Navy at Army - 2023 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, December 9th 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
Army -2 (28.0) (-142)  Open: -2.0 | 31.5
Army 17 - Navy: 11

 
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (18 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY coming off BYE
ARMY coming off BYE
Our Line: Army -3   (SP+ ARMY -9)

Projected Score: NAVY: 16 - ARMY: 19 (35)
ARMY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
NAVY Travel: 214 miles
Black Knights (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Monken (66 - 50)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+20.549.0L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Wagner-43.549.0W 24 - 0UN
Thu 9/14 Navy at Memphis+12.547.0L 24 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Navy vs South Florida-4.054.0L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/7 Navy vs North Texas-6.560.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Navy at Charlotte-3.544.0W 14 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs Air Force+11.034.0L 6 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Navy at Temple-7.046.0L 18 - 32ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs UAB+3.552.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 Navy vs East Carolina-2.530.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Navy at SMU+20.046.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army+2.028.0L 11 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Army's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Army at UL Monroe-8.547.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 Army vs Delaware State-39.544.0W 57 - 0OY
Fri 9/15 Army at UTSA+7.042.0W 37 - 29OY
Sat 9/23 Army at Syracuse+13.050.5L 16 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Army vs Boston College-2.547.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 10/14 Army vs Troy+6.541.5L 0 - 19UN
Sat 10/21 Army at LSU+33.060.0L 0 - 62ON
Sat 10/28 Army vs Massachusetts-10.049.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/4 Army vs Air Force+18.532.0W 23 - 3UY
Sat 11/11 Army vs Holy Cross-11.555.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 Army vs Coastal Carolina+1.540.5W 28 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Army vs Navy-2.028.0W 17 - 11UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#121 (.07)37% (117)17.739% (111)2.86 (108)19532% (131)1062.38 (133)#45 (.15)41% (51)22.437% (23)45% (114)2.84 (7)4612
ARMY#99 (.13)40% (99)20.541% (91)3.33 (27)20937% (105)1033.07 (122)#95 (.23)46% (116)21.147% (107)46% (119)2.58 (3)36.31.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1217.717.537.1%2.381153001951064.371%29%39%32%14%.07
ARMY Defense1221.11745.6%2.581.6 - - - - - 56%43%47%46%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1222.429.840.6%2.842 - - - - - 50%49%37%45%17%.15
ARMY Offense1220.523.339.5%3.071.8163122091034.476%22%41%37%12%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1231:1514.529%62%5.746125.22.3132.4
Army1232:3216.338%59%3.936.31.81.63.91.4332.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1271% (3)39% (111)45.7194.64.316 (89).07 (110)2.86 (108)72% (83)12% (101)1.02 (57)
ARMY Defense1256% (123)47% (107) - - - - .26 (123)3.44 (122)63% (17)8% (112)1.06 (96)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1250% (67)37% (23) - - - - .02 (15)2.87 (30)67% (34)11% (36)0.86 (16)
ARMY Offense1276% (2)41% (91)47.8208.84.419 (69).11 (88)3.33 (27)82% (9)9% (42)0.89 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1229% (131)32% (131)8.516.6105.76.412.410 (120)5 (6).11 (121)1.8 (15)31% (61)21% (132).06 (131)2% (3)2 (88)
ARMY Defense1243% (9)46% (119) - - - - - - 9 (87).27 (71)1.4 (16)27% (130)29% (57).26 (40)4% (131)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1249% (65)45% (114) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (103)1.6 (75)31% (97)28% (40).34 (83)6% (88)2.2 (113)
ARMY Offense1222% (132)37% (105)6.913.7102.87.514.97 (129)11 (68).33 (51)2 (2)29% (21)23% (127).14 (120)3% (5)1.9 (115)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.54 #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -9.54   Army: -8.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -13.9   Army: -5.2




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -8.725 #125
Army's Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Army's Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Army's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Army's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Navy Scoring
Offense: 17.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Army 19
Navy 16


