Marshall at App State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Marshall Thundering Herd at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -3.0 (57.5) (-175) Open: -3.5 | 55.5
App State 31 - Marshall: 9 (Sun Belt)

Thundering Herd (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MRSH 2nd straight Road Game
APP 2nd straight Home Game
APP is playing their 4th straight game
MRSH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: App State -11 (SP+ APP -11)
Projected Score: MRSH: 24 - APP: 35 (59)
APP Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MRSH Travel: 158 miles

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (41 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MRSH Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Marshall's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Marshall vs UAlbany	-22.0	47.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Marshall at East Carolina	-3.0	43.5	W 31 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Marshall vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	41.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Marshall vs Old Dominion	-14.5	47.0	W 41 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Marshall at NC State	+6.5	44.0	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/14	Marshall at Georgia State	+2.0	53.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Thu 10/19	Marshall vs James Madison	+5.0	49.0	L 9 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Marshall at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	47.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/4	Marshall at App State	+3.0	57.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Marshall vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	56.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Marshall at South Alabama	+10.5	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Marshall vs Arkansas State	-2.0	54.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Tue 12/19	Marshall vs UTSA	+7.0	47.0	L 17 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#101 (.13)	39% (108)	22.8	38% (121)	2.7 (125)	133	41% (81)	226	2.7 (128)	#31 (.13)	38% (25)	28.7	37% (20)	40% (41)	3.15 (18)	58.9	2.2	1.4
APP	#41 (.24)	46% (28)	33.2	43% (75)	3.18 (55)	172	50% (11)	273	3.8 (77)	#79 (.2)	43% (76)	27	45% (93)	41% (58)	3.15 (17)	40.5	1.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#60 (.21)	43% (66)		45% (47)	3.35 (18)	203	40% (88)	181	3.93 (66)	#47 (.13)	40% (46)		43% (75)	37% (21)	3.87 (79)	42.5	0.7	1.5
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Offense	13	22.8	18.5	38.7%	2.7	2.2	18	359	133	226	3.8	48%	50%	38%	41%	20%	.13
APP Defense	14	27	25.5	42.6%	3.15	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	45%	41%	18%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Defense	13	28.7	32.5	37.9%	3.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	40%	18%	.13
APP Offense	14	33.2	41	45.6%	3.8	1.6	24	445	172	273	4.5	51%	48%	43%	50%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Marshall	13	29:27	18.2	31%	24%	6.5	58.9	2.2	1.4	6.5	2.5	4	28.1
App State	14	31:15	23.7	42%	64%	4.4	40.5	1.6	1.8	6	2.5	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense	13	48% (86)	38% (121)	34.8	132.7	3.8	21 (54)	.13 (79)	2.7 (125)	74% (62)	13% (126)	1.14 (12)
APP Defense	14	50% (59)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.23 (112)	3.41 (120)	79% (108)	11% (40)	1.1 (113)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense	13	48% (39)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	.11 (43)	2.81 (23)	64% (23)	11% (43)	1.2 (126)
APP Offense	14	51% (58)	43% (75)	38.1	171.6	4.5	23 (46)	.09 (99)	3.18 (55)	71% (92)	9% (49)	0.97 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense	13	50% (58)	41% (81)	20.6	32.7	226.2	6.9	11	12 (113)	18 (128)	.19 (97)	1.4 (126)	34% (98)	26% (105)	.23 (99)	6% (86)	2.1 (51)
APP Defense	14	49% (72)	41% (58)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (30)	1.5 (36)	31% (81)	33% (110)	.43 (117)	7% (29)	2.1 (89)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense	13	51% (91)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.2 (28)	1.6 (74)	35% (34)	30% (61)	.27 (46)	7% (26)	2.2 (107)
APP Offense	14	48% (75)	50% (11)	21.4	33.6	273.4	8.1	12.8	34 (9)	10 (56)	.44 (19)	1.6 (65)	29% (28)	37% (16)	.5 (19)	7% (108)	2.1 (45)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -5.29 #91
Marshall's Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Marshall's Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Marshall's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
Marshall's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -5.29 App State: 4.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -8.2 App State: 3.0

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 4.07 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.5

Marshall's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
App State 35
Marshall 24

