Kent State at Ball State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kent State logo Kent State Golden Flashes at Ball State CardinalsBall State logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Ball State -10.5 (41.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ball State 34 - Kent State: 3  (Mid-American)

 
Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 15 - 35 (12 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Ball State -14.5   (SP+ BALL -12)
Projected Score: KENT: 15 - BALL: 29 (44)
BALL Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
KENT Travel: 224 miles
Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 18 - 24 (21 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kent State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Kent State at UCF+35.054.0L 6 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Kent State at Arkansas+38.057.5L 6 - 28UY
Sat 9/16 Kent State vs Central Connecticut-21.546.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Kent State at Fresno State+27.547.5L 10 - 53ON
Sat 9/30 Kent State vs Miami (OH)+14.051.5L 3 - 23UN
Sat 10/7 Kent State at Ohio+24.545.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 10/14 Kent State at Eastern Michigan+7.040.0L 14 - 28ON
Sat 10/21 Kent State vs Buffalo+6.544.0L 6 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Kent State at Akron+4.039.0L 27 - 31OY
Wed 11/8 Kent State vs Bowling Green+10.541.5L 19 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Kent State at Ball State+10.541.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 11/25 Kent State vs Northern Illinois+20.544.5L 27 - 37OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Ball State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ball State at Kentucky+25.049.0L 14 - 44ON
Sat 9/9 Ball State at Georgia+42.052.5L 3 - 45UY
Sat 9/16 Ball State vs Indiana State-26.045.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/23 Ball State vs Georgia Southern+6.060.0L 3 - 40UN
Sat 9/30 Ball State at Western Michigan+1.550.0L 24 - 42ON
Sat 10/7 Ball State at Eastern Michigan+2.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Ball State vs Toledo+17.548.5L 6 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Ball State vs Central Michigan+5.042.0W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Ball State at Bowling Green+4.539.5L 21 - 24OY
Tue 11/7 Ball State at Northern Illinois+9.543.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/18 Ball State vs Kent State-10.541.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 Ball State vs Miami (OH)+3.534.5L 15 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#125 (.05)35% (130)14.732% (133)2.84 (113)10640% (89)1653.27 (110)#125 (.32)45% (111)34.647% (108)44% (97)4.88 (132)46.210.8
BALL#97 (.14)40% (95)18.345% (50)3.35 (22)17133% (127)1373.31 (105)#70 (.18)42% (66)24.443% (65)42% (70)3.81 (70)45.21.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense1214.711.935.2%3.271152701061652.953%47%32%40%19%.05
BALL Defense1224.416.241.8%3.810.9 - - - - - 48%51%43%42%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense1234.638.945%4.880.8 - - - - - 56%43%47%44%13%.32
BALL Offense1218.321.239.8%3.311.3183081711374.458%41%45%33%17%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State1228:491530%46%5.446.210.84.10.9028.4
Ball State1232:4418.138%56%5.245.21.30.95.72.1028.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense1253% (44)32% (133)36.8105.92.98 (130)-.03 (132)2.84 (113)67% (109)12% (117)0.91 (105)
BALL Defense1248% (44)43% (65) - - - - .11 (45)3.08 (62)79% (102)11% (35)0.89 (23)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense1256% (124)47% (108) - - - - .24 (117)3.23 (98)79% (107)7% (131)1.08 (106)
BALL Offense1258% (14)45% (50)39.3171.44.415 (100).21 (38)3.35 (22)83% (8)12% (112)0.99 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense1247% (90)40% (89)13.325.5164.56.512.311 (117)6 (14).16 (110)1.6 (72)36% (122)25% (112).18 (108)7% (99)2 (76)
BALL Defense1251% (93)42% (70) - - - - - - 5 (126).27 (70)1.5 (29)32% (61)28% (30).21 (20)5% (97)2 (39)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense1243% (14)44% (97) - - - - - - 6 (120).44 (127)1.8 (117)32% (73)31% (76).33 (79)6% (91)2 (55)
BALL Offense1241% (119)33% (127)15.125.3136.75.49.19 (126)8 (30).05 (128)1.4 (130)33% (92)24% (123).18 (110)5% (25)2 (104)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.19 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -21.19   Ball State: -9.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -26.4   Ball State: -14.9