Total Points: 35

Army Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Army's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/14Army13Navy31NavyArmy -6Navy39.5Over
202312/09Army17Navy11ArmyArmy -2Army28.0Push
202212/10Army20Navy17ArmyNavy -2.5Army32.0Over
202112/11Army13Navy17NavyNavy -7Army35.5Under
202012/12Army15Navy0ArmyArmy -7.5Army35.5Under
201912/14Navy31Army7NavyNavy -11.5Navy41.5Under
201812/08Army17Navy10ArmyArmy -7Push38.5Under
201712/09Navy13Army14ArmyNavy -2.5Army44.5Under
201612/10Army21Navy17ArmyNavy -11.5Army46.5Under
201512/12Navy21Army17NavyNavy -23Army51.0Under
201412/13Army10Navy17NavyNavy -15Army0
201312/14Navy34Army7NavyNavy -10Navy0
201212/08Army13Navy17Navy
201112/10Navy27Army21Navy
201012/11Army17Navy31Navy
200912/12Navy17Army3Navy
200812/06Army0Navy34Navy
200712/01Navy38Army3Navy
200612/02Navy26Army14Navy
200512/03Army23Navy42Navy
200412/04Navy42Army13Navy
200312/06Navy34Army6Navy
200112/01Navy17Army26Army
200012/01Navy30Army28Navy
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army782 Overs
Navy1737 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 98 - 34 - 34 - 0
Road Teams9 - 153 - 80 - 43 - 4

(#116) Navy Info
Power Rating: -9.54 #116
Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80


Navy has lost 1 straight
Navy has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Navy Highlights
Navy defense is really good in red zone (#73)
Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy Defensive Line is very good (#37)
Navy has a great TO Margin (#54)

Navy Deficiencies
Navy has a really bad Offense
Navy has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Navy offense is really bad (#5)
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)
Navy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#31)
Navy run game is really bad (#4)
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Navy Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARMYNAVY
OverallOver#62#87
OffenseOff#84#97
DefenseDef#52#53
Special TeamsST#12#42
PassingPass#116#107
RushingRush#83#91
Run BlockRBLK#14#17
Pass BlockPBLK#95#118
Route RunningWR Rt#89#113
TacklingTkl#51#77
Run DefenseR Def#61#54
Pass Rush DefPRush#86#69
Coverage DefCov#47#72

Rematch from Week 15
Army -2.0 (28.0)
Army won vs Navy this year (17-11)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Army last year (31-13)
Army beat Navy in 2023 (17-11)
Army beat Navy in 2022 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gillette Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | ARMY
Depth Chart: NAVY | ARMY
Rosters: NAVY | ARMY
(#125) Army Info
Power Rating: -8.725 #125
Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40


Army has won 3 straight
Army has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Army Highlights
Army has Really Good Running Game (#58)
Army has a top Offensive Line (#107)
Army does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#40)

Army defense is really good in red zone (#111)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)

Army Deficiencies
Army has a really bad Offense
Army has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Army Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Army offense is not Explosive (#90)
Army offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#83)
Army pass game is really bad (#77)
Army does not Sack the QB (#122)
Army has a bad defense (#39)
Army Does Not Stuff Runs (#17)
Army has a bad defensive line (#46)


  
Navy's OC Grant Chesnut
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tai Lavatai5610155%701526.9
Xavier Arline234452%320227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Tecza12675856.075
Daba Fofana7228333.920
Xavier Arline7725723.350
Tai Lavatai7524523.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich19382420.169
Brandon Chatman19254013.458
Jayden Umbarger14145110.422
Alex Tecza169706.116

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos948264
Will Harbour768340
Rayuan Lane623117
Mbiti Williams Jr.550003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed448551
Landon Robinson285410
Luke Pirris529413
Will Harbour768340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rayuan Lane623117
Colin Ramos948264
Dashaun Peele321004

Army's OC Matt Drinkall
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily6012050%913767.6
Champ Harris193554%260047.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily21490274.262
Kanye Udoh9952415.323
Hayden Reed5020524.127
Tyrell Robinson3918724.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Alston9266229.670
Noah Short18252214.080
Casey Reynolds16237014.869
Tobi Olawole7101014.443

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leo Lowin755301
Quindrelin Hammonds574302
Kalib Fortner553210
Max DiDomenico472000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leo Lowin755301
Jack Latore204300
Quindrelin Hammonds574302
Jimmy Ciarlo475220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Moore353006
Quindrelin Hammonds574302
Cameron Jones343112