Marshall at App State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Marshall logo

Marshall Thundering Herd at App State Mountaineers

App State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -3.0 (57.5) (-175)  Open: -3.5 | 55.5
App State 31 - Marshall: 9  (Sun Belt)

 
Thundering Herd (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MRSH 2nd straight Road Game
APP 2nd straight Home Game
APP is playing their 4th straight game
MRSH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: App State -11  (SP+ APP -11)
Projected Score: MRSH: 23 - APP: 34 (58)
APP Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MRSH Travel: 158 miles
Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Marshall's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2Marshall vs UAlbany-22.0W21–1747.5W21–17UN
Sat 9/9Marshall at East Carolina-3.0W31–1343.5W31–13OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/23Marshall vs Virginia Tech-5.5W24–1741.5W24–17UY
Sat 9/30Marshall vs Old Dominion-14.5W41–3547.0W41–35ON
Sat 10/7Marshall at NC State+6.5L41–4844.0L41–48ON
Sat 10/14Marshall at Georgia State+2.0L24–4153.5L24–41ON
Thu 10/19Marshall vs James Madison+5.0L9–2049.0L9–20UN
Sat 10/28Marshall at Coastal Carolina-3.5L6–3447.0L6–34UN
Sat 11/4Marshall at App State+3.0L9–3157.5L9–31UN
Sat 11/11Marshall vs Georgia Southern+1.5W38–3356.5W38–33OY
Sat 11/18Marshall at South Alabama+10.5L0–2844.5L0–28UN
Sat 11/25Marshall vs Arkansas State-2.0W35–2154.0W35–21OY
Tue 12/19Marshall vs UTSA+7.0L17–3547.0L17–35ON
Record: 6–7ATS: 4–9O/U: 7–6Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
App State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2App State vs Gardner-Webb-22.5W45–2451.0W45–24ON
Sat 9/9App State at North Carolina+18.0L34–4058.0L34–40OY
Sat 9/16App State vs East Carolina-7.5W43–2848.5W43–28OY
Sat 9/23App State at Wyoming+3.0L19–2245.0L19–22UY
Sat 9/30App State at UL Monroe-13.5W41–4050.5W41–40ON
— Bye Week —
Tue 10/10App State vs Coastal Carolina-4.5L24–2759.0L24–27UN
Sat 10/21App State at Old Dominion-6.0L21–2856.0L21–28UN
Sat 10/28App State vs Southern Miss-16.0W48–3855.5W48–38ON
Sat 11/4App State vs Marshall-3.0W31–957.5W31–9UY
Sat 11/11App State at Georgia State+2.5W42–1462.5W42–14UY
Sat 11/18App State at James Madison+10.0W26–2356.5W26–23UY
Sat 11/25App State vs Georgia Southern-7.5W55–2762.5W55–27OY
Sat 12/2App State at Troy+6.5L23–4951.5L23–49ON
Sat 12/16App State vs Miami (OH)-6.5W13–941.0W13–9UN
Record: 9–5ATS: 7–7O/U: 7–7Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH.0640%30.843%2.9120536%1922.83-.0530%30.332%29%2.6766.11.52.8
APP.2545%24.248%3.3720542%2504.17.2241%29.840%43%4.150.30.92.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Offense1330.830.240.2%2.831.5213972051924.561%38%43%36%20%.06
APP Defense1229.826.741.4%4.12.1 - - - - - 48%52%40%43%17%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Defense1330.335.829.9%2.672.8 - - - - - 44%55%32%29%24%-.05
APP Offense1224.22745.2%4.170.9234552052505.254%46%48%42%11%.25

