Gardner-Webb at App State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Gardner-Webb Bulldogs at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -22.5 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
App State 45 - Gardner-Webb: 24

Bulldogs (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 12 - 45 (12 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: App State -4 (SP+ APP -3)
APP Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (41 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WEBB Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Gardner-Webb's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Gardner-Webb at App State	+22.5	51.0	L 24 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Gardner-Webb at East Carolina	+13.0	51.0	L 0 - 44	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Gardner-Webb's Schedule

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WEBB		0%	12	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	44.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP	#41 (.24)	46% (28)	33.2	43% (75)	3.18 (55)	172	50% (11)	273	3.8 (77)	#79 (.2)	43% (76)	27	45% (93)	41% (58)	3.15 (17)	40.5	1.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WEBB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WEBB Offense	2	12	12	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
APP Defense	14	27	25.5	42.6%	3.15	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	45%	41%	18%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WEBB Defense	2	44.5	44.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
APP Offense	14	33.2	41	45.6%	3.8	1.6	24	445	172	273	4.5	51%	48%	43%	50%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Gardner-Webb	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
App State	14	31:15	23.7	42%	64%	4.4	40.5	1.6	1.8	6	2.5	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WEBB Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
APP Defense	14	50% (59)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.23 (112)	3.41 (120)	79% (108)	11% (40)	1.1 (113)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WEBB Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
APP Offense	14	51% (58)	43% (75)	38.1	171.6	4.5	23 (46)	.09 (99)	3.18 (55)	71% (92)	9% (49)	0.97 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WEBB Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
APP Defense	14	49% (72)	41% (58)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (30)	1.5 (36)	31% (81)	33% (110)	.43 (117)	7% (29)	2.1 (89)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WEBB Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
APP Offense	14	48% (75)	50% (11)	21.4	33.6	273.4	8.1	12.8	34 (9)	10 (56)	.44 (19)	1.6 (65)	29% (28)	37% (16)	.5 (19)	7% (108)	2.1 (45)

Gardner-Webb's Power Ratings
Gardner-Webb's Power Rating: NR
Gardner-Webb's Offense Rating: NR
Gardner-Webb's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #177
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Gardner-Webb's 2023 Expected Record: -
Gardner-Webb's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Gardner-Webb's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Gardner-Webb's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big South Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Gardner-Webb: App State: 4.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Gardner-Webb: App State: 3.0

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 4.07 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Gardner-Webb Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 44.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.5

Gardner-Webb's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
App State 28
Gardner-Webb 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 29
Gardner-Webb 20

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
App State 41
Gardner-Webb 19

Total Points: 60

App State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	App State	45	Gardner-Webb	24	Appalachian State -22.5	Gardner-Webb	51.0	Over
2018	09/22	App State	72	Gardner-Webb	7	Appalachian State -45	App State	56.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	2	1	2 Overs
Gardner-Webb	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#NR) WEBB at (#58) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WEBB	APP
Power RatePwr	NR	#58
SP+SP+	NR	#55
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#40
OffenseOff	NR	#28
DefenseDef	NR	#70
Spec TeamsST	NR	#128
TalentTal	#177	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Gardner-Webb Injury Report

App State Injury Report

Gardner-Webb on Offense


CategoryCat	WEBB Off	APP Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#70
SuccessSuc	NR	#76
ExplosiveExp	NR	#70
PPAPPA	NR	#79
PowerPwr	NR	#51
SP+SP+	NR	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	#17
HavocHav	NR	#26

Gardner-Webb Run Game


CategoryCat	WEBB Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#93
Run ExplRExp	NR	#113
PPAExp	NR	#112
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#120
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#95
TackleTak	-	#65

Gardner-Webb Pass Game


CategoryCat	WEBB Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#26
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#58
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#36
PPAExp	NR	#30
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#34
F7 HavocF7	NR	#40
DB HavocDB	NR	#29

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	WEBB Def
Perf GradePerf	#28	NR
SuccessSuc	#28	NR
ExplosiveExp	#64	NR
PPAPPA	#41	NR
PowerPwr	#38	NR
SP+SP+	#24	NR
Pts POPPO	#77	NR
HavocHav	#73	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	WEBB Def
Run GameRun	#88	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	NR
Run ExplRExp	#83	NR
PPAExp	#99	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#56	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	WEBB Def
Pass GamePass	#38	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#65	NR
PPAExp	#19	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#105	NR
F7 HavocF7	#49	NR
DB HavocDB	#108	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WEBB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
App State -22.5 (51.0)
App State won vs Gardner-Webb this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Gardner-Webb in 2023 (45-24)

WEBB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matthew Caldwell	141	224	63%	1608	13	8	7.2
Jaylen King	116	221	53%	1536	9	11	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Brown	98	578	2	5.9	52
Jaylen King	105	422	5	4.0	57
Matthew Caldwell	48	47	5	1.0	15
Ephraim Floyd	8	39	0	4.9	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
AJ Johnson	40	662	6	16.6	75
Hakeem Meggett	21	427	2	20.3	68
Karim Page	30	373	0	12.4	36
Ephraim Floyd	22	326	2	14.8	34

View Gardner-Webb's Full Roster

WEBB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Jackson	77	16	2	2	3
Brice Bass	43	7	3	7	1
Ty French	22	3	0	3	1
Charlie Jackson	21	4	0	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brice Bass	43	7	3	7	1
Brendan Jackson	77	16	2	2	3
Ja'Kai Young	1	0	0	0	0
Jecari Bryson	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Jackson	77	16	2	2	3
Charlie Jackson	21	4	0	2	2
Tray Dunson	16	1	0	1	2

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	292	459	64%	3754	33	10	8.2
Ryan Burger	7	11	64%	73	1	0	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel	173	825	5	4.8	68
Kanye Roberts	123	696	7	5.7	61
Maquel Haywood (Tr)	60	318	2	5.3	31
Anderson Castle	53	283	2	5.3	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	67	905	10	13.5	52
Christan Horn	36	566	6	15.7	52
Makai Jackson (Tr)	27	418	2	15.5	67
Dalton Stroman	20	390	3	19.5	77

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Parker	109	6	2	4	2
Nicholas Ross	101	4	2	2	4
Caden Sullivan	64	4	1	1	1
Ethan Johnson	55	4	0	0	11

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nate Johnson	42	9	8	5	1
Michael Fletcher (Tr)	22	5	5	8	1
Santana Hopper	33	7	4	3	0
Shawn Collins (Tr)	23	4	3	8	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ethan Johnson	55	4	0	11
Tyrek Funderburk (Tr)	47	3	1	8
E.J. Jackson (Tr)	47	3	0	7