App State at James Madison - 2023 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers at James Madison Dukes(#24)James Madison logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
James Madison -10.0 (56.5) (-400)  Open: -12.0 | 55.5
App State 26 - James Madison: 23  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (29 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP 2nd straight Road Game
JMU 2nd straight Home Game
JMU is playing their 6th straight game
APP is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: James Madison -9  (SP+ JMU -10)

Projected Score: APP: 23 - JMU: 32 (55)
JMU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
APP Travel: 218 miles
Dukes (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (44 - 8)
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 App State vs Gardner-Webb-22.551.0W 45 - 24ON
Sat 9/9 App State at North Carolina+18.058.0L 34 - 40OY
Sat 9/16 App State vs East Carolina-7.548.5W 43 - 28OY
Sat 9/23 App State at Wyoming+3.045.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 App State at UL Monroe-13.550.5W 41 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10 App State vs Coastal Carolina-4.559.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 10/21 App State at Old Dominion-6.056.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 App State vs Southern Miss-16.055.5W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 App State vs Marshall-3.057.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 11/11 App State at Georgia State+2.562.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 App State at James Madison+10.056.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/25 App State vs Georgia Southern-7.562.5W 55 - 27OY
Sat 12/2 App State at Troy+6.551.5L 23 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 App State vs Miami (OH)-6.541.0W 13 - 9UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
James Madison's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 James Madison vs Bucknell-47.053.5W 38 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 James Madison at Virginia-6.040.0W 36 - 35ON
Sat 9/16 James Madison at Troy+2.546.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 9/23 James Madison at Utah State-5.553.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/30 James Madison vs South Alabama-1.048.5W 31 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 James Madison vs Georgia Southern-5.560.0W 41 - 13UY
Thu 10/19 James Madison at Marshall-5.049.0W 20 - 9UY
Sat 10/28 James Madison vs Old Dominion-19.548.0W 30 - 27ON
Sat 11/4 James Madison at Georgia State-6.053.0W 42 - 14OY
Sat 11/11 James Madison vs UConn-24.547.5W 44 - 6OY
Sat 11/18 James Madison vs App State-10.056.5L 23 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 James Madison at Coastal Carolina-9.550.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 12/23 James Madison vs Air Force+2.544.5L 21 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#41 (.24)46% (28)33.243% (75)3.18 (55)17250% (11)2733.8 (77)#79 (.2)43% (76)2745% (93)41% (58)3.15 (17)40.51.61.8
JMU#44 (.24)46% (27)34.140% (102)2.75 (121)13352% (7)2863.92 (64)#14 (.09)33% (4)19.529% (1)37% (19)2.86 (9)40.11.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)47% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)34% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1433.229.445.6%3.81.6244451722734.551%48%43%50%16%.24
JMU Defense1319.516.333.2%2.861.6 - - - - - 42%57%29%37%24%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense142730.942.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 50%49%45%41%18%.2
JMU Offense1334.134.545.6%3.921.2214191332863.947%52%40%52%17%.24

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1431:1523.742%64%4.440.51.61.862.5229.3
James Madison1331:1521.237%50%5.540.11.21.68.53.4333.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1451% (58)43% (75)38.1171.64.523 (46).09 (99)3.18 (55)71% (92)9% (49)0.97 (83)
JMU Defense1342% (6)29% (1) - - - - -.04 (8)2.18 (1)61% (10)15% (2)1.13 (117)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1450% (59)45% (93) - - - - .23 (112)3.41 (120)79% (108)11% (40)1.1 (113)
JMU Offense1347% (94)40% (102)34.2133.23.917 (81).03 (121)2.75 (121)57% (131)10% (69)0.89 (114)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1448% (75)50% (11)21.433.6273.48.112.834 (9)10 (56).44 (19)1.6 (65)29% (28)37% (16).5 (19)7% (108)2.1 (45)
JMU Defense1357% (127)37% (19) - - - - - - 13 (26).24 (51)1.7 (115)38% (5)27% (24).28 (48)9% (4)2.1 (77)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1449% (72)41% (58) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (30)1.5 (36)31% (81)33% (110).43 (117)7% (29)2.1 (89)
JMU Offense1352% (43)52% (7)22.233285.88.712.936 (5)11 (68).48 (13)1.5 (90)29% (25)33% (51).38 (51)7% (98)2 (74)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 0.14  #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75  #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38  #51
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0  #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: 0.14   James Madison: 10.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 3.0   James Madison: 13.3