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Marshall1331:4920.837%29%7.266.11.52.86.32.8431.4
App State1230:352339%49%5.550.30.92.15.72.4132.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense1361%43%45.8205.24.520.092.9169%14%0.97
APP Defense1248%40% - - - - .132.9571%11%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense1344%32% - - - - .012.662%14%1.07
APP Offense1254%48%39.5204.95.227.243.3769%7%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense1338%36%17.328.21926.811.11610.061.434%25%.126%2
APP Defense1252%43% - - - - - - 7.331.633%31%.436%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense1355%29% - - - - - - 18-.061.739%19%.0210%2.1
APP Offense1246%42%18.829.8250.48.413.3286.311.729%30%.344%2.2

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -5.29  #91
Marshall's Offense Rating: 11.11  #118
Marshall's Defense Rating: 6.26  #33
2023 Talent Rating: 478.59  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Marshall's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
Marshall's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2  #94
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #78
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #96

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.84
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -5.29   App State: 4.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -8.2   App State: 3.0




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 4.07  #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75  #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38  #51
2023 Talent Rating: 517.56  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0  #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.84
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Marshall's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
App State 34
Marshall 23

Projected Total Points: 58
App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22App State26Marshall24Marshall -3.5App State57.5Under
202410/05Marshall52App State37Marshall -3Marshall56.5Over
202311/04App State31Marshall9Appalachian State -3.0App State57.5Under
202211/12Marshall28App State21Appalachian State -2.0Marshall47.5Over
202109/23App State31Marshall30Appalachian State -7Marshall59.0Over
202009/19Marshall17App State7Appalachian State -6Marshall60.5Under
200208/31Marshall50App State17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State323 Overs
Marshall443 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 05 - 12 - 13 - 0
Road Teams0 - 71 - 50 - 31 - 2

(#91) MRSH at (#58) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMRSHAPP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #91 #58
SP+SP+ #94 #55
Perf GradeGrade #63 #40
OffenseOff #112 #28
DefenseDef #13 #70
Spec TeamsST #20 #128
TalentTal #95 #84
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Marshall on Offense
CategoryCat
MRSH OffAPP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #112 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #118 #51
SP+SP+ #78 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Marshall Run Game
CategoryCat
MRSH OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #113 #124
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #65
Marshall Pass Game
CategoryCat
MRSH OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #104 #26
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #40 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCatAPP OffMRSH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #13
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #38 #33
SP+SP+ #24 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffMRSH Def
Run GameRun #88 #12
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #42
App State Pass Game
CategoryCatAPP OffMRSH Def
Pass GamePass #38 #23
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #105 #16
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 54°
Rematch from Week 10
App State -3.0 (57.5)
App State won vs Marshall this year (31-9)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Marshall last year (26-24)
Marshall beat App State in 2024 (52-37)
App State beat Marshall in 2023 (31-9)

  
MRSH's OC Clint Trickett (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher20230866%216211117.0
Cole Pennington6411257%695066.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rasheen Ali2121140155.464
Ethan Payne8333514.064
Cam Fancher12027342.363
Caleb McMillan121121.021
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Harrison28410114.652
DeMarcus Harris24396116.565
Caleb Coombs3931027.924
Caleb McMillan18275215.375

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Neal9311332
J.J. Roberts (Tr)742011
Owen Porter62144132
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)627241
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Burton428780
Elijah Alston45116142
Owen Porter62144132
Michael Green418460
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Abraham3600015
Dyoni Hill5410010
Josh Moten301016

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar29245964%375433108.2
Ryan Burger71164%73106.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel17382554.868
Kanye Roberts12369675.761
Maquel Haywood (Tr)6031825.331
Anderson Castle5328325.329
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson679051013.552
Christan Horn36566615.752
Makai Jackson (Tr)27418215.567
Dalton Stroman20390319.577

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Parker1096242
Nicholas Ross1014224
Caden Sullivan644111
Ethan Johnson5540011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Johnson429851
Michael Fletcher (Tr)225581
Santana Hopper337430
Shawn Collins (Tr)234380
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson5540011
Tyrek Funderburk (Tr)473108
E.J. Jackson (Tr)473007