Wagner at Navy - 2023 Matchup Preview
Wagner logo Wagner Seahawks at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -43.5 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 24 - Wagner: 0

 
Seahawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 2 - 38 (2 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -9  (SP+ NAVY -14)
NAVY Win prob: 100% | Cover: 53%
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wagner's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Wagner at Navy+43.549.0L 0 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Wagner at Rutgers+46.052.5L 3 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wagner's Schedule
Navy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+20.549.0L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Wagner-43.549.0W 24 - 0UN
Thu 9/14 Navy at Memphis+12.547.0L 24 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Navy vs South Florida-4.054.0L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/7 Navy vs North Texas-6.560.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Navy at Charlotte-3.544.0W 14 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs Air Force+11.034.0L 6 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Navy at Temple-7.046.0L 18 - 32ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs UAB+3.552.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 Navy vs East Carolina-2.530.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Navy at SMU+20.046.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army+2.028.0L 11 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAG0%1.50%000%000%380%0%0000
NAVY#121 (.07)37% (117)17.739% (111)2.86 (108)19532% (131)1062.38 (133)#45 (.15)41% (51)22.437% (23)45% (114)2.84 (7)4612
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAG Offense21.51.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Defense1222.415.240.6%2.842 - - - - - 50%49%37%45%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAG Defense238380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Offense1217.721.337.1%2.381153001951064.371%29%39%32%14%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wagner20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Navy1231:1514.529%62%5.746125.22.3132.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAG Offense20%0%000000%0%0
NAVY Defense1250% (67)37% (23) - - - - .02 (15)2.87 (30)67% (34)11% (36)0.86 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAG Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NAVY Offense1271% (3)39% (111)45.7194.64.316 (89).07 (110)2.86 (108)72% (83)12% (101)1.02 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAG Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
NAVY Defense1249% (65)45% (114) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (103)1.6 (75)31% (97)28% (40).34 (83)6% (88)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAG Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NAVY Offense1229% (131)32% (131)8.516.6105.76.412.410 (120)5 (6).11 (121)1.8 (15)31% (61)21% (132).06 (131)2% (3)2 (88)

Wagner's Power Ratings
Wagner's Power Rating: NR
Wagner's Offense Rating: NR
Wagner's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating:  #217
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wagner's 2023 Expected Record: -
Wagner's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Wagner's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Wagner's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wagner:    Navy: -9.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wagner:    Navy: -13.9




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.22  #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74  #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60  #30
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9  #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Wagner Scoring
Offense: 1.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 1.5
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Wagner's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 31
Wagner 10

Total Points: 41

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 34
Wagner 10

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Navy 29
Wagner 10

Total Points: 39
Navy Scoring
Offense: 17.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.3
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Navy24Wagner0Navy -43.5Wagner49.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy100 Overs
Wagner011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) WAG at (#116) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWAGNAVY
Power RatePwrNR #116
SP+SP+NR #114
Perf GradeGradeNR #105
OffenseOffNR #114
DefenseDefNR #64
Spec TeamsSTNR #49
TalentTal #217 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Wagner on Offense
CategoryCat
WAG OffNAVY Def
Perf GradePerfNR #64
SuccessSucNR #51
ExplosiveExpNR #59
PPAPPANR #45
PowerPwrNR #30
SP+SP+NR #72
Pts POPPONR #7
HavocHavNR #56
Wagner Run Game
CategoryCat
WAG OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNR #62
Run SuccessRSucNR #23
Run ExplRExpNR #16
PPAExpNR #15
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #30
Stuff RateStuffNR #33
TackleTak -  #89
Wagner Pass Game
CategoryCat
WAG OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNR #88
Pass SuccessPSucNR #114
Pass ExplPExlNR #75
PPAExpNR #103
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #88
F7 HavocF7NR #36
DB HavocDBNR #88
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffWAG Def
Perf GradePerf #114NR
SuccessSuc #117NR
ExplosiveExp #111NR
PPAPPA #121NR
PowerPwr #126NR
SP+SP+ #124NR
Pts POPPO #133NR
HavocHav #33NR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffWAG Def
Run GameRun #125NR
Run SuccessRSuc #111NR
Run ExplRExp #57NR
PPAExp #110NR
Run BlockR Blk #19 -
OL YdsOLY #108NR
Stuff RateStuff #84NR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffWAG Def
Pass GamePass #127NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #131NR
Pass ExplPExl #15NR
PPAExp #121NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #136NR
F7 HavocF7 #101NR
DB HavocDB #3NR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WAG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77°
Rematch from Week 2
Navy -43.5 (49.0)
Navy won vs Wagner this year (24-0)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Wagner in 2023 (24-0)

  
WAG's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith2701433115.359
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith8101212.659

View Wagner's Full Roster

WAG's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalin Justice101020
Jouvenson Romulus90000
Jayden Brown80000
Justin Smith80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalin Justice101020
Olanrewaju Adeyemi40010
Franklin Simms10000
Chase Stafford10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Armani Itote20001
Jalin Justice101020
Olanrewaju Adeyemi40010

NAVY's OC Grant Chesnut (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tai Lavatai5610155%701526.9
Xavier Arline234452%320227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Tecza12675856.075
Daba Fofana7228333.920
Xavier Arline7725723.350
Tai Lavatai7524523.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich19382420.169
Brandon Chatman19254013.458
Jayden Umbarger14145110.422
Alex Tecza169706.116

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos948264
Will Harbour768340
Rayuan Lane623117
Mbiti Williams Jr.550003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed448551
Landon Robinson285410
Luke Pirris529413
Will Harbour768340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rayuan Lane623117
Colin Ramos948264
Dashaun Peele321004