App State at James Madison - 2023 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at James Madison Dukes

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
James Madison -10.0 (56.5) (-400) Open: -12.0 | 55.5
App State 26 - James Madison: 23 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP 2nd straight Road Game
JMU 2nd straight Home Game
JMU is playing their 6th straight game
APP is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: James Madison -9 (SP+ JMU -10)
Projected Score: APP: 24 - JMU: 33 (56)
JMU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
APP Travel: 218 miles

Dukes (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (44 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (40 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
JMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

James Madison's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	James Madison vs Bucknell	-47.0	53.5	W 38 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	James Madison at Virginia	-6.0	40.0	W 36 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/16	James Madison at Troy	+2.5	46.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/23	James Madison at Utah State	-5.5	53.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/30	James Madison vs South Alabama	-1.0	48.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	James Madison vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	60.0	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/19	James Madison at Marshall	-5.0	49.0	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/28	James Madison vs Old Dominion	-19.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/4	James Madison at Georgia State	-6.0	53.0	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/11	James Madison vs UConn	-24.5	47.5	W 44 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/18	James Madison vs App State	-10.0	56.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	James Madison at Coastal Carolina	-9.5	50.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/23	James Madison vs Air Force	+2.5	44.5	L 21 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.25	45%	24.2	48%	3.37	205	42%	250	4.17	.22	41%	29.8	40%	43%	4.1	50.3	0.9	2.1
JMU	.21	46%	37.1	45%	3.26	187	48%	265	4.4	.04	29%	18.4	27%	32%	3.53	39.9	1.8	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
JMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	12	24.2	21.6	45.2%	4.17	0.9	23	455	205	250	5.2	54%	46%	48%	42%	11%	.25
JMU Defense	11	18.4	15	29.4%	3.53	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	27%	32%	25%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	12	29.8	37.4	41.4%	4.1	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	43%	17%	.22
JMU Offense	11	37.1	40	45.8%	4.4	1.8	23	452	187	265	4.3	54%	44%	45%	48%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	12	30:35	23	39%	49%	5.5	50.3	0.9	2.1	5.7	2.4	1	32.1
James Madison	11	33:38	22.6	40%	45%	5.1	39.9	1.8	2.8	8.7	3.5	2	33.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	12	54%	48%	39.5	204.9	5.2	27	.24	3.37	69%	7%	0.99
JMU Defense	11	45%	27%	-	-	-	-	-.07	2.06	58%	17%	1.19

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.95	71%	11%	1.07
JMU Offense	11	54%	45%	43.5	187.2	4.3	24	.09	3.26	72%	10%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	12	46%	42%	18.8	29.8	250.4	8.4	13.3	28	6	.31	1.7	29%	30%	.34	4%	2.2
JMU Defense	11	54%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.17	1.9	41%	23%	.25	8%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	33%	31%	.43	6%	2.3
JMU Offense	11	44%	48%	18.2	29.7	265.3	8.9	14.6	27	10	.44	1.6	30%	34%	.37	6%	2

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 0.14 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 517.56 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: 0.14 James Madison: 10.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 3.0 James Madison: 13.3

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 10.78 #48
James Madison's Offense Rating: 17.90 #55
James Madison's Defense Rating: -1.23 #4
2023 Talent Rating: 196.53 #139
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
James Madison's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
James Madison's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #18
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #19
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 33
App State 24

Projected Total Points: 56

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 40
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

James Madison's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	James Madison	58	App State	10	James Madison -21	James Madison	53.5	Over
2024	11/23	App State	34	James Madison	20	James Madison -7.5	App State	57.5	Under
2023	11/18	James Madison	23	App State	26	James Madison -10.0	App State	56.5	Under
2022	09/24	App State	28	James Madison	32	Appalachian State -6	James Madison	57.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
James Madison	2	2	2 Overs
App State	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 1	2 - 1

(#58) APP at (#48) JMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	JMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#58	#48
SP+SP+	#55	#18
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#23
OffenseOff	#28	#46
DefenseDef	#70	#14
Spec TeamsST	#128	#17
TalentTal	#84	#139
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

App State Injury Report

James Madison Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	JMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#28	#14
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#38	#4
SP+SP+	#24	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	JMU Def
Run GameRun	#88	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	JMU Def
Pass GamePass	#38	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#105	#14
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

James Madison on Offense


CategoryCat	JMU Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#70
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#55	#51
SP+SP+	#19	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

James Madison Run Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#110	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#65

James Madison Pass Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#26
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#34
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bridgeforth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
James Madison -10.0 (56.5)
App State won at James Madison this year (26-23)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat App State last year (58-10)
App State beat James Madison in 2024 (34-20)
App State beat James Madison in 2023 (26-23)

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	292	459	64%	3754	33	10	8.2
Ryan Burger	7	11	64%	73	1	0	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel	173	825	5	4.8	68
Kanye Roberts	123	696	7	5.7	61
Maquel Haywood (Tr)	60	318	2	5.3	31
Anderson Castle	53	283	2	5.3	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	67	905	10	13.5	52
Christan Horn	36	566	6	15.7	52
Makai Jackson (Tr)	27	418	2	15.5	67
Dalton Stroman	20	390	3	19.5	77

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Parker	109	6	2	4	2
Nicholas Ross	101	4	2	2	4
Caden Sullivan	64	4	1	1	1
Ethan Johnson	55	4	0	0	11

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nate Johnson	42	9	8	5	1
Michael Fletcher (Tr)	22	5	5	8	1
Santana Hopper	33	7	4	3	0
Shawn Collins (Tr)	23	4	3	8	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ethan Johnson	55	4	0	11
Tyrek Funderburk (Tr)	47	3	1	8
E.J. Jackson (Tr)	47	3	0	7

JMU's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	282	413	68%	3670	35	10	8.9
Alonza Barnett	3	11	27%	15	0	1	1.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaelon Black	142	637	1	4.5	57
Ty Son Lawton	126	568	5	4.5	28
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	96	276	8	2.9	47
Latrele Palmer	32	119	1	3.7	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Sarratt	82	1191	8	14.5	48
Reggie Brown	53	1054	9	19.9	80
Phoenix Sproles	52	442	5	8.5	32
Zach Horton	27	275	6	10.2	66

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Fisher	107	5	2	5	6
Jailin Walker	61	6	2	1	4
Jamree Kromah	58	20	9	4	0
Jacob Thomas	54	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Green	50	22	16	7	1
Jamree Kromah	58	20	9	4	0
Mikail Kamara	51	19	8	5	2
James Carpenter	53	10	4	7	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	51	2	0	0	11
Aiden Fisher	107	5	2	5	6
Jacob Thomas	54	1	0	0	6