Navy at Charlotte - 2023 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at Charlotte 49ers  Charlotte logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Navy -3.5 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 14 - Charlotte: 0  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CHAR coming off BYE
Our Line: Navy -3.5  (SP+ NAVY -8)
Projected Score: NAVY: 26 - CHAR: 23 (49)
NAVY Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 345 miles
49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+20.549.0L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Wagner-43.549.0W 24 - 0UN
Thu 9/14 Navy at Memphis+12.547.0L 24 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Navy vs South Florida-4.054.0L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/7 Navy vs North Texas-6.560.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Navy at Charlotte-3.544.0W 14 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs Air Force+11.034.0L 6 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Navy at Temple-7.046.0L 18 - 32ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs UAB+3.552.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 Navy vs East Carolina-2.530.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Navy at SMU+20.046.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army+2.028.0L 11 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Charlotte vs South Carolina State-24.044.5W 24 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Charlotte at Maryland+24.550.0L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/16 Charlotte vs Georgia State+6.552.0L 25 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Charlotte at Florida+28.048.5L 7 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 Charlotte at SMU+22.553.0L 16 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Charlotte vs Navy+3.544.0L 0 - 14UN
Sat 10/21 Charlotte at East Carolina+6.039.5W 10 - 7UY
Fri 10/27 Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic+3.545.5L 16 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Charlotte at Tulsa+4.547.5W 33 - 26OY
Sat 11/11 Charlotte vs Memphis+9.551.5L 38 - 44OY
Sat 11/18 Charlotte vs Rice-0.546.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/25 Charlotte at South Florida+7.556.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.1537%31.539%2.9924129%863.56.2439%2534%43%3.7231.31.31.7
CHAR.1647%14.347%3.1911649%2714.07.3549%36.348%51%4.1158.51.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1231.525.836.7%3.561.318327241864.182%17%39%29%14%.15
CHAR Defense1236.335.748.7%4.111.3 - - - - - 56%42%48%51%13%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense122530.238.6%3.721.7 - - - - - 50%50%34%43%25%.24
CHAR Offense1214.317.247%4.071.8213871162713.742%56%47%49%17%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1234:3717.638%62%3.831.31.31.76.12.8028.3
Charlotte1229:3221.240%35%6.758.51.81.34.91.4030.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1282%39%59241.24.122.162.9975%12%1.15
CHAR Defense1256%48% - - - - .253.2973%9%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1250%34% - - - - .012.669%17%1.03
CHAR Offense1242%47%30.9115.83.713.093.1966%10%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1217%29%4.510.585.88.219.196.22.633%27%.323%2.1
CHAR Defense1242%51% - - - - - - 9.561.727%37%.744%2.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 8.51.936%32%.478%2.3
CHAR Offense1256%49%21.435.8271.27.612.72714.311.529%33%.418%2.2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.54  #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74  #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60  #30
2023 Talent Rating: 30.00  #212
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9  #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -9.54   Charlotte: -15.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -13.9   Charlotte: -22.1




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -15.34  #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97  #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44  #77
2023 Talent Rating: 554.96  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1  #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 26
Charlotte 23

Projected Total Points: 49
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Navy51Charlotte17Navy -16.5Navy57.5Over
202310/14Charlotte0Navy14Navy -3.5Navy44.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte001 Overs
Navy221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#116) NAVY at (#128) CHAR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYCHAR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #116 #128
SP+SP+ #114 #130
Perf GradeGrade #105 #120
OffenseOff #114 #124
DefenseDef #64 #88
Spec TeamsST #49 #29
TalentTal #212 #79
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffCHAR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #114 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #126 #77
SP+SP+ #124 #113
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffCHAR Def
Run GameRun #125 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #19 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #83
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePass #127 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #136 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Charlotte on Offense
CategoryCatCHAR OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #124 #64
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #130 #30
SP+SP+ #128 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Charlotte Run Game
CategoryCat
CHAR OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #111 #62
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #89
Charlotte Pass Game
CategoryCatCHAR OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #128 #88
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #120 #88
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Navy 3.5 (44.0)
Navy won at Charlotte this year (14-0)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Charlotte in 2024 (51-17)
Navy beat Charlotte in 2023 (14-0)

  
NAVY's OC Grant Chesnut (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tai Lavatai5610155%701526.9
Xavier Arline234452%320227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Tecza12675856.075
Daba Fofana7228333.920
Xavier Arline7725723.350
Tai Lavatai7524523.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich19382420.169
Brandon Chatman19254013.458
Jayden Umbarger14145110.422
Alex Tecza169706.116

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos948264
Will Harbour768340
Rayuan Lane623117
Mbiti Williams Jr.550003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed448551
Landon Robinson285410
Luke Pirris529413
Will Harbour768340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rayuan Lane623117
Colin Ramos948264
Dashaun Peele321004

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trexler Ivey11220355%12634106.2
Jalon Jones6710962%646245.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalon Jones11047644.358
Terron Kellman8232814.018
Hahsaun Wilson5432236.034
Shadrick Byrd6021103.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jairus Mack25453218.151
Colin Weber34362010.645
Jack Hestera28349312.537
Duane Thomas Jr.24244010.251

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demetrius Knight II896204
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Eyabi Anoma4810691
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eyabi Anoma4810691
Demon Clowney314340
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Jaren Handy276211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Demetrius Knight II896204
Dontez Fagan213004