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -9.17 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.9
Defense: 34.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.9

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Ball State 29
Kent State 15


Total Points: 44

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 18.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.2
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.2

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Kent State35Ball State37Ball StateBall State -3Kent State58.0Over
202311/18Ball State34Kent State3Ball StateBall State -10.5Ball State41.5Under
202211/01Kent State20Ball State27Ball StateKent State -7Ball State61.5Under
201911/23Kent State41Ball State38Kent StateBall State -3Kent State67.5Over
201809/29Ball State52Kent State24Ball StateBall State -7Ball State62.0Over
201310/12Ball State27Kent State24Ball StateBall State -11Kent State0
201209/29Kent State45Ball State43Kent State
201010/30Kent State33Ball State14Kent State
200809/27Ball State41Kent State20Ball State
200611/24Ball State30Kent State6Ball State
200310/04Kent State17Ball State34Ball State
200111/10Ball State18Kent State31Kent State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State833 Overs
Kent State432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 44 - 22 - 22 - 0
Road Teams4 - 82 - 40 - 22 - 2

(#133) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -21.19 #133
Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90


Kent State has lost 7 straight
Kent State has lost 6 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 7 (1 - 5 - 1 vs Spread )

Kent State Highlights
Kent State has a great TO Margin (#54)

Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State has a really bad Offense
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Kent State has a bad defense (#66)
Kent State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#87)
Kent State Does Not Stuff Runs (#39)
Kent State has a bad red zone defense (#89)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBALLKENT
OverallOver#98#110
OffenseOff#85#105
DefenseDef#92#102
Special TeamsST#108#76
PassingPass#100#70
RushingRush#37#97
Run BlockRBLK#53#101
Pass BlockPBLK#21#109
Route RunningWR Rt#106#55
TacklingTkl#90#100
Run DefenseR Def#83#100
Pass Rush DefPRush#80#98
Coverage DefCov#96#105

Rematch from Week 12
Ball State -10.5 (41.5)
Ball State won vs Kent State this year (34-3)

Previous Matchups
Ball State beat Kent State last year (37-35)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2023 (34-3)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | BALL
Depth Chart: KENT | BALL
Rosters: KENT | BALL
(#112) Ball State Info
Power Rating: -9.17 #112
Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60


Ball State has won 1 straight
Ball State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Ball State Highlights
Ball State has a top Offensive Line (#110)
Ball State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#120)

Ball State defense does not give up big plays (#77)
Ball State commits very few Penalties (#59)

Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State has a really bad Offense
Ball State offense is not Explosive (#56)
Ball State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Ball State pass game is really bad (#111)


  
Kent State's OC Matt Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Alaimo7914455%932246.5
Tommy Ulatowski6012150%737726.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia13854423.942
Jaylen Thomas13346023.534
Xavier Williams4213713.318
Tommy Ulatowski478911.939
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chrishon Mccray41610414.942
Luke Floriea39414410.643
Trell Harris26400115.443
Jameel Gardner Jr.24298112.450

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC David Duggan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Sheppert751027
Nick Giacolone505001
Stephen Daley476170
D.J. Miller461003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Harris316201
Marcus Winfield113210
Macyo Williams183220
Stephen Daley476170
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Capone Blue3000010
Bryce Sheppert751027
Alex Branch322103

Ball State's OC Jared Elliott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly6612453%577234.7
Layne Hatcher (Tr)659866%583405.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)227104344.639
Kiael Kelly13472375.455
Vaughn Pemberton2313916.045
Rico Barfield259613.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qian Magwood4135818.732
Ahmad Edwards31354111.457
Tanner Koziol3429538.726
Marquez Cooper (Tr)1916408.626

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Tyler Stockton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keionte Newson807332
Cole Pearce7810362
Jordan Riley-Scott613008
Sidney Houston Jr.5917841
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Houston Jr.5917841
Mikhari Sibblis (Tr)376410
Cole Pearce7810362
Keionte Newson807332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Riley-Scott613008
Tyler Potts273106
Thailand Baldwin300015