Indiana State at Ball State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Indiana State Sycamores at Ball State Cardinals

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Ball State -26 (45.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ball State 45 - Indiana State: 7

Sycamores (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 43 (7 - 43 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

INST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ BALL -15)
BALL Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%

Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 18 - 24 (21 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
INST Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Indiana State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/8	Indiana State at Indiana	+31.0	44.0	L 7 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/16	Indiana State at Ball State	+26.0	45.0	L 7 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana State's Schedule

Ball State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ball State at Kentucky	+25.0	49.0	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/9	Ball State at Georgia	+42.0	52.5	L 3 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ball State vs Indiana State	-26.0	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ball State vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	60.0	L 3 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ball State at Western Michigan	+1.5	50.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/7	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+2.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Ball State vs Toledo	+17.5	48.5	L 6 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+5.0	42.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Ball State at Bowling Green	+4.5	39.5	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+9.5	43.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ball State vs Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+3.5	34.5	L 15 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
INST		0%	7	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	43	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BALL	#97 (.14)	40% (95)	18.3	45% (50)	3.35 (22)	171	33% (127)	137	3.31 (105)	#70 (.18)	42% (66)	24.4	43% (65)	42% (70)	3.81 (70)	45.2	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
INST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
INST Offense	2	7	7	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
BALL Defense	12	24.4	16.2	41.8%	3.81	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	43%	42%	17%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
INST Defense	2	43	43	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
BALL Offense	12	18.3	21.2	39.8%	3.31	1.3	18	308	171	137	4.4	58%	41%	45%	33%	17%	.14

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Indiana State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Ball State	12	32:44	18.1	38%	56%	5.2	45.2	1.3	0.9	5.7	2.1	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
INST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
BALL Defense	12	48% (44)	43% (65)	-	-	-	-	.11 (45)	3.08 (62)	79% (102)	11% (35)	0.89 (23)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
INST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
BALL Offense	12	58% (14)	45% (50)	39.3	171.4	4.4	15 (100)	.21 (38)	3.35 (22)	83% (8)	12% (112)	0.99 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
INST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
BALL Defense	12	51% (93)	42% (70)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.27 (70)	1.5 (29)	32% (61)	28% (30)	.21 (20)	5% (97)	2 (39)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
INST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
BALL Offense	12	41% (119)	33% (127)	15.1	25.3	136.7	5.4	9.1	9 (126)	8 (30)	.05 (128)	1.4 (130)	33% (92)	24% (123)	.18 (110)	5% (25)	2 (104)

Indiana State's Power Ratings
Indiana State's Power Rating: NR
Indiana State's Offense Rating: NR
Indiana State's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #178
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Indiana State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Indiana State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Indiana State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Indiana State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana State: Ball State: -9.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana State: Ball State: -14.9

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -9.17 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Indiana State Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 43 PPG
Defense on Road: 43

Indiana State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ball State 29
Indiana State 17

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Ball State 26
Indiana State 20

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Ball State 32
Indiana State 14

Total Points: 46

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 18.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.2
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.2

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Ball State	45	Indiana State	7	Ball State -26	Ball State	45.0	Over
2014	09/13	Ball State	20	Indiana State	27	Ball State -20	Indiana State	0
2003	08/28	Ball State	31	Indiana State	7
2002	09/14	Ball State	23	Indiana State	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	3	1	1 Overs
Indiana State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#NR) INST at (#112) BALL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	INST	BALL
Power RatePwr	NR	#112
SP+SP+	NR	#116
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#117
OffenseOff	NR	#101
DefenseDef	NR	#119
Spec TeamsST	NR	#132
TalentTal	#178	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Indiana State Injury Report

Ball State Injury Report

Indiana State on Offense


CategoryCat	INST Off	BALL Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	#66
ExplosiveExp	NR	#16
PPAPPA	NR	#70
PowerPwr	NR	#87
SP+SP+	NR	#61
Pts POPPO	NR	#70
HavocHav	NR	#60

Indiana State Run Game


CategoryCat	INST Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#65
Run ExplRExp	NR	#23
PPAExp	NR	#45
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#62
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#99
TackleTak	-	#106

Indiana State Pass Game


CategoryCat	INST Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#70
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#29
PPAExp	NR	#70
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	#35
DB HavocDB	NR	#97

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	INST Def
Perf GradePerf	#101	NR
SuccessSuc	#95	NR
ExplosiveExp	#126	NR
PPAPPA	#97	NR
PowerPwr	#98	NR
SP+SP+	#131	NR
Pts POPPO	#105	NR
HavocHav	#85	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	INST Def
Run GameRun	#52	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#50	NR
Run ExplRExp	#70	NR
PPAExp	#38	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#22	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#3	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	INST Def
Pass GamePass	#119	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#127	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#130	NR
PPAExp	#128	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#23	NR
F7 HavocF7	#112	NR
DB HavocDB	#25	NR

Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

INST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 73° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Ball State -26.0 (45.0)
Ball State won vs Indiana State this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Ball State beat Indiana State in 2023 (45-7)

INST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyce Ferrell	2	5	0	2.5	5

View Indiana State's Full Roster

INST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antoineo Harris Jr.	26	5	1	3	0
Johnathan Edwards	18	1	0	0	1
Garret Ollendieck	13	1	0	0	0
Maddix Blackwell	10	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dallas Westhoff	3	1	1	0	0
Geoffrey Brown	5	1	1	0	0
Antoineo Harris Jr.	26	5	1	3	0
Johnathan Edwards	18	1	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnathan Edwards	18	1	0	0	1
Antoineo Harris Jr.	26	5	1	3	0
Garret Ollendieck	13	1	0	0	0

BALL's OC Jared Elliott (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kiael Kelly	66	124	53%	577	2	3	4.7
Layne Hatcher (Tr)	65	98	66%	583	4	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	227	1043	4	4.6	39
Kiael Kelly	134	723	7	5.4	55
Vaughn Pemberton	23	139	1	6.0	45
Rico Barfield	25	96	1	3.8	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Qian Magwood	41	358	1	8.7	32
Ahmad Edwards	31	354	1	11.4	57
Tanner Koziol	34	295	3	8.7	26
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	19	164	0	8.6	26

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keionte Newson	80	7	3	3	2
Cole Pearce	78	10	3	6	2
Jordan Riley-Scott	61	3	0	0	8
Sidney Houston Jr.	59	17	8	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sidney Houston Jr.	59	17	8	4	1
Mikhari Sibblis (Tr)	37	6	4	1	0
Cole Pearce	78	10	3	6	2
Keionte Newson	80	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Riley-Scott	61	3	0	0	8
Tyler Potts	27	3	1	0	6
Thailand Baldwin	30	0	0	1	5