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 37
Marshall 27

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
App State 34
Marshall 24

Total Points: 58

App State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	App State	26	Marshall	24	Marshall -3.5	App State	57.5	Under
2024	10/05	Marshall	52	App State	37	Marshall -3	Marshall	56.5	Over
2023	11/04	App State	31	Marshall	9	Appalachian State -3.0	App State	57.5	Under
2022	11/12	Marshall	28	App State	21	Appalachian State -2.0	Marshall	47.5	Over
2021	09/23	App State	31	Marshall	30	Appalachian State -7	Marshall	59.0	Over
2020	09/19	Marshall	17	App State	7	Appalachian State -6	Marshall	60.5	Under
2002	08/31	Marshall	50	App State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	3	2	3 Overs
Marshall	4	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 0	5 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 7	1 - 5	0 - 3	1 - 2

(#91) MRSH at (#58) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MRSH	APP
Power RatePwr	#91	#58
SP+SP+	#94	#55
Perf GradeGrade	#63	#40
OffenseOff	#112	#28
DefenseDef	#13	#70
Spec TeamsST	#20	#128
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Marshall Injury Report

App State Injury Report

Marshall on Offense


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	APP Def
Perf GradePerf	#112	#70
SuccessSuc	#108	#76
ExplosiveExp	#73	#70
PPAPPA	#101	#79
PowerPwr	#118	#51
SP+SP+	#78	#102
Pts POPPO	#128	#17
HavocHav	#121	#26

Marshall Run Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#113	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	#121	#93
Run ExplRExp	#12	#113
PPAExp	#79	#112
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#120
Stuff RateStuff	#118	#95
TackleTak	-	#65

Marshall Pass Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#26
Pass SuccessPSuc	#81	#58
Pass ExplPExl	#126	#36
PPAExp	#97	#30
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#40	#34
F7 HavocF7	#126	#40
DB HavocDB	#86	#29

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	MRSH Def
Perf GradePerf	#28	#13
SuccessSuc	#28	#25
ExplosiveExp	#64	#121
PPAPPA	#41	#31
PowerPwr	#38	#33
SP+SP+	#24	#96
Pts POPPO	#77	#18
HavocHav	#73	#27

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#88	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	#20
Run ExplRExp	#83	#126
PPAExp	#99	#43
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#56	#40
TackleTak	-	#42

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#38	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	#41
Pass ExplPExl	#65	#74
PPAExp	#19	#28
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#105	#16
F7 HavocF7	#49	#43
DB HavocDB	#108	#26

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
App State -3.0 (57.5)
App State won vs Marshall this year (31-9)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat App State last year (52-37)
App State beat Marshall in 2023 (31-9)
Marshall beat App State in 2022 (28-21)

MRSH's OC Clint Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher	202	308	66%	2162	11	11	7.0
Cole Pennington	64	112	57%	695	0	6	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rasheen Ali	212	1140	15	5.4	64
Ethan Payne	83	335	1	4.0	64
Cam Fancher	120	273	4	2.3	63
Caleb McMillan	1	21	1	21.0	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Harrison	28	410	1	14.6	52
DeMarcus Harris	24	396	1	16.5	65
Caleb Coombs	39	310	2	7.9	24
Caleb McMillan	18	275	2	15.3	75

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elias Neal	93	11	3	3	2
J.J. Roberts (Tr)	74	2	0	1	1
Owen Porter	62	14	4	13	2
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	62	7	2	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Burton	42	8	7	8	0
Elijah Alston	45	11	6	14	2
Owen Porter	62	14	4	13	2
Michael Green	41	8	4	6	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Micah Abraham	36	0	0	15
Dyoni Hill	54	1	0	10
Josh Moten	30	1	1	6

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	292	459	64%	3754	33	10	8.2
Ryan Burger	7	11	64%	73	1	0	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel	173	825	5	4.8	68
Kanye Roberts	123	696	7	5.7	61
Maquel Haywood (Tr)	60	318	2	5.3	31
Anderson Castle	53	283	2	5.3	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	67	905	10	13.5	52
Christan Horn	36	566	6	15.7	52
Makai Jackson (Tr)	27	418	2	15.5	67
Dalton Stroman	20	390	3	19.5	77

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Parker	109	6	2	4	2
Nicholas Ross	101	4	2	2	4
Caden Sullivan	64	4	1	1	1
Ethan Johnson	55	4	0	0	11

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nate Johnson	42	9	8	5	1
Michael Fletcher (Tr)	22	5	5	8	1
Santana Hopper	33	7	4	3	0
Shawn Collins (Tr)	23	4	3	8	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ethan Johnson	55	4	0	11
Tyrek Funderburk (Tr)	47	3	1	8
E.J. Jackson (Tr)	47	3	0	7