App State at Old Dominion - 2023 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at Old Dominion Monarchs

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -6 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Old Dominion 28 - App State: 21 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (29 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ODU coming off BYE
Our Line: App State -8 (SP+ APP -13)
Projected Score: APP: 31 - ODU: 23 (54)
APP Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
APP Travel: 302 miles

Monarchs (6 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (10 - 18)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
ODU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Old Dominion's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Old Dominion at Virginia Tech	+16.0	48.0	L 17 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/9	Old Dominion vs Louisiana	+6.0	51.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Old Dominion vs Wake Forest	+13.5	60.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Old Dominion vs East Texas A&M	-18.5
Sat 9/30	Old Dominion at Marshall	+14.5	47.0	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Old Dominion at Southern Miss	+3.0	56.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Old Dominion vs App State	+6.0	56.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Old Dominion at James Madison	+19.5	48.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina	+1.0	51.0	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/11	Old Dominion at Liberty	+13.5	58.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Old Dominion at Georgia Southern	+4.5	61.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Old Dominion vs Georgia State	-2.0	49.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Mon 12/18	Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky	-4.0	49.0	L 35 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#41 (.24)	46% (28)	33.2	43% (75)	3.18 (55)	172	50% (11)	273	3.8 (77)	#79 (.2)	43% (76)	27	45% (93)	41% (58)	3.15 (17)	40.5	1.6	1.8
ODU	#102 (.13)	38% (109)	23.8	41% (92)	3.08 (76)	154	37% (107)	195	3.14 (117)	#30 (.13)	44% (100)	27.2	42% (60)	47% (124)	3.49 (46)	60.6	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2
ODU	#47 (.22)	42% (71)		45% (55)	3.24 (34)	211	40% (89)	193	4.75 (6)	#71 (.17)	39% (33)		38% (22)	40% (64)	3.64 (50)	54.2	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	14	33.2	29.4	45.6%	3.8	1.6	24	445	172	273	4.5	51%	48%	43%	50%	16%	.24
ODU Defense	13	27.2	23.3	44.1%	3.49	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	47%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	14	27	30.9	42.6%	3.15	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	45%	41%	18%	.2
ODU Offense	13	23.8	24.8	38.5%	3.14	1.4	17	348	154	195	4.2	50%	49%	41%	37%	20%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	14	31:15	23.7	42%	64%	4.4	40.5	1.6	1.8	6	2.5	2	29.3
Old Dominion	13	24:49	16.5	37%	27%	6.5	60.6	1.4	1.6	6.1	1.5	2	29.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	14	51% (58)	43% (75)	38.1	171.6	4.5	23 (46)	.09 (99)	3.18 (55)	71% (92)	9% (49)	0.97 (83)
ODU Defense	13	52% (98)	42% (60)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (11)	2.81 (22)	70% (50)	11% (56)	0.73 (2)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	14	50% (59)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.23 (112)	3.41 (120)	79% (108)	11% (40)	1.1 (113)
ODU Offense	13	50% (70)	41% (92)	36.5	153.5	4.2	15 (100)	.17 (58)	3.08 (76)	62% (127)	15% (131)	1.18 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	14	48% (75)	50% (11)	21.4	33.6	273.4	8.1	12.8	34 (9)	10 (56)	.44 (19)	1.6 (65)	29% (28)	37% (16)	.5 (19)	7% (108)	2.1 (45)
ODU Defense	13	47% (38)	47% (124)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.31 (93)	1.5 (39)	28% (126)	30% (71)	.24 (36)	6% (70)	2.1 (76)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	14	49% (72)	41% (58)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (30)	1.5 (36)	31% (81)	33% (110)	.43 (117)	7% (29)	2.1 (89)
ODU Offense	13	49% (68)	37% (107)	15.7	27.8	194.8	7	12.4	20 (70)	11 (68)	.15 (112)	1.7 (39)	35% (119)	31% (70)	.3 (79)	5% (37)	2.2 (33)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 0.14 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: 0.14 Old Dominion: -6.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 3.0 Old Dominion: -10.2

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -6.23 #102
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 11.50 #114
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 8.69 #56
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Old Dominion's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Old Dominion's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #97
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

App State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
App State 31
Old Dominion 23

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 26
Old Dominion 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
App State 28
Old Dominion 26

