App State at UL Monroe Game Matchup

App State Mountaineers at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -13.5 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
App State 41 - UL Monroe: 40 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP 2nd straight Road Game
ULM coming off BYE
APP is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: App State -19 (SP+ APP -25.5)
Projected Score: APP: 36 - ULM: 17 (55)
APP Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
APP Travel: 644 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Warhawks (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (10 - 17)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (27 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.7 - 9.3 (#131)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UL Monroe vs Army	+8.5	47.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UL Monroe vs Lamar	-26.0	48.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/16	UL Monroe at Texas A&M	+36.5	53.5	L 3 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	UL Monroe vs App State	+13.5	50.5	L 40 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+11.0	51.5	L 7 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	UL Monroe at Texas State	+18.5	64.5	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	UL Monroe at Georgia Southern	+16.5	60.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-1.0	55.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/4	UL Monroe at Southern Miss	+3.0	56.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	UL Monroe vs Troy	+23.5	47.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	UL Monroe at Ole Miss	+35.5	59.5	L 3 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+12.5	53.0	L 21 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.25	45%	26.6	48%	3.37	205	42%	250	4.17	.22	41%	32.9	40%	43%	4.1	50.3	0.9	2.1
ULM	.14	39%	21	41%	3.07	121	38%	205	4.13	.24	45%	28.8	45%	46%	4.06	44.8	1.3	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	12	26.6	24.3	45.2%	4.17	0.9	23	455	205	250	5.2	54%	46%	48%	42%	11%	.25
ULM Defense	12	28.8	22.5	45.1%	4.06	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	45%	46%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	12	32.9	39.7	41.4%	4.1	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	43%	17%	.22
ULM Offense	12	21	26.8	39.1%	4.13	1.3	18	326	121	205	3.5	48%	52%	41%	38%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	12	30:35	23	39%	49%	5.5	50.3	0.9	2.1	5.7	2.4	1	32.1
UL Monroe	12	29:28	17.8	40%	36%	4.9	44.8	1.3	0.8	5.8	1.7	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	12	54%	48%	39.5	204.9	5.2	27	.24	3.37	69%	7%	0.99
ULM Defense	12	54%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.16	66%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.95	71%	11%	1.07
ULM Offense	12	48%	41%	34.8	120.6	3.5	16	.12	3.07	68%	12%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	12	46%	42%	18.8	29.8	250.4	8.4	13.3	28	6	.31	1.7	29%	30%	.34	4%	2.2
ULM Defense	12	45%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.33	1.6	33%	34%	.37	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	33%	31%	.43	6%	2.3
ULM Offense	12	52%	38%	18.4	27.6	205.3	7.4	11.2	16	7	.21	1.7	36%	27%	.19	5%	2

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 0.14 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: 0.14 UL Monroe: -17.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 3.0 UL Monroe: -22.5

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -17.47 #132
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 6.82 #131
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 13.52 #108
2023 Talent Rating: 262.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UL Monroe's 2023 Expected Record: 2.70 - 9.30
UL Monroe's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.5 #132
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #117
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #130

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
App State 36
UL Monroe 17

Projected Total Points: 55

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UL Monroe's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	UL Monroe	40	App State	41	App State	Appalachian State -13.5	UL Monroe	50.5	Over
2021	10/30	App State	59	UL Monroe	28	App State	Appalachian State -26.5	App State	57.5	Over
2020	10/31	UL Monroe	13	App State	31	App State	Appalachian State -31.5	UL Monroe	0
2019	10/19	App State	52	UL Monroe	7	App State	Appalachian State -16.5	App State	65.5	Under
2017	11/04	UL Monroe	52	App State	45	UL Monroe	Appalachian State -8	UL Monroe	62.5	Over
2016	11/19	App State	42	UL Monroe	17	App State	Appalachian State -27.5	UL Monroe	52.0	Over
2015	10/17	UL Monroe	14	App State	59	App State	Appalachian State -8.5	App State	47.0	Over
2014	11/08	App State	31	UL Monroe	29	App State	Appalachian State -2	Push	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	1	4	5 Overs
App State	7	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	5 - 2	2 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 5	2 - 5	1 - 3	1 - 2

(#58) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.14 #58
Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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App State Ratings Matchup UL Monroe

Power #58

#132

Off #38

#131

Def #51

#108

Talent #75

#127

SP+ #55

#132

SP+ Off #24

#117

SP+ Def #102

#130

Rematch from Week 5
App State 13.5 (50.5)
App State won at UL Monroe this year (41-40)

Previous Matchups
App State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (41-40)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | ULM
Depth Chart: APP | ULM
Rosters: APP | ULM

(#132) UL Monroe Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -17.47 #132
Offense Rating: 6.82 #131
Defense Rating: 13.52 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.5 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #130
Talent Rating: 262.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.70 - 9.30

Team Profile

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App State's OC Frank Ponce

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ryan Burger	8	19	42%	88	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel	163	818	3	5.0	64
Ahmani Marshall	149	713	7	4.8	29
Maquel Haywood (Tr)	29	148	1	5.1	18
Ryan Burger	17	70	1	4.1	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christan Horn	19	367	1	19.3	83
Eli Wilson	25	292	5	11.7	34
Milan Tucker	13	145	0	11.2	52
Ahmani Marshall	11	71	0	6.5	14

View App State's Full Roster

App State's DC Scott Sloan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caden Sullivan	35	1	0	2	1
Ronald Clarke	30	0	0	1	0
Montez Kelley	26	2	1	0	0
Avarion Cole	24	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Fletcher (Tr)	16	4	4	6	0
Trevor Moffitt	18	4	2	1	0
Kevon Haigler	2	2	1	0	1
Montez Kelley	26	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caden Sullivan	35	1	0	2	1
Omari Philyaw	10	0	0	0	1
Kevon Haigler	2	2	1	0	1

UL Monroe's OC Matt Kubik

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Za'Marion Webber	56	272	0	4.9	28
Alred Luke	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alred Luke	14	194	2	13.9	32
Devaughn Mortimer	3	50	1	16.7	38
Dariyan Wiley	1	8	0	8.0	8
Za'Marion Webber	1	-1	0	-1.0	0

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

UL Monroe's DC Vic Koenning

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Batton	94	8	3	3	0
A.J. Watts	49	8	0	0	5
Max Harris	44	3	1	2	0
Adin Huntington	28	5	4	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adin Huntington	28	5	4	0	1
Michael Batton	94	8	3	3	0
Kenard Snyder	8	2	2	0	0
Joseph Bakhole	5	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
A.J. Watts	49	8	0	5
Lucius Tillery	11	0	0	2
Adin Huntington	28	5	4	1