Georgia Southern at App State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Georgia Southern logo Georgia Southern Eagles at App State MountaineersApp State logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -7.5 (62.5) (-375)  Open: -7.5
App State 55 - Georgia Southern: 27  (Sun Belt)

 
Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (25 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP is playing their 7th straight game
GASO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: App State -10.5   (SP+ APP -7)

Projected Score: GASO: 26 - APP: 36 (62)
APP Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
GASO Travel: 263 miles
Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (41 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Georgia Southern vs The Citadel-34.053.5W 34 - 0UN
Sat 9/9 Georgia Southern vs UAB-7.063.0W 49 - 35OY
Sat 9/16 Georgia Southern at Wisconsin+20.565.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/23 Georgia Southern at Ball State-6.060.0W 40 - 3UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina-6.067.5W 38 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Georgia Southern at James Madison+5.560.0L 13 - 41UN
Sat 10/21 Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe-16.560.5W 38 - 28ON
Thu 10/26 Georgia Southern vs Georgia State+1.063.0W 44 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Georgia Southern at Texas State-2.069.0L 24 - 45UN
Sat 11/11 Georgia Southern at Marshall-1.556.5L 33 - 38ON
Sat 11/18 Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion-4.561.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/25 Georgia Southern at App State+7.562.5L 27 - 55ON
Sat 12/16 Georgia Southern vs Ohio-1.548.5L 21 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule
App State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 App State vs Gardner-Webb-22.551.0W 45 - 24ON
Sat 9/9 App State at North Carolina+18.058.0L 34 - 40OY
Sat 9/16 App State vs East Carolina-7.548.5W 43 - 28OY
Sat 9/23 App State at Wyoming+3.045.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 App State at UL Monroe-13.550.5W 41 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10 App State vs Coastal Carolina-4.559.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 10/21 App State at Old Dominion-6.056.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 App State vs Southern Miss-16.055.5W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 App State vs Marshall-3.057.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 11/11 App State at Georgia State+2.562.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 App State at James Madison+10.056.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/25 App State vs Georgia Southern-7.562.5W 55 - 27OY
Sat 12/2 App State at Troy+6.551.5L 23 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 App State vs Miami (OH)-6.541.0W 13 - 9UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#55 (.21)45% (32)30.248% (21)3.13 (64)11745% (40)3023.64 (88)#118 (.27)45% (107)30.545% (94)45% (115)4.45 (123)51.82.41.6
APP#41 (.24)46% (28)33.243% (75)3.18 (55)17250% (11)2733.8 (77)#79 (.2)43% (76)2745% (93)41% (58)3.15 (17)40.51.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)46% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)47% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Offense1330.225.245.3%3.642.423419117302435%64%48%45%17%.21
APP Defense142725.542.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 50%49%45%41%18%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Defense1330.536.244.9%4.451.6 - - - - - 49%50%45%45%22%.27
APP Offense1433.24145.6%3.81.6244451722734.551%48%43%50%16%.24

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Southern1331:0623.146%59%5.851.82.41.671.8430.8
App State1431:1523.742%64%4.440.51.61.862.5229.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Offense1335% (130)48% (21)29117.1416 (89).23 (25)3.13 (64)78% (35)10% (63)1.05 (41)
APP Defense1450% (59)45% (93) - - - - .23 (112)3.41 (120)79% (108)11% (40)1.1 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Defense1349% (55)45% (94) - - - - .25 (122)3.16 (85)72% (59)14% (7)1.13 (116)
APP Offense1451% (58)43% (75)38.1171.64.523 (46).09 (99)3.18 (55)71% (92)9% (49)0.97 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Offense1364% (4)45% (40)28.944.4302.26.810.526 (31)20 (133).26 (74)1.4 (131)30% (41)34% (35).41 (42)8% (114)2.1 (62)
APP Defense1449% (72)41% (58) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (30)1.5 (36)31% (81)33% (110).43 (117)7% (29)2.1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Defense1350% (81)45% (115) - - - - - - 13 (26).3 (89)1.5 (32)31% (96)35% (120).49 (127)9% (5)2.1 (81)
APP Offense1448% (75)50% (11)21.433.6273.48.112.834 (9)10 (56).44 (19)1.6 (65)29% (28)37% (16).5 (19)7% (108)2.1 (45)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -8.20 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -8.20   App State: 4.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -4.4   App State: 3.0