Total Points: 54

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

Old Dominion's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Old Dominion	24	App State	21	Old Dominion -12.5	App State	60.5	Under
2024	11/02	App State	28	Old Dominion	20	Old Dominion -2.5	App State	58.0	Under
2023	10/21	Old Dominion	28	App State	21	Appalachian State -6	Old Dominion	56.0	Under
2022	11/19	App State	27	Old Dominion	14	Appalachian State -16.5	Old Dominion	50.5	Under
2016	09/10	App State	31	Old Dominion	7	Appalachian State -21	App State	54.0	Under
2015	09/26	Old Dominion	0	App State	49	Appalachian State -7	App State	54.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Old Dominion	2	2	0 Overs
App State	4	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 1	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 5	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1

(#58) APP at (#102) ODU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	ODU
Power RatePwr	#58	#102
SP+SP+	#55	#105
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#107
OffenseOff	#28	#131
DefenseDef	#70	#35
Spec TeamsST	#128	#101
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

App State Injury Report

Old Dominion Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	ODU Def
Perf GradePerf	#28	#35
SuccessSuc	#28	#100
ExplosiveExp	#64	#4
PPAPPA	#41	#30
PowerPwr	#38	#56
SP+SP+	#24	#92
Pts POPPO	#77	#46
HavocHav	#73	#56

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#88	#9
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	#60
Run ExplRExp	#83	#2
PPAExp	#99	#11
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	#22
Stuff RateStuff	#56	#42
TackleTak	-	#9

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#38	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	#124
Pass ExplPExl	#65	#39
PPAExp	#19	#93
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#105	#129
F7 HavocF7	#49	#56
DB HavocDB	#108	#70

Old Dominion on Offense


CategoryCat	ODU Off	APP Def
Perf GradePerf	#131	#70
SuccessSuc	#109	#76
ExplosiveExp	#9	#70
PPAPPA	#102	#79
PowerPwr	#114	#51
SP+SP+	#97	#102
Pts POPPO	#117	#17
HavocHav	#122	#26

Old Dominion Run Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#67	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	#92	#93
Run ExplRExp	#4	#113
PPAExp	#58	#112
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#76	#120
Stuff RateStuff	#105	#95
TackleTak	-	#65

Old Dominion Pass Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#26
Pass SuccessPSuc	#107	#58
Pass ExplPExl	#39	#36
PPAExp	#112	#30
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	#34
F7 HavocF7	#131	#40
DB HavocDB	#37	#29

Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
App State 6.0 (56.0)
Old Dominion won vs App State this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Old Dominion last year (28-20)
Old Dominion beat App State in 2023 (28-21)
App State beat Old Dominion in 2022 (27-14)

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	292	459	64%	3754	33	10	8.2
Ryan Burger	7	11	64%	73	1	0	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel	173	825	5	4.8	68
Kanye Roberts	123	696	7	5.7	61
Maquel Haywood (Tr)	60	318	2	5.3	31
Anderson Castle	53	283	2	5.3	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	67	905	10	13.5	52
Christan Horn	36	566	6	15.7	52
Makai Jackson (Tr)	27	418	2	15.5	67
Dalton Stroman	20	390	3	19.5	77

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Parker	109	6	2	4	2
Nicholas Ross	101	4	2	2	4
Caden Sullivan	64	4	1	1	1
Ethan Johnson	55	4	0	0	11

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nate Johnson	42	9	8	5	1
Michael Fletcher (Tr)	22	5	5	8	1
Santana Hopper	33	7	4	3	0
Shawn Collins (Tr)	23	4	3	8	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ethan Johnson	55	4	0	11
Tyrek Funderburk (Tr)	47	3	1	8
E.J. Jackson (Tr)	47	3	0	7

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grant Wilson	178	312	57%	2149	17	8	6.9
Jack Shields	25	47	53%	353	2	3	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kadarius Calloway	88	623	5	7.1	75
Keshawn Wicks	120	588	4	4.9	36
Grant Wilson	130	292	4	2.2	79
Obasanjo Sanni	57	248	1	4.4	67

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Reymello Murphy	28	502	3	17.9	61
Kelby Williams	26	451	2	17.3	78
Isiah Paige	43	445	2	10.3	42
Javon Harvey	29	391	4	13.5	68

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Henderson	165	19	5	5	0
Wayne Matthews III	135	10	4	0	3
Terry Jones	104	4	0	3	4
Shawn Asbury II	95	6	0	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Henderson	165	19	5	5	0
Wayne Matthews III	135	10	4	0	3
Denzel Lowry	46	5	3	1	1
Mario Thompson	43	6	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Rasheed Reason	34	3	0	7
Lamareon James	60	1	0	7
Nolan Johnson	38	1	1	6