Marshall at App State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Marshall logo Marshall Thundering Herd at App State MountaineersApp State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -3.0 (57.5) (-175)  Open: -3.5 | 55.5
App State 31 - Marshall: 9  (Sun Belt)

 
Thundering Herd (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MRSH 2nd straight Road Game
APP 2nd straight Home Game
APP is playing their 4th straight game
MRSH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: App State -11   (SP+ APP -11)

Projected Score: MRSH: 23 - APP: 34 (58)
APP Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MRSH Travel: 158 miles
Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (41 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Marshall's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Marshall vs UAlbany-22.047.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 Marshall at East Carolina-3.043.5W 31 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Marshall vs Virginia Tech-5.541.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Marshall vs Old Dominion-14.547.0W 41 - 35ON
Sat 10/7 Marshall at NC State+6.544.0L 41 - 48ON
Sat 10/14 Marshall at Georgia State+2.053.5L 24 - 41ON
Thu 10/19 Marshall vs James Madison+5.049.0L 9 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Marshall at Coastal Carolina-3.547.0L 6 - 34UN
Sat 11/4 Marshall at App State+3.057.5L 9 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Marshall vs Georgia Southern+1.556.5W 38 - 33OY
Sat 11/18 Marshall at South Alabama+10.544.5L 0 - 28UN
Sat 11/25 Marshall vs Arkansas State-2.054.0W 35 - 21OY
Tue 12/19 Marshall vs UTSA+7.047.0L 17 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
App State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 App State vs Gardner-Webb-22.551.0W 45 - 24ON
Sat 9/9 App State at North Carolina+18.058.0L 34 - 40OY
Sat 9/16 App State vs East Carolina-7.548.5W 43 - 28OY
Sat 9/23 App State at Wyoming+3.045.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 App State at UL Monroe-13.550.5W 41 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10 App State vs Coastal Carolina-4.559.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 10/21 App State at Old Dominion-6.056.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 App State vs Southern Miss-16.055.5W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 App State vs Marshall-3.057.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 11/11 App State at Georgia State+2.562.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 App State at James Madison+10.056.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/25 App State vs Georgia Southern-7.562.5W 55 - 27OY
Sat 12/2 App State at Troy+6.551.5L 23 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 App State vs Miami (OH)-6.541.0W 13 - 9UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#101 (.13)39% (108)22.838% (121)2.7 (125)13341% (81)2262.7 (128)#31 (.13)38% (25)28.737% (20)40% (41)3.15 (18)58.92.21.4
APP#41 (.24)46% (28)33.243% (75)3.18 (55)17250% (11)2733.8 (77)#79 (.2)43% (76)2745% (93)41% (58)3.15 (17)40.51.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Offense1322.818.538.7%2.72.2183591332263.848%50%38%41%20%.13
APP Defense142725.542.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 50%49%45%41%18%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Defense1328.732.537.9%3.151.4 - - - - - 48%51%37%40%18%.13
APP Offense1433.24145.6%3.81.6244451722734.551%48%43%50%16%.24

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Marshall1329:2718.231%24%6.558.92.21.46.52.5428.1
App State1431:1523.742%64%4.440.51.61.862.5229.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense1348% (86)38% (121)34.8132.73.821 (54).13 (79)2.7 (125)74% (62)13% (126)1.14 (12)
APP Defense1450% (59)45% (93) - - - - .23 (112)3.41 (120)79% (108)11% (40)1.1 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense1348% (39)37% (20) - - - - .11 (43)2.81 (23)64% (23)11% (43)1.2 (126)
APP Offense1451% (58)43% (75)38.1171.64.523 (46).09 (99)3.18 (55)71% (92)9% (49)0.97 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense1350% (58)41% (81)20.632.7226.26.91112 (113)18 (128).19 (97)1.4 (126)34% (98)26% (105).23 (99)6% (86)2.1 (51)
APP Defense1449% (72)41% (58) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (30)1.5 (36)31% (81)33% (110).43 (117)7% (29)2.1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense1351% (91)40% (41) - - - - - - 13 (26).2 (28)1.6 (74)35% (34)30% (61).27 (46)7% (26)2.2 (107)
APP Offense1448% (75)50% (11)21.433.6273.48.112.834 (9)10 (56).44 (19)1.6 (65)29% (28)37% (16).5 (19)7% (108)2.1 (45)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -5.29 #91
Marshall's Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Marshall's Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Marshall's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
Marshall's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -5.29   App State: 4.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -8.2   App State: 3.0