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 4.07 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
App State 36
Georgia Southern 26


Total Points: 62

App State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Georgia Southern29App State20Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -2.5Georgia Southern60.5Under
202311/25App State55Georgia Southern27App StateAppalachian State -7.5App State62.5Over
202211/26Georgia Southern51App State48Georgia SouthernAppalachian State -6.5Georgia Southern66.0Over
202111/27App State27Georgia Southern3App StateAppalachian State -24.5Georgia Southern55.0Under
202012/12Georgia Southern26App State34App StateAppalachian State -9Georgia Southern45.0Over
201910/31App State21Georgia Southern24Georgia SouthernAppalachian State -15Georgia Southern44.5Over
201810/25Georgia Southern34App State14Georgia SouthernAppalachian State -11Georgia Southern47.5Over
201711/09App State27Georgia Southern6App StateAppalachian State -17.5App State51.5Under
201610/27Georgia Southern10App State34App StateAppalachian State -4App State46.5Under
201510/22App State31Georgia Southern13App StateAppalachian State -6App State60.0Under
201409/25Georgia Southern34App State14Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -17Georgia Southern0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State645 Overs
Georgia Southern575 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 38 - 35 - 23 - 1
Road Teams3 - 83 - 81 - 32 - 5

(#109) Georgia Southern Info
Power Rating: -8.20 #109
Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #68
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70


Georgia Southern has lost 3 straight
Georgia Southern has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Georgia Southern Highlights
Georgia Southern offense is good on 3rd downs
Georgia Southern Front 7 is disruptive (#132)
Georgia Southern Secondary is very good (#116)
Georgia Southern defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Georgia Southern Deficiencies
Georgia Southern has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Georgia Southern Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Georgia Southern Can Not Run the Ball (#75)
Georgia Southern throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Georgia Southern Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#48)
Georgia Southern has a bad defense (#136)
Georgia Southern has a bad red zone defense (#125)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAPPGASO
OverallOver#33#61
OffenseOff#25#67
DefenseDef#56#62
Special TeamsST#104#41
PassingPass#30#46
RushingRush#61#46
Run BlockRBLK#29#80
Pass BlockPBLK#89#31
Route RunningWR Rt#13#64
TacklingTkl#56#43
Run DefenseR Def#105#57
Pass Rush DefPRush#29#81
Coverage DefCov#22#63

Rematch from Week 13
App State -7.5 (62.5)
App State won vs Georgia Southern this year (55-27)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat App State last year (29-20)
App State beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (55-27)
Georgia Southern beat App State in 2022 (51-48)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GASO | APP
Depth Chart: GASO | APP
Rosters: GASO | APP
(#58) App State Info
Power Rating: 4.07 #58
Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50


App State has won 4 straight
App State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

App State Highlights
App State has Really Good Running Game (#63)
App State offense is efficent (#38)
App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

App State defense is really good in red zone (#96)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State commits very few Penalties (#121)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State has a bad defensive line (#32)


  
Georgia Southern's OC Bryan Ellis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Brin (Tr)36255266%378124196.8
JC French (Tr)131681%122117.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen White16088995.645
OJ Arnold7541145.539
David Mbadinga2211225.129
Dalen Cobb75107.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Khaleb Hood10194859.443
Derwin Burgess Jr.74813611.068
Dalen Cobb40601215.076
Jjay Mcafee37378410.232

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Watson-Trent11613422
Tyrell Davis655003
Khadry Jackson576122
Marc Stampley II563103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Walker249637
Elhadj Fall195411
Marques Watson-Trent11613422
Da'Shawn Davis258320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shemar Bartholomew3830014
Damel Hickman (Tr)362017
Isaac Walker249637

App State's OC Frank Ponce
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar29245964%375433108.2
Ryan Burger71164%73106.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel17382554.868
Kanye Roberts12369675.761
Maquel Haywood (Tr)6031825.331
Anderson Castle5328325.329
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson679051013.552
Christan Horn36566615.752
Makai Jackson (Tr)27418215.567
Dalton Stroman20390319.577

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC Scott Sloan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Parker1096242
Nicholas Ross1014224
Caden Sullivan644111
Ethan Johnson5540011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Johnson429851
Michael Fletcher (Tr)225581
Santana Hopper337430
Shawn Collins (Tr)234380
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson5540011
Tyrek Funderburk (Tr)473108
E.J. Jackson (Tr)473007