Navy at Army - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 9th 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
Army -2 (28.0) (-142) Open: -2.0 | 31.5
Army 17 - Navy: 11

Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NAVY coming off BYE
ARMY coming off BYE
Our Line: Army -3 (SP+ ARMY -9)
Projected Score: NAVY: 19 - ARMY: 22 (40)
ARMY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
NAVY Travel: 349 miles

Black Knights (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Monken (66 - 50)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NAVY Players
ARMY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Navy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Navy vs Notre Dame	+20.5	49.0	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/9	Navy vs Wagner	-43.5	49.0	W 24 - 0	U	N
Thu 9/14	Navy at Memphis	+12.5	47.0	L 24 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Navy vs South Florida	-4.0	54.0	L 30 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/7	Navy vs North Texas	-6.5	60.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Navy at Charlotte	-3.5	44.0	W 14 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Navy vs Air Force	+11.0	34.0	L 6 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Navy at Temple	-7.0	46.0	L 18 - 32	O	N
Sat 11/11	Navy vs UAB	+3.5	52.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Navy vs East Carolina	-2.5	30.5	W 10 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Navy at SMU	+20.0	46.0	L 14 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9	Navy vs Army	+2.0	28.0	L 11 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Army's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Army at UL Monroe	-8.5	47.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Army vs Delaware State	-39.5	44.0	W 57 - 0	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Army at UTSA	+7.0	42.0	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Army at Syracuse	+13.0	50.5	L 16 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Army vs Boston College	-2.5	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Army vs Troy	+6.5	41.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/21	Army at LSU	+33.0	60.0	L 0 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/28	Army vs Massachusetts	-10.0	49.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/4	Army vs Air Force	+18.5	32.0	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Army vs Holy Cross	-11.5	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	Army vs Coastal Carolina	+1.5	40.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9	Army vs Navy	-2.0	28.0	W 17 - 11	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY	.15	37%	31.5	39%	2.99	241	29%	86	3.56	.24	39%	25	34%	43%	3.72	31.3	1.3	1.7
ARMY	.27	45%	23.8	48%	3.33	289	28%	77	4.25	.22	48%	21.6	50%	47%	3.69	38.8	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Offense	12	31.5	25.8	36.7%	3.56	1.3	18	327	241	86	4.1	82%	17%	39%	29%	14%	.15
ARMY Defense	12	21.6	24.2	47.9%	3.69	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	50%	47%	13%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Defense	12	25	30.2	38.6%	3.72	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	34%	43%	25%	.24
ARMY Offense	12	23.8	25.6	44.5%	4.25	1	18	366	289	77	5.4	85%	14%	48%	28%	11%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Navy	12	34:37	17.6	38%	62%	3.8	31.3	1.3	1.7	6.1	2.8	0	28.3
Army	12	31:37	17.6	44%	53%	4.8	38.8	1	1.7	3.8	1.5	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense	12	82%	39%	59	241.2	4.1	22	.16	2.99	75%	12%	1.15
ARMY Defense	12	61%	50%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.47	74%	8%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense	12	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.6	69%	17%	1.03
ARMY Offense	12	85%	48%	53.8	288.9	5.4	38	.27	3.33	74%	8%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense	12	17%	29%	4.5	10.5	85.8	8.2	19.1	9	6	.2	2.6	33%	27%	.32	3%	2.1
ARMY Defense	12	37%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.33	1.5	26%	34%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense	12	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.5	1.9	36%	32%	.47	8%	2.3
ARMY Offense	12	14%	28%	3.5	8.7	77	8.9	22	5	4	.32	2.3	25%	23%	.34	3%	2.2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.54 #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
2023 Talent Rating: 30.00 #212
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -9.54 Army: -8.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -13.9 Army: -5.2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -8.725 #125
Army's Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Army's Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
2023 Talent Rating: 20.00 #223
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Army's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Army's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Army 22
Navy 19

