Navy at Charlotte - 2023 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Charlotte 49ersCharlotte logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Navy -3.5 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 14 - Charlotte: 0  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CHAR coming off BYE
Our Line: Navy -3.5   (SP+ NAVY -8)

Projected Score: NAVY: 26 - CHAR: 23 (56)
NAVY Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 345 miles
49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+20.549.0L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Wagner-43.549.0W 24 - 0UN
Thu 9/14 Navy at Memphis+12.547.0L 24 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Navy vs South Florida-4.054.0L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/7 Navy vs North Texas-6.560.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Navy at Charlotte-3.544.0W 14 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs Air Force+11.034.0L 6 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Navy at Temple-7.046.0L 18 - 32ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs UAB+3.552.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 Navy vs East Carolina-2.530.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Navy at SMU+20.046.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army+2.028.0L 11 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Charlotte vs South Carolina State-24.044.5W 24 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Charlotte at Maryland+24.550.0L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/16 Charlotte vs Georgia State+6.552.0L 25 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Charlotte at Florida+28.048.5L 7 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 Charlotte at SMU+22.553.0L 16 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Charlotte vs Navy+3.544.0L 0 - 14UN
Sat 10/21 Charlotte at East Carolina+6.039.5W 10 - 7UY
Fri 10/27 Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic+3.545.5L 16 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Charlotte at Tulsa+4.547.5W 33 - 26OY
Sat 11/11 Charlotte vs Memphis+9.551.5L 38 - 44OY
Sat 11/18 Charlotte vs Rice-0.546.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/25 Charlotte at South Florida+7.556.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.1537%31.339%2.9924129%863.56.2439%22.234%43%3.7231.31.31.7
CHAR.1647%23.747%3.1911649%2714.07.3549%35.148%51%4.1158.51.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1231.329.436.7%3.561.318327241864.182%17%39%29%14%.15
CHAR Defense1235.133.348.7%4.111.3 - - - - - 56%42%48%51%13%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1222.215.238.6%3.721.7 - - - - - 50%50%34%43%25%.24
CHAR Offense1223.724.247%4.071.8213871162713.742%56%47%49%17%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1234:3717.638%62%3.831.31.31.76.12.8028.3
Charlotte1229:3221.240%35%6.758.51.81.34.91.4030.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1282%39%59241.24.122.162.9975%12%1.15
CHAR Defense1256%48% - - - - .253.2973%9%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1250%34% - - - - .012.669%17%1.03
CHAR Offense1242%47%30.9115.83.713.093.1966%10%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1217%29%4.510.585.88.219.196.22.633%27%.323%2.1
CHAR Defense1242%51% - - - - - - 9.561.727%37%.744%2.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 8.51.936%32%.478%2.3
CHAR Offense1256%49%21.435.8271.27.612.72714.311.529%33%.418%2.2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.54 #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
2023 Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -9.54   Charlotte: -15.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -13.9   Charlotte: -22.1




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -15.34 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 396.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 26
Charlotte 23


Projected Total Points: 56
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Navy51Charlotte17NavyNavy -16.5Navy57.5Over
202310/14Charlotte0Navy14NavyNavy -3.5Navy44.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte001 Overs
Navy221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#116) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.54 #116
Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Team Profile






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Navy     Ratings Matchup     Charlotte
Power #116
#128
Off #126
#130
Def #30
#77
Talent #88
#115
SP+ #114
#130
SP+ Off #124
#128
SP+ Def #72
#113

Rematch from Week 7
Navy 3.5 (44.0)
Navy won at Charlotte this year (14-0)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Charlotte last year (51-17)
Navy beat Charlotte in 2023 (14-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70°

Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | CHAR
Depth Chart: NAVY | CHAR
Rosters: NAVY | CHAR
(#128) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.34 #128
Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113
Talent Rating: 396.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60

Team Profile






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Navy's OC Grant Chesnut
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daba Fofana6026324.449
Amin Hassan144603.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Amin Hassan334011.323
Thomas Scully120020.020
Daba Fofana1303.03

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos1299342
Kyle Jacob1025122
Rayuan Lane701004
Mbiti Williams Jr.590003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed4911641
Colin Ramos1299342
Dashaun Peele454205
Kyle Jacob1025122
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Larry383019
Dashaun Peele454205
Rayuan Lane701004

Charlotte's OC Mike Miller
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trexler Ivey345958%326325.5
Steven Johnson33100%330011.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Durell Robinson10773186.868
Jaden Bradley (Tr)1606.06
Jack Hestera1404.04
Trexler Ivey4300.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Brown35470113.442
Jack Hestera24340414.232
Bryce Kennon17173110.242
Jaden Bradley (Tr)9173119.242

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demetrius Knight II828201
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Dontez Fagan370003
Treyveon McGee332001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Demetrius Knight II828201
Miguel Jackson122200
Brian Bates Jr.21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Dontez Fagan370003
Michael Kelly211002