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 4.07 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Marshall Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.5

Marshall's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
App State 34
Marshall 23


Total Points: 58

App State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Marshall52App State37MarshallMarshall -3Marshall56.5Over
202311/04App State31Marshall9App StateAppalachian State -3.0App State57.5Under
202211/12Marshall28App State21MarshallAppalachian State -2.0Marshall47.5Over
202109/23App State31Marshall30App StateAppalachian State -7Marshall59.0Over
202009/19Marshall17App State7MarshallAppalachian State -6Marshall60.5Under
200208/31Marshall50App State17Marshall
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State213 Overs
Marshall442 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 04 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams0 - 61 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#91) Marshall Info
Power Rating: -5.29 #91
Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10


Marshall has lost 4 straight
Marshall has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Marshall Highlights
Marshall Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Marshall has a really good defense (#108)
Marshall defense is really good in red zone (#121)
Marshall has a good run defense (#98)
Marshall Defensive Line is very good (#57)
Marshall Secondary is very good (#88)
Marshall defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Marshall Deficiencies
Marshall has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Marshall Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Marshall Commits a Lot of Penalties (#85)
Marshall throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Marshall offense is really bad (#136)
Marshall Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#129)
Marshall offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Marshall run game is really bad (#133)
Marshall offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Marshall gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#122)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAPPMRSH
OverallOver#33#51
OffenseOff#25#95
DefenseDef#56#10
Special TeamsST#104#20
PassingPass#30#89
RushingRush#61#81
Run BlockRBLK#29#59
Pass BlockPBLK#89#35
Route RunningWR Rt#13#97
TacklingTkl#56#37
Run DefenseR Def#105#10
Pass Rush DefPRush#29#15
Coverage DefCov#22#20

Rematch from Week 10
App State -3.0 (57.5)
App State won vs Marshall this year (31-9)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat App State last year (52-37)
App State beat Marshall in 2023 (31-9)
Marshall beat App State in 2022 (28-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MRSH | APP
Depth Chart: MRSH | APP
Rosters: MRSH | APP
(#58) App State Info
Power Rating: 4.07 #58
Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50


App State has won 1 straight
App State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

App State Highlights
App State has Really Good Running Game (#63)
App State offense is efficent (#38)
App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

App State defense is really good in red zone (#96)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State commits very few Penalties (#121)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State has a bad defensive line (#32)


  
Marshall's OC Clint Trickett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher20230866%216211117.0
Cole Pennington6411257%695066.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rasheen Ali2121140155.464
Ethan Payne8333514.064
Cam Fancher12027342.363
Caleb McMillan121121.021
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Harrison28410114.652
DeMarcus Harris24396116.565
Caleb Coombs3931027.924
Caleb McMillan18275215.375

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Jason Semore
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Neal9311332
J.J. Roberts (Tr)742011
Owen Porter62144132
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)627241
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Burton428780
Elijah Alston45116142
Owen Porter62144132
Michael Green418460
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Abraham3600015
Dyoni Hill5410010
Josh Moten301016

App State's OC Frank Ponce
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar29245964%375433108.2
Ryan Burger71164%73106.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel17382554.868
Kanye Roberts12369675.761
Maquel Haywood (Tr)6031825.331
Anderson Castle5328325.329
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson679051013.552
Christan Horn36566615.752
Makai Jackson (Tr)27418215.567
Dalton Stroman20390319.577

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC Scott Sloan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Parker1096242
Nicholas Ross1014224
Caden Sullivan644111
Ethan Johnson5540011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Johnson429851
Michael Fletcher (Tr)225581
Santana Hopper337430
Shawn Collins (Tr)234380
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson5540011
Tyrek Funderburk (Tr)473108
E.J. Jackson (Tr)473007