Projected Total Points: 40

Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/13	Navy	17	Army	16	Navy -6.0	Army	38.0	Under
2024	12/14	Army	13	Navy	31	Army -6	Navy	39.5	Over
2023	12/09	Army	17	Navy	11	Army -2	Army	28.0	Push
2022	12/10	Army	20	Navy	17	Navy -2.5	Army	32.0	Over
2021	12/11	Army	13	Navy	17	Navy -7	Army	35.5	Under
2020	12/12	Army	15	Navy	0	Army -7.5	Army	35.5	Under
2019	12/14	Navy	31	Army	7	Navy -11.5	Navy	41.5	Under
2018	12/08	Army	17	Navy	10	Army -7	Push	38.5	Under
2017	12/09	Navy	13	Army	14	Navy -2.5	Army	44.5	Under
2016	12/10	Army	21	Navy	17	Navy -11.5	Army	46.5	Under
2015	12/12	Navy	21	Army	17	Navy -23	Army	51.0	Under
2014	12/13	Army	10	Navy	17	Navy -15	Army	0
2013	12/14	Navy	34	Army	7	Navy -10	Navy	0
2012	12/08	Army	13	Navy	17
2011	12/10	Navy	27	Army	21
2010	12/11	Army	17	Navy	31
2009	12/12	Navy	17	Army	3
2008	12/06	Army	0	Navy	34
2007	12/01	Navy	38	Army	3
2006	12/02	Navy	26	Army	14
2005	12/03	Army	23	Navy	42
2004	12/04	Navy	42	Army	13
2003	12/06	Navy	34	Army	6
2001	12/01	Navy	17	Army	26
2000	12/01	Navy	30	Army	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Army	7	9	2 Overs
Navy	18	3	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 9	8 - 4	4 - 4	4 - 0
Road Teams	9 - 16	4 - 8	0 - 4	4 - 4

(#116) NAVY at (#125) ARMY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NAVY	ARMY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#116	#125
SP+SP+	#114	#82
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#76
OffenseOff	#114	#100
DefenseDef	#64	#63
Spec TeamsST	#49	#12
TalentTal	#212	#223
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Navy Injury Report

Army Injury Report

Navy on Offense


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ARMY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#114	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#126	#93
SP+SP+	#124	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Navy Run Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ARMY Def
Run GameRun	#125	#70
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#19	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#58

Navy Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ARMY Def
Pass GamePass	#127	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#136	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Army on Offense


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	NAVY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#100	#64
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#111	#30
SP+SP+	#113	#72
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Army Run Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	#117	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

Army Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#88
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#111	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gillette Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 15
Army -2.0 (28.0)
Army won vs Navy this year (17-11)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Army last year (17-16)
Navy beat Army in 2024 (31-13)
Army beat Navy in 2023 (17-11)

NAVY's OC Grant Chesnut (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tai Lavatai	56	101	55%	701	5	2	6.9
Xavier Arline	23	44	52%	320	2	2	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alex Tecza	126	758	5	6.0	75
Daba Fofana	72	283	3	3.9	20
Xavier Arline	77	257	2	3.3	50
Tai Lavatai	75	245	2	3.3	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Heidenreich	19	382	4	20.1	69
Brandon Chatman	19	254	0	13.4	58
Jayden Umbarger	14	145	1	10.4	22
Alex Tecza	16	97	0	6.1	16

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Ramos	94	8	2	6	4
Will Harbour	76	8	3	4	0
Rayuan Lane	62	3	1	1	7
Mbiti Williams Jr.	55	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Reed	44	8	5	5	1
Landon Robinson	28	5	4	1	0
Luke Pirris	52	9	4	1	3
Will Harbour	76	8	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rayuan Lane	62	3	1	1	7
Colin Ramos	94	8	2	6	4
Dashaun Peele	32	1	0	0	4

ARMY's OC Matt Drinkall (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	60	120	50%	913	7	6	7.6
Champ Harris	19	35	54%	260	0	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	214	902	7	4.2	62
Kanye Udoh	99	524	1	5.3	23
Hayden Reed	50	205	2	4.1	27
Tyrell Robinson	39	187	2	4.8	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Alston	9	266	2	29.6	70
Noah Short	18	252	2	14.0	80
Casey Reynolds	16	237	0	14.8	69
Tobi Olawole	7	101	0	14.4	43

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leo Lowin	75	5	3	0	1
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Kalib Fortner	55	3	2	1	0
Max DiDomenico	47	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leo Lowin	75	5	3	0	1
Jack Latore	20	4	3	0	0
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Jimmy Ciarlo	47	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabari Moore	35	3	0	0	6
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Cameron Jones	34	3	1	1	2