James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 10.78  #48
James Madison's Offense Rating: 17.90  #55
James Madison's Defense Rating: -1.23  #4
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
James Madison's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
James Madison's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #18
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #19
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


App State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 32
App State 23


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
James Madison 29
App State 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
James Madison 32
App State 24

Total Points: 56
James Madison Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.5
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

James Madison's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15James Madison58App State10James Madison -21James Madison53.5Over
202411/23App State34James Madison20James Madison -7.5App State57.5Under
202311/18James Madison23App State26James Madison -10.0App State56.5Under
202209/24App State28James Madison32Appalachian State -6James Madison57.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
James Madison222 Overs
App State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 21 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 20 - 12 - 1

(#58) APP at (#48) JMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPJMU
Power RatePwr #58 #48
SP+SP+ #55 #18
Perf GradeGrade #40 #23
OffenseOff #28 #46
DefenseDef #70 #14
Spec TeamsST #128 #17
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
App State on Offense
CategoryCat
APP OffJMU Def
Perf GradePerf #28 #14
SuccessSuc #28 #4
ExplosiveExp #64 #128
PPAPPA #41 #14
PowerPwr #38 #4
SP+SP+ #24 #37
Pts POPPO #77 #9
HavocHav #73 #1
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffJMU Def
Run GameRun #88 #20
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #1
Run ExplRExp #83 #117
PPAExp #99 #8
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #55 #1
Stuff RateStuff #56 #2
TackleTak -  #84
App State Pass Game
CategoryCat
APP OffJMU Def
Pass GamePass #38 #22
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #19
Pass ExplPExl #65 #115
PPAExp #19 #51
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #105 #14
F7 HavocF7 #49 #2
DB HavocDB #108 #4
James Madison on Offense
CategoryCatJMU OffAPP Def
Perf GradePerf #46 #70
SuccessSuc #27 #76
ExplosiveExp #82 #70
PPAPPA #44 #79
PowerPwr #55 #51
SP+SP+ #19 #102
Pts POPPO #64 #17
HavocHav #84 #26
James Madison Run Game
CategoryCat
JMU OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #110 #124
Run SuccessRSuc #102 #93
Run ExplRExp #114 #113
PPAExp #121 #112
Run BlockR Blk #69 -
OL YdsOLY #121 #120
Stuff RateStuff #132 #95
TackleTak -  #65
James Madison Pass Game
CategoryCatJMU OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #31 #26
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #58
Pass ExplPExl #90 #36
PPAExp #13 #30
Pass Block/RushP Blk #99 #34
F7 HavocF7 #69 #40
DB HavocDB #98 #29
Program Comparison
JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bridgeforth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
James Madison -10.0 (56.5)
App State won at James Madison this year (26-23)

Previous Matchups
App State beat James Madison last year (34-20)
App State beat James Madison in 2023 (26-23)
James Madison beat App State in 2022 (32-28)

  
APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar29245964%375433108.2
Ryan Burger71164%73106.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel17382554.868
Kanye Roberts12369675.761
Maquel Haywood (Tr)6031825.331
Anderson Castle5328325.329
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson679051013.552
Christan Horn36566615.752
Makai Jackson (Tr)27418215.567
Dalton Stroman20390319.577

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Parker1096242
Nicholas Ross1014224
Caden Sullivan644111
Ethan Johnson5540011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Johnson429851
Michael Fletcher (Tr)225581
Santana Hopper337430
Shawn Collins (Tr)234380
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson5540011
Tyrek Funderburk (Tr)473108
E.J. Jackson (Tr)473007

JMU's OC Mike Shanahan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)28241368%367035108.9
Alonza Barnett31127%15011.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaelon Black14263714.557
Ty Son Lawton12656854.528
Jordan McCloud (Tr)9627682.947
Latrele Palmer3211913.713
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Sarratt821191814.548
Reggie Brown531054919.980
Phoenix Sproles5244258.532
Zach Horton27275610.266

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Bryant Haines (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Fisher1075256
Jailin Walker616214
Jamree Kromah5820940
Jacob Thomas541006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Green50221671
Jamree Kromah5820940
Mikail Kamara5119852
James Carpenter5310473
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds5120011
Aiden Fisher1075256
Jacob Thomas541006