UAB at Navy - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
UAB -3.5 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Navy 31 - UAB: 6 (American Athletic)

Blazers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Trent Dilfer (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Navy -1.5 (SP+ NAVY -1)
Projected Score: UAB: 27 - NAVY: 29 (57)
UAB Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UAB Travel: 686 miles, 1 hrs behind

Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
NAVY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UAB vs North Carolina A&T	-24.5	46.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UAB at Georgia Southern	+7.0	63.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/16	UAB vs Louisiana	-2.0	60.0	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	UAB at Georgia	+40.0	56.0	L 21 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UAB at Tulane	+22.5	59.5	L 23 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/7	UAB vs South Florida	+3.5	68.5	W 56 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UAB at UTSA	+9.0	67.0	L 20 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	UAB vs Memphis	+7.5	61.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	UAB vs Florida Atlantic	-1.0	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	UAB at Navy	-3.5	52.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	UAB vs Temple	-8.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UAB at North Texas	+3.0	72.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Navy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Navy vs Notre Dame	+20.5	49.0	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/9	Navy vs Wagner	-43.5	49.0	W 24 - 0	U	N
Thu 9/14	Navy at Memphis	+12.5	47.0	L 24 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Navy vs South Florida	-4.0	54.0	L 30 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/7	Navy vs North Texas	-6.5	60.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Navy at Charlotte	-3.5	44.0	W 14 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Navy vs Air Force	+11.0	34.0	L 6 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Navy at Temple	-7.0	46.0	L 18 - 32	O	N
Sat 11/11	Navy vs UAB	+3.5	52.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Navy vs East Carolina	-2.5	30.5	W 10 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Navy at SMU	+20.0	46.0	L 14 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9	Navy vs Army	+2.0	28.0	L 11 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	.32	46%	26.2	48%	3.33	235	44%	203	4.05	.17	43%	34.3	48%	40%	3.25	60.5	1.4	1.5
NAVY	.15	37%	31.3	39%	2.99	241	29%	86	3.56	.24	39%	22.2	34%	43%	3.72	31.3	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NAVY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	13	26.2	18.8	46%	4.05	1.4	21	438	235	203	5.8	60%	40%	48%	44%	16%	.32
NAVY Defense	12	22.2	25.6	38.6%	3.72	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	34%	43%	25%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	13	34.3	38.3	43.4%	3.25	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	48%	40%	17%	.17
NAVY Offense	12	31.3	38.8	36.7%	3.56	1.3	18	327	241	86	4.1	82%	17%	39%	29%	14%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	13	31:55	21.2	45%	48%	7	60.5	1.4	1.5	4.7	1.9	3	29.3
Navy	12	34:37	17.6	38%	62%	3.8	31.3	1.3	1.7	6.1	2.8	0	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	13	60%	48%	40.6	235.1	5.8	32	.3	3.33	73%	11%	1.15
NAVY Defense	12	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.6	69%	17%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	13	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.31	78%	9%	1.03
NAVY Offense	12	82%	39%	59	241.2	4.1	22	.16	2.99	75%	12%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	13	40%	44%	14.9	24.7	203.2	8.2	13.6	15	7	.41	1.8	31%	35%	.45	4%	2.3
NAVY Defense	12	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.5	1.9	36%	32%	.47	8%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.12	1.5	30%	29%	.14	8%	1.9
NAVY Offense	12	17%	29%	4.5	10.5	85.8	8.2	19.1	9	6	.2	2.6	33%	27%	.32	3%	2.1

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -5.80 #96
UAB's Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
UAB's Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
2023 Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UAB's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
UAB's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -5.80 Navy: -9.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.2 Navy: -13.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.22 #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
2023 Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

UAB's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Navy 29
UAB 27

Projected Total Points: 57

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	UAB	18	Navy	41	Navy	Navy -4.5	Navy	56.5	Over
2023	11/11	Navy	31	UAB	6	Navy	UAB -3.5	Navy	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Navy	2	2	1 Overs
UAB	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0

(#96) UAB Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.80 #96
Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132
Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile

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UAB Ratings Matchup Navy

Power #96

#116

Off #18

#126

Def #126

#30

Talent #120

#88

SP+ #118

#114

SP+ Off #65

#124

SP+ Def #132

#72

Rematch from Week 11
UAB 3.5 (52.5)
Navy won vs UAB this year (31-6)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat UAB last year (41-18)
Navy beat UAB in 2023 (31-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 53°

Team Information
Injuries: UAB | NAVY
Depth Chart: UAB | NAVY
Rosters: UAB | NAVY

(#116) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.22 #116
Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Team Profile

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UAB's OC Alex Mortensen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lee Witherspoon	35	166	0	4.7	15
Taven Curry	32	153	0	4.8	15
Samario Rudolph	2	13	0	6.5	10
Terrell McDonald	5	9	1	1.8	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Holt-Bennett (Tr)	16	241	1	15.1	71
Terrell McDonald	15	202	0	13.5	67
Fred Farrier II	13	126	0	9.7	20
Samario Rudolph	6	54	0	9.0	22

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sirad Bryant	59	1	0	0	0
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4
Desmond Little	40	10	6	7	3
Mac McWilliams	32	7	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Little	40	10	6	7	3
Tyler Thomas	19	4	3	0	0
Kendall Johnson	18	4	2	2	0
Mac McWilliams	32	7	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Colby Dempsey	22	2	0	11
Brian Mayes	27	0	0	5
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	1	4

Navy's OC Grant Chesnut

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daba Fofana	60	263	2	4.4	49
Amin Hassan	14	46	0	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	YPC	LONG
Amin Hassan	3	34	11.3	23
Thomas Scully	1	20	20.0	20
Daba Fofana	1	3	3.0	3

View Navy's Full Roster

Navy's DC P.J. Volker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Ramos	129	9	3	4	2
Kyle Jacob	102	5	1	2	2
Rayuan Lane	70	1	0	0	4
Mbiti Williams Jr.	59	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Reed	49	11	6	4	1
Colin Ramos	129	9	3	4	2
Dashaun Peele	45	4	2	0	5
Kyle Jacob	102	5	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elias Larry	38	3	0	1	9
Dashaun Peele	45	4	2	0	5
Rayuan Lane	70	1	0	0	4