Marshall at App State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Marshall Thundering Herd at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -3.0 (57.5) (-175) Open: -3.5 | 55.5
App State 31 - Marshall: 9 (Sun Belt)

Thundering Herd (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (28 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MRSH 2nd straight Road Game
APP 2nd straight Home Game
APP is playing their 4th straight game
MRSH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: App State -11 (SP+ APP -11)
Projected Score: MRSH: 23 - APP: 34 (57)
APP Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MRSH Travel: 158 miles

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MRSH Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Marshall's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Marshall vs UAlbany	-22.0	47.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Marshall at East Carolina	-3.0	43.5	W 31 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Marshall vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	41.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Marshall vs Old Dominion	-14.5	47.0	W 41 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Marshall at NC State	+6.5	44.0	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/14	Marshall at Georgia State	+2.0	53.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Thu 10/19	Marshall vs James Madison	+5.0	49.0	L 9 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Marshall at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	47.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/4	Marshall at App State	+3.0	57.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Marshall vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	56.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Marshall at South Alabama	+10.5	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Marshall vs Arkansas State	-2.0	54.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Tue 12/19	Marshall vs UTSA	+7.0	47.0	L 17 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	.06	40%	31.8	43%	2.91	205	36%	192	2.83	-.05	30%	23.1	32%	29%	2.67	66.1	1.5	2.8
APP	.25	45%	26.6	48%	3.37	205	42%	250	4.17	.22	41%	32.9	40%	43%	4.1	50.3	0.9	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Offense	13	31.8	28	40.2%	2.83	1.5	21	397	205	192	4.5	61%	38%	43%	36%	20%	.06
APP Defense	12	32.9	24.8	41.4%	4.1	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	43%	17%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Defense	13	23.1	25.4	29.9%	2.67	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	32%	29%	24%	-.05
APP Offense	12	26.6	29.4	45.2%	4.17	0.9	23	455	205	250	5.2	54%	46%	48%	42%	11%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Marshall	13	31:49	20.8	37%	29%	7.2	66.1	1.5	2.8	6.3	2.8	4	31.4
App State	12	30:35	23	39%	49%	5.5	50.3	0.9	2.1	5.7	2.4	1	32.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense	13	61%	43%	45.8	205.2	4.5	20	.09	2.91	69%	14%	0.97
APP Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.95	71%	11%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense	13	44%	32%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.6	62%	14%	1.07
APP Offense	12	54%	48%	39.5	204.9	5.2	27	.24	3.37	69%	7%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense	13	38%	36%	17.3	28.2	192	6.8	11.1	16	10	.06	1.4	34%	25%	.12	6%	2
APP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	33%	31%	.43	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense	13	55%	29%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	-.06	1.7	39%	19%	.02	10%	2.1
APP Offense	12	46%	42%	18.8	29.8	250.4	8.4	13.3	28	6	.31	1.7	29%	30%	.34	4%	2.2

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -5.29 #91
Marshall's Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Marshall's Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
2023 Talent Rating: 436.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Marshall's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
Marshall's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -5.29 App State: 4.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -8.2 App State: 3.0

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 4.07 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.4

Marshall's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
App State 34
Marshall 23

Projected Total Points: 57

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Marshall	52	App State	37	Marshall	Marshall -3	Marshall	56.5	Over
2023	11/04	App State	31	Marshall	9	App State	Appalachian State -3.0	App State	57.5	Under
2022	11/12	Marshall	28	App State	21	Marshall	Appalachian State -2.0	Marshall	47.5	Over
2021	09/23	App State	31	Marshall	30	App State	Appalachian State -7	Marshall	59.0	Over
2020	09/19	Marshall	17	App State	7	Marshall	Appalachian State -6	Marshall	60.5	Under
2002	08/31	Marshall	50	App State	17	Marshall

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	2	1	3 Overs
Marshall	4	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 0	4 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 6	1 - 4	0 - 2	1 - 2

(#91) Marshall Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.29 #91
Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96
Talent Rating: 436.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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Marshall Ratings Matchup App State

Power #91

#58

Off #118

#38

Def #33

#51

Talent #104

#75

SP+ #94

#55

SP+ Off #78

#24

SP+ Def #96

#102

Rematch from Week 10
App State -3.0 (57.5)
App State won vs Marshall this year (31-9)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat App State last year (52-37)
App State beat Marshall in 2023 (31-9)
Marshall beat App State in 2022 (28-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 54°

Team Information
Injuries: MRSH | APP
Depth Chart: MRSH | APP
Rosters: MRSH | APP

(#58) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.07 #58
Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Marshall's OC Clint Trickett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher	126	212	59%	1528	6	6	7.2
Cole Pennington	5	7	71%	57	1	0	8.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Fancher	99	365	3	3.7	76
Ethan Payne	65	323	7	5.0	36
Mason Pierce	2	11	0	5.5	9
Cole Pennington	2	10	0	5.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Pedro	83	889	4	10.7	46
Jayden Harrison	19	211	1	11.1	42
Mason Pierce	27	157	1	5.8	22
Caleb Coombs	8	123	0	15.4	27

View Marshall's Full Roster

Marshall's DC Jason Semore

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.J. Roberts (Tr)	94	5	1	3	12
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	70	3	2	3	1
Dyoni Hill	33	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
Elijah Alston	19	4	3	1	1
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	70	3	2	3	1
J.J. Roberts (Tr)	94	5	1	3	12

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.J. Roberts (Tr)	94	5	1	3	12
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	70	3	2	3	1

App State's OC Frank Ponce

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ryan Burger	8	19	42%	88	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel	163	818	3	5.0	64
Ahmani Marshall	149	713	7	4.8	29
Maquel Haywood (Tr)	29	148	1	5.1	18
Ryan Burger	17	70	1	4.1	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christan Horn	19	367	1	19.3	83
Eli Wilson	25	292	5	11.7	34
Milan Tucker	13	145	0	11.2	52
Ahmani Marshall	11	71	0	6.5	14

View App State's Full Roster

App State's DC Scott Sloan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caden Sullivan	35	1	0	2	1
Ronald Clarke	30	0	0	1	0
Montez Kelley	26	2	1	0	0
Avarion Cole	24	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Fletcher (Tr)	16	4	4	6	0
Trevor Moffitt	18	4	2	1	0
Kevon Haigler	2	2	1	0	1
Montez Kelley	26	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caden Sullivan	35	1	0	2	1
Omari Philyaw	10	0	0	0	1
Kevon Haigler	2	2	1	0	1