Wagner at Navy - 2023 Matchup Preview
Wagner logo   Wagner Seahawks at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -43.5 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 24 - Wagner: 0

 
Seahawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 48 (9 - 48 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -9  (SP+ NAVY -14)
NAVY Win prob: 100% | Cover: 53%
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wagner's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Wagner at Navy+43.549.0L 0 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Wagner at Rutgers+46.052.5L 3 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wagner's Schedule
Navy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+20.549.0L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Wagner-43.549.0W 24 - 0UN
Thu 9/14 Navy at Memphis+12.547.0L 24 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Navy vs South Florida-4.054.0L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/7 Navy vs North Texas-6.560.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Navy at Charlotte-3.544.0W 14 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs Air Force+11.034.0L 6 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Navy at Temple-7.046.0L 18 - 32ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs UAB+3.552.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 Navy vs East Carolina-2.530.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Navy at SMU+20.046.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army+2.028.0L 11 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAG0%8.50%000%000%47.50%0%0000
NAVY.1537%31.539%2.9924129%863.56.2439%2534%43%3.7231.31.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAG Offense28.58.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Defense122524.238.6%3.721.7 - - - - - 50%50%34%43%25%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAG Defense247.547.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Offense1231.53836.7%3.561.318327241864.182%17%39%29%14%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wagner20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Navy1234:3717.638%62%3.831.31.31.76.12.8028.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAG Offense20%0%000000%0%0
NAVY Defense1250%34% - - - - .012.669%17%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAG Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NAVY Offense1282%39%59241.24.122.162.9975%12%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAG Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
NAVY Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 8.51.936%32%.478%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAG Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NAVY Offense1217%29%4.510.585.88.219.196.22.633%27%.323%2.1

Wagner's Power Ratings
Wagner's Power Rating: NR
Wagner's Offense Rating: NR
Wagner's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 26.18  #217
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wagner's 2023 Expected Record: -
Wagner's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Wagner's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Wagner's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Wagner:    Navy: -9.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wagner:    Navy: -13.9




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.22  #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74  #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60  #30
2023 Talent Rating: 30.00  #212
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9  #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Wagner Scoring
Offense: 8.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.5
Defense: 47.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 47.5

Wagner's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 41
Wagner 17

Projected Total Points: 58
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Navy24Wagner0Navy -43.5Wagner49.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy100 Overs
Wagner011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) WAG at (#116) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWAGNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #116
SP+SP+NR #114
Perf GradeGradeNR #105
OffenseOffNR #114
DefenseDefNR #64
Spec TeamsSTNR #49
TalentTal #217 #212
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Wagner on Offense
CategoryCat
WAG OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #64
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #30
SP+SP+NR #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wagner Run Game
CategoryCat
WAG OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNR #62
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #89
Wagner Pass Game
CategoryCat
WAG OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNR #88
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #88
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffWAG Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #114NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #126NR
SP+SP+ #124NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffWAG Def
Run GameRun #125NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #19 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffWAG Def
Pass GamePass #127NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #136NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WAG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Navy -43.5 (49.0)
Navy won vs Wagner this year (24-0)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Wagner in 2023 (24-0)

  
WAG's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Damien Mazil183946%97012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith11566045.756
Sekou Kamau8034104.325
Damien Mazil1613218.375
Teree McDonald61803.07
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Colclough3427228.045
Jaylen Bonelli2220039.134
Teree McDonald3219005.935
Zachary Palmer-Smith74706.713

View Wagner's Full Roster

WAG's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jorel Liverpool214120
Jouvenson Romulus70000
Jayden Brown50000
Armani Itote30000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jorel Liverpool214120
Jouvenson Romulus70000
Jayden Brown50000
Armani Itote30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jorel Liverpool214120
Jouvenson Romulus70000
Jayden Brown50000

NAVY's OC Grant Chesnut (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tai Lavatai5610155%701526.9
Xavier Arline234452%320227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Tecza12675856.075
Daba Fofana7228333.920
Xavier Arline7725723.350
Tai Lavatai7524523.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich19382420.169
Brandon Chatman19254013.458
Jayden Umbarger14145110.422
Alex Tecza169706.116

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos948264
Will Harbour768340
Rayuan Lane623117
Mbiti Williams Jr.550003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed448551
Landon Robinson285410
Luke Pirris529413
Will Harbour768340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rayuan Lane623117
Colin Ramos948264
Dashaun Peele321004