State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Kent State at UCF	+35.0	54.0	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Kent State at Arkansas	+38.0	57.5	L 6 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kent State vs Central Connecticut	-21.5	46.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Kent State at Fresno State	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 53	O	N
Sat 9/30	Kent State vs Miami (OH)	+14.0	51.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kent State at Ohio	+24.5	45.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kent State at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	40.0	L 14 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/21	Kent State vs Buffalo	+6.5	44.0	L 6 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Kent State at Akron	+4.0	39.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
Wed 11/8	Kent State vs Bowling Green	+10.5	41.5	L 19 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kent State at Ball State	+10.5	41.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kent State vs Northern Illinois	+20.5	44.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Ball State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ball State at Kentucky	+25.0	49.0	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/9	Ball State at Georgia	+42.0	52.5	L 3 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ball State vs Indiana State	-26.0	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ball State vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	60.0	L 3 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ball State at Western Michigan	+1.5	50.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/7	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+2.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Ball State vs Toledo	+17.5	48.5	L 6 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+5.0	42.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Ball State at Bowling Green	+4.5	39.5	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+9.5	43.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ball State vs Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+3.5	34.5	L 15 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	.22	44%	13.9	47%	3.33	203	42%	215	3.64	.27	48%	44.1	47%	51%	3.81	54.3	1.1	1.3
BALL	.11	40%	25.3	41%	3.22	158	40%	228	3.7	.16	43%	40.1	45%	41%	3.56	57.6	1.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Offense	12	13.9	9.3	44.5%	3.64	1.1	23	418	203	215	4.7	57%	42%	47%	42%	19%	.22
BALL Defense	12	40.1	33.4	43%	3.56	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	41%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Defense	12	44.1	48.3	48.4%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	47%	51%	15%	.27
BALL Offense	12	25.3	28.6	40.1%	3.7	1.8	21	386	158	228	4.5	43%	56%	41%	40%	19%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kent State	12	26:07	22.8	41%	50%	6.7	54.3	1.1	1.3	5.8	2.2	2	30
Ball State	12	27:59	21.3	36%	32%	6.1	57.6	1.8	1.4	5.4	2.1	0	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Offense	12	57%	47%	43.1	202.8	4.7	23	.22	3.33	84%	11%	1.03
BALL Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.26	71%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Defense	12	49%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.1	72%	10%	0.91
BALL Offense	12	43%	41%	34.8	157.8	4.5	14	.09	3.22	76%	7%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Offense	12	42%	42%	16.2	29.1	215.2	7.4	13.3	17	8	.25	1.5	32%	34%	.44	8%	2.2
BALL Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.4	32%	30%	.28	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Defense	12	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.46	1.5	27%	35%	.37	5%	1.9
BALL Offense	12	56%	40%	23.9	40.1	228.2	5.7	9.5	18	14	.18	1.3	30%	31%	.26	12%	1.9

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.19 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 468.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -21.19 Ball State: -9.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -26.4 Ball State: -14.9

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -9.17 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Ball State 33
Kent State 18

Projected Total Points: 62

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Kent State	35	Ball State	37	Ball State	Ball State -3	Kent State	58.0	Over
2023	11/18	Ball State	34	Kent State	3	Ball State	Ball State -10.5	Ball State	41.5	Under
2022	11/01	Kent State	20	Ball State	27	Ball State	Kent State -7	Ball State	61.5	Under
2019	11/23	Kent State	41	Ball State	38	Kent State	Ball State -3	Kent State	67.5	Over
2018	09/29	Ball State	52	Kent State	24	Ball State	Ball State -7	Ball State	62.0	Over
2013	10/12	Ball State	27	Kent State	24	Ball State	Ball State -11	Kent State	0
2012	09/29	Kent State	45	Ball State	43	Kent State
2010	10/30	Kent State	33	Ball State	14	Kent State
2008	09/27	Ball State	41	Kent State	20	Ball State
2006	11/24	Ball State	30	Kent State	6	Ball State
2003	10/04	Kent State	17	Ball State	34	Ball State
2001	11/10	Ball State	18	Kent State	31	Kent State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	8	3	3 Overs
Kent State	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	4 - 2	2 - 2	2 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 8	2 - 4	0 - 2	2 - 2

(#133) Kent State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.19 #133
Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115
Talent Rating: 468.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90

Team Profile

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Kent State Ratings Matchup Ball State

Power #133

#112

Off #124

#98

Def #132

#87

Talent #99

#84

SP+ #133

#116

SP+ Off #133

#131

SP+ Def #115

#61

Rematch from Week 12
Ball State -10.5 (41.5)
Ball State won vs Kent State this year (34-3)

Previous Matchups
Ball State beat Kent State last year (37-35)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2023 (34-3)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 50° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | BALL
Depth Chart: KENT | BALL
Rosters: KENT | BALL

(#112) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.17 #112
Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile

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Kent State's OC Matt Johnson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tommy Ulatowski	81	175	46%	1342	15	8	7.7
Luke Floriea	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Floriea	1	17	0	17.0	10
Tommy Ulatowski	62	-22	1	-0.4	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Floriea	44	688	7	15.6	80
Trell Harris	15	221	2	14.7	45
Justin Holmes	1	11	0	11.0	11

View Kent State's Full Roster

Kent State's DC David Duggan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Luke Murphy	94	5	0	4	0
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
Khalib Johns	46	2	0	1	0
CJ Harris	44	8	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
CJ West	42	8	2	0	1
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Luke Murphy	94	5	0	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
CJ Harris	44	8	0	0	1

Ball State's OC Jared Elliott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	292	1274	12	4.4	47
Lucas Borrow	1	19	0	19.0	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	20	137	2	6.9	21
Brady Hunt	2	22	0	11.0	11

View Ball State's Full Roster

Ball State's DC Tyler Stockton

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4
Jordan Riley-Scott	42	2	1	1	3
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4
Nathan Reichert	32	2	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4
Jordan Riley-Scott	42	2	1	1	3
Nathan Reichert	32	2	1	0	0
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4
Jordan Riley-Scott	42	2	1	1	3