Georgia Southern at App State Game Matchup

Georgia Southern Eagles at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -7.5 (62.5) (-375) Open: -7.5
App State 55 - Georgia Southern: 27 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP is playing their 7th straight game
GASO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: App State -10.5 (SP+ APP -7)
Projected Score: GASO: 24 - APP: 35 (58)
APP Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
GASO Travel: 263 miles

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia Southern vs The Citadel	-34.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia Southern vs UAB	-7.0	63.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia Southern at Wisconsin	+20.5	65.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Southern at Ball State	-6.0	60.0	W 40 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	67.5	W 38 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+5.5	60.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-16.5	60.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Thu 10/26	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+1.0	63.0	W 44 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-2.0	69.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia Southern at Marshall	-1.5	56.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	-4.5	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia Southern at App State	+7.5	62.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/16	Georgia Southern vs Ohio	-1.5	48.5	L 21 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.25	46%	28	46%	3.13	137	47%	329	4.15	.25	45%	27.6	49%	42%	3.71	45.8	1.6	1.5
APP	.25	45%	26.6	48%	3.37	205	42%	250	4.17	.22	41%	32.9	40%	43%	4.1	50.3	0.9	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	13	28	25	46%	4.15	1.6	25	467	137	329	4.8	36%	62%	46%	47%	16%	.25
APP Defense	12	32.9	24.8	41.4%	4.1	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	43%	17%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	13	27.6	28.8	45.4%	3.71	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	42%	14%	.25
APP Offense	12	26.6	29.4	45.2%	4.17	0.9	23	455	205	250	5.2	54%	46%	48%	42%	11%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	13	27:40	25.2	46%	57%	5.1	45.8	1.6	1.5	3.8	1.5	2	26.6
App State	12	30:35	23	39%	49%	5.5	50.3	0.9	2.1	5.7	2.4	1	32.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	13	36%	46%	28.5	137.2	4.8	23	.21	3.13	72%	6%	1.03
APP Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.95	71%	11%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.57	69%	7%	1.02
APP Offense	12	54%	48%	39.5	204.9	5.2	27	.24	3.37	69%	7%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	13	62%	47%	28.7	47	329.4	7	11.5	28	16	.32	1.4	29%	36%	.41	11%	2
APP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	33%	31%	.43	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.6	28%	34%	.34	8%	1.9
APP Offense	12	46%	42%	18.8	29.8	250.4	8.4	13.3	28	6	.31	1.7	29%	30%	.34	4%	2.2

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -8.20 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 486.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -8.20 App State: 4.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -4.4 App State: 3.0

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 4.07 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
App State 35
Georgia Southern 24

Projected Total Points: 58

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Georgia Southern	29	App State	20	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -2.5	Georgia Southern	60.5	Under
2023	11/25	App State	55	Georgia Southern	27	App State	Appalachian State -7.5	App State	62.5	Over
2022	11/26	Georgia Southern	51	App State	48	Georgia Southern	Appalachian State -6.5	Georgia Southern	66.0	Over
2021	11/27	App State	27	Georgia Southern	3	App State	Appalachian State -24.5	Georgia Southern	55.0	Under
2020	12/12	Georgia Southern	26	App State	34	App State	Appalachian State -9	Georgia Southern	45.0	Over
2019	10/31	App State	21	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia Southern	Appalachian State -15	Georgia Southern	44.5	Over
2018	10/25	Georgia Southern	34	App State	14	Georgia Southern	Appalachian State -11	Georgia Southern	47.5	Over
2017	11/09	App State	27	Georgia Southern	6	App State	Appalachian State -17.5	App State	51.5	Under
2016	10/27	Georgia Southern	10	App State	34	App State	Appalachian State -4	App State	46.5	Under
2015	10/22	App State	31	Georgia Southern	13	App State	Appalachian State -6	App State	60.0	Under
2014	09/25	Georgia Southern	34	App State	14	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -17	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	6	4	5 Overs
Georgia Southern	5	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 3	8 - 3	5 - 2	3 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 8	3 - 8	1 - 3	2 - 5

(#109) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.20 #109
Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120
Talent Rating: 486.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #68
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Team Profile

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Georgia Southern Ratings Matchup App State

Power #109

#58

Off #69

#38

Def #111

#51

Talent #96

#75

SP+ #80

#55

SP+ Off #40

#24

SP+ Def #120

#102

Rematch from Week 13
App State -7.5 (62.5)
App State won vs Georgia Southern this year (55-27)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat App State last year (29-20)
App State beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (55-27)
Georgia Southern beat App State in 2022 (51-48)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 39°

Team Information
Injuries: GASO | APP
Depth Chart: GASO | APP
Rosters: GASO | APP

(#58) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.07 #58
Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Georgia Southern's OC Bryan Ellis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	164	745	14	4.5	49
Derwin Burgess Jr.	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.	59	659	3	11.2	48
Beau Johnson	9	71	1	7.9	16
Jalen White	20	69	0	3.5	17
Parker Self	1	22	0	22.0	22

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore (Tr)	62	5	3	4	1
TJ Smith (Tr)	28	1	0	0	0
Cameron Williams (Tr)	26	3	1	0	1
Reid Dedman (Tr)	25	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore (Tr)	62	5	3	4	1
Cameron Williams (Tr)	26	3	1	0	1
Kristian Varner	6	2	1	2	0
TJ Smith (Tr)	28	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore (Tr)	62	5	3	4	1
Cameron Williams (Tr)	26	3	1	0	1
TJ Smith (Tr)	28	1	0	0	0

App State's OC Frank Ponce

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ryan Burger	8	19	42%	88	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel	163	818	3	5.0	64
Ahmani Marshall	149	713	7	4.8	29
Maquel Haywood (Tr)	29	148	1	5.1	18
Ryan Burger	17	70	1	4.1	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christan Horn	19	367	1	19.3	83
Eli Wilson	25	292	5	11.7	34
Milan Tucker	13	145	0	11.2	52
Ahmani Marshall	11	71	0	6.5	14

View App State's Full Roster

App State's DC Scott Sloan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caden Sullivan	35	1	0	2	1
Ronald Clarke	30	0	0	1	0
Montez Kelley	26	2	1	0	0
Avarion Cole	24	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Fletcher (Tr)	16	4	4	6	0
Trevor Moffitt	18	4	2	1	0
Kevon Haigler	2	2	1	0	1
Montez Kelley	26	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caden Sullivan	35	1	0	2	1
Omari Philyaw	10	0	0	0	1
Kevon Haigler	2	2	